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United Nations University Series on Regionalism 21 Mario Torres Jarrín Lourdes Gabriela Daza Aramayo EU-MERCOSUR Interregionalism Diplomatic and Trade Relations United Nations University Series on Regionalism Volume 21 SeriesEditors Philippe De Lombaerde, NEOMA Business School, Rouen (France) and UNU-CRIS,Brugge,Belgium LukVanLangenhove,VrijeUniversiteitBrussel(VUB),Brussels,Belgium UNU-CRIS,Bruges,Belgium GlennRayp,GhentUniversity,Bruges,Belgium EditorialBoardMembers LouiseFawcett,OxfordUniversity,Oxford,UK SieglindeGstöhl,CollegeofEurope,Bruges,Belgium HenrykKierzkowski,GraduateInstituteofInternationalandDevelopmentStudies, Geneva,Switzerland FukunariKimura,KeioUniversity,Tokyo,Japan EdwardD.Mansfield,UniversityofPennsylvania,Philadelphia,PA,USA T.AdemolaOyejide,UniversityofIbadan,Ibadan,Nigeria JacquesPelkmans,CollegeofEurope,Bruges,Belgium JoaquinRoy,UniversityofMiami,Miami,FL,USA RamónTorrent,UniversityofBarcelona,Barcelona,Spain TheUnitedNationsUniversitySeriesonRegionalism,launchedbyUNU-CRISand Springer,offersaplatformforinnovativeworkon(supra-national)regionalismfrom a global and inter-disciplinary perspective. It includes the World Reports on Regional Integration, published in collaboration with other UN agencies, but it is also open for theoretical, methodological and empirical contributions from aca- demicsandpolicy-makersworldwide. BookproposalswillbereviewedbyanInternationalEditorialBoard. Theserieseditorsareparticularlyinterestedinbookproposalsdealingwith: – comparativeregionalism; – comparativeworkonregionalorganizations; – inter-regionalism; – theroleofregionsinamulti-levelgovernancecontext; – theinteractionsbetweentheUNandtheregions; – theregionaldimensionsofthereformprocessesofmultilateralinstitutions; – the dynamics of cross-border micro-regions and their interactions with supra- nationalregions; – methodologicalissuesinregionalismstudies. Accepted book proposals can receive editorial support from UNU-CRIS for the preparationofmanuscripts. Please send book proposals to: [email protected] and [email protected]. (cid:129) Mario Torres Jarrín Lourdes Gabriela Daza Aramayo EU-MERCOSUR Interregionalism Diplomatic and Trade Relations MarioTorresJarrín LourdesGabrielaDazaAramayo InstituteofEuropeanStudiesand Anglo-AmericanUniversity HumanRights Prague,CzechRepublic PontificalUniversityofSalamanca Salamanca,Spain ISSN2214-9848 ISSN2214-9856 (electronic) UnitedNationsUniversitySeriesonRegionalism ISBN978-3-031-19216-6 ISBN978-3-031-19217-3 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-19217-3 ©TheEditor(s)(ifapplicable)andTheAuthor(s),underexclusivelicensetoSpringerNatureSwitzerland AG2023 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsaresolelyandexclusivelylicensedbythePublisher,whether thewholeorpartofthematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseof illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similarordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors, and the editorsare safeto assume that the adviceand informationin this bookarebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsor theeditorsgiveawarranty,expressedorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforany errorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregardtojurisdictional claimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Contents 1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 2 EU-LACInterregionalismHistory:FromaDiplomatic Perspective. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2.1 EU-LACInterregionalismHistory:FromMartinoReport toEU-CELACSummit. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2.1.1 EECCouncil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.1.2 SELACouncil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.2 StateoftheArtoftheEU-LACInterregionalism. . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 2.3 ConceptualisationoftheEUExternalActionstoLACRegional IntegrationOrganisations. . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . 25 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3 GeopoliticalAspectsinEU-LACInterregionalism. . . . . . .. . . . . .. 31 3.1 TheBrexitProcess. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 3.2 StagnationofTransatlanticRelationshipEU-USA. . . . . . . . . . . . 35 3.3 TheCOVID-19Pandemic. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 3.4 NewGeopoliticalPlayersintheEU-LACInterregionalism Process:Cooperation,TradeandInvestment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 4 TheHistoricalandLegalContextoftheEuropeanUnion- MERCOSURRelations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 4.1 ABeforeandAfterinEuropeanUnion-MERCOSUR Relations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 4.2 AHistoricalJourneyfrom1991to2021. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 4.3 TheNewStageofEU-MEROCURRelationsfrom2022. . . . . . . 61 4.4 ChinaandMERCOSURFuture. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 v vi Contents 5 MacroeconomicAnalysisoftheCharacteristicsoftheCountries ofMERCOSURandItsComparisonwiththeEuropeanUnion. . . 69 5.1 MacroeconomicAnalysisandEstimatedTrends. . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 5.1.1 Population. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 5.1.2 EconomicGrowth. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 5.1.3 InflationRates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 5.1.4 BalanceofPayments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 5.1.5 LabourMarket. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . 83 5.2 InstitutionalAnalysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 5.3 BusinessAnalysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 6 NewAssociationStrategyintheMERCOSUR-EuropeanUnion Relations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 6.1 TariffandNon-tariffBarriersandtheLiberalisationofTrade. . . . 98 6.2 MarketAccessforIndustrialGoods. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 6.3 MarketAccessforAgriculturalGoods. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 6.3.1 AccesstoRawMaterials,ExportDutiesandImport andExportRestrictions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110 6.4 TechnicalandNon-technicalBarrierstoTrade. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110 6.4.1 TradeAgreementChapter3:CustomsandTrade Facilitation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 6.4.2 TradeAgreementChapter5:SanitaryandPhytosanitary Measures. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 6.4.3 TradeAgreementChapter6:DialogueForums. .. . . . . . . 113 6.4.4 TradeAgreementChapter7:TechnicalBarriers toTrade. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 6.5 FreeMovementofPersonnelandCapital. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 6.6 CompetitionandSubsidies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 7 TheCurrentStateofEU-MERCOSURTradeRelations. . . . . . . . . 121 7.1 AnalysisofCommercialExchangebetweentheEuropeanUnion andMERCOSUR. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 7.1.1 MainProductsExportedtotheEuropeanUnionfrom MERCOSURCountries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 7.2 TheChallengesoftheNewAssociation:TheEuropeanUnion andMERCOSUR. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 7.3 AnalysisofTradeRelationsbetweenMERCOSURandthe EuropeanUnionthroughaGravityModel. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 7.3.1 TheoryBackground. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 7.4 StatisticsSources:Data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 7.5 Methodology. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 7.6 EstimationMethods. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 7.6.1 TheInstitutionalFactors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140 7.6.2 Results. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 References. . ...................... .................... 144 Contents vii 8 KeyFactorsofForeignDirectInvestmentintheMERCOSUR oftheEuropeanUnion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 8.1 TheRelationshipBetweenForeignDirectInvestment andTrade. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 8.2 MacroeconomicDeterminantsandMicroeconomic Determinants. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 8.3 FDIbyCountryofOriginandSectorstoWhichItIsDirected. . . 160 8.3.1 Argentina. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 8.3.2 Brazil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 8.3.3 Paraguay. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 166 8.3.4 Uruguay. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 8.4 InterestsandSectorsforFDI. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174 9 TheImpactoftheFourthIndustrialRevolutiononGlobalSupply Chains. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177 9.1 ChangesinInternationalTradeandEU-MERCOSUR Relations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177 9.2 TechnologyIndustriesCompanies:TheNewGeopoliticsof InterregionalActors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 9.3 TheBroaderContextandUnquantifiableFactors. . . . . . . . . . . . 184 9.4 EU-MERCOSURandTechplomacy. . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . 186 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188 10 Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191 References. . ...................... .................... 197 About the Authors Ing.LourdesGabrielaDazaAramayo,Ph.D. Sheis oneofthethreefoundersofAnglo-AmericanUniversity and,FounderandExecutiveDirectoroftheLAC-Center (LatinAmericanandtheCaribbeanBusinessandStudy Center)inPrague. SheisaspecialistinrelationsbetweenLatinAmerica and the European Union. She is a member of the Bi-regional Academic Council of the Permanent Academic Forum Latin America and the Caribbean- EuropeanUnion. Lourdes Daza Aramayo is from Bolivia, she gradu- ated as an Engineer from University of Economics, Prague, in Economics and Economic Policy with a specialization in Socio-economic Data Analysis. She alsohasaPh.D.inEconomicPolicy. Her research interests include International Rela- tions, Diplomacy, and Trade Relations, Relations between the EU and Latin America and the Caribbean, International Trade, International Political Economy, Trade Gender, Applied Econometrics, Econometric ad EconomicAnalysis.Sheiscurrentlyworkingonanew bookAdvancesandchallengesofPoliciesthatpromotes LabourParticipationofwomenintheEuropeanUnion, Latin America and the Caribbean in the context of economicrecoveryduringandpost-Covid-19pandemic thanks to the initiative of the EU-LAC Foundation and theEUROsociALProgramme. ix x AbouttheAuthors Mario Torres Jarrín is a Director of the Institute of European Studies and Human Rights at the Pontifical University of Salamanca (Spain). Previously, he was a DirectoroftheEuropeanInstituteofInternationalStud- ies (Sweden); Researcher Associate and Adjunct Lec- turer in Regionalism in Latin America in the Chair of International Business and Society Relations with a focusonLatinAmericaatFriedrichAlexanderUniver- sity Erlangen-Nuremberg (Germany); Lecturer in RegionalStudiesandResearchAssociateintheInstitute of Latin American Studies, as well as an Adjunct Lec- turer in the Department of Romance Studies and Clas- sics, Faculty of Humanities at Stockholm University (Sweden). He has been a Visiting Professor at Copenhagen Business School (Denmark), University of Bergen and University of Oslo (Norway), University Institute of Lisbon(Portugal),NationalUniversityofPoliticalStud- iesandPublicAdministration(Romania),Universityof Salamanca (Spain), University of Economics and Anglo-AmericanUniversity(CzechRepublic)andDip- lomaticAcademicsinEuropeandAmericas. He holds a Ph.D. in History, a Master in European Union Studies and a BA in Business Studies from the UniversityofSalamanca (Spain).Hisresearchinterests include international relations and diplomacy, EU For- eign affairs and security, EU & Latin America and the Caribbeanrelations,EuropeanandLatinAmericaninte- gration history, theories of regional integration and interregionalism, international political economy and globalgovernance. He was Executive Secretary of Consortium of Uni- versitiesIBERO-EURO-AMERICAandaCouncilAca- demic Member of EU-LAC Academic Forum; Task Force Member “The future of work and education for thedigitalage”andTaskForceMember"TheMultilat- eralismandGlobalGovernanceFuture"intheG20/T20 Summits system. He is a Member of the Scientific Committeeof5EuropeanResearchProjectsco-financed bytheErasmus+programmeoftheEuropeanCommis- sion:“RelationsbetweentheEuropeanUnionandLatin America: Future scenarios in a changing world” led by Universidad de Concepción (Chile); Research Group Member at Jean Monnet Module on International

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