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Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 689 Oliver Claas Essays on Wage Bargaining in Dynamic Macroeconomics Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 689 FoundingEditors M.Beckmann H.P.Ku¨nzi Editors-in-Chief Prof.Dr.G.Fandel FacultyofEconomics UniversityofHagen Hagen,Germany Prof.Dr.W.Trockel MuratSertelInstituteforAdvancedEconomicResearch IstanbulBilgiUniversity Istanbul,Turkey and InstituteofMathematicalEconomics(IMW) BielefeldUniversity Bielefeld,Germany EditorialBoard H.Dawid,D.Dimitrov,A.Gerber,C.-J.Haake,C.Hofmann,T.Pfeiffer, R.Slowin´ski,W.H.M.Zijm Moreinformationaboutthisseriesathttp://www.springer.com/series/300 Oliver Claas Essays on Wage Bargaining in Dynamic Macroeconomics 123 OliverClaas CenterforMathematicalEconomics BielefeldUniversity Bielefeld,Germany ISSN0075-8442 ISSN2196-9957 (electronic) LectureNotesinEconomicsandMathematicalSystems ISBN978-3-319-97827-7 ISBN978-3-319-97828-4 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-97828-4 ©SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2019 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof thematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Thepublisher,theauthors,andtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinformationinthisbook arebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsor theeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforany errorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregardtojurisdictional claimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG. Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Preface ThismonographisinessencemyPh.D.dissertationsuccessfullydefendedonOc- tober27,2017,attheDepartmentofEconomicsatBielefeldUniversity,Germany. The origins of this work go back to Volker Böhm’s lecture series on macro- economic theory, which I attended during my M.Sc. in Bielefeld. I subsequently wrotemyM.Sc.thesis(Diplomarbeit)inthisfield,whichencouragedmetopursue a Ph.D. in economic theory. My thesis integrated collective bargaining into a macroeconomic model of the same type as I investigate in this book, but with an emphasis on disequilibrium dynamics. It is my M.Sc. thesis that marks the beginningofmyscientificcollaborationwithVolkerBöhm. I am indebted to Volker Böhm for his outstanding supervision: for countless stimulating discussions (many of them going beyond economic theory), for his advice,forcoauthoringtwoworkingpapers(andothertexts)withme,forhisfaith and active support in promoting these papers, for tolerating my time-consuming jobs, and, in the end and in slightly different contexts, for sharing the intense experienceofapproachingsubmissiondeadlines.Iwouldliketoexpressmythanks to Alfred Greiner for his willingness to co-supervise this thesis. Frank Riedel managedtofindwaystorenewmyfundingmorethanonce;Iamgratefulforthese jobopportunitiesandfortheexcitingchallengesthatcamealongwiththem.Jennifer Rasell not only proofreadthe manuscript,but also invaluablymotivatedme when boththedissertationprojectandthepublicationneededtobefinished. Besidestheseindividuals,Ienjoyedbeingpartofaprofessionalandsupportive institutional environment: the International Research Training Group “Economic Behavior and Interaction Models” (EBIM) financed by the German Research Foundation(DFG), the Center for MathematicalEconomics(IMW), the Bielefeld Graduate School of Economics and Management (BiGSEM), and the Center for Interdisciplinary Research (ZiF). Within this setup, I was privileged to meet and v work with many great colleagues. Several of them have become close friends— thankyouall. Finally,Iowemyfamilyadebtofgratitudefortheirpermanentsupport. Bielefeld,Germany OliverClaas August2018 Contents 1 Introduction .................................................................. 1 1.1 TheAS–ADModelUnderCompetitionasaGeneralFramework ... 2 1.2 TheAS–ADModelandNoncompetitiveMarkets .................... 4 1.3 TheAS–ADModelandCollectiveBargaining........................ 4 1.4 SummaryoftheChapters............................................... 5 References..................................................................... 7 2 EfficientBargaininginaDynamicMacroeconomicModel ............. 9 2.1 Introduction ............................................................. 9 2.2 TheLaborMarketwithEfficientBargaining.......................... 11 2.2.1 ThePublicSector............................................... 11 2.2.2 TheProductionSector.......................................... 11 2.2.3 TheConsumptionSector....................................... 12 2.2.4 EfficientBargainingandEmployment......................... 14 2.2.5 NoncompetitiveWageSettingVersusWageBargaining...... 19 2.3 TemporaryEquilibriumwithEfficientBargaining .................... 22 2.3.1 AggregateSupplyandAggregateDemand.................... 22 2.3.2 PropertiesoftheTemporaryEquilibrium...................... 25 2.3.3 TheRoleofUnionPower ...................................... 28 2.3.4 ComparingBargainingandCompetition...................... 29 2.3.5 InefficientRedistributionUnderEfficientBargaining......... 33 2.3.6 Summary........................................................ 35 2.4 AParametricExample:TheIsoelasticCase........................... 36 2.4.1 TheRoleofUnionPower ...................................... 40 2.4.2 UnionPowerandWages ....................................... 43 2.4.3 ComparingWages,Prices,andPayoffs........................ 46 2.5 DynamicsofMonetaryEquilibrium ................................... 51 2.5.1 DynamicsofMoneyBalances ................................. 51 2.5.2 DynamicswithPerfectForesight .............................. 53 2.5.3 SteadyStatesandStability ..................................... 55 vii viii Contents 2.5.4 DynamicsofRealMoneyBalancesUnderPerfect Foresight ........................................................ 57 2.5.5 StableBalancedPaths .......................................... 59 2.6 SummaryandConclusion .............................................. 64 References..................................................................... 65 3 Wage Bargaining, Employment, and Union Power: TheRight-to-ManageApproach ........................................... 67 3.1 Introduction ............................................................. 67 3.2 NashBargainingwithRighttoManage................................ 68 3.3 WageBargainingandEmployment .................................... 71 3.4 TheTemporaryEquilibriumwithRighttoManage................... 74 3.4.1 Comparative Statics of the TemporaryGeneral Equilibrium ..................................................... 75 3.4.2 AParametricExample:TheIsoelasticCase................... 79 3.5 UnionPowerandtheMacroeconomy.................................. 83 3.6 DynamicsofMonetaryEquilibriumUnderPerfectForesight........ 88 3.7 SummaryandConclusion .............................................. 93 3.8 Appendix................................................................ 94 3.8.1 TheBargainingProblem ....................................... 94 3.8.2 ComparativeStaticsoftheTemporaryEquilibrium........... 98 3.8.3 CalculationsParametricExample:TheIsoelasticCase....... 100 References..................................................................... 107 4 Efficient Bargaining Under Labor Market Segmentation inaMacroeconomicModel ................................................. 109 4.1 Introduction ............................................................. 109 4.2 TheEconomywithaSegmentedLaborMarket....................... 111 4.2.1 TheSectorsoftheEconomyandtheUnion................... 112 4.2.2 ClearingoftheLaborMarkets................................. 115 4.2.3 TheFunctionalIncomeDistribution........................... 126 4.2.4 TheRateofUnderemployment................................ 128 4.3 TheTemporaryEquilibriumwithaSegmentedLaborMarket ....... 129 4.3.1 AggregateSupplyandAggregateDemand.................... 129 4.3.2 ThePriceLaw................................................... 131 4.3.3 TheEquilibriumMappings..................................... 133 4.4 ComparisonwithEconomieswithSingleLaborMarkets............. 137 4.5 SummaryandExtensions............................................... 140 4.6 Appendix................................................................ 143 4.6.1 Proofs............................................................ 143 4.6.2 AParametricExample.......................................... 149 4.6.3 ThePowerfulProducer......................................... 150 References..................................................................... 153 Chapter 1 Introduction This book extends the family of AS–AD models by adding collective bargaining to the labor market. In their standard form, AS–AD models assume competitive markets. However, it is questionable whether labor markets should be treated as competitive markets in economic modeling. Labor markets are subject to substantial legislative regulation in many countries—which by itself might raise doubtsabout whether these markets can be considered competitive—andthey are highly shaped by strategically acting market participants. A prominent example of this strategic interaction is collective bargaining between an employer (or an employers’association)andalaborunionrepresentingitsmembersinnegotiations. Since,asRoth(1985)pointsout,“the‘purebargainingproblem’isattheopposite poleofeconomicphenomenafrom‘perfectcompetition’”,labormarketbargaining is highly relevant in economics and it has been on the agenda since the seminal paper by McDonald and Solow (1981). However, labor market configurations in general and bargaining outcomes in particular are rarely confined to the labor market.Theydirectlyaffectthefunctionalincomedistributionintheeconomy,i.e. thepurchasingpowerofthedifferentincomegroups.Sincewageincomeaccounts for a significant fraction of total consumption, the entire economy (in particular the level of aggregate demand and the nominal price at which it is traded) is affected by changeson the labor market. Therefore,the implications of collective bargainingrequireananalysisoftheinteractingmarketsonamacroeconomiclevel. However,these macroeconomiceffects—also called feedback or spillovers—have beenmainlyignoredbytheliterature.Thisbookisintendedtocontributetoclosing thisgap. ©SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2019 1 O.Claas,EssaysonWageBargaininginDynamicMacroeconomics, LectureNotesinEconomicsandMathematicalSystems689, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-97828-4_1

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