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Essays on the Economic Analysis of Tort Law Essays over de economische analyse van het onrechtmatigedaadsrecht Proefschrift ter verkrijging van de graad van doctor aan de Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam op gezag van de rector magnificus Prof.dr. H.A.P. Pols en volgens besluit van het College voor Promoties De openbare verdediging zal plaatsvinden op dinsdag 8 december 2015 om 14.30 uur door Alice Guerra geboren te Pesaro, Italy Promotiecommissie Promotoren: Prof.mr.dr. L.T. Visscher Prof.dr. F. Parisi Overige leden: Prof.dr. J.M. Klick Prof.dr. E. Santarelli Prof.dr. H.-B. Schäfer Co-promotor: Dr. E. Carbonara This thesis was written as part of the European Doctorate in Law and Economics programme A collaboration between Acknowledgements I would like to express my wholehearted gratitude to my advisors, Professors EmanuelaCarbonara,FrancescoParisiandLouisVisscher,forguidingandsupporting me during these years, for teaching me the love for doing research, for pushing me to aim high, to work hard and to not lose energy especially when facing problems and difficulties. Theyalwaysprovidedusefulcommentsandsupportedmyparticipationin severalconferences. Iwouldliketoexpressmygratitudetotheinnercommitteemem- bers, Professors Jonathan Klick, Enrico Santarelli, Hans-Bernd Schäfer, for having acceptedtoreviewthismanuscriptandfortheircomments. Iwouldalsoliketothank alltheEDLEFacultyattheUniversitiesofBologna,HamburgandRotterdam,fortheir invaluablefeedbackontheentiremanuscript,inseveralconferencesandseminars,and theSONICmeetingattheUniversityofBolognaforthesuggestionsontheexperimen- talprojectinChapter5. IamespeciallygratefultoMariaBigoni,EmanuelaCarbonara, Marco Casari, Luigi Alberto Franzoni, Francesco Parisi, Enrico Santarelli, and Louis Visscher for their suggestions, encouragement, patience and time during the last pe- riod of the PhD, and for their guidance and support in my job applications. I would alsothankMarianneBreijer,JenniferBroocks,AdelaideMancini,FraukeSchmidtand LisaVernitifortheirwarmnessandkindhelpwiththepracticalissues. IwouldliketothankStefaniaBortolotti,forhercommentsandencouragementon the experimental project in Chapter 5, and Professor Andrea Ichino, for his guidance, suggestions and support throughout my Master and PhD studies. Significant parts of Chapter 4 are from a co-authored paper with Barbara Luppi and Francesco Parisi. I will forever be thankful to Barbara, for her sincere advices and suggestions, for her friendship,reassurancesandherconstantpresence. SpecialthanksgotoPaolaBortot, whohasbeenalwaysemphaticandofgreatsupport. IoweaveryspecialacknowledgmenttoEmanuelaCarbonaraandFrancescoParisi. Firstofall,forhavingintroducedmetotheEconomicAnalysisoftheLawwhenIwas a Master student, and for having supported my application to the European Doctorate in Law and Economics. They have always been warm and patient with me, and I always felt really lucky to be their student. I also thank them for so many hours of discussionsandworkonourcoauthoredpaperonwhichChapter2islargelybased. I would like to thank all my friends from the EDLE and the Bologna PhD in Eco- nomics who made life easier and more fun over the last three years. In random or- der, Shilpi, Enmanuel, Diogo, Miriam, Ignacio, Yugank, Maximilian, Stephan, Faiz, Mery Empi (Maria Pia), Kateryna, Marco (Fabbri), Hadar, Dusko, Bernold, Marco (Baudino),Goran,Etleva,Lillis(Francesca),Turis(Giulia),Veronica,Simona,andall the rest. I would like to thank all the PhD students in Economics and the research fellowsattheUniversityofBolognafortheirhelpfulfeedback. Iamespeciallygrate- fultoMin,myglobetrotterfriend,forsharingwithmealltherunning-raceeventsand other sport activities, for all our conversations, and for her positive energy; to Tobias, for our walking discussions along the Nieuwe Maas, for his enjoyable friendship and coauthorship, and for being of great support especially during the last period of the PhD;toDaniel,forourdiscussionsonautomatedtechnologiesandtherelatedliability issues, that ended up in our joint work on which Chapter 3 is largely based, for his sense of humor and critical view, and for his strong encouragements; to Claudio, for sharingwithmethedifficultiesandthejoysofcollectingandanalyzingthedataonthe judicialperformanceofItalianCourts. SpecialandimmensethanksgotoFilippoandMarco(Magnani),thebestwonder- fulfriendsandofficematesIhaveeverhad. DuringthepursuingofourMasterdegree and our PhDs, our friendship has become stronger and stronger, and I will always re- member the joyful time we spent together, always laughing and joking. Infine, vorrei ringraziare Anastasia, Francesca, Irma, e Lucia, per le chiacchere e le passeggiate nel weekend;Blu(Fabio),perchéc’èsempretempoperuncafféinsieme;Chiara,perisuoi milleraccontielasuaallegria;Francesco,specialmenteperilsuosupportonelperiodo deicolloqui;gliamicidellapallavolo,iGymLemoneiFeelTeam,edelCalcettoMix. Un ringraziamento particolare va alla mia famiglia. A papà e mamma, perché mi avete sempre aiutato, sostenuto e incoraggiato in ogni momento. Grazie perché mi avete dato la possibilità di inseguire i miei sogni e insegnato a lottare forte per raggiungerli, senza esitazioni e fino alla fine. Ai miei nonni, che mi hanno sempre riempito di coccole e di amore. Ai miei zii e cugini, che si sono sempre battuti forte peripropridesideri. Il ringraziamento finale è per gli ingegneri che popolano il mio cuore, e che mi hanno sempre aiutato a ritrovare i giusti equilibri, a rimettere le cose nella giusta prospettiva, al primo posto davanti a tutto la famiglia, il divertimento, la felicità e l’amore. Alla mia sorellona, Anna, a cui voglio un bene immenso, con cui ho condi- viso tutte le avventure più spericolate, soprattutto sul Vallons du Pra, e su cui posso sempre contare in ogni istante della giornata. Sono la persona più fortunata al mondo adavereunasorellacosìstupendaepremurosavicinoame. Einfine,aMatteo,chehavissutoconmetuttoilperiodouniversitario,dallalaurea triennale al dottorato. Grazie perché mi hai sempre incoraggiato ad inseguire i miei sogni, e perché sei sempre stato presente, paziente e orgoglioso di me. Grazie per il tuosostegnointuttelemiescelte,anchequandoquestemihannoportatolontanodate. Grazieperquestiannisplendidieentusiasmanti,perituoiabbraccieletuedolcissime parole,chemiriempionoilcuoreemirendonolaragazzapiùfelicealmondo. Contents 1 Introduction 1 2 SharingResidualLiability: “Cheapest-Cost-Avoider”Revisited 21 2.1 ResidualLoss-Sharing: RelatedLiterature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 2.2 TheModel: SettingtheStage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 2.3 OptimalLoss-Sharing: Unbundlingthe“Cheapest-Cost-Avoider” . . . 41 2.3.1 RiskinessoftheActivity: “LeastRisk-Producer” . . . . . . . 41 2.3.2 ValueoftheActivity: “CheapestActivity-Avoider” . . . . . . 44 2.3.3 Trading Off Riskiness and Value of the Activity: “Cheapest Risk-Avoider” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 2.3.4 CoordinatingRisks: “BestMixofActivities” . . . . . . . . . 48 2.3.5 ActivityLevelsandReturntoScale: “BestScaleofActivities” 51 2.3.6 Loss-Sharingvs. Insurance: “BestRisk-Bearer” . . . . . . . 53 2.4 AnalysisandConcludingRemarks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 2.5 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 3 TortLawforRobots 69 3.1 RelatedLiterature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 3.1.1 Individualizedvs.UniformStandardsofNegligence . . . . . 74 3.1.2 SafetyInnovations,AutomatedTechnologiesandLiabilityIssues 75 3.2 AllocatingLiabilitybetweenConsumersandManufacturers . . . . . 81 3.3 TheModel: SettingtheStage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 vii 3.4 CareLevelsandAutomation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 3.5 ActivityLevelsandAutomation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 3.6 ConcludingRemarks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 3.7 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 4 PresumptionofNegligence 107 4.1 LegalPresumptionsandEvidenceTechnology . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 4.1.1 The “Cheapest Evidence-Producer” Criterion in the Existing Literature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 4.1.2 TheNegative-ProofFallacy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 4.1.3 LegalPresumptionsandtheAdoptionofEvidenceTechnology 116 4.2 LegalPresumptionsandtheRobustnessofIncentives: The“BestDiscovery- Bearer” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 4.3 BurdenofProofasanActivityLevelTax . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126 4.4 ConcludingRemarks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 4.5 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 5 MeasuringSocialPreferencesinAccidentPrevention 135 5.1 ExtendedLiteratureReview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 5.1.1 ExperimentalLiteratureonOther-RegardingPreferences . . . 142 5.1.2 NeuroscientificLiteratureonEmphaticBehaviors . . . . . . . 145 5.1.3 ExperimentalLiteratureonAccidentLaw . . . . . . . . . . . 146 5.2 ExperimentalModelandHypotheses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150 5.2.1 SocialProblem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 5.2.2 PrivateProblem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 5.2.3 Hypotheses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 5.3 ExperimentalDesignandParameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156 5.3.1 RolesandTask . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 5.3.2 Parameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 5.3.3 Predictions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 viii

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