TESIS DOCTORAL Essays on Economic Development: Pre-Independent Algeria at the Beginning of the 1900s Autor: Laura Maravall Buckwalter Directores: Markus Lampe Joan R. Rosés Tutor: James Simpson DEPARTAMENTO DE CIENCIAS SOCIALES Universidad Carlos III de Madrid Getafe, Junio 2017 TESIS DOCTORAL ESSAYS ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: PRE-INDEPENDENT ALGERIA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE 1900s Autor: Laura Maravall Buckwalter Directores: Markus Lampe y Joan R. Rosés Tutor: James Simpson Firma del Tribunal Calificador: Firma Presidente: Giovanni Federico Vocal: Ewout Frankema Secretario: Alfonso Herranz Loncán Getafe, 20 de julio de 2017 Contents ListofTables 7 ListofFigures 9 Chapter1 Introduction 15 Chapter2 TheCrowding-OutofSmallFamilyFarmSettlers 37 2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 2.2 LandConcentrationandRuralFailure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 2.3 TheProcessofLandSettlement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 2.4 TheIndigenousAgency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 2.5 DataandEmpiricalModel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 2.6 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 Chapter3 FactorEndowmentsandFarmStructure: ARegionalApproach 61 3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 3.2 NewWorldConditionsinanOldWorldMarket . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 3.3 FarmSizeRestrictions: “Older”vs. “Frontier” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 3.4 TheFactorEndowments: AComparativeApproach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 3.5 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 Chapter4 BuildItandTheyWillCome? 87 4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 4.2 TheRailroadinFrenchAlgeria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 4.3 DataandEmpiricalModel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 4.4 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 Chapter5 Conclusion 111 A Appendix: Chapter2 115 5 6 Contents B Appendix: Chapter3 123 C Appendix: Chapter4 127 D Appendix: General 139 D.1 MainSources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 D.2 VariableDescription . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 D.3 MapsandImages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 D.4 TradeandPopulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150 D.5 SpatialAggregationandChangesinAdministrativeNames . . . . . . . . . . . 159 References 165 List of Tables 1.1 Summaryofdomainproperties,bycategoryoflandormethodofacquisition,bound overtocolonization,Constantine1830-1851 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 2.1 Europeanruralpopulation,FrenchAlgeria1872-1948 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 2.2 Settlerandindigenouslandtenancyperdistrict,Const. in1904/05and1913/14 . . 49 2.3 DeterminantsofEuropeanagriculturalpopulation,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . 55 2.4 DeterminantsofEuropeanagriculturallandconcentration,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 59 3.1 Wheatacreageandtotalproduction,grainexportingcountries1885-1914 . . . . . 66 3.2 Totalruralpopulationdensitiesperdistrict,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . . . . . 67 3.3 Factorpricesandquantities: t-testonmeandifferences,Const. 1904/5and1913/14 77 3.4 Mechanization,Const. 1904/5and1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 3.5 Comparativeanalysis: OuedAthmenia,AïnTaghrout,andOumElBouaghi,1904/05 81 4.1 Basediff-in-diff: settlerpopulationdensity,Const. 1884and1892 . . . . . . . . . 105 4.2 Basediff-in-diff: settlerpopulationdensity,Const. 1884and1897 . . . . . . . . . 106 4.3 Basediff-in-diff: indigenouspopulationdensity,Const. 1884and1892 . . . . . . . 106 4.4 Basediff-in-diff: indigenouspopulationdensity,Const. 1884and1897 . . . . . . . 106 A.1 SummarystatisticsinChapter2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 A.2 Pair-wisecorrelationmatrixinChapter2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 A.3 NumberofsettlersandyearofcreationofsettlementcentersinConstantine . . . . 118 A.4 DeterminantsofEuropeanagriculturalpopulation,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . 119 A.5 DeterminantsofEuropeanagriculturalpopulation,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . 120 A.6 DeterminantsofEuropeanagriculturalpopulation,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . 121 A.7 DeterminantsofEuropeanagriculturalpopulation,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . 122 B.1 SummarystatisticsinChapter3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 B.2 Pair-wisecorrelationmatrixinChapter3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124 C.1 SummarystatisticsinChapter4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 7 8 ListofTables C.2 Pair-wisecorrelationmatrixinChapter4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 C.3 Summary statistics of elevation and t-test mean difference between treated and controlgroupsinChapter4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 C.4 Diff-in-diff: effectsofrailwayaccessonsettlerpopulationdensity,Const. 1884-1892132 C.5 Diff-in-diff: effects of railway access on indigenous population density, Const. 1884-1892 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 C.6 Diff-in-diff: effectsofrailwayaccessonsettlerpopulationdensity,Const. 1884-1897133 C.7 Diff-in-diff: effects of railway access on indigenous population density, Const. 1884-1897 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 C.8 Diff-in-diff: effectsofrailwayaccessonsettlerpopulationdensity(indden<2),Const. 1884-1892 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 C.9 Diff-in-diff: effectsofrailwayaccessonindigenouspopulationdensity(indden<2), Const. 1884-1892 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 C.10 Diff-in-diff: effectsofrailwayaccessonsettlerpopulationdensity(indden<2),Const. 1884-1897 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 C.11 Diff-in-diff: effectsofrailwayaccessonindigenouspopulationdensity(indden<2), Const. 1884-1897 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 C.12 Diff-in-diff (IV): effects of railway access on settler and indigenous population density,Const. 1884-1892 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136 C.13 Diff-in-diff (IV): effects of railway access on settler and indigenous population density,Const. 1884-1897 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136 C.14 Diff-in-diff: effect of railway access on settler and indigenous population density, economicactivityredistribution,Const. 1884-1892 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 C.15 Diff-in-diff: effect of railway access on settler and indigenous population density, economicactivityredistribution,Const. 1884-1897 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 D.1 Populationdensityinsquarekilometres: S.Africa,S.Rhodesia,Kenya,andN.Algeria153 D.2 SummarystatisticsinAppendixD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 D.3 Listoflocalitiesofcommunesormunicipalitiesthatchangednames . . . . . . . . 164 List of Figures 1.1 MapofFrenchoccupationinAlgeriaafter1830 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 1.2 Lightdensityatnightinyear2013andaveragepropertysizein1913/14,Constantine 21 1.3 Termsoftradeandwineandwheatprices,FrenchAlgeria1870-1913 . . . . . . . 25 1.4 Cultivatedareaofwineandwheat,FrenchAlgeria1875-1913 . . . . . . . . . . . 25 1.5 Exportbasketandpriceindex,FrenchAlgeria1873-1913 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 1.6 Productionofwineandwheatperhectare,FrenchAlgeria1875-1913 . . . . . . . 27 1.7 Exportdiversification,FrenchAlgeria1896-1926 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 1.8 MapofConstantineatthebeginningofthe1900s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 2.1 Totalruralindigenousandsettlerpopulation,FrenchAlgeria1872-1936 . . . . . . 39 2.2 Europeanruralpopulationandpropertysizedistribution,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 42 2.3 Europeanpropertysizeandyear ofcreationofsettlementcenterspermunicipality, Const. in1904/05and1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 2.4 Density of settlement centers and year of creation of settlement centers, Const. 1904/13and1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 2.5 Shareofowners,holdingssize,shareofleaders,andsizeofPrivateGrossIncome, Const. 1895-1915 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 2.6 Yearofcreationofasettlementcenterandcropsuitabilitypermunicipality,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 3.1 Totalwheatacreage,Argentina,Australia,Canada,andAlgeria,1885-1914 . . . . 63 3.2 Totalwheatacreageinhectarespermunicipality,Const. 1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . 69 3.3 IndigenousandEuropeanplow(photo)inFrenchAlgeria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 3.4 Propertysizeandyearofcreationofsettlementcenters,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 73 3.5 Share of properties (per size and district) and average property size density (per periodofsettlement),Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 3.6 Shareofsettler-ownedsmallproperties,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . . . . . . . 74 3.7 Shareandextensionofthewheat-cultivatedareaandviticulturebyyearofcreation ofsettlementcenters,Const. 1904/5and1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 9 10 ListofFigures 3.8 Indigenousruralpopulationpersuitablehectare,Const. 1904/05 . . . . . . . . . . 82 3.9 Mules-to-oxenratio(settlerowned),Const. 1904/05 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 4.1 Totalruralindigenousandsettlerpopulation,FrenchAlgeria1872-1936 . . . . . . 89 4.2 MapofConstantineinthe1900s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 4.3 Selectedregionalsample: fullandrestricted,Const. 1884and1897 . . . . . . . . . 100 A.1 Boxplotoftheaveragepropertysize(byyearofsettlement),Const. in1904/05and 1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 B.1 Wintercerealyields,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 B.2 Indigenouswagesperday,Const. 1904/05 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 B.3 Indigenouslaborperday,Const. 1904/05and1913/14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126 C.1 Meanandconfidenceintervalsofsettlerpopulationdensity(bytreatedandcontrol groups),Const. 1884 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 C.2 Mean and confidence intervals of indigenous population density (by treated and controlgroups),Const. 1884 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 C.3 Boxplotofsettlerpopulationdensity(bytreatedandcontrolgroups),Const. 1884 130 C.4 Boxplotofindigenouspopulationdensity(bytreatedandcontrolgroups),Const. 1884130 C.5 MapofrailwayinstrumentallinesinConstantine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 C.6 PictureoftherailwayinFrenchAlgeria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 D.1 ColonialadministrativeboundariesinConstantineoverlappedtocurrentaerialimage148 D.2 ExampleofapartConstantine’sdigitizedmap . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 D.3 Zoom-inConstantine’sdigitizedmap: douarsfrom1863sénatus-consulte . . . . . 149 D.4 Totalpopulationestimates,FrenchAlgeria1872-1936 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 D.5 Totalindigenousandsettlerpopulation,FrenchAlgeria1872-1936 . . . . . . . . . 156 D.6 Naturalpopulationgrowthrates,FrenchAlgeria1872-1914 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 D.7 Muslimandtotalpopulationgrowth,Algeria1872-1914 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 D.8 Aggregatingcurrentmunicipalitiesinto1949boundariesinConstantine . . . . . . 159
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