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ERIC EJ795850: American Marriage in the Early Twenty-First Century PDF

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03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 33 American Marriage in the Early Twenty-First Century Andrew J. Cherlin Summary During the past century the U.S. family system has seen vast changes—in marriage and divorce rates, cohabitation, childbearing, sexual behavior, and women’s work outside the home. Andrew Cherlin reviews these historic changes, noting that marriage remains the most common living arrangement for raising children, but that children, especially poor and minority children, are increasingly likely to grow up in single-parent families and to experience family instability. Cherlin describes the economic and cultural forces that have transformed family life. Job mar- ket changes have drawn married women into the work force and deprived less-educated men of the blue-collar jobs by which they traditionally supported their families. And effective contra- ception and legalized abortion have eroded the norm of marriage before childbearing. Cherlin notes that sentiment in favor of marriage appears to be stronger in the United States than in other developed countries. The share of U.S. adults who are likely to marry is higher, but so is the share likely to divorce. U.S. children are also more likely to live in single-parent families at some time in their childhood. Although nearly all Americans, whether poor or well-to-do, hold to marriage as an ideal, today marriage is increasingly optional. To a greater extent than ever before, individuals can choose whether to form a family on their own, in a cohabiting relationship, or in a marriage. Given U.S. patterns of swift transitions into and out of marriage and high rates of single parent- hood, American policymakers eager to promote marriage are unlikely to be able to raise U.S. family stability to levels typical of other developed countries. Consequently, a family policy that relies too heavily on marriage will not help the many children destined to live in single-parent and cohabiting families—many of them poor—during their formative years. Assistance must be directed to needy families, regardless of their household structure. Policymakers must craft a careful balance of marriage-based and marriage-neutral programs to provide adequate support to American children. www.futureofchildren.org Andrew J. Cherlin is Griswold Professor of Public Policy at Johns Hopkins University. VOL. 15 / NO. 2 / FALL 2005 33 03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 34 Andrew J. Cherlin T he decline of American marriage occur—for men and women from 1890 to has been a favorite theme of so- 2002. In 1890 the median age was relatively cial commentators, politicians, high, about twenty-six for men and twenty- and academics over the past few two for women. During the first half of the decades. Clearly the nation has twentieth century the typical age at mar- seen vast changes in its family system—in riage dropped—gradually at first, and then marriage and divorce rates, cohabitation, precipitously after World War II. By the childbearing, sexual behavior, and women’s 1950s it had reached historic lows: roughly work outside the home. Marriage is less domi- twenty-three for men and twenty for nant as a social institution in the United States women. Many people still think of the 1950s than at any time in history. Alternative path- as the standard by which to compare today’s ways through adulthood—childbearing out- families, but as figure 1 shows, the 1950s side of marriage, living with a partner without were the anomaly: during that decade young ever marrying, living apart but having intimate adults married earlier than ever before or relationships—are more acceptable and feasi- since. Moreover, nearly all young adults— ble than ever before. But as the new century about 95 percent of whites and 88 percent begins, it is also clear that despite the jeremi- of African Americans—eventually married.1 ads, marriage has not faded away. In fact, During the 1960s, however, the median age given the many alternatives to marriage now at marriage began to climb, returning to and available, what may be more remarkable is not then exceeding that prevalent at the start of the decline in marriage but its persistence. the twentieth century. Women, in particular, What is surprising is not that fewer people are marrying substantially later today than marry, but rather that so manystill marry and they have at any time for which data are that the desire to marry remains widespread. available. Although marriage has been transformed, it is still meaningful. In this article I review the What is more, unmarried young adults are changes in American marriage, discuss their leading very different lives today than their causes, compare marriage in the United States earlier counterparts once did. The late- with marriage in the rest of the developed marrying young women and men of the early world, and comment on how the transforma- 1900s typically lived at home before marriage tion of marriage is likely to affect American or paid for room and board in someone else’s children in the early twenty-first century. home. Even when they were courting, they lived apart from their romantic interests and, Changes in the Life Course at least among women, the majority ab- To illuminate what has happened to Ameri- stained from sexual intercourse until they can marriage, I begin by reviewing the great were engaged or married. They were usually demographic changes of the past century, in- employed, and they often turned over much cluding changes in age at marriage, the share of their paycheck to their parents to help rear of Americans ever marrying, cohabitation, younger siblings. Few went to college; most nonmarital births, and divorce. had not even graduated from high school. As recently as 1940, only about one-third of Recent Trends adults in their late twenties had graduated Figure 1 shows the median age at mar- from high school and just one in sixteen had riage—the age by which half of all marriages graduated from college.2 34 THE FUTURE OF CHILDREN 03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 35 American Marriage in the Early Twenty-First Century Figure 1. Median Age at Marriage, 1890–2002 Age (years) 28 Women 27 Men 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2002 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, “Estimated Median Age at First Marriage, by Sex: 1890 to Present,” 2003, www.census.gov/popula- tion/socdemo/hh-fam/tabMS-2.pdf (accessed July 23, 2004). Today’s unmarried young adults are much ships to last long—about half end, through more likely to be living independently, in marriage or a breakup, within a year.5 their own apartments. Five out of six young adults graduate from high school, and about Despite the drop in marriage and the rise in one-third complete college.3 They are more cohabitation, there has been no explosion of likely than their predecessors to spend their nonmarital births in the United States. Birth wages on themselves. Their sexual and inti- rates have fallen for unmarried women of all mate lives are also very different from those reproductive ages and types of marital status, of earlier generations. The vast majority of including adolescents. But because birth unmarried young adults have had sexual in- rates have fallen faster for married women tercourse. In fact, most women who married than for unmarried women, a larger share of during the 1990s first had intercourse five women who give birth are unmarried. In years or more before marrying.4 1950, only 4 percent of all births took place outside of marriage. By 1970, the figure was About half of young adults live with a partner 11 percent; by 1990, 28 percent; and by 2003, before marrying. Cohabitation is far more 35 percent. In recent years, then, about one- common today than it was at any time in the third of all births have been to unmarried early- or mid-twentieth century (although it women—and that is the statistic that has gen- was not unknown among the poor and has erated the most debate.6 Of further concern been a part of the European family system in to many observers is that about half of all un- past centuries). Cohabitation today is a diverse, married first-time mothers are adolescents. evolving phenomenon. For some people, it is a Academics, policymakers, and private citi- prelude to marriage or a trial marriage. For zens alike express unease about the negative others, a series of cohabiting relationships may consequences of adolescent childbearing, be a long-term substitute for marriage. (Thirty- both for the parents and for the children, al- nine percent of cohabiters in 1995 lived with though whether those consequences are due children of one of the partners.) It is still rare more to poverty or to teen childbearing per in the United States for cohabiting relation- se remains controversial. VOL. 15 / NO. 2 / FALL 2005 35 03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 36 Andrew J. Cherlin When people think of nonmarital or “out-of- to the Census Bureau, it is hard to determine wedlock” childbearing, they picture a single how reliable these figures are. The bureau parent. Increasingly, however, nonmarital reports, however, that in 2000, 600,000 births are occurring to cohabiting couples— households were maintained by same-sex about 40 percent according to the latest esti- partners. A substantial share—33 percent of mate.7One study of unmarried women giving female partnerships and 22 percent of male birth in urban hospitals found that about half partnerships—reported the presence of chil- were living with the fathers of their children. dren of one or both of the partners.10 As rates of entry into marriage were declining When people think of “out in the last half of the twentieth century, rates of exit via divorce were increasing—as they of wedlock” childbearing, have been at least since the Civil War era. At they picture a single parent. the beginning of the twentieth century, about 10 percent of all marriages ended in divorce, Increasingly, however, and the figure rose to about one-third for nonmarital births are marriages begun in 1950.11 But the rise was particularly sharp during the 1960s and 1970s, occurring to cohabiting when the likelihood that a married couple couples. would divorce increased substantially. Since the 1980s the divorce rate has remained the same or declined slightly. According to the Couples in these “fragile families,” however, best estimate, 48 percent of American mar- rarely marry. One year after the birth of the riages, at current rates, would be expected to child, only 15 percent had married, while 26 end in divorce within twenty years.12 A few percent had broken up.8 percent more would undoubtedly end in di- vorce after that. So it is accurate to say that Marriage was not an option for lesbians and unless divorce risks change, about half of all gay men in any U.S. jurisdiction until Massa- marriages today would end in divorce.(There chusetts legalized same-sex marriage in 2004. are important class and racial-ethnic differ- Cohabitation, however, is common in this ences, which I will discuss below.) group. In a 1992 national survey of sexual be- havior, 44 percent of women and 28 percent The combination of more divorce and a of men who said they had engaged in homo- greater share of births to unmarried women sexual sex in the previous year reported that has increased the proportion of children who they were cohabiting.9 The Census Bureau, are not living with two parents. Figure 2 which began collecting statistics on same-sex tracks the share of children living, respec- partnerships in 1990, does not directly ask tively, with two parents, with one parent, and whether a person is in a romantic same-sex with neither parent between 1968 and 2002. relationship; rather, it gives people the option It shows a steady decline in the two-parent of saying that a housemate is an “unmarried share and a corresponding increase in the partner” without specifying the nature of the one-parent share. In 2002, 69 percent of chil- partnership. Because some people may not dren were living with two parents, including wish to openly report a same-sex relationship families where one biological (or adoptive) 36 THE FUTURE OF CHILDREN 03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 37 American Marriage in the Early Twenty-First Century Figure 2. Living Arrangements of U.S. Children, 1968–2002 Percent 100 Two parents 90 One parent 80 Neither 70 parent 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, “Living Arrangements of Children under 18 Years Old: 1960 to Present,” 2003, www.census.gov/popu- lation/socdemo/hh-fam/tabCH-1.pdf (accessed July 23, 2004). parent had remarried. Not counting step- or ents form and dissolve marriages and part- adoptive families, 62 percent, according to nerships. Although children are less likely to the most recent estimate in 1996, were living lose a parent through death today than they with two biological parents.13 Twenty-seven once were, the rise in nonmarital births and percent of American children were living in divorce has more than compensated for with one parent; another 4 percent, with nei- the decline in parental death.16 From the ther parent.14 Most in the latter group were adult perspective, the overall drop in birth living with relatives, such as grandparents. rates and the increases in nonmarital child- bearing and divorce mean that, at any one Where do all these changes leave U.S. mar- time, fewer adults are raising children than in riage patterns and children’s living arrange- the past. ments in the early twenty-first century? As demographers have noted, many of the above Class and Racial-Ethnic Divergence trends have slowed over the past decade, sug- To complete this portrait of American mar- gesting a “quieting” of family change.15 Mar- riage one must take note of class and racial- riage remains the most common living ethnic variations, for the overall statistics arrangement for raising children. At any one mask contrasting trends in the lives of chil- time, most American children are being dren from different racial-ethnic groups and raised by two parents. Marriage, however, is different social classes. In fact, over the past less dominant in parents’ and children’s lives few decades, the family lives of children have than it once was. Children are more likely to been diverging across class and racial-ethnic experience life in a single-parent family, lines.17 A half-century ago, the family struc- either because they are born to unmarried tures of poor and non-poor children were mothers or because their parents divorce. similar: most children lived in two-parent And children are more likely to experience families. In the intervening years, the in- instability in their living arrangements as par- crease in single-parent families has been VOL. 15 / NO. 2 / FALL 2005 37 03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 38 Andrew J. Cherlin greater among the poor and near-poor.18 encouraged women to invest in education Women at all levels of education have been and careers. Those who make these invest- postponing marriage, but less-educated ments tend to delay childbearing and mar- women have postponed childbearing less riage, and they are more attractive in the than better-educated women have. The di- marriage market.21 Put another way, women vorce rate in recent decades appears to have at the top and bottom of the educational dis- held steady or risen for women without a col- tribution may be evolving different repro- lege education but fallen for college-edu- ductive strategies. Among the less educated, early childbearing outside of marriage has become more common, as the ideal of find- The divorce rate in recent ing a stable marriage and then having chil- dren has weakened, whereas among the bet- decades appears to have held ter educated, the strategy is to delay steady or risen for women childbearing and marriage until after invest- ing in schooling and careers. without a college education but fallen for college-educated One result of these developments has been growth in better-educated, dual-earner mar- women. ried-couple families. Since the 1970s these families have enjoyed much greater income growth than have breadwinner-homemaker cated women.19 As a result, differences in families or single-parent families. What we family structure according to social class are see today, then, is a growing group of more much more pronounced than they were fifty fortunate children who tend to live with two years ago. parents whose incomes are adequate or ample and a growing group of less fortunate Consider the share of mothers who are un- children who live with financially pressed sin- married. Throughout the past half-century, gle parents. Indeed, both groups at the ex- single motherhood has been more common tremes—the most and the least fortunate among women with less education than children—have been expanding over the past among well-educated women. But the gap few decades, while the group of children in has grown over time. In 1960, 14 percent of the middle has been shrinking.22 mothers in the bottom quarter of the educa- tional distribution were unmarried, as The family lives of African American children against 4.5 percent of mothers in the top have also been diverging from those of white quarter—a difference of 9.5 percentage non-Hispanic children and, to a lesser extent, points. By 2000, the corresponding figures Hispanic children. African American family were 43 percent for the less-educated moth- patterns were influenced by the institution of ers and 7 percent for the more educated—a slavery, in which marriage was not legal, and gap of 36 percentage points.20Sara McLana- perhaps by African cultural traditions, in han argues that societal changes such as which extended families had more influence greater opportunities for women in the labor and power compared with married couples. market, a resurgence of feminist ideology, As a result, the proportion of African Ameri- and the advent of effective birth control have can children living with single parents has 38 THE FUTURE OF CHILDREN 03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 39 American Marriage in the Early Twenty-First Century been greater than that of white children for a state. So it is likely that more Puerto Rican century or more.23 Nevertheless, African “single” mothers than African American sin- American women married at an earlier age gle mothers are living with partners. than did white women through the first half of the twentieth century.24 Explaining the Trends Most analysts would agree that both eco- But since the 1960s, the decline of marriage nomic and cultural forces have been driving as a social institution has been more pro- the changes in American family life over the nounced among African Americans than past half-century. Analysts disagree about the among whites. The best recent estimates relative weight of the two, but I will assume suggest that at current rates only about two- that both have been important. thirds of African American women would be expected ever to marry.25 Correspondingly, Economic Influences the share of African American children born Two changes in the U.S. labor market have outside of marriage has risen to 69 percent.26 had major implications for families.31 First, In fact, about three-fifths of African Ameri- demand for workers increased in the service can children may never live in a married- sector, where women had gained a foothold couple family while growing up, as against earlier in the century while they were shut one-fifth of white children.27 The greater out of manufacturing jobs. The rising de- role of extended kin in African American mand encouraged women to get more educa- families may compensate for some of this dif- tion and drew married women into the work- ference, but the figures do suggest a strik- force—initially, those whose children were ingly reduced role of marriage among school-aged, and later, those with younger African Americans. children. Single mothers had long worked, but in 1996 major welfare reform legislation The family patterns of the Hispanic popula- further encouraged work by setting limits on tion are quite diverse. Mexican Americans how long a parent could receive public assis- have higher birth rates than all other major tance. The increase in women’s paid work, in ethnic groups, and a greater share of Mexican turn, increased demand for child care ser- American births than of African American vices and greatly increased the number of births is to married women.28 Moreover, children cared for outside their homes. Mexican American families are more likely to include extended kin.29 Consequently, Mexi- The second work-related development was can Americans have more marriage-based, the decline, starting in the 1970s, in job op- multigenerational households than do portunities for men without a college educa- African Americans. Puerto Ricans, the sec- tion. The flip side of the growth of the service ond largest Hispanic ethnic group and the sector was the decline in manufacturing. As most economically disadvantaged, have rates factory jobs moved overseas and industrial of nonmarital childbearing second only to productivity increased through automated African Americans.30 But Puerto Ricans, like equipment and computer-based controls, de- many Latin Americans, have a tradition of mand fell for blue-collar jobs that high consensual unions, in which a man and school–educated men once took in hopes of woman live together as married but without supporting their families. As a result, average approval of the church or a license from the wages in these jobs fell. Even during the VOL. 15 / NO. 2 / FALL 2005 39 03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 40 Andrew J. Cherlin prosperous 1990s, the wages of men without represent their views. But as the forces of law a college degree hardly rose.32The decline in and tradition weakened in the early decades job opportunities had two effects. It de- of the twentieth century, the newer, compan- creased the attractiveness of non-college- ionate marriage arose. It was founded on the educated men on the marriage market— importance of the emotional ties between made them less “marriageable” in William wife and husband—their companionship, Julius Wilson’s terms—and thus helped drive friendship, and romantic love. Spouses drew marriage rates down among the less well edu- satisfaction from performing the social roles cated.33It also undermined the single-earner of breadwinner, homemaker, and parent. “family wage system” that had been the ideal After World War II, the spouses in compan- in the first half of the twentieth century and ionate marriages, much to everyone’s sur- increased the incentive for wives to take pay- prise, produced the baby boom: they had ing jobs. more children per family than any other gen- eration in the twentieth century. The typical Cultural Developments age at marriage fell to its lowest point since at But economic forces, important as they were, least the late nineteenth century, and the could not have caused all the changes in fam- share of all people who ever married rose. ily life noted above. Declines in the availabil- The decade of the 1950s was the high point ity of marriageable men, for example, were of the breadwinner-homemaker, two-, three-, not large enough to account, alone, for falling or even four-child family. marriage rates among African Americans.34 Accompanying the economic changes was a Starting around 1960, marriage went through broad cultural shift among Americans that a second transition. The typical age at mar- eroded the norms both of marriage before riage returned to, and then exceeded, the childbearing and of stable, lifelong bonds high levels of the early 1900s. Many young after marriage. adults stayed single into their mid- to late twenties or even their thirties, some complet- Culturally, American marriage went through ing college educations and starting careers. two broad transitions during the twentieth Most women continued working for pay after century. The first was described famously by they married. Cohabitation outside marriage sociologist Ernest Burgess as a change “from became much more acceptable. Childbearing institution to companionship.”35 In institu- outside marriage became less stigmatized. tional marriage, the family was held together The birth rate resumed its long decline and by the forces of law, tradition, and religious sank to an all-time low. Divorce rates rose to belief. The husband was the unquestioned unprecedented levels. Same-sex partnerships head of the household. Until the late nine- found greater acceptance as well. teenth century, husband and wife became one legal person when they married—and During this transition, companionate mar- that person was the husband. A wife could riage waned as a cultural ideal. On the rise not sue in her own name, and her husband were forms of family life that Burgess had not could dispose of her property as he wished. foreseen, particularly marriages in which Until 1920 women could not vote; rather, it both husband and wife worked outside the was assumed that almost all women would home and single-parent families that came marry and that their husbands’ votes would into being through divorce or through child- 40 THE FUTURE OF CHILDREN 03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 41 American Marriage in the Early Twenty-First Century bearing outside marriage. The roles of wives and deeper intimacy through more open and husbands became more flexible and communication and mutually shared disclo- open to negotiation. And a more individualis- sures about feelings with their partners. tic perspective on the rewards of marriage They may insist on changes in a relationship took root. When people evaluated how satis- that no longer provides them with individu- fied they were with their marriages, they alized rewards. They are less likely than in began to think more in terms of developing the past to focus on the rewards gained by their own sense of self and less in terms of fulfilling socially valued roles such as the gaining satisfaction through building a family and playing the roles of spouse and parent. Marriage now exists in The result was a transition from the compan- ionate marriage to what we might call the in- a very different context dividualized marriage.36 than it did in the past. The Current Context of Marriage Today it is but one among To be sure, the “companionate marriage” and many options available to the “individualized marriage” are what sociol- ogists refer to as ideal types. In reality, the adults choosing how to shape distinctions between the two are less sharp their personal lives. than I have drawn them. Many marriages, for example, still follow the companionate ideal. Nevertheless, as a result of the economic and cultural trends noted above, marriage now good parent or the loyal and supportive exists in a very different context than it did in spouse. As a result of this changing context, the past. Today it is but one among many op- social norms about family and personal life tions available to adults choosing how to count for less than they did during the hey- shape their personal lives. More forms of day of companionate marriage and far less marriage and more alternatives to it are so- than during the era of institutional marriage. cially acceptable. One may fit marriage into Instead, personal choice and self-develop- life in many ways: by first living with a part- ment loom large in people’s construction of ner, or sequentially with several partners, their marital careers. without explicitly considering whether to marry; by having children with one’s eventual But if marriage is now optional, it remains spouse or with someone else before marrying; highly valued. As the practical importance of by (in some jurisdictions) marrying someone marriage has declined, its symbolic impor- of the same gender and building a shared tance has remained high and may even have marital world with few guidelines to rely on. increased.37 At its height as an institution in Within marriage, roles are more flexible and the mid-twentieth century, marriage was al- negotiable, although women still do more of most required of anyone wishing to be con- the household work and childrearing. sidered a respectable adult. Having children outside marriage was stigmatized, and a per- The rewards that people seek through mar- son who remained single through adulthood riage and other close relationships have also was suspect. But as other lifestyle options be- shifted. Individuals aim for personal growth came more feasible and acceptable, the need VOL. 15 / NO. 2 / FALL 2005 41 03 FOC 15-2 fall05 Cherlin.qxp 8/4/2005 12:10 PM Page 42 Andrew J. Cherlin to be married diminished. Nevertheless, raise our child together. But we would marriage remains the preferred option for not get married until we could afford to most people. Now, however, it is not a step get a house and pay all the utility bills on taken lightly or early in young adulthood. time. I have this thing about utility bills. Being “ready” to marry may mean that a cou- Our gas and electric got turned off all the ple has lived together to test their compati- time when we were growing up and we bility, saved for a down payment on a house, wanted to make sure that would not hap- or possibly had children to judge how well pen when we got married. That was our biggest worry. . . . We worked together and built up savings and then we got Women of all classes value married. It’s forever for us. companionship in marriage: The poor, the near-poor, and the middle class shared lives, joint also seem to view the emotional rewards of marriage in similar terms. Women of all childrearing, friendship, classes value companionship in marriage: romantic love, respect, and shared lives, joint childrearing, friendship, romantic love, respect, and fair treatment. fair treatment. For example, in a survey conducted in twenty-one cities, African Americans were as likely as non-Hispanic whites to rate highly they parent together. Once the foundation of the emotional benefits of marriage, such as adult family life, marriage is now often the friendship, sex life, leisure time, and a sense capstone. of security; and Hispanics rated these bene- fits somewhat higher than either group.39 Although some observers believe that a Moreover, in the “fragile families” study of “culture of poverty” has diminished the value unmarried low- and moderate-income cou- of marriage among poor Americans, research ples who had just had a child together, Mar- suggests that the poor, the near-poor, and the cia Carlson, Sara McLanahan, and Paula middle class conceive of marriage in similar England found that mothers and fathers who terms. Although marriage rates are lower scored higher on a scale of relationship sup- among the poor than among the middle class, portiveness were substantially more likely to marriage as an ideal remains strong for both be married one year later.40Among the items groups. Ethnographic studies show that many in the scale were whether the partner “is fair low-income individuals subscribe to the cap- and willing to compromise” during a dis- stone view of marriage. In a study of low- agreement, “expresses affection or love,” “en- income families that I carried out with courages or helps,” and does not insult or several collaborators, a twenty-seven-year-old criticize. In a 2001 national survey of young mother told an ethnographer:38 adults aged twenty to twenty-nine conducted by the Gallup Organization for the National I was poor all my life and so was Regi- Marriage Project, 94 percent of never- nald. When I got pregnant, we agreed we married respondents agreed that “when you would marry some day in the future be- marry, you want your spouse to be your soul cause we loved each other and wanted to mate, first and foremost.” Only 16 percent 42 THE FUTURE OF CHILDREN

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