As they think about their STATS IN BRIEF future, high school students can face a wide range of education and career choices. How do they choose? Who helps U.S. DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION JANUARY 2018 NCES 2018-088 young people make their educational and career choices? In particular, to what extent do schools help students with these decisions? Given the importance High School of education and career decisions for life success, these are not idle questions. A significant amount of research has been Students’ Views done on this topic, most of which has been conducted within the framework of “social cognitive career theory” on Who Influences (SCCT). SCCT focuses on individuals’ internal, cognitive processes (e.g., achievement, expectations) and how those cognitions interact with external, Their Thinking about contextual factors (e.g., social supports and barriers) to influence career decisions and development (Lent, Brown, and Education and Careers Hackett 1994, 2000). This research has focused largely on cognitive factors, confirming the important role of students achievement and abilities in making education and career decisions (Adragna 2009; Schnabel et al. 2002; Tracey and AUTHOR PROJECT OFFICER Ceylan Oymak Lisa Hudson Hopkins 2001), as well as the role of NuCoreVision, Inc. National Center for Education Statistics related feelings of self-efficacy (Ali and Saunders 2009; Balsamo, Lauriola, and Saggino 2013; Creed, Patton, and Prideaux 2006; Gushue 2006; Lease 2006; Mihyeon 2011; Rogers and Creed 2011). Some SCCT research has focused on external barriers to career development, noting in particular the role of socioeconomic and cultural barriers Statistics in Brief This Statistics in Brief was prepared for the National publications present descriptive data in Center for Education Statistics under Contract No. tabular formats to provide useful information to a broad audience, ED-IES-12-D-002/006 with the American Institutes for Research. Mention of trade names, commercial including members of the general public. They address simple and products, or organizations does not imply topical issues and questions. They do not investigate more complex endorsement by the U.S. Government. hypotheses, account for inter-relationships among variables, or support causal inferences. We encourage readers who are interested in more complex questions and in-depth analysis to explore other NCES resources, including publications, online data tools, and public- and restricted-use datasets. See nces.ed.gov and references noted in the body of this document for more information. 1 each domain and for a comparison of your parents, another family member in lowering students’ expectations or influences across the two domains. (aggregated into family members for deferring their decisions (Fouad and The data also enable an examination this Brief); yourself, no one in particular Byars-Winston 2005; Grodsky and of whether students’ reports on who (aggregated into myself)2; a teacher; Riegle-Crumb 2010; Gushue, Clarke, has the most influence in each domain your friends; your employer, a military and Pantzer 2006). vary by students’ socioeconomic recruiter, a coach or scout (aggregated Another area of SCCT research focuses status1 (SES). into a single category); or don’t know. on the factors that support students’ The question about careers included It should be noted, however, that career decisionmaking. Research on this an option for a high school counselor, this Brief provides a relatively simple topic has looked at the role of parents, and the question about postsecondary descriptive analysis, excluding other families, teachers, counselors, mentors, education included options for a high potential factors that research has or role models in general as supportive school counselor and a counselor hired by shown influence students’ decisions influences; this research has typically your family to help prepare you for college in combination with or in addition to found that each of these groups has admission (aggregated into counselor). the factors examined here, such as a positive influence on students’ students’ post-high school intentions To examine whether students’ reports education and career decisionmaking and race/ethnicity (e.g., Fouad and on who has the most influence on their (Bennett 2007; Borghans, Golsteyn, Byars-Winston 2005; Lent, Brown, and thinking vary by SES, students were and Stenberg 2015; Constantine 2005; Hackett 1994). As with any correlational classified into three groups based on Gushue and Whitson 2006; Hargrove, study, the reader should not infer their family’s SES ranking: the highest Inman, and Crane 2005; Loera et al. causation from simple relationships. 20 percent of SES scores (high SES), 2013; Mihyeon 2010). These studies the middle 60 percent of SES scores do not, however, reveal the relative Data, Measures, and Methods (middle SES), and the lowest 20 percent influence these different groups have on students. What role, for example, do HSLS:09 is a nationally representative, of SES scores (low SES). school staff play compared to parents longitudinal study of more than 23,000 Comparisons made in this Brief were or other family members? One study students who were first surveyed in fall tested for statistical significance at does provide a hint: Research by Otto 2009 when they were in the ninth grade the p < .05 level to ensure that the (2000) found that most high school and again in spring 2012, when most differences were larger than might be juniors relied on their mothers for were in the eleventh grade. This Brief expected due to sampling variation. career planning advice. excludes private school students and With few exceptions, the report looks at the 20,700 public high school Many aspects of the SCCT framework discusses only those differences that students who responded to the 2012 have been well explored in the met the .05 significance level. Where survey. The Brief examines students’ literature (e.g., Creed, Patton, and nonsignificant findings are mentioned, answers to the following questions in Prideaux 2006; Gushue 2006; Lent, they are referred to as findings the HSLS:09 first follow-up survey: Brown, and Hackett 1994, 2000; Rogers with no measurable differences. No and Creed 2011). This Brief uses data Who has had the most influence on adjustments were made for multiple from the High School Longitudinal your thinking about education after comparisons. More information on Study of 2009 (HSLS:09) to explore the high school, if anyone? HSLS:09 and on the variables, sample, less well-developed area of relative and analysis used here is available in influences in students’ decisionmaking Who has had the most influence the Technical Notes section at the end by quantitatively examining multiple on your thinking about careers, if of the Brief. anyone? sources of influence on students’ thinking about two major life For both questions, students selected 2 The rationale for combining “no one in particular” decisions: their future education and with “yourself” is that if no one influenced a student’s one of the following response options: their career choices. As discussed decisionmaking, then by default the student was his or her own main influence. For percentages of students below, the HSLS:09 data allow for an who selected each of these response alternatives, see examination of who students believe 1 SES is a composite measure based on parents’ education, https://nces.ed.gov/surveys/ctes/tables/h167.asp and parents’ occupation, and family income. https://nces.ed.gov/surveys/ctes/tables/h168.asp. most influences their thinking in 2 STUDY QUESTIONS KEY FINDINGS z Family members were most often z Students at each SES level most reported as the main influence often reported family members 1 Who has the most for students’ thinking about and myself as their main influence influence on students’ education after high school, for thinking about both further thinking about followed by myself; school staff education and careers. However, education after high (teacher or counselor) were less high-SES students reported more school? frequently reported as the main often than low-SES students influence (figure 1). that they were their own main influence, while low-SES students z Family members and myself were reported more often than most often reported as the main high-SES students that teachers influence for students’ thinking or counselors were their main about careers, with school staff influence. High-SES students also 2 less frequently reported as the Who has the most reported more often than low-SES main influence (figure 2). influence on students’ students that family members were thinking about their main influence for thinking z Family members more often possible careers? about college (figures 4 and 5). were reported as students’ main influence for thinking about postsecondary education than for their thinking about careers, while students reported relying on themselves more when thinking about careers than when thinking 3 about postsecondary education Do students report (figure 3). the same main source of information for education after high school and for careers? 4 Do students from different socioeconomic backgrounds report the same main sources of information for their education and career choices? 3 1 Who has the most influence on students’ thinking about education after high school? According to 2009 public school ninth- influenced their thinking on this issue that the most influence on their graders in 2012, family members was (figure 1). The next most commonly thinking about education after high the group that most often had the reported most influential source was school came from any one of these most influence on their thinking about myself (34 percent), while nonfamily sources: teacher; counselor; friends; or education after high school. Almost members—including school staff— employer, military recruiter, coach, or half of the students (49 percent) were reported less frequently. No more scout. reported that family members most than 5 percent of students indicated WHO INFLUENCES STUDENTS’ EDUCATION DECISIONS FIGURE 1. Percentage distribution of fall 2009 public school ninth-graders as of spring 2012, by student reports on who most influenced their thinking about education after high school: 2012 Percent 100 80 60 49 40 34 20 5 4 3 3 3 0 Family members Myself Teacher Friends Counselor Employer, military Don't know recruiter, coach, or scout Who most influenced students’ thinking NOTE: Family members includes response categories for your parents and another family member; Myself includes yourself and no one in particular; Counselor includes high school counselor and counselor hired by your family to help you prepare for college admission. Standard errors for estimates can be found at http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/ctes/tables/H167.asp. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09), First Follow-Up Restricted-Use Data File. 4 2 Who has the most influence on students’ thinking about possible careers? In terms of who most influenced students who chose these options few students (6 percent) indicated that students’ career decisions, family (41 and 42 percent, respectively; a teacher had the most influence on members and myself were again the figure 2). School staff were again their thinking about careers, and only most commonly reported sources, reported less frequently; as with 3 percent indicated that a counselor although there was no measurable education after high school, relatively had the most influence. difference in the percentage of WHO INFLUENCES STUDENTS’ CAREER DECISIONS FIGURE 2. Percentage distribution of fall 2009 public school ninth-graders as of spring 2012, by student reports on who most influenced their thinking about careers: 2012 Percent 100 80 60 41 42 40 20 6 3 3 3 2 0 Family members Myself Teacher Friends Counselor Employer, military Don't know recruiter, coach, or scout Who most influenced students’ thinking NOTE: Family members includes response categories for your parents and another family member; Myself includes yourself and no one in particular. For who influenced students’ thinking about careers, the only response option for Counselor was high school counselor. Standard errors for estimates can be found at http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/ctes/tables/H168.asp. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09), First Follow-Up Restricted-Use Data File. 5 3 Do students report the same main source of information for education after high school and for careers? As noted above, family members and FAMILY VERSUS SELF AS INFORMATION myself were most often reported to SOURCES be students’ main influence when thinking about both education FIGURE 3. after high school and careers. Percentage of fall 2009 public school ninth-graders as of spring 2012 However, family members were more who reported family members or myself as their most influential source of often reported as students’ main information for education after high school and for careers: 2012 information source for their thinking Percent about education than about careers 100 (figure 3). Overall, 49 percent of students reported that family members were their most influential source 80 when thinking about education, while 41 percent reported that family members were their most influential 60 source when thinking about careers. In 49 contrast, students relied on themselves 41 42 40 more often in their thinking about 34 careers than about education; 42 percent of students reported that they 20 were their own main influence when thinking about careers, compared to 34 percent who reported that they 0 Family members Myself were their own main influence when Who most influenced students’ thinking thinking about education. Education after high school Careers NOTE: Family members includes response categories for your parents and another family member; Myself includes yourself and no one in particular. Standard errors for estimates can be found at http://nces.ed.gov/ surveys/ctes/tables/H167.asp and http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/ctes/tables/H168.asp. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09), First Follow-Up Restricted-Use Data File. 6 4 Do students from different socioeconomic backgrounds report the same main sources of information for their education and career choices? Students from different SES placed on each source of information; school, high- and middle-SES students backgrounds show the same overall generally, higher SES students more reported more often than low-SES pattern of decisionmaking as students often than lower SES students reported students that they were their own most in general. As for all students, students family members or myself as their main influential source of information, and from high-, middle-, and low-SES influence, while lower SES students high-SES students reported more often backgrounds most often reported more often than higher SES students than middle- and low-SES students family members and/or myself as their reported a teacher or a counselor as that family members were their most main influence for thinking about both their main influence. influential source (figure 4). education and careers. But there were Sources of information for Lower SES students reported that their differences in the relative emphasis education after high school. When main influence for thinking about students from different SES groups considering education after high education was school staff (teacher INFLUENCES ON EDUCATION DECISIONS, BY SES BACKGROUND FIGURE 4. Percentage distribution of fall 2009 public school ninth-graders as of spring 2012, according to student reports of who most influenced their thinking about education after high school, by socioeconomic status (SES): 2012 Percent 100 80 60 52 47 48 40 35 36 29 20 7 4 3 4 4 3 5 3 1 3 3 2 4 2 2 0 Family members Myself Teacher Friends Counselor Employer, military Don't know recruiter, coach, or scout Who most influenced students' thinking Low SES Middle SES High SES NOTE: Family members includes response categories for your parents and another family member; Myself includes yourself and no one in particular; Counselor includes high school counselor and counselor hired by your family to help you prepare for college admission. Standard errors for estimates can be found at http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/ctes/tables/H167.asp. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09), First Follow-up Restricted-Use Data File. 7 or counselor) more often than did own main source of information more often reported school staff (teacher higher SES students. However, even often than did lower SES students. As or counselor) as their most influential among low-SES students, teacher and figure 5 shows, 49 percent of high-SES source of information for thinking counselor were each reported as the students reported that they were their about careers (figure 5). But again, main source of influence by fewer than own most influential source, compared even among low-SES students, teacher 10 percent of students. to 42 percent of middle-SES students and counselor were each reported as and 36 percent of low-SES students. the most influential source by about 10 Sources of Information for Careers. percent or fewer students. When considering careers, higher SES Low-SES students, compared to students reported that they were their middle- and high-SES students, more INFLUENCES ON CAREER DECISIONS, BY SES BACKGROUND FIGURE 5. Percentage distribution of fall 2009 public school ninth-graders as of spring 2012, according to student reports of who most influenced their thinking about careers, by socioeconomic status (SES): 2012 Percent 100 80 60 49 40 41 38 42 40 36 20 9 6 5 5 3 3 4 3 1 2 3 2 4 2 2 0 Family members Myself Teacher Friends Counselor Employer, military Don't know recruiter, coach, or scout Who most influenced students' thinking Low SES Middle SES High SES NOTE: Family members includes response categories for parents and another family member; Myself includes yourself and no one in particular. For who influenced students’ thinking about careers, the only response option for Counselor was high school counselor. Standard errors for estimates can be found at http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/ctes/tables/H168.asp. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09), First Follow-Up Restricted-Use Data File. 8 FIND OUT MORE For questions about content, to order additional copies of this Statistics in Brief, or view this report online, go to: http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo.asp?pubid=2018088 Readers of this Statistics in Brief might also be interested in High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09) First the following NCES reports and tables: Follow-up: A First Look at Fall 2009 Ninth-Graders in 2012 (NCES 2014-360). http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/ High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09) 2013 pubsinfo.asp?pubid=2014360. Update and High School Transcript Study: A First Look at Fall 2009 Ninth-Graders in 2013 (NCES 2015- High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09): 037rev). http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo. A First Look at Fall 2009 Ninth-Graders (NCES 2011- asp?pubid=2015037rev. 327). http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo. asp?pubid=2011327. Web Tables—High School Dropouts and Stopouts: Demographic Backgrounds, Academic Experiences, High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09): A First Engagement, and School Characteristics (NCES Look at Fall 2009 Ninth-Graders’ Parents, Teachers, 2015-064). http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo. School Counselors, and School Administrators (NCES asp?pubid=2015064. 2011-355). http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo. asp?pubid=2011355. Ninth-Graders’ Mathematics Coursetaking, Motivations, and Educational Plans (NCES 2015-990). http://nces. For a selection of tables, figures, and reports on career and ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo.asp?pubid=2015990. technical education (CTE) topics, visit the CTE Statistics website at http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/ctes. 9 TECHNICAL NOTES The target population at the school up. Of the 26,300 sampled students, level was defined as regular public approximately 25,200 were eligible and This section describes the survey schools (including public charter about 24,700 were able to participate methodology for the HSLS:09 and schools) and private schools in the 50 in the assessment the variables and analyses used states and the District of Columbia in this Statistics in Brief. More In the first follow-up, all 25,200 base- that provided instruction in both detailed information on the HSLS:09 year study-eligible students were ninth and eleventh grades. Stratified methodology is available in High surveyed, regardless of their response random sampling based on school School Longitudinal Study of 2009 status at the base year. (Two exceptions type (public, private–Catholic, (HSLS:09) Base Year to First Follow-up to this are sample members who died private–other), geographic region Data File Documentation (Ingels et al. or were removed as a result of base- (Northeast, Midwest, South, West), 2013). year sampling errors discovered only and geographic location of the school in the first follow-up; e.g., the student Survey Methodology (city, suburban, town, rural) resulted was not a ninth-grader in 2009.) in the identification of 1,889 eligible The estimates provided in this Statistics Unlike prior NCES secondary studies, schools. A total of 944 of these schools in Brief are based on data collected the HSLS:09 student sample was not participated in the study, resulting in in the first follow-up study (2012) of freshened to include a representative a 55 percent weighted response rate, the HSLS:09. Starting with a cohort later-grade cohort. As a result, first or 50 percent unweighted response of students who were enrolled in the follow-up estimates from the sample rate. For the 767 participating public ninth grade in fall 2009, the HSLS:09 are associated only with the ninth- schools used in this Brief, the weighted follows students throughout their grade cohort 2.5 years later and not response rate was 59 percent, and high school and early adult years the universe of students attending the the unweighted response rate was 51 in order to understand students’ eleventh grade in the spring of 2012. percent. trajectories from the beginning of These sampling procedures resulted in high school into postsecondary In the second stage of sampling, responses from 20,700 public school education, the workforce, and beyond. students were randomly selected students that were utilized for the The HSLS:09 first follow-up study using a stratified systematic sampling analyses in this Brief. included a mathematics assessment procedure from base-year enrollment and a student questionnaire, as well Two student-based analytic weights lists provided by administrative as questionnaires administered to were computed for the HSLS:09 first contacts at the school. The second- students’ parents, school counselors, follow-up data—one for analyses stage sampling strata were defined and school administrators. The student specific to the first follow-up and one by the students’ race/ethnicity questionnaire collected information for longitudinal analyses associated (Hispanic, Asian, Black, and other such as high school attendance, grade with change between the base [including White]) specified by the progression, and attainment; school year and first follow-up. For this school, yielding approximately experiences (including withdrawal Statistics in Brief, the student-level 26,300 sampled students (or about from school); demographics and weight W2STUDENT was used; this 28 students per school). The target family background; influences on weight accounts for (1) base-year population of students was defined to thinking and behavior; and behaviors, school nonresponse and (2) student include all ninth-grade students who expectations, and aspirations, nonresponse in the first follow-up attended the study-eligible schools in including factors influencing college (regardless of the student’s base year the fall 2009 term. Students who were choice. The analysis in this Brief used response status). unable to directly participate in the the HSLS:09 first follow-up student study because of language barriers questionnaire data file. Two broad categories of error or severe disabilities were retained occur in estimates generated from in the sample, and contextual data In the base-year HSLS:09, students questionnaires: sampling and were sought for them. Their ability were sampled through a two-stage nonsampling errors. Sampling errors to complete the study instruments process: schools were sampled first, occur when observations are based was reassessed in the first follow- followed by students within schools. 10