ERIC ED521912: Postsecondary Expectations and Plans for the High School Senior Class of 2003-04. Issue Tables. NCES 2010-170rev

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by  ERIC

Issue
Tables

U.S. Department of Education
NCES 2010-170rev
January 2010
AUTHORS Postsecondary Expectations and Plans
Xianglei Chen for the High School Senior Class of
Joanna Wu
2003−04
Shayna Tasoff
MPR Associates, Inc.

Introduction
Thomas Weko
Project Officer
National Center for Education Statistics Increasing numbers of students expect to attend college after high
school (U.S. Department of Education 2006). This set of Issue

Tables, the second in a series examining students’ preparation for
CONTENTS
college,1 draws on data from the Education Longitudinal Study of
Introduction
2002 (ELS:02) to highlight postsecondary expectations and plans
Data
among the senior class of 2003−04. The following provides a sum-
References
mary of this set of Issue Tables:
Related NCES Reports
Tables 1 and 2 examine the highest level of education that students
Tables
expected to attain and that parents expected students to attain.
Glossary
Technical Notes
Tables 3 to 5 examine students’ postsecondary plans. Table 3 looks

at whether or not students planned to continue their education

FOR MORE INFORMATION after high school and where they planned to enroll. Table 4 focuses
Contact: only on students with postsecondary plans and examines when after
Aurora D’Amico high school they planned to enroll in postsecondary education. Ta-
[phone]
ble 5 explores the reasons for students not planning to enroll in
aurora.d’[email protected]
postsecondary education right after high school.

Table 6 looks at the opinions of students’ parents, school staff, and
friends about going to college after high school; table 7 shows how
frequently students discussed going to college with their parents;

1 Three other sets of Issue Tables (see Related NCES Reports) examine
students’ academic preparation; steps toward postsecondary enrollment;
and financial concerns and preparation. These tables are available at
http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/.
POSTSECONDARY EXPECTATIONS AND PLANS
2 FOR THE HIGH SCHOOL SENIOR CLASS OF 2003−04
and table 8 presents the number of students’ friends The analysis sample for most of the Issue Tables in this
planning to attend a 2- or 4-year college after high set consists of all high school seniors in spring 2004. The
school. one exception is table 2 that looks at parents’ educational
expectations for their children when they were sopho-
Estimates in all tables are shown for all students and by a
mores in 2002. The sample in this table was restricted to
wide range of student, family, and high school characte-
all high school seniors from the 2002 sophomore cohort.
ristics.2
For more detailed information on ELS:02, see
http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/ELS2002/.
Data
References
All information presented in these Issue Tables is based
on data collected in the Education Longitudinal Study of
Ingels, S.J., Planty, M., and Bozick, R. (2005). A Profile of the
2002 (ELS:02). ELS:02 followed a nationally representa- American High School Senior in 2004: A First Look—
tive cohort of 2002 high school sophomores as they pro- Initial Results from the First Follow-up of the Educational
gressed through high school and then into postsecondary Longitudinal Study of 2002 (ELS:02) (NCES 2006-348).
National Center for Education Statistics, Institute of
education and/or work. After the initial data collection
Education Sciences, U.S. Department of Education.
in 2002, data were collected again in 2004, when most
Washington, DC.
students were high school seniors, and in 2006, when
U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education
most had entered postsecondary education or the work-
Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics.
force. Seniors in 2004 who were not in the base-year
(2003). NCES Statistical Standards (NCES 2003-601).
sample were given a chance of selection into the sample.
Washington, DC.
This procedure, referred to as “freshening,” made the
U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education
ELS spring 2004 senior cohort nationally representative
Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics.
of the 12th-grade class. The survey collected high school
(2006). The Condition of Education 2006 (NCES 2006-
transcripts that covered students’ 4 years of coursetaking,
071). Washington, DC.
administered standardized tests, and surveyed students,
parents, teachers, and schools. It thus provides a rich Related NCES Reports
source of information on how this cohort prepared for
Academic Preparation for College in the High School Senior Class
college while attending high school.
of 2003–04 (NCES 2010-169)
Getting Ready for College: Financial Concerns and Preparation
Among the High School Senior Class of 2003–04 (NCES
2010-204) (forthcoming)
The High School Senior Class of 2003–04: Steps Toward Postse-
condary Enrollment (NCES 2010-203) (forthcoming)

2 For more information on student, family, and high school
characteristics, see Ingels, Planty, and Bozick (2005).
National Center for Education Statistics
Table 1.—Percentage of high school seniors who expected to attain various levels of education, by selected student, family, and high
Table 1.—school characteristics: 2004
Students’ educational expectations
Graduate/
Selected student, family, Do not know yet High school or less Some college Bachelor’s degree advanced degree
and high school characteristics Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI
Total 8.4 [7.7–9.0] 5.0 [4.5–5.5] 18.1 [17.1–19.0] 33.5 [32.5–34.5] 35.1 [33.9–36.2]
Sex
Male 9.4 [8.5–10.3] 6.9 [6.1–7.6] 20.5 [19.2–21.8] 34.4 [33.0–35.8] 28.9 [27.4–30.3]
Female 7.4 [6.6–8.2] 3.1 [2.6–3.6] 15.6 [14.4–16.8] 32.6 [31.2–34.0] 41.3 [39.7–42.8]
Race/ethnicity1
White 7.0 [6.2–7.7] 4.7 [4.1–5.3] 17.3 [16.2–18.4] 35.0 [33.8–36.3] 36.0 [34.5–37.4]
Black 8.6 [7.1–10.2] 5.0 [3.8–6.3] 18.8 [16.4–21.3] 32.1 [29.5–34.7] 35.3 [32.2–38.4]
Hispanic 13.5 [11.5–15.5] 6.4 [4.9–7.8] 23.1 [20.5–25.7] 28.2 [25.6–30.8] 28.8 [26.4–31.2]
Asian 6.9 [5.3–8.4] 2.5 [1.5–3.5] 10.4 [7.8–13.1] 32.6 [29.4–35.9] 47.6 [43.6–51.5]
American Indian 14.7 [8.5–21.0] 6.9 [0.9–12.8] 21.6 [13.3–29.8] 25.6 [14.7–36.5] 31.3 [18.9–43.6]
Two or more races 10.7 [7.3–14.0] 6.1 [3.5–8.7] 16.4 [12.8–19.9] 36.5 [31.5–41.6] 30.3 [25.9–34.8]
First language learned to speak as a child
Non-English 11.2 [9.4–12.9] 5.6 [4.3–6.9] 20.4 [17.8–23.0] 29.8 [27.2–32.4] 33.0 [30.4–35.6]
English 7.9 [7.3–8.6] 4.9 [4.4–5.4] 17.7 [16.7–18.7] 34.1 [33.0–35.1] 35.4 [34.2–36.6]
Highest level of parents’ education
High school or less 11.4 [10.1–12.7] 9.4 [8.2–10.7] 27.2 [25.2–29.1] 30.0 [28.0–31.9] 22.0 [20.4–23.7]
Some college 9.0 [8.0–10.1] 5.1 [4.3–5.9] 21.0 [19.6–22.3] 35.4 [33.8–37.0] 29.5 [27.9–31.0]
College graduation 6.2 [5.1–7.4] 2.6 [1.9–3.3] 12.6 [11.2–14.0] 38.5 [36.3–40.7] 40.1 [37.8–42.4]
Graduate/professional degree 5.7 [4.4–6.9] 1.5 [0.9–2.2] 6.7 [5.5–8.0] 28.2 [26.1–30.2] 57.9 [55.5–60.3]
Family income in 2001
$35,000 or lower 11.3 [10.1–12.5] 7.8 [6.8–8.8] 24.3 [22.6–26.1] 30.2 [28.6–31.9] 26.3 [24.8–27.9]
$35,001–75,000 8.4 [7.4–9.4] 5.1 [4.3–5.8] 18.7 [17.4–19.9] 35.0 [33.6–36.4] 32.9 [31.4–34.3]
More than $75,000 5.1 [4.2–6.0] 1.8 [1.3–2.3] 10.3 [9.1–11.5] 34.8 [32.9–36.7] 48.0 [45.8–50.2]
See notes at end of table.
National Center for Education Statistics
Table 1.—Percentage of high school seniors who expected to attain various levels of education, by selected student, family, and high
Table 1.—school characteristics: 2004—Continued
Students’ educational expectations
Graduate/
Selected student, family, Do not know yet High school or less Some college Bachelor’s degree advanced degree
and high school characteristics Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI
Family composition
Mother and father 6.8 [6.1–7.5] 4.2 [3.6–4.7] 15.8 [14.7–16.8] 34.9 [33.6–36.1] 38.3 [36.8–39.8]
Mother or father and guardian 10.6 [9.0–12.1] 6.7 [5.4–7.9] 20.7 [18.7–22.6] 32.9 [30.4–35.5] 29.2 [26.8–31.6]
Single parent (mother or father) 10.4 [8.9–11.8] 6.0 [4.9–7.0] 20.7 [18.6–22.7] 31.2 [29.2–33.3] 31.7 [29.6–33.8]
Other 13.2 [9.1–17.2] 5.4 [3.0–7.7] 29.2 [24.2–34.2] 26.2 [22.0–30.3] 26.1 [21.3–30.8]
Highest mathematics course taken
Pre-algebra or below 19.2 [15.4–23.0] 19.7 [16.4–23.0] 33.8 [29.5–38.2] 16.4 [13.4–19.5] 10.8 [8.1–13.4]
Algebra I/geometry 14.2 [12.5–15.9] 10.2 [8.7–11.7] 34.2 [31.9–36.5] 26.2 [24.1–28.4] 15.1 [13.5–16.7]
Algebra II 8.5 [7.4–9.7] 3.5 [2.7–4.4] 21.9 [20.0–23.7] 39.5 [37.5–41.6] 26.5 [24.6–28.5]
Trigonometry/analytic geometry/statistics 5.1 [4.1–6.2] 2.9 [1.9–3.9] 11.6 [9.9–13.4] 40.5 [38.0–43.1] 39.8 [36.9–42.7]
Pre-calculus/calculus 2.8 [2.1–3.4] 0.3 [0.1–0.5] 4.0 [3.2–4.9] 34.3 [32.5–36.1] 58.6 [56.7–60.6]
Highest science course taken
Low-level science 18.9 [14.1–23.7] 20.8 [16.3–25.4] 30.3 [24.9–35.8] 19.5 [14.3–24.7] 10.5 [7.4–13.6]
Secondary physical science/basic biology 14.8 [10.5–19.1] 11.6 [7.3–15.8] 37.2 [31.4–43.1] 23.6 [18.2–28.9] 12.8 [8.4–17.2]
General biology 12.6 [11.1–14.0] 8.7 [7.5–9.9] 30.1 [28.3–32.0] 31.0 [28.9–33.1] 17.6 [15.9–19.3]
Chemistry I or physics I 6.0 [5.2–6.9] 2.7 [2.1–3.3] 17.0 [15.3–18.8] 38.1 [36.2–39.9] 36.1 [34.2–38.1]
Chemistry I and physics I 4.2 [3.1–5.2] 0.6 [0.2–0.9] 4.4 [3.4–5.4] 40.2 [37.7–42.8] 50.6 [48.0–53.3]
Chemistry II, physics II, or advanced biology 4.6 [3.5–5.7] 2.0 [1.2–2.9] 7.0 [5.5–8.6] 29.3 [26.8–31.9] 57.0 [53.7–60.3]
High-level academic coursework
Did not complete 10.2 [9.4–11.1] 6.6 [5.9–7.3] 23.3 [22.2–24.5] 33.3 [32.1–34.6] 26.6 [25.3–27.8]
Completed 2.5 [1.8–3.2] 0.5 [0.2–0.8] 4.3 [3.4–5.1] 34.7 [33.0–36.5] 58.0 [56.1–59.8]
Mathematics achievement test in senior year
Lowest quarter 14.1 [12.5–15.6] 11.9 [10.5–13.3] 31.4 [29.5–33.4] 26.4 [24.4–28.4] 16.2 [14.6–17.8]
Middle two quarters 8.1 [7.2–8.9] 3.6 [3.1–4.2] 18.6 [17.4–19.9] 36.5 [35.2–37.9] 33.2 [31.7–34.6]
Highest quarter 3.4 [2.6–4.1] 0.7 [0.4–1.0] 3.6 [2.8–4.4] 34.5 [32.5–36.5] 57.8 [55.6–59.9]
See notes at end of table.
National Center for Education Statistics
Table 1.—Percentage of high school seniors who expected to attain various levels of education, by selected student, family, and high
Table 1.—school characteristics: 2004—Continued
Students’ educational expectations
Graduate/
Selected student, family, Do not know yet High school or less Some college Bachelor’s degree advanced degree
and high school characteristics Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI
High school GPA
2.0 or lower 15.5 [13.3–17.7] 12.5 [10.7–14.4] 32.2 [29.7–34.7] 25.8 [23.3–28.4] 14.0 [12.0–16.0]
2.1–3.0 10.1 [9.0–11.1] 5.6 [4.8–6.5] 24.0 [22.5–25.5] 34.6 [33.1–36.2] 25.7 [24.2–27.1]
Higher than 3.0 3.4 [2.8–4.1] 1.5 [1.1–1.9] 7.0 [6.1–8.0] 35.6 [34.0–37.2] 52.4 [50.5–54.3]
Parent’s 2002 educational expectations for students
High school or less 17.4 [13.1–21.8] 21.5 [17.2–25.7] 29.1 [23.9–34.2] 20.2 [15.6–24.7] 11.9 [7.9–15.8]
Some college 12.3 [10.0–14.6] 14.8 [12.1–17.4] 44.2 [40.6–47.7] 19.5 [16.8–22.1] 9.4 [7.4–11.3]
College graduation 9.0 [8.1–10.0] 4.5 [3.9–5.1] 19.3 [18.0–20.6] 39.0 [37.4–40.6] 28.1 [26.8–29.5]
Graduate/professional degree 6.1 [5.2–6.9] 2.1 [1.7–2.6] 10.8 [9.8–11.9] 31.7 [30.3–33.1] 49.3 [47.5–51.0]
Sector of high school last attended
Public 8.8 [8.1–9.4] 5.3 [4.8–5.8] 19.1 [18.1–20.2] 33.3 [32.2–34.3] 33.5 [32.3–34.8]
Catholic 3.7 [2.9–4.6] 1.3 [0.6–2.1] 5.5 [4.3–6.8] 38.6 [35.9–41.3] 50.8 [47.5–54.1]
Other private 4.9 [3.2–6.5] 0.9 [0.3–1.5] 6.8 [4.9–8.6] 32.6 [28.8–36.5] 54.9 [49.9–59.8]
Urbanicity of high school last attended
Urban 9.1 [8.0–10.2] 4.5 [3.7–5.3] 16.3 [14.5–18.1] 32.4 [30.6–34.1] 37.7 [35.6–39.7]
Suburban 8.1 [7.2–9.1] 4.9 [4.1–5.6] 17.4 [16.2–18.6] 34.3 [32.9–35.7] 35.3 [33.6–37.0]
Rural 7.7 [6.3–9.2] 6.0 [4.8–7.3] 22.8 [20.3–25.3] 33.4 [31.3–35.4] 30.1 [27.8–32.3]
1 Black includes African American, Hispanic includes Latino, Asian includes Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, and American Indian includes Alaska Native. All race categories exclude individuals
of Hispanic or Latino origin.
NOTE: See the Technical Notes for the definition of 95% CI (confidence interval). This table shows, for example, that 8.4 percent of high school seniors did not know yet what level of education they
expected to attain. Estimates in this table are based on all high school seniors in spring 2004.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Education Longitudinal Study of 2002 (ELS:2002), “Base-year, 2002” and “First Follow-up, 2004.”
National Center for Education Statistics
Table 2.—Among 2004 high school seniors from the 2002 sophomore cohort, percentage whose
Table 2.—parents expected them to attain various levels of education, by selected student, family,
Table 2.—and high school characteristics: 2004
Parents’ educational expectations for students1
Graduate/
Selected student, family, High school or less Some college Bachelor’s degree advanced degree
and high school characteristics Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI
Total 3.0 [2.7–3.4] 8.4 [7.7–9.1] 46.0 [44.9–47.1] 42.6 [41.4–43.8]
Sex
Male 3.6 [3.0–4.1] 10.2 [9.1–11.2] 46.4 [44.9–47.9] 39.8 [38.4–41.3]
Female 2.5 [2.1–3.0] 6.6 [5.8–7.3] 45.6 [44.0–47.1] 45.3 [43.7–46.9]
Race/ethnicity2
White 2.6 [2.2–3.1] 9.3 [8.4–10.2] 48.8 [47.3–50.2] 39.3 [37.7–40.8]
Black 4.1 [2.9–5.3] 5.2 [3.9–6.5] 37.9 [34.9–41.0] 52.8 [49.8–55.8]
Hispanic 4.1 [3.0–5.2] 7.5 [6.1–9.0] 44.2 [41.2–47.2] 44.1 [41.3–47.0]
Asian 1.8 [0.8–2.8] 4.5 [2.5–6.5] 35.7 [32.4–39.1] 58.0 [54.7–61.3]
American Indian 5.1 [1.2–9.1] 10.4 [3.3–17.5] 53.4 [42.9–63.8] 31.1 [19.7–42.5]
Two or more races 3.4 [1.7–5.2] 10.6 [7.0–14.1] 45.2 [39.9–50.6] 40.8 [35.5–46.0]
First language learned to
speak as a child
Non-English 3.9 [2.8–5.0] 5.8 [4.5–7.2] 42.9 [39.8–45.9] 47.5 [44.4–50.5]
English 2.9 [2.5–3.3] 8.7 [8.0–9.5] 46.5 [45.2–47.7] 41.9 [40.6–43.2]
Highest level of parents’ education
High school or less 7.2 [6.1–8.4] 13.4 [11.9–15.0] 47.2 [45.2–49.2] 32.1 [30.1–34.1]
Some college 2.4 [1.9–3.0] 9.6 [8.5–10.6] 48.4 [46.6–50.1] 39.7 [38.0–41.4]
College graduation 1.1 [0.7–1.6] 5.2 [4.1–6.2] 48.5 [46.3–50.7] 45.2 [42.9–47.4]
Graduate/professional degree 0.9 [0.5–1.3] 3.1 [2.2–4.0] 36.4 [34.0–38.7] 59.6 [57.2–62.0]
Family income in 2001
$35,000 or lower 5.7 [4.8–6.6] 10.3 [9.2–11.5] 44.4 [42.6–46.3] 39.5 [37.8–41.3]
$35,001–75,000 2.7 [2.2–3.2] 9.8 [8.7–11.0] 47.5 [45.8–49.2] 39.9 [38.3–41.6]
More than $75,000 0.7 [0.4–1.0] 4.0 [3.2–4.8] 45.4 [43.3–47.5] 49.9 [47.8–52.0]
Family composition
Mother and father 2.5 [2.1–2.9] 7.3 [6.5–8.1] 46.9 [45.5–48.3] 43.3 [41.8–44.7]
Mother or father and guardian 3.7 [2.7–4.8] 11.5 [9.7–13.3] 46.0 [43.2–48.8] 38.8 [35.9–41.6]
Single parent (mother or father) 3.6 [2.7–4.4] 8.5 [7.1–9.9] 44.0 [41.6–46.5] 43.9 [41.5–46.2]
Other 5.9 [3.4–8.3] 11.8 [8.3–15.3] 42.4 [37.3–47.6] 40.0 [34.9–45.0]
Sector of high school last attended
Public 3.2 [2.8–3.7] 8.9 [8.2–9.7] 46.2 [45.0–47.4] 41.6 [40.4–42.9]
Catholic 0.4 [0.1–0.7] 1.9 [1.1–2.6] 46.6 [43.4–49.8] 51.1 [47.8–54.4]
Other private 1.2 [0.4–1.9] 2.9 [1.6–4.2] 39.6 [36.0–43.2] 56.3 [52.6–60.1]
See notes at end of table.
National Center for Education Statistics
Table 2.—Among 2004 high school seniors from the 2002 sophomore cohort, percentage whose
Table 2.—parents expected them to attain various levels of education, by selected student, family,
Table 2.—and high school characteristics: 2004—Continued
Parents’ educational expectations for students1
Graduate/
Selected student, family, High school or less Some college Bachelor’s degree advanced degree
and high school characteristics Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI
Urbanicity of high school last attended
Urban 3.1 [2.4–3.7] 6.3 [5.2–7.4] 43.5 [41.5–45.5] 47.1 [45.0–49.1]
Suburban 3.1 [2.6–3.6] 8.4 [7.4–9.3] 46.5 [44.8–48.2] 42.0 [40.3–43.8]
Rural 2.9 [2.2–3.6] 11.9 [10.0–13.7] 48.7 [46.6–50.8] 36.6 [33.9–39.2]
1 This was asked of parents when their child was in the sophomore year in 2002.
2 Black includes African American, Hispanic includes Latino, Asian includes Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, and American Indian includes
Alaska Native. All race categories exclude individuals of Hispanic or Latino origin.
NOTE: See the Technical Notes for the definition of 95% CI (confidence interval). This table shows, for example, that among 2004 high school
seniors from the 2002 sophomore cohort, 3.0 percent had parents who expected them to obtain a high school education or less. Estimates in this
table are based on all spring 2004 high school seniors from the 2002 sophomore cohort.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Education Longitudinal Study of 2002 (ELS:2002), “Base-year,
2002” and “First Follow-up, 2004.”
National Center for Education Statistics
Table 3.—Percentage of high school seniors who planned to continue their education after high
Table 3.—school, and the percentage who planned to attend various types of institutions after high
Table 3.—school, by selected student, family, and high school characteristics: 2004
Type of institution students
Students planning planned to attend after high school
to continue their Vocational,
education after 2-year community technical, or
Selected student, family, high school 4-year institution college trade school
and high school characteristics Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI
Total 92.1 [91.5–92.8] 61.7 [60.3–63.0] 22.5 [21.4–23.6] 8.0 [7.4–8.6]
Sex
Male 89.1 [88.1–90.1] 57.4 [55.7–59.1] 21.3 [19.9–22.7] 10.4 [9.5–11.4]
Female 95.2 [94.5–95.8] 65.9 [64.3–67.5] 23.7 [22.3–25.2] 5.6 [4.8–6.3]
Race/ethnicity1
White 92.2 [91.5–92.9] 64.2 [62.5–66.0] 20.4 [19.1–21.7] 7.6 [6.8–8.3]
Black 93.8 [92.5–95.1] 62.9 [60.0–65.9] 22.2 [19.6–24.7] 8.7 [7.2–10.3]
Hispanic 90.5 [88.9–92.2] 47.4 [44.1–50.7] 33.3 [30.7–35.9] 9.8 [8.1–11.6]
Asian 95.7 [94.2–97.3] 72.2 [68.3–76.1] 18.9 [15.6–22.2] 4.6 [2.5–6.8]
American Indian 84.8 [77.0–92.5] 60.8 [49.7–71.9] 12.5 [6.4–18.6] 11.5 [5.0–18.0]
Two or more races 89.5 [86.1–92.9] 59.2 [54.2–64.3] 22.4 [18.1–26.7] 7.9 [5.0–10.7]
First language learned to speak as a child
Non-English 91.9 [90.2–93.6] 54.7 [51.6–57.9] 28.8 [26.2–31.5] 8.3 [6.7–10.0]
English 92.2 [91.5–92.8] 62.7 [61.3–64.2] 21.5 [20.4–22.6] 7.9 [7.3–8.6]
Highest level of parents’ education
High school or less 86.4 [84.9–87.9] 44.2 [41.9–46.5] 30.1 [28.1–32.1] 12.1 [10.7–13.5]
Some college 91.9 [90.9–93.0] 56.6 [54.8–58.5] 26.0 [24.2–27.7] 9.3 [8.4–10.3]
College graduation 95.0 [94.0–96.0] 73.4 [71.5–75.4] 16.3 [14.7–17.9] 5.3 [4.2–6.3]
Graduate/professional degree 97.0 [96.1–97.9] 80.6 [78.3–82.9] 13.3 [11.3–15.2] 3.1 [2.2–3.9]
Family income in 2001
$35,000 or lower 89.5 [88.3–90.7] 49.4 [47.4–51.4] 28.9 [27.0–30.7] 11.2 [10.0–12.5]
$35,001–75,000 91.5 [90.5–92.4] 60.6 [58.7–62.4] 22.7 [21.2–24.1] 8.2 [7.3–9.1]
More than $75,000 96.0 [95.2–96.8] 76.7 [74.7–78.7] 15.3 [13.7–16.9] 4.1 [3.2–4.9]
Family composition
Mother and father 93.2 [92.5–93.9] 66.5 [64.9–68.0] 20.1 [18.9–21.4] 6.6 [6.0–7.3]
Mother or father and guardian 89.4 [87.7–91.1] 53.5 [50.8–56.1] 25.7 [23.3–28.0] 10.3 [8.5–12.1]
Single parent (mother or father) 91.6 [90.3–92.8] 57.0 [54.5–59.4] 24.7 [22.6–26.9] 9.9 [8.5–11.2]
Other 89.6 [86.2–93.0] 44.5 [38.9–50.1] 35.3 [30.3–40.3] 9.8 [6.8–12.9]
Highest mathematics course taken
Pre-algebra or below 73.4 [69.4–77.5] 21.5 [18.2–24.7] 34.5 [30.2–38.8] 17.5 [14.1–20.8]
Algebra I/geometry 84.8 [83.1–86.6] 31.1 [28.8–33.4] 39.6 [37.1–42.2] 14.1 [12.5–15.7]
Algebra II 93.4 [92.4–94.4] 57.3 [54.7–59.8] 26.0 [23.9–28.0] 10.2 [8.6–11.8]
Trigonometry/analytic geometry/statistics 95.5 [94.4–96.7] 72.6 [69.8–75.5] 17.9 [15.6–20.1] 5.0 [3.7–6.3]
Pre-calculus/calculus 98.5 [98.0–99.0] 89.3 [88.1–90.6] 7.7 [6.6–8.8] 1.5 [1.0–2.0]
See notes at end of table.
National Center for Education Statistics
Table 3.—Percentage of high school seniors who planned to continue their education after high
Table 3.—school, and the percentage who planned to attend various types of institutions after high
Table 3.—school, by selected student, family, and high school characteristics: 2004—Continued
Type of institution students
Students planning planned to attend after high school
to continue their Vocational,
education after 2-year community technical, or
Selected student, family, high school 4-year institution college trade school
and high school characteristics Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI
Highest science course taken
Low-level science 76.9 [71.8–81.9] 22.4 [18.1–26.8] 35.2 [29.9–40.5] 19.3 [14.9–23.6]
Secondary physical science/basic biology 80.8 [75.9–85.7] 24.2 [18.6–29.8] 39.2 [33.0–45.4] 17.4 [12.9–21.9]
General biology 86.2 [84.8–87.7] 39.2 [36.8–41.6] 33.5 [31.2–35.8] 13.5 [12.0–15.1]
Chemistry I or physics I 95.2 [94.4–96.0] 66.1 [63.9–68.3] 22.7 [20.9–24.5] 6.4 [5.5–7.4]
Chemistry I and physics I 98.0 [97.3–98.7] 86.0 [83.9–88.2] 9.8 [8.0–11.5] 2.2 [1.4–3.0]
Chemistry II, physics II, or advanced biology 96.5 [95.4–97.7] 84.0 [81.3–86.7] 9.9 [8.1–11.7] 2.6 [1.7–3.5]
High-level academic coursework
Did not complete 89.8 [88.9–90.7] 51.2 [49.5–52.8] 28.3 [26.9–29.6] 10.4 [9.5–11.2]
Completed 98.5 [98.0–99.0] 90.0 [88.7–91.3] 6.9 [5.8–8.0] 1.6 [1.1–2.1]
Mathematics achievement test in senior year
Lowest quarter 84.8 [83.1–86.5] 35.7 [33.7–37.8] 35.5 [33.3–37.7] 13.5 [12.1–15.0]
Middle two quarters 93.0 [92.2–93.7] 61.4 [59.7–63.0] 23.3 [21.9–24.7] 8.3 [7.4–9.2]
Highest quarter 97.8 [97.2–98.4] 87.9 [86.2–89.5] 8.0 [6.7–9.4] 1.9 [1.2–2.5]
High school GPA
2.0 or lower 82.2 [79.9–84.6] 30.8 [28.1–33.5] 35.6 [32.8–38.5] 15.8 [13.8–17.8]
2.1–3.0 90.8 [89.8–91.9] 52.0 [50.0–54.0] 29.0 [27.2–30.8] 9.8 [8.8–10.9]
Higher than 3.0 97.1 [96.6–97.7] 82.9 [81.3–84.5] 11.0 [9.7–12.2] 3.2 [2.6–3.9]
Parent’s 2002 educational expectations for students
High school or less 74.7 [69.4–79.9] 26.7 [21.3–32.2] 29.8 [24.2–35.5] 18.1 [13.4–22.8]
Some college 79.1 [76.2–82.0] 23.4 [20.3–26.5] 33.7 [30.2–37.2] 22.0 [18.9–25.1]
College graduation 92.2 [91.4–93.1] 59.3 [57.6–61.0] 25.1 [23.6–26.6] 7.8 [7.0–8.6]
Graduate/professional degree 96.2 [95.6–96.8] 74.6 [73.0–76.2] 17.1 [15.7–18.4] 4.6 [3.8–5.3]
Sector of high school last attended
Public 91.7 [91.0–92.3] 59.7 [58.2–61.2] 23.5 [22.4–24.7] 8.5 [7.8–9.1]
Catholic 97.7 [97.1–98.3] 84.7 [82.0–87.4] 10.8 [8.4–13.2] 2.2 [1.4–3.0]
Other private 97.1 [96.0–98.2] 84.0 [80.6–87.5] 10.6 [7.7–13.5] 2.5 [1.2–3.8]
Urbanicity of high school last attended
Urban 93.4 [92.3–94.4] 64.5 [62.2–66.8] 21.7 [19.8–23.5] 7.2 [6.3–8.1]
Suburban 92.0 [91.1–92.9] 61.1 [59.1–63.2] 22.9 [21.4–24.4] 8.0 [7.1–8.9]
Rural 90.3 [88.9–91.8] 58.1 [54.9–61.3] 22.9 [20.3–25.4] 9.3 [7.8–10.8]
1 Black includes African American, Hispanic includes Latino, Asian includes Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, and American Indian includes
Alaska Native. All race categories exclude individuals of Hispanic or Latino origin.
NOTE: See the Technical Notes for the definition of 95% CI (confidence interval). This table shows, for example, that 92.1 percent of high school
seniors were planning to continue their education after high school. Estimates in this table are based on all high school seniors in spring 2004.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Education Longitudinal Study of 2002 (ELS:2002), “Base-year,
2002” and “First Follow-up, 2004.”
National Center for Education Statistics
Table 4.—Among high school seniors who planned to continue their education after high school,
Table 4.—percentage planning to attend postsecondary education at various times, by selected
Table 4.—student, family, and high school characteristics: 2004
Right after One year after More than 1 year after
Selected student, family, high school high school high school
and high school characteristics Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI Pct. 95% CI
Total 86.4 [85.6–87.3] 10.6 [9.8–11.3] 3.0 [2.6–3.4]
Sex
Male 83.5 [82.3–84.8] 12.2 [11.1–13.3] 4.2 [3.6–4.9]
Female 89.1 [88.1–90.1] 9.1 [8.1–10.1] 1.8 [1.4–2.2]
Race/ethnicity1
White 87.2 [86.2–88.2] 10.1 [9.2–11.0] 2.7 [2.2–3.1]
Black 86.4 [84.4–88.4] 10.3 [8.5–12.0] 3.3 [2.1–4.5]
Hispanic 82.4 [79.7–85.0] 13.8 [11.4–16.1] 3.9 [2.6–5.1]
Asian 93.5 [91.4–95.5] 4.8 [3.0–6.5] 1.8 [0.6–2.9]
American Indian 74.4 [63.1–85.7] 17.1 [6.6–27.7] 8.5 [2.7–14.2]
Two or more races 83.5 [79.4–87.6] 13.4 [9.6–17.3] 3.1 [1.1–5.0]
First language learned to speak as a child
Non-English 87.9 [85.9–89.9] 9.0 [7.2–10.8] 3.1 [2.1–4.1]
English 86.2 [85.3–87.1] 10.8 [10.0–11.6] 3.0 [2.5–3.4]
Highest level of parents’ education
High school or less 79.2 [77.3–81.1] 16.4 [14.7–18.1] 4.4 [3.5–5.3]
Some college 84.2 [82.9–85.5] 12.2 [11.1–13.4] 3.5 [2.8–4.2]
College graduation 91.0 [89.6–92.4] 7.1 [5.8–8.3] 2.0 [1.3–2.6]
Graduate/professional degree 93.6 [92.3–94.9] 4.9 [3.7–6.1] 1.5 [0.8–2.1]
Family income in 2001
$35,000 or lower 80.8 [79.2–82.4] 15.1 [13.6–16.6] 4.1 [3.3–4.9]
$35,001–75,000 86.1 [84.9–87.3] 10.6 [9.6–11.7] 3.3 [2.6–3.9]
More than $75,000 92.5 [91.4–93.6] 6.0 [5.0–7.0] 1.4 [0.9–2.0]
Family composition
Mother and father 88.8 [87.9–89.8] 8.8 [7.9–9.7] 2.4 [1.9–2.8]
Mother or father and guardian 81.8 [79.6–83.9] 14.1 [12.1–16.1] 4.1 [3.0–5.2]
Single parent (mother or father) 83.6 [81.7–85.5] 13.0 [11.3–14.7] 3.4 [2.5–4.3]
Other 81.1 [76.6–85.6] 13.2 [9.4–17.0] 5.7 [3.0–8.3]
Highest mathematics course taken
Pre-algebra or below 71.6 [66.7–76.5] 22.3 [17.8–26.8] 6.1 [3.7–8.5]
Algebra I/geometry 72.8 [70.4–75.1] 20.3 [18.3–22.3] 7.0 [5.5–8.4]
Algebra II 84.8 [83.2–86.3] 12.0 [10.6–13.3] 3.3 [2.5–4.0]
Trigonometry/analytic geometry/statistics 91.1 [89.6–92.7] 7.2 [5.7–8.7] 1.7 [1.0–2.3]
Pre-calculus/calculus 95.4 [94.6–96.3] 3.8 [3.0–4.6] 0.8 [0.5–1.1]
Highest science course taken
Low-level science 74.6 [68.3–80.8] 19.6 [13.9–25.3] 5.9 [3.0–8.7]
Secondary physical science/basic biology 70.2 [63.9–76.4] 22.6 [16.7–28.6] 7.2 [3.9–10.5]
General biology 77.7 [75.6–79.7] 16.4 [14.7–18.1] 5.9 [4.8–7.0]
Chemistry I or physics I 88.0 [86.6–89.4] 9.7 [8.5–10.9] 2.3 [1.6–2.9]
Chemistry I and physics I 93.6 [92.2–95.1] 5.6 [4.2–7.0] 0.7 [0.3–1.2]
Chemistry II, physics II, or advanced biology 93.7 [92.5–95.0] 5.0 [3.8–6.2] 1.3 [0.7–1.9]
See notes at end of table.