Consortium for Research on Educational Access, Transitions and Equity Human Capital, Poverty, Educational Access and Exclusion: The Case of Ghana 1991-2006 Caine Rolleston CREATE PATHWAYS TO ACCESS Research Monograph No. 22 January 2009 Institute of Education University of London The Consortium for Educational Access, Transitions and Equity (CREATE) is a Research Programme Consortium supported by the UK Department for International Development (DFID). Its purpose is to undertake research designed to improve access to basic education in developing countries. It seeks to achieve this through generating new knowledge and encouraging its application through effective communication and dissemination to national and international development agencies, national governments, education and developmentprofessionals,non-governmentorganisationsandotherinterestedstakeholders. Access to basic education lies at the heart of development. Lack of educational access, and securely acquired knowledgeandskill,isbothapartofthedefinitionofpoverty,andameansforitsdiminution.Sustainedaccess to meaningful learning that has value is critical to long term improvements in productivity, the reduction of inter-generational cycles of poverty, demographic transition, preventive health care, the empowerment of women,andreductionsininequality. TheCREATEpartners CREATEisdevelopingitsresearchcollaborativelywithpartnersinSub-SaharanAfricaandSouthAsia.The leadpartnerofCREATEistheCentreforInternationalEducationattheUniversityofSussex.Thepartnersare: TheCentreforInternationalEducation,UniversityofSussex:ProfessorKeithMLewin(Director) TheInstituteofEducationandDevelopment,BRACUniversity,Dhaka,Bangladesh:DrManzoorAhmed TheNationalUniversityofEducationalPlanningandAdministration,Delhi,India:ProfessorRGovinda TheEducationPolicyUnit,UniversityoftheWitwatersrand,SouthAfrica:DrShireenMotala TheUniversitiesofEducationatWinnebaandCapeCoast,Ghana:ProfessorJeromeDjangmah TheInstituteofEducation,UniversityofLondon:ProfessorAngelaWLittle Disclaimer The researchon whichthispaper isbased wascommissioned bythe Consortiumfor ResearchonEducational Access, Transitions and Equity (CREATE http://www.create-rpc.org). CREATE is funded by the UK Department for International Development (DFID) for the benefit of developing countries and is coordinated from the Centre for International Education, University of Sussex. The views expressed are those of the author(s)andnotnecessarilythoseofDFID,theInstituteofEducationortheCREATETeam. Copyright©CREATE2009 ISBN:0-901881-28-7 Addressforcorrespondence: CREATE, CentreforInternationalEducation,SussexSchoolofEducation, UniversityofSussex,Falmer,BrightonBN19QQ, UnitedKingdom Tel: +44(0)1273678464 Fax: +44(0)1273877534 Authoremail: [email protected] Website: http://www.create-rpc.org Email [email protected] PleasecontactCREATEusingthedetailsaboveifyourequireahardcopyofthispublication. Human Capital, Poverty, Educational Access and Exclusion: The Case of Ghana 1991-2006 Caine Rolleston CREATE PATHWAYS TO ACCESS Research Monograph No. 22 January 2009 Contents Acknowledgements...................................................................................................................vi Preface......................................................................................................................................vii Summary.................................................................................................................................viii 1. Introduction............................................................................................................................1 1.1TheData......................................................................................................................2 1.2Structureofthestudy..................................................................................................3 2.HumanCapital,Povertyand HouseholdWelfareinGhanainthe1990s..............................4 2.1Conceptual frameworkandliterature review..............................................................4 2.2Modellingapproach andprocedure............................................................................7 2.3Descriptiveresults.......................................................................................................8 2.4Regressionmodellingresults......................................................................................9 2.5Discussion.................................................................................................................11 3.TheDeterminationofExclusion: Evidencefrom theGhana LivingStandards Surveys 1991 -2006........................................................................................................................................12 3.1Conceptual Frameworkand LiteratureReview........................................................12 3.2ModellingApproach andProcedure........................................................................14 3.3DescriptiveResults...................................................................................................15 3.3.1BasicEducationAttendance andCompletion1991-2006............................15 3.4RegressionModellingResults..................................................................................19 3.4.1 Initial access.................................................................................................19 3.4.2Current Attendance andDrop-Out...............................................................20 3.4.3ExclusioninGLSS 5....................................................................................21 3.4.4Alternativemodels.......................................................................................23 3.5Discussion.................................................................................................................23 4.Conclusion............................................................................................................................25 References................................................................................................................................26 Appendix..................................................................................................................................30 ii Listof Tables Table1 Descriptionofexplanatoryvariables (householdwelfareequation)…….8 Table2 Descriptivestatistics (householdwelfareequation)…………………….30 Table3 Results ofregressionofhouseholdwelfareoneducational qualifications ofthehouseholdhead(partial correlations)……………..31 Table4 Results ofregressionofhouseholdwelfareequationwithcontrols…....32 Table5 Descriptionofexplanatoryvariables (school attendance equations)…..15 Table6 Proportions ofchildrenaged5-17whowere currentlyattending school byregionandsurveyround……………………………………..17 Table7 Educational access (ages 5-17): Estimatedpopulationfigures usingGLSS 3-5(millions)……………………………………………...18 Table8 Proportions ofchildrenaged5-17whohad ‘dropped-out’ ofbasiceducationbyregionandsurveyround………………………..33 Table9 Proportions ofchildren whohadcompletedprimaryschool byage,region andsurveyround………………………………..……....33 Table10 Proportions ofchildren whohadcompletedJSSbyage, regionandsurveyround………………………………………………...33 Table11 DescriptiveStatistics (school attendance age5to 19)………………….34 Table12 Children’s workandschool attendance GLSS 3-5……………………..35 Table13 Results ofprobit regression: Dependent variable everattendance at school (age5to19)…………………………………………………..36 Table14 Results ofprobit regression: Dependent variable current attendanceat school (age 5to19)……………………………………....37 Table15 Results ofmultinomial logisticregression: Dependent variableaccess outcome (Age5to19)…………………………………38 iii Listof Figures Figure1 Examples oflinkages betweeneducationand economicwelfare………..2 Figure2 IllustrationofdatastructureinGLSS……………………………………3 Figure3 Occupation ofhouseholdheads (2005-6)………………………………..9 Figure4 Adults householdmembers withnoeducation ……………………….....9 Figure5 Adults 18-35with seniorsecondaryorhigherqualifications……………9 Figure6 Averagehouseholdwelfarebyexpenditurequintile andsurveyround........................................................................................9 Figure7 Rates ofever-attendance at school age5-17…………………………....16 Figure8 Enrolment inprimarygrade1byage(GLSS 5)………………………...17 Figure9 Current attendanceat school bygenderand age………………………..21 iv Listof Acronyms CREATE Consortium forResearch onEducational Access, Transitions andEquity EA EnumerationArea EFA EducationforAll GLSS Ghana LivingStandards Survey GoG Government ofGhana ICCC Intra-ClusterCorrelationCoefficient GSS GhanaStatistical Service HHH HouseholdHead JSS JuniorSecondarySchool MDGs Millennium Development Goals OLS OrdinaryLeast Squares PSU PrimarySamplingUnit SSS SeniorSecondarySchool UNESCO UnitedNations Educational,ScientificandCultural Organisation v Acknowledgements Iam grateful toAngela Little,GeetaKingdon,KwameAkyeampong, AbenaOduroand Keith Lewinfortheirinstructivecomments onearlierdrafts ofthis monograph. vi Preface Education and poverty are closely inter-connected. Caine Rolleston’s analysis employs national level data from three rounds of the Ghanaian Living Standards Surveys (GLSSs) to explorethereciprocal relationships between educationandhouseholdwelfare.Rarelyareboth relations - the role of education in determining household welfare and the role of household welfare in determining school attendance and progression - explored together within the same analysis. This study demonstrates how this can be done. Additionally, by employing three surveys, trends in educational participation and welfare are explored over time and related to more general shifts insocietyandeconomy.The ‘Zones ofExclusion’model whichunderpins the work of the CREATE research consortium and this monograph series has been applied to these secondary data sets wherever possible, enabling the author to deepen our understanding of the combinations of factors at work at different stages of access to and progression through education.This is anexemplarystudyand will be ofvalue toGhana’s educationpolicymakers and education research community. Its methodological approach will also be of value to those whoanalyselivingstandards surveys from elsewhere. ProfessorAngelaW. Little InstituteofEducation, London CREATEPartner InstituteConvenor vii Summary The period since 1991 has seen a general improvement both in terms of household welfare and schooling participation in Ghana. This monograph explores the patterns among descriptive indicators and uses regression analysis to examine possible causal relationships with special reference to the role of education in determining welfare and its reciprocal, the role of welfare and other aspects of economic privilege in the determination of school attendance and progression. It reviews the literature on modelling of the household consumption function as well as on modelling schooling decisions based on the household production function. Two groups of models are then fitted using data from the Ghana Living Standards Surveys. The results suggest that education levels play an important role in determining household welfare and that, for higher levels of education, these effects may be strengthening. Educational expansion has, however, meant that access to the benefits from these effects has widened somewhat. Demographic change has also played an important role in welfare improvements. In terms of absolute numbers, access to schooling in Ghana has expanded dramatically. Rates of completion and of drop-out have not improved, however, and there appears to be a worsening of age-appropriate completion rates. Nonetheless, the first half of the period since 1991 saw substantial increases in rates of ever-attendance and of current-attendance at the basic education level. This growth appears to have been driven by narrowing regional differentials, increasing welfare, urbanisation, improving gender equity, smaller and less dependent households and a reduction in the number of children involved in child labour. It is in relation to progression towards higher levels of education that more significant inequity emerges and in 2006 completion of lower secondary education in Ghana remains thepreserveofchildreninareas andhouseholds ofrelative economicprivilege. viii