DOCUMENT RESUME RC 022 050 ED 441 624 Profile of Rural Idaho: A Look at Economic and Social Trends TITLE Affecting Rural Idaho. Idaho State Dept. of Commerce, Boise. INSTITUTION IDC-99-33120-4M REPORT NO 1999-00-00 PUB DATE 37p.; Some figures may not reproduce adequately. NOTE Idaho Dept. of Commerce, 700 W. State Street, P.O. Box AVAILABLE FROM 83720, Boise, Idaho 83720-0093. Tel: 208-334-2470. For full text: http://www.idoc.state.id.us/business/pdfs/ruralprofile.pdf. Descriptive Reports Numerical/Quantitative Data (110) PUB TYPE (141) MF01/PCO2 Plus Postage. EDRS PRICE Educational Attainment; Elementary Secondary Education; DESCRIPTORS Employment Patterns; Health Services; Income; *Population Trends; Poverty; Quality of Life; *Rural Areas; *Rural Population; *Rural Urban Differences; *Social Indicators *Idaho IDENTIFIERS ABSTRACT This document examines population trends and economic and social indicators in rural Idaho. The first few sections discuss the definition of "rural," rural challenges and strengths, and outside economic and political forces impacting Idaho's rural areas. Subsequent sections present data on population trends, migration patterns, race and ethnicity, age groups, economic bases, employment, business and banking, agriculture, educational attainment, access to libraries, income, poverty, health care, infrastructure, housing, and quality of life. Maps and other figures are included in each section. Eight data tables provide details on Idaho counties and state, both urban and rural averages. Education-related information in these tables includes percentage of the population under age 18, percentage with a high school diploma or higher, percent with a bachelor's degree or higher, percentage with less than a ninth-grade education, high school dropout rate, percentage of limited-English-speaking children of school age, percentage served by library service, child poverty rate, and teen pregnancy rate. Data sources and rural Idaho contacts are listed. (SV) Reproductions supplied by EDRS are the best that can be made from the original document. U S DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION Office of Educational Research and Improvement IONAL RESOURCES INFORMATION EDUC CENTER (ERIC) his document has been reproduced as received from the person or organization originating it Minor changes have been made to improve reproduction quality o Points of view or opinions stated in this document do not necessarily represent official OERI position or policy THIS "PERMISSION TO REPRODUCE BY MATERIAL HAS BEEN GRANTED L i la TA _4_rciiie, RESOURCES TO THE EDUCATIONAL INFORMATION CENTER (ERIC)" 01%04 o la PROFILE A look at economic OF C and social trends RURAL affecting rural Idaho IDAHO V DIRK KEMPTHORNE, GOVERNOR GARY MAHN, DIRECTOR !MHO DITARTMLN 1 Of COMMI.RCE 3 DIRK KEMPTHORNE GOVERNOR Dear Idahoan: Most rural Idahoans I speak with share common goals. They want their communities to be prosperous, provide job opportunities for their children, and enhance rural values and lifestyles. Idahoans understand that to provide a brighter future for their children they need to make wise investments in their communities and their businesses. This report, by focusing on the differences between urban and rural Idaho, can be a useful tool for achieving those goals. By highlighting rural and urban strengths, vulnerabilities, and differences, it provides policymakers in business and government with statistics crucial to identifying challenges and to improving opportunities for all Idahoans. While some of Idaho's rural areas have experienced an economic rebound during the last decade, many of Idaho's natural resource-based industries are experiencing difficult times. Worldwide oversupply, decreased prices, technological change, and increased competition are creating problems for many communities. The policy implications of these market conditions will demand our attention well into the next century. I am convinced Idaho's "can-do" attitude and community spirit can enhance the state's prosperity and well being. Sustaining our communities, creating new employment opportunities and protecting the high quality of our environment will require partnerships at many levels. With cooperation between the private and public sectors, and with committed community leaders, we can keep Idaho vibrant. Sincerely, DIRK KEMPTHORNE GOVERNOR 3 (208) 334-2100 STATE CAPITOL ° BOISE, 1p,AHO 83720 CONTENTS Introduction 2 Highlights 3 Rural Definitions 4 Rural Differences 5 Outside Forces 6 Demographics 7 Economy 12 Agriculture 15 Education 16 Income 17 Poverty 18 Healthcare 19 Infrastructure 20 Housing 21 Quality of Life 22 Appendix Tables 23 Data Sources 32 Rural Idaho Contacts 33 DIRK KEMPTHORNE, Governor GARY MAHN, Director RURAL IDAHO Profile of is published by the Idaho Department of Commerce, Division of Economic Development. For further assistance, please contact: Idaho Department of Commerce 700 West State Street P.O. Box 83720, Boise, Idaho 83720-0093 (208) 334-2470 FAX (208) 334-2631 IDAHO Internet: http://www.idoc.state.id.us E-mail: [email protected] IDAHO kge444' RURAL IDC 99-33120-4M PARTNERSHIP RURAL IDAHO Profile of 1 INTRODUCTION The vigorous growth Idaho's economy experienced in the late 1980s continued through much of the 1990s. Between 1990 and 1998, Idaho's population growth rate ranked third in the nation. Idaho ranked seventh in population growth from 1997 to 1998 behind other Western states including Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, and Utah. Idaho's civilian labor force increased 32.3 percent from 1990 to 1998. The strength of Idaho's economic performance was fueled by the growth in three urban counties, Ada, Canyon, and Kootenai. Fifteen counties, all rural except one, experienced a decline in population from 1997 to 1998. In addition, personal income has not kept pace with the rest of the nation. Part of Idaho's below average income growth can be explained by the decline in farm earnings. High technology manufacturing, business services, health services, tourism, and trade continue to be strong sectors in the state's economy, while natural resource based economic activities, notably timber and mining, continue to decline. While the agricultural sector has been affected, food processing has eased the historical decline in number of farms and jobs. Both high technology manufacturing and agriculture have been hit by the decline in the Asian economy, a strong US dollar, decreased demand, and oversupply resulting in lower prices for Idaho's exports. Despite Idaho's economic growth, not all areas have benefitted. Fourteen counties had an unemployment rate of 4.0 percent or less in 1998. Five counties, each dependent on timber or mining had double digit unemployment. Disparities in employment, income and the availability of social services between rural and urban areas are not unique to Idaho. Rural economic distress occurs in many states. This report is intended to help clarify the degree and extent of the "two-Idaho" phenomenon. We do not intend to suggest there are not any solutions to rural problems or that no one is working to lessen rural disparities. Throughout rural Idaho, individuals and community groups are taking action to improve life in rural areas, assisted by the Idaho Department of Commerce's Gem Community Program, the Idaho Rural Partnership, and the cooperative efforts of many other state and federal agencies. It is hoped this report will serve as a useful planning tool for people throughout Idaho working at local, state, and federal levels to accomplish this goal. By better defining the issues facing rural Idaho, better solutions can be devised and implemented. The Idaho Department of Commerce published this profile, the third of its kind, in cooperation with the Idaho Rural Partnership and the Idaho Office of Rural Health. We wish to thank Dr. Dick Gardner and the members of the Idaho Rural Partnership for their contributions and support. 5 Profile of RURAL IDAHO 2 HIGHLIGHTS Rural areas cover 88.3 percent of the state of Due to productivity gains and changes in the Idaho. These areas are home to 36.2 percent of global economy, the percent of total the total population. employment in agriculture and mining has fallen over the last century while jobs in manufacturing, trade, services, and Idaho's population has grown steadily since the first census, amid cycles of boom and bust. government have increased. During tough economic times in the 1980s, Although urban counties show higher more people left the state than moved in. Rural areas were hardest hit. Since 1990, proportions of high school and college graduates, rural areas continue to improve. three-fourths of the growth in population has Both urban and rural areas exceed the occurred in urban areas, especially Ada, Canyon, and Kootenai counties. national average in percent of high school graduates. Throughout the 1990s, most rural areas experienced modest growth rates. Substantial Rural per capita income in Idaho is two- population growth is evident in those areas thirds of the national average. Areas adjacent adjacent to urban counties. Between 1997 and to urban counties often attract new businesses 1998, fifteen counties lost population. and individuals with higher incomes. As a result, living expenses and taxes may increase. All communities, urban and rural, are poised The costs associated with increased differently to react to changes in economic and infrastructure and social services demands due social conditions. Smaller towns often lack the to new residents and new businesses may also resources available in urban areas to help them present challenges to rural areas. adapt smoothly. While poverty is more common among rural The demographic makeup of Idaho counties residents, they receive fewer welfare dollars. is changing. The state's population is aging, an issue which may be critical in rural areas with The social fabric is stronger in rural areas inadequate healthcare facilities and support. with significantly fewer problems of crime, divorce, and teen pregnancy and greater While economic diversification is community cohesiveness and spirit. strengthening many local economies, some areas continue to rely heavily on single Physician shortages have eased in recent industries, while other areas may be affected years. Managed care and other factors are by downsizing industries or business closures. changing Idaho's health care structure toward integrated regional networks. Some rural The number of rural businesses grew residents travel long distances for care. substantially during the 1990s, although at a Emergency medical services, most volunteer slower rate than firms in urban counties. based, are important in these areas. Two counties, both rural and dependent on Two-thirds of rural Idaho is public land agriculture, lost employment from 1990-98. In managed by the federal government. While 1998, five rural counties dependent on timber outdoor recreation and tourism opportunities and mining had double digit unemployment. are readily available, land use decisions are Fifty-seven percent of Idaho's population base often made by others, outside of the area. Due lives in a natural resource dependent area. to its management, residents face limited access and development options concerning the land. ;4 6 RURAL IDAHO 3 Profile of RURAL DEFINITIONS Counties with No Cities of 20,000 or More - coding an acceptable definition of rural is 11 no easy task. Is a rural area one with no As with earlier editions of the Rural Profile of Idaho, the authors of this report chose to define McDonalds? One where cattle outnumber rural as those counties that do not have a city of people? The appropriate breaking point between rural and urban seems to vary with the subject 20,000 or greater population. Twenty thousand seems to be an appropriate threshold population discussed. Data are often unavailable. Some for a significant trading center. In Idaho, Boise, commonly used definitions include: Census Bureau Rural - The U.S. Census Coeur d'Alene, Idaho Falls, Lewiston, Moscow, Nampa, Pocatello, and.Twin Falls meet this Bureau defines rural as any place of fewer than criterion. These cities all have higher education 2,500 residents or one of any size which is not facilities, regional medical centers, and paid included in an urbanized area. (The urbanized economic development staff. The eight urban areas in Idaho include the vicinities of Boise, counties are Ada, Bannock, Bonneville, Canyon, Pocatello, and Idaho Falls.) In 1996, according to this definition, 40 percent of Idaho was rural. Kootenai, Latah, Nez Perce, and Twin Falls. The remaining 36 counties are classified as rural (see This definition excludes such places as map) and include 36.2 percent of the state's Montpelier, Sandpoint, Jerome, St. Anthony, and Grangeville, which are clearly rural in character. population. In order to draw a comparison Nonmetropolitan - The Census Bureau between 1990 and 1998 and so as not to defines a Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) as minimize the rural and urban trends over time, Latah County is included as an urban county for a county or group of counties containing a place of 50,000 or more. In Idaho, there are twothe both 1990 and 1998. This is true only for those instances where the net change is analyzed, Boise MSA, which includes Ada and Canyon counties, and the Pocatello MSA, which includes notably, net migration, net business growth, civilian employment, and housing. Bannock County. Using this measure, 61.7 This last definition is not perfect. Each urban percent of the state's population is county contains some very rural areas. The towns nonmetropolitan. However, because of Idaho's of Downey in Bannock County, Parma in Canyon sparse population and sprawling geography, County, Worley in Kootenai County, Bovill in smaller cities such as Idaho Falls, Lewiston, Twin Falls, and Coeur d'Alene function as important Latah County, and Buhl in Twin Falls County, serve as good examples of rural areas in urban trading centers. counties. This definition of rural represents a compromise and appears to be the most workable for Idaho. 7 Rural Counties Urban Counties Profile of RURAL IDAHO 4 RURAL DIFFERENCES Periods of rapid change directly impact communities. Both rural and urban areas are faced with changing family structures, cultural diversification, shifts in technology, and periodic economic fluctuations. However, there are some important differences in rural areas that set them apart and help them adapt to change. Although these differences are often strengths, many times they take the form of challenges that must be overcome in order for rural areas to survive and prosper. Rural Strengths Rural Challenges Residents of rural areas are generally more Rural communities tend to have narrower business basesoften a single industrywhich attached and committed to their communities. Such a stable population translates into life-long increases economic volatility and vulnerability. residence and stronger community ties. Residents Economic decline can translate to social distress. of rural areas tend to know more people Location issues contribute to problems of intimately, which serves to strengthen and isolation in rural areas. solidify community values. Sense of place tends Rural area residents may be negatively to be stronger in rural areas. impacted by population growth (increases in Scenic beauty, a cleaner environment, prices for goods and services and the crime rate). proximity to natural amenities, and less Many rural communities do not have congestion contribute to a higher quality of life infrastructure (roads, utilities, communications, for rural residents. etc.) in place that will allow them to grow. A significant number of new residents Rural residents tend to enjoy a lower cost of living when compared with urban residents. moving into a community can overwhelm the However, an influx of new businesses or residents infrastructure capacity, creating social conflict. can increase prices for goods and services. Population loss creates excess capacity and Rural areas hold the majority of the state's increased per capita operating costs. natural resources. The foundation of the Due to smaller tax bases, community agriculture, timber, and mining industries also investment and infrastructure improvements are hold the possibility for recreation and tourism limited and often difficult to finance. Rural communities are dependent upon development in some areas. The crime rate in rural areas tends to be fewer leaders, sometimes volunteers, who must work multiple roles and become susceptible to lower than in urban areas. Rural Idahoans possess a strong work ethic burnout. Rural areas often depend on urban centers and represent a quality labor force. for investment capital and other financial Lower business operating costs and the proximity of natural amenities contribute to the services. attractiveness of rural areas as a place to operate Social services, including basic medical care, are often lacking in rural towns. a business. Rural areas are often characterized by a lack of jobs. Available jobs tend to be lower skilled and lower paying. it Profile of RURAL IDAHO 5 OUTSIDE FORCES Both rural and urban Idaho are impacted Technological Change - Rural resource- by economic and political factors that based industries are increasingly vulnerable to originate beyond Idaho's borders. Changes in changes in technology. Fewer raw materials go economic and regulatory policies, international into finished products. Substitute products markets, technology, and the public perception of replace many natural inputs. The agriculture the appropriate role of government are but a few industry has also been affected by technological of these external factors. changes. Former waste materials now have uses. From a policy perspective however, it is Fewer employees are needed to support a given useful to distinguish between factors that affect level of production. Idaho in general and those that have unique Information Technology - The information impacts on rural Idaho: age continues to send waves of change across rural Idaho. Opportunities to link rural people Changes in Federal Funding - The federally and make rural businesses competitive are mandated shift of responsibility for funding many provided through telecommunications. However, social services from the federal to state and local technology is a two-edged sword. To the extent government levels has placed increased pressure that rural areas lack transmission capacity, and on state and local budgets. This has increased the residents lack computer literacy and equipment, difficulty of providing quality social services in rural Idaho is at risk. This risk comes in the form rural areas at a reasonable cost. While agencies of consolidation of jobs and services in urban are under pressure, an atmosphere for effective areas. Most rural areas have local call capability change and collaboration has also been created. allowing Internet access. Deregulation - Decreasing government Environmental Concerns - National public oversight of the financial, transportation, values have shifted toward more non-consumptive healthcare, and communication industries has uses of our environment. Resource sustainability created more competition and efficiency. While is a growing concern. The unique natural population centers have been able to capture the resources of the Pacific Northwest, coupled with benefits of deregulation, rural areas with higher unavoidable pressure from a growing economy, per-unit costs pay higher market prices and continue as subjects of intense regional and receive lower levels of service. national debate. International Competition - Market prices Public Land Management - Nearly two- for resource-based rural economies are more thirds of Idaho is public land managed by the vulnerable to changes in world prices and resource federal government. The potential extent of supplies than are prices in markets of the more private investment is constrained, as well as the differentiated, technology-driven and information- local tax base to finance infrastructure. Some based urban economies. Consequently, increased revenue is generated through PILT, Payment in international production of basic commodities has Lieu of Taxes. As PILT revenues decline, less profoundly affected Idaho's rural economy. Recent money is available to the counties for services. trade agreements and the 1996 farm bill serve to Rural areas are often subject to the values of increase price risk. urban residents on public land policies and regulations. This is particularly true in the West. 9 Profile of RURAL IDAHO 6 DEMOGRAPHICS Idaho Population Growth 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 n I 0 1 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1998 1890 Urban Idaho Rural Idaho Idaho's population has grown steadily from the first census. The rural population, however, has been relatively stable since 1920, peaking in 1950. Part of this variation in rural population may be a result of the methodology used. Some counties grew to become urban and as such were no longer counted as rural. Idaho was 100 percent rural until 1920, when the city of Boise reached a population of 21,393. Ada County was Idaho's first urban area. Bannock County was the next area to become urban when Pocatello grew to over 20,000 in 1950. The 1960 Census made it possible to include Bonneville and Twin Falls counties. In 1970, Canyon and Nez Perce counties were added. Kootenai County joined the list of urban counties in 1990. With the 1996 city population estimates, Latah County is the latest urban county addition. Ea MI ON DM ffitl DM UM NM MD MID agg3 aS193) Ettud 444,635 415,536 362,657 409,928 435,641 396,653 407,107 474,472 476,243 325,594 161,772 88,548 Wm] 534,199 591,213 784,049 231,550 350,358 112,394 35,213 37,925 50,401 0 0 0 Tall 1,228,684 713,015 944,127 1,006,749 588,637 524,873 667,191 431,866 325,594 445,032 161,772 88,548 Eighteen Idaho counties, all rural, saw population declines in the 1980s. From 1990-98, four counties lost population. Fourteen rural counties and one urban county, Latah, experienced a population decrease from 1997 to 1998. While the majority of population growth continues to occur in Idaho's urban areas, rural high amenity counties have also experienced population growth. Teton County has received national attention for its population growth. Between 1990 and 1998, Teton County ranked first in Idaho and 19th in the nation in percent change in population. sts. / Profile of RURAL IDAHO 7