DOCUMENT RESUME HE 025 910 ED 350 932 Noble, Keith Allan AUTHOR An International Prognostic Study, Based on an TITLE Acquisition Model, of Degree Philosophiae Doctor (Ph.D.). PUB DATE 92 230p.; Doctoral Dissertation, University of NOTE Ottawa. Doctoral Dissertations/Theses Books (010) PUB TYPE Dissertations (041) MF01/PC10 Plus Postage. EDRS PRICE Academic Achievement; *Academic Standards; Curriculum DESCRIPTORS Research; Data Collection; *Degree Requirements; Degrees (Academic); *Doctoral Degrees; *Doctoral Programs; Foreign Countries; *Graduate Study; Guidelines; Higher Education; Literature Reviews; Models; Questionnaires; Research Methodology ABSTRACT This thesis documents an exploratory study of the degree Philosophiae Doctor (Ph.D.). A Ph.D. acquisition model was used as the conceptual framework for the investigation. The model incorporated the three fundamental components of the degree (lengthy study, original research, thesis preparation), which were determined from the historical and regulatory literature. The study sought to answer the question of what effect, either positive or negative, the experts believed altering the fundamental components of the degree Philosophiae Doctor, would most likely have on the resultant degree. Data to answer this question were derived using the prognostic Delphi technique involving a panel of 67 (15 females, 52 males) English-speaking individuals associated with higher education. In Round 1 of the questionnaire study, panelists identified Ph.D. degree-related problems that were validated against the prescriptive literature (1960-1988). Round 2 generated predictive responses about the outcome of 18 hypothetical actions which address the most frequently raised problems in Round 1. A reiterative Round 3 resulted in acceptably stable prognoses for the majority of the responses. The implications of these programs as they relate to the traditional and four non-traditional Ph.D. degrees and to university administrators are discussed. Appendices include the questionnaire and several of the study's components. Contains approximately 250 references. (Author/GLR) ************************************************ ********************,. Reproductions supplied by EDRS are the best that can be made from the original document. *********************************************************************** UNIVERSITE UNIVERSITY D'OTTAWA OF OTTAWA AN INTERNATIONAL PROGNOSTIC STUDY, BASED ON AN AnTISITION MDDEL, OF THE DEGREE PHILOSOFRIAE DOCTOR (PH.D. ) by Keith Allan Noble U.S. DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION "PERMISSION TO REPRODUCE THIS Othce of Educatonat Research and Improvement MATERIAL HAS BEEN GRANTED BY EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES INFORMATION CENTER (ERIC) Keith Allan Noble Wets document has been reproduced as received from the person or OtgentzatIon OrigInatng C MtnOr changes he re been made to trnprove reproduction quality Points of view Or opinions stated m this oocu TO THE EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES ment do not necessarily represent offIc.ai OE RI postlion or policy INFORMATION CENTER (ERIC)." A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE SCHOOL OF GRADUATE STUDIES AND RESEARCH IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY DEGREE IN EDUCATION Copyright: Keith Allan Noble, Ottawa, Canada. 1992 6 BEST COPY AVAILABLE "After all, Albert Einstein took six years to complete his Ph.D. on the second attempt." Sir Alwyn Williams [Principal] University of Glasgow Graduation Address 1987 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I acknowledge and thank all those listed below; all have helped me with my formal education, and thus, to attain the degree Philosophiae Doctor. Dr. Edwin G. Belzer, Jr. for demonstrating humane objectivity Dr. Jean -Marie Beniskos for encouraging me to question Jill Bobroff for always showing me kindness Barbara 8, Dr. Thomas Carney for being academic models for me Leon Devine for caring about me as a high school student Dr. Ian I. Dow for introducing me to graduate teaching Jack Hurley for accepting my unskilled ways Brenda Jago for confronting me with words of wisdom Errol Lyell Kepper for guiding me during my adolescence Madeleine lalande for steering me through the Ph.D. bureaucracy S.J. (Joe) Maconachie for teaching me about "full circle thinking" Claire Noble for telling me about the world and beyond Ronald Allan Noble for sowing the seed of knowledge Dr. Robert R. O'Reilly for being a truly supportive doctoral advisor Marianne Erika Raab for editing all my graduate writing Dr. Richard Rancourt for awakening me to epistemology Dr. William J. Shannon for helping me enter university in Canada James M. Watt for having faith in my abilities sight unseen Dr. Jon White for encouraging me to begin publishing Digby N.C. Wilson for advising me how to enter university in Australia Dr. Ruth Wright for revealing the relevance of theory to me DEDICATION This thesis is dedicated to all those "all but" former candidates; those who completed all the requirements for the doctorate but not the thesis. ABSTRACT an of exploratory This degree documents study the thesis It was prompted by the international Philosophiae Doctor [Ph.D.]. existence of several contentious aspects of the degree [appropriateness, research program discrimination, attrition, emphasis, employment, to competency unconventional programs]. evaluation, complete, time absence of any relevant of model Because a the theory, [Ph.D. acquisition model] was utilized as the conceptual framework for the investigation. This model incorporates the three fundamental components of the degree [lengthy study, original research, thesis preparation], which were determined from the historical and regulatory literature. The research question was, either positive or "[w]hat effect, negative, do experts think altering the fundamental components of the degree Philosophiae Doctor, will most likely have on the resultant degree?" Data to answer this question was derived using the prognostic Delphi technique involving a panel of males] females, 67 52 [15 English-speaking These professionals individuals. have extensive experience with the Ph.D. degree and they come from Australia, Canada, Great Britain, and the United States. In the Round 1 questionnaire the panelists identified Ph.D. degree related problems that were validated against the prescriptive literature [1960-1988]. Round 2 generated predictive responses about the outcome of 18 hypothetical actions which address the most frequently raised problems in Round 1. A reiterative Round 3 resulted in acceptably stable prognoses for the majority of the responses. The implications of these prognoses, as they relate to the traditional and four non-traditional Ph.D. degrees and to university administrators are discussed. kir TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Chapter LIST OF TABLES ii LIST OF FIGURES iii LIST OF APPENDICES 1 INTRODUCTION I: 12 DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY DEGREE II: 12 History of the University 18 History of the Doctorate 41 Regulatory and Prescriptive Literature 45 Summary 47 III: CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK 47 Research Question 49 Ph.D. Degree Acquisition Model and Limitations 59 Prognostics 64 Summary 66 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY IV: 66 Delphi Technique 73 Panel of Participants and Questionnaires Used 78 Reliability and Validity 82 Summary 84 FINDINGS AND ANALYSES V: 84 Problematic Issues [Round 1] 90 Iterative Process [Rounds 2 and 3] Final Prognoses of Panel of Participants 95 109 Summary 111 CONCLUSION VI: 111 Summary of Research 113 Implications for Ph.D. Degree Implications for University Administrators 129 135 Recommendations 139 APPENDICES 203 REFERENCES TABLES Page 1. Years to complete a doctoral degree in United States 7 29 2. Doctoral degrees offered in United States [1989] 44 3. Recommendations prescribed for Ph.D. degree [1960-1988] 4. Problematic issues tabled by frequency and country of origin 85 as defined in Round 1 by panel of participants 92 5. Stability data and summary statistics for Round 3 95 6. Country and combined response frequencies [7.] for Round 3 7. Final prognoses for lengthy study component action 106 8. Final prognoses for original research component action 107 9. Final prognoses for thesis preparation component action 108 10. Actions the panel believes will most likely have a negative 130 effect on Ph.D. degree 11. Actions he panel believes will most likely have a positive 132 effect on Ph.D. degree 12. Actions the panel believes will most likely have ambiguous 133 effects on Ph.D. degree ii FIGURES Page 49 Ph.D. degree acquisition model 1. Ph.D. degree acquisition model [mathematical variations] 52 2. lii APPENDICES Page 139 Letter requesting data on contemporary Ph.D. degree A. 140 Fundamental components of Ph.D. degree in Australia, Canada, B. Great Britain, anc United States [1989] 145 Prescriptive literature extracts and key point summaries C. 152 Terms associated with doctoral research in United States D. Characteristics of doctoral theses in United States 155 E. 157 Examples of stability measurement computation F. 158 Fields where Delphi technique has been applied G. Delphi technique bibliography related to higher education 159 H. Panel of participants [with titles effective in 1989] 160 I. Letter requesting participation on panel 165 J. Round 1 questionnaire 166 K. 170 Round 2 questionnaire L. Round 3 questionnaire 173 M. Round 1 problematic issues 177 N. Round 1 single problematic issues 193 0. Response summary for Rounds 2 and 3 195 P. Final prognoses of panel for all questions 197 Q. A.A.U. doctoral education recommendations 199 R. I INTRODUCTION thesis was in this an The purpose of the research recorded exploratory investigation of the degree Philosophiae Doctor [Ph.D., More specifically, to study the acquisition doctor of philosophy]. process of the degree and to assess what effects hypothetical changes in The stimulus for this the process may have on the resultant doctorate. investigation was the fact that the degree and its current acquisition process are being challenged and criticized on the university campus, in the business community, and within the political realm. As evidence of this unsettled situation, brief details concerning a degree are subsequently number of contentious aspects of the Ph.D. appropriateness, attrition, include aspects These highlighted. competency research program emphasis, discrimination, employment, They are evaluation, time to complete, and unconventional programs. highlighted because related contentions appear frequently in the higher Whether all the criticism leveled at education literature and press. justified is overridden by its the doctor of philosophy degree is persistent existence, and the criticism is documented without discussion and discontent disharmony as evidence of simply international References are made to Australia, Canada, surrounding this doctorate. Great Britain, and the United States. [Although Great Britain is not an official name, it has been used to avoid possible confusion between the They were selected because their United States and the United Kingdom.] similar academic universities their degree have structures, Ph.D. programs have a common ancestry, and the majority of their doctoral programs are given in the English language. 1