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Pricing Policies to Promote Rice Production and Marketing November 17, 2015 th at Pre-Conference Seminar of the 6 CARD General Meeting Takanori SATOYAMA General Coordinator CARD Secretariat Outline 1. Introduction 2. Critiques vs Justifications 3. Pricing Policies on Farm Inputs 4. Pricing Policies on Farm Outputs 5. Conclusion 1. INTRODUCTION 1. Introduction Our desire is farmers to increase their rice production Need to understand their economy, influencing decision making: • Production Quantity = f (inputs, land, labor, water, climate and other factors) • Revenue = Products Quantity x Price of Farm Products sum Cost Cost Cost Cost • Cost = (Input , Labor , Rent, Water , Marketing ) • Profit = Revenue – Cost Three scenarios; Positive, Negative, or Zero Risks and other limiting factors: e.g. Postharvest loss, Market access, financial capacity, limited access to land and water 1. Introduction For farmers to produce more, their profit should be large enough and their risks should be lowered Profit = Revenue – Cost s um C C C C Profit = Revenue (produce x price) – Cost (inputs , rent, labor , Mkting , other factors ) e.g. Price support, e.g. Subsidy, Grant Price Stabilization Pricing policies on Inputs and Outputs can increase Farmers revenue Risks and other limiting factors Counter measures against risks and other limiting factors e.g. Introduction of new technologies (varieties, chemical), Crop insurance, improved storage, irrigation and land development, financial service provision, 1. Introduction Main focus of this presentation is to answer the following questions: Is Pricing Policy bad news or good news for private sector ? If it helps private sector, How it should be done? 2. CRITIQUES VS JUSTIFICATIONS 2. Critiques vs Justifications < Critiques > • Markets should not be distorted Alternative measures: For Revenue- Social Safety net, more liberalized trade, private stock Market-oriented risk management schemes such as insurance For Cost – credit service, extension services, infrastructure • Pricing Policies are too costly Empirically, Input subsidy program can go far more than half of agricultural budget (Howard and Mungoma, 1997) and Food price stabilization mechanism can cost 3-5% of countries’ GDP (Jayne and Jones 1997, Minot and Rashid, 2013) . (e.g. Cost of FISP in Malawi, Maize purchase program in Zambia, rice purchase program in Japan and Thailand,) • Gov’t interventions in input/output markets kill private sector Public interventions will deprive private business opportunities (e.g. NMC experience in Tanzania, fertilizer market in Malawi, cereal trade in Zambia) • Pricing Policies are not sustainable 2. Critiques vs Justifications < Justifications> • Free market does not work since market is already distorted by politics at the other side of the world (e.g massive subsidies on agriculture in developed countries) • Market failure in Africa (due to weak infrastructure and institution, disorganized markets, disintegrated value chain and asymmetric information) • Considering its importance and impacts on society, Increasing Self Sufficiency rate of major staple food crops can be justified for Food Sovereignty, food security, political and national security • This is critical in the Volatile World Food Market - particularly in thin and volatile domestic and international rice markets • Cost of “absence” of pricing policies (Though costly, it can be cheaper than other options such as food aid and import, depending on methods and degree) • Import substitution (preventing drain of foreign exchange) • Killing Private sector ? Not necessarily. (e.g. Early period of Malawi FISP, subsidy on seeds in Burkina Faso) • Sustainability is not the question for main staple food crops Anyways pricing policy globally prevails (Demeke et.al 2007), and “How” is very important 3 PRICING POLICIES ON FARM INPUTS

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