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Engineering Economics and Finance for Transportation Infrastructure PDF

223 Pages·2013·6.793 MB·English
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Springer Tracts on Transportation and Traffic STTT Elena S. Prassas Roger P. Roess Engineering Economics and Finance for Transportation Infrastructure 123 Springer Tracts on Transportation and Traffic Volume 3 SeriesEditor R.P.Roess,NewYork,USA Forfurthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/11059 · Elena S. Prassas Roger P. Roess Engineering Economics and Finance for Transportation Infrastructure ABC ElenaS.Prassas AssociateProfessorofTransportationEngineering PolytechnicInstituteofNewYorkUniversity NewYork USA RogerP.Roess ProfessorofTransportationEngineering PolytechnicInstituteofNewYorkUniveristy NewYork USA ISSN2194-8119 ISSN2194-8127 (electronic) ISBN978-3-642-38579-7 ISBN978-3-642-38580-3 (eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-642-38580-3 SpringerHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2013939180 (cid:2)c Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2013 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof thematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerptsinconnection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’slocation,initscurrentversion,andpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer. PermissionsforusemaybeobtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter.Violations areliabletoprosecutionundertherespectiveCopyrightLaw. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Whiletheadviceandinformationinthisbookarebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpub- lication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityforany errorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty,expressorimplied,withrespect tothematerialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Contents 1 Introduction ............................................................................................ 1 1.1 Funding Needs for Transportation Infrastructure ............................ 1 1.2 Revenues for Transportation Infrastructure..................................... 1 1.3 Tools for Analysis ........................................................................... 2 References ................................................................................................ 3 Part I: Engineering Economics with Transportation Applications 2 Banking Formulae .................................................................................. 7 2.1 Single Payment Transactions .......................................................... 7 2.1.1 Compound Amount .............................................................. 7 2.1.2 Present Value or Present Worth ........................................... 11 2.2 Uniform Series Transactions ........................................................... 14 2.2.1 Sinking Fund Transactions .................................................. 14 2.2.2 Capital Recovery and Annuities .......................................... 18 2.3 Using Banking Formulae in Engineering Applications ................... 22 2.4 Closing Comments .......................................................................... 25 Problems ................................................................................................... 25 References ................................................................................................ 27 3 Use of Banking Formulae in Engineering Economics ......................... 29 3.1 Simple Engineering Applications .................................................... 30 3.2 Applications Involving “Infinite” Service Periods .......................... 35 3.3 Methodologies for Engineering Economic Comparisons ................ 40 3.3.1 The Treatment of Transportation Demand .......................... 41 3.3.2 Defining the Scope of Alternatives in an Economic Analysis ............................................................................... 41 3.3.3 Direct Techniques for Alternative Economic Analysis ....... 43 3.3.3.1 The Present Worth Method .................................. 43 3.3.3.2 The Annual Cost Method ..................................... 45 3.3.3.3 Examples Using Direct Methods .......................... 46 3.3.4 Incremental Methods for Alternative Economic Analysis ............................................................................... 50 3.3.4.1 Incremental User Benefits (IUB) ......................... 51 VI Contents 3.3.4.2 Incremental System Costs (ISC) .......................... 51 3.3.4.3 Benefit-Cost Ratio Method for Comparing Incremental Costs ................................................. 52 3.3.4.4 Rate of Return Method for Comparing Incremental Costs ................................................. 59 3.4 Defining Inputs to Economic Alternative Analyses ........................ 62 3.4.1 Selection of an Analysis Period ........................................... 62 3.4.2 Selecting an Interest Rate .................................................... 64 3.5 Closing Comments .......................................................................... 65 References ................................................................................................ 65 Problems ................................................................................................... 66 4 The Costs of Transportation for Alternative Economic Analysis ...... 73 4.1 User Costs ....................................................................................... 73 4.2 System Costs ................................................................................... 75 4.3 Indirect Costs .................................................................................. 77 4.4 The Costs of Transportation ............................................................ 79 4.5 The Cost of Travel Time ................................................................. 80 4.5.1 Issues Affecting How Travel Time Is Viewed .................... 81 4.5.2 Estimating the Value of Travel Time .................................. 82 4.5.3 An Illustrative Application in the Value of Travel Time .... 85 4.5.4 Closing Comments on Travel Time .................................... 89 4.6 Vehicle Operating and Maintenance Costs ..................................... 90 4.6.1 Typical Operating and Maintenance Costs .......................... 90 4.6.2 An Example in Vehicle Operating and Maintenance Costs .................................................................................... 92 4.7 The Cost of Highway Crashes ......................................................... 93 4.8 Highway System Costs ................................................................... 97 4.9 Public Transportation Costs ............................................................ 102 4.9.1 Construction Costs .............................................................. 103 4.9.2 Rolling Stock ....................................................................... 104 4.9.3 Operating and Maintenance Costs ....................................... 104 4.10 Closing Comments .......................................................................... 108 Problems ................................................................................................... 108 References ................................................................................................ 110 5 Illustrations of Complex Economic Analyses ....................................... 113 Sample Problem 5.1: Comparing Pavement Types .................................. 113 Sample Problem 5.2: Reducing the Severity of a Rural Grade ................ 117 Sample Problem 5.3: Upgrading a Commuter Rail Line for High-Speed Trains ............................................................................... 125 Sample Problem 5.4: Considering a By-Pass .......................................... 130 Sample Problem 5.5: Considering Regional Public Transportation Options ................................................................................................. 136 Contents VII Sample Problem 5.6: Priority Selction ..................................................... 145 Closing comments .................................................................................... 147 Problems ................................................................................................... 148 Part II: Financing of Transportation Infrastructure 6 History of Transportation Finance in the U.S. .................................... 153 6.1 The Early Toll Roads ...................................................................... 153 6.2 The National Road .......................................................................... 154 6.3 The Good Roads Movement ........................................................... 156 6.4 The Lincoln Highway ..................................................................... 156 6.5 The Federal-Aid Highway Program, 1916 to 1955 ......................... 156 6.5.1 Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1916 ..................................... 157 6.5.2 Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1921 ...................................... 158 6.5.3 Federal-Aid Highway Acts from 1921 to 1955 ................... 158 6.6 Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1956 .................................................. 160 6.7 Federal-Aid Highway Acts from 1957 – 1991 ................................ 162 6.8 Federal Funding for Railroads ......................................................... 163 6.8.1 The Pacific Railway Acts, 1862-1866 ................................. 163 6.8.2 AMTRAK ........................................................................... 165 6.8.3 High-Speed Rail Program ................................................... 166 6.9 Federal Funding for Aviation .......................................................... 168 6.10 Federal Funding for Urban Mass Transportation ............................ 168 6.11 The Era of Multimodal Funding ...................................................... 169 6.11.1 The Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act of 1991 (ISTEA) ...................................................................... 169 6.11.2 The Transportation Equity Act for the 21st Century (1998, TEA-21) ................................................................... 170 6.11.3 The Safe, Accountable, Flexible and Efficient Transportation Equity Act – A Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU, 2005) ........................................................ 170 6.11.4 The Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century Act (MAP-21) ............................................................................ 171 6.12 Closing Comments .......................................................................... 172 References ................................................................................................ 172 7 Bond Financing ....................................................................................... 175 7.1 What Is a Bond? .............................................................................. 175 7.2 Types of Bonds ............................................................................... 176 7.2.1 Classification by Type of Security ...................................... 176 7.2.2 Classification by Method of Repayment ............................. 177 7.3 Establishing a Selling Price for Bonds ............................................ 181 7.4 Call Privileges ................................................................................. 184 VIII Contents 7.5 The Process of Bond Issuance ......................................................... 185 7.6 Comparing Bond Financing to Pay-As-You-Go Financing ............ 186 7.7 Closing Comments .......................................................................... 188 References ................................................................................................ 188 Problems ................................................................................................... 188 8 Financing Transportation Projects ....................................................... 191 8.1 The Gas Tax and the Highway Trust Fund ..................................... 191 8.2 The Problem of Revenue Shortfalls ................................................ 193 8.3 Additional Funding Sources for Transportation Projects ................ 193 8.3.1 Joint Development Funds .................................................... 193 8.3.2 Less Traditional Financing Approaches .............................. 195 8.3.3 Road Pricing ........................................................................ 196 8.3.4 Public-Private Partnerships ................................................. 197 8.3.5 Conclusion........................................................................... 198 8.4 The Vehicle-Mile Tax and Other Tax Options for the Future ......... 199 8.5 Closing Comments .......................................................................... 200 References ................................................................................................ 200 Appendix: Interest Tables ............................................................................ 203 Subject Index................................................................................................. 217 List of Figures Figure 2.1: An Illustration for Single-Payment Transactions 15 Figure 2.2: Illustration of Sinking Fund Transactions 18 Figure 2.3: Illustration of Capital Recovery Transactions 22 Figure 2.4: Illustration for Example Problem 1 25 Figure 3.1: Time-Line for Untreated Sign Posts 38 Figure 3.2: Time-Line for Treated Sign Posts 39 Figure 3.3: Time-Line for Example Problem 7 44 Figure 3.4: Illustration of Residual Value 50 Figure 3.5: Alternatives Plotted vs. Null Alternative for Example 64 Analysis 3 Figure 3.6: Alternatives with Respect to Alternative 4, Example 64 Analysis 3 Figure 3.7: Alternatives with Respect to Alternative 3, Example 65 Analysis 3 Figure 4.1: Speed-Flow Curve for 65-mi/h Freeways from the 98 2010 Highway Capacity Manual Figure 4.2: Speed Determined for Illustration 99 Figure 5.1: Costs Considered in Sample Problem 5.1 132 Figure 5.2: Grade Reduction Options for Sample Problem 5.2 135 Figure 5.3: By-Pass Options for Sample Problem 5.4 148 Figure 6.1: Map of the National Road in 1839 175 Figure 6.2: Map of the Completed National System of Interstate 182 and Defense Highways Figure 6.3: Route of the First Transcontinental Railroad 186 Figure 8.1: Annual Receipts and Outlays in the Highway Trust 220 Fund, 2004-2021 List of Tables Table 2.1: Compound Amount Factors (F/P ) 9 n.i Table 2.2: Present Worth Factors (P/F ) 12 n.i Table 2.3: Series Compound Amount Factors (F/A ) 17 n,i Table 2.4: Sinking Fund Factors (A/F ) 18 n,i Table 2.5: Capital Recovery Factors (A/P ) 23 n,i Table 2.6: Series Present Worth Factors (P/A ) 23 n,i Table 3.1: Definition of Alternatives for Corridor 48 Table 3.2: Data for Example Analysis 1 53 Table 3.3: Data for Example Analysis 2 55 Table 3.4: Seven Alternatives with Costs, Benefits, and BCR versus 61 the Null Case Table 3.5: Comparing Alternatives to Each Other for Example 62 Analysis 3 Table 3.6: Alternatives for Example Analysis 4 66 Table 3.7: An Illustration of the Rate of Return Method 68 Table 3.8: Data for Example Analysis 5 69 Table 4.1: Average National Urban CPI, 1980 – 2012 91 Table 4.2: Travel Time Values Related to Percent of Prevailing 94 Wage Rates and Level of Service Table 4.3: U.S. Department of Transportation Recommendations on 95 the Value of Travel Time Table 4.4: National Average Statistics on Wage and Total 96 Compensation Rates by Industry Group (for June 2012) Table 4.5: Value of Travel Time vs. Incremental Time Saved 97 Table 4.6: Information for the Illustrative Case 98 Table 4.7: Demand Volumes Per Lane w/ and w/o an Additional 99 Lane Table 4.8: Travel Time Cost Per Vehicle for Illustrative Case 101 Table 4.9: Annual Cost of Travel Time for Illustrative Case 102 Table 4.10: Vehicle Operating and Maintenance Costs 103 Table 4.11: Fuel Consumption Rates for Autos and Trucks vs. Speed 105 Table 4.12: Data Relevant to Example Problem 106 Table 4.13: Annual Operating and Maintenance Costs for Example 106 Table 4.14: Monetary Value of Crashes by Severity ($2012) 110 Table 4.15: General National Crash Data from FARS/GES 111 Table 4.16: Average Cost Per Crash for New York State (2011) 112

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