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Government & Education GG ee rr Whether we are in a time of increasing energy costs or a time of cheap, abundant energy, ii •• the policies that control the sources, availability, distribution and use of energy produce MM effects that impact our daily lives, especially the highly consumptive American way cc of life. We rely on cheap energy, yet we also have to consider the high environmental NN costs. In an effort to provide greater awareness of the necessary policy decisions facing aa bb our elected and appointed officials, Energy Policy in the U.S.: Politics, Challenges, bb and Prospects for Change presents an overview of important energy policies and the policy process in the United States, including their history, goals, methods of action, and consequences. E In the first half of the book, the authors frame the energy policy issue by reviewing U.S. n energy policy history, identifying the policy-making players, and illuminating the costs, e benefits, and economic and political realities of currently competing policy alternatives. r The book examines the stakeholders and their attempts to influence energy policy g and addresses the role of supply and demand on the national commitment to energy y conservation and the development of alternative energy sources. P The latter half of the book delves into specific energy policy strategies, including economic and regulatory options, and factors that influence energy policies, such as o the importance of international cooperation. Renewed interest in various renewable l and nontraditional energy resources—for example, hydrogen, nuclear fusion, biomass, i c and tide motion—is examined, and policy agendas are explored in view of scientific, y economic, regulatory, production, and environmental constraints. This book provides excellent insight into the complex task of creating a comprehensive energy policy and its i importance in the continued availability of energy to power our way of life and economy n while protecting our environment and national security. t h e U . S . K11950 ISBN: 978-1-4398-4189-1 90000 www.crcpress.com 9 781439 841891 w w w . c r c p r e s s . c o m K11950 cvr mech.indd 1 5/11/11 4:59 PM Energy Policy in the U.S. Politics, Challenges, and Prospects for Change PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND PUBLIC POLICY A Comprehensive Publication Program EDITOR-IN-CHIEF EVAN M. BERMAN Distinguished University Professor J. William Fulbright Distinguished Scholar National Chengchi University Taipei, Taiwan Founding Editor JACK RABIN RECENTLY PUBLISHED BOOKS Handbook of Administrative Reform: An International Perspective, edited by Jerri Killian and Niklas Eklund Government Budget Forecasting: Theory and Practice, edited by Jinping Sun and Thomas D. Lynch Handbook of Long-Term Care Administration and Policy, edited by Cynthia Massie Mara and Laura Katz Olson Handbook of Employee Benefits and Administration, edited by Christopher G. Reddick and Jerrell D. Coggburn Business Improvement Districts: Research, Theories, and Controversies, edited by Göktug˘ Morçöl, Lorlene Hoyt, Jack W. Meek, and Ulf Zimmermann International Handbook of Public Procurement, edited by Khi V.Thai State and Local Pension Fund Management, Jun Peng Contracting for Services in State and Local Government Agencies, William Sims Curry Understanding Research Methods: A Guide for the Public and Nonprofit Manager, Donijo Robbins Labor Relations in the Public Sector, Fourth Edition, Richard Kearney Performance-Based Management Systems: Effective Implementation and Maintenance, Patria de Lancer Julnes Handbook of Governmental Accounting, edited by Frederic B. Bogui Bureaucracy and Administration, edited by Ali Farazmand Science and Technology of Terrorism and Counterterrorism, Second Edition, edited by Tushar K. Ghosh, Mark A. Prelas, Dabir S. Viswanath, and Sudarshan K. Loyalka Handbook of Public Information Systems, Third Edition, edited by Christopher M. Shea and G. David Garson Public Administration in East Asia: Mainland China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, edited by Evan M. Berman, M. Jae Moon, and Heungsuk Choi Public Administration and Law: Third Edition, David H. Rosenbloom, Rosemary O’Leary, and Joshua Chanin Governance Networks in Public Administration and Public Policy, Christopher Koliba, Jack W. Meek, and Asim Zia Public Administration in Southeast Asia: Thailand, Philippines, Malaysia, Hong Kong and Macao, edited by Evan M. Berman Available Electronically PublicADMINISTRATIONnetBASE Energy Policy in the U.S. Politics, Challenges, and Prospects for Change Laurance R. Geri David E. McNabb CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group 6000 Broken Sound Parkway NW, Suite 300 Boca Raton, FL 33487-2742 © 2011 by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC CRC Press is an imprint of Taylor & Francis Group, an Informa business No claim to original U.S. Government works Version Date: 20110502 International Standard Book Number-13: 978-1-4398-4190-7 (eBook - PDF) This book contains information obtained from authentic and highly regarded sources. Reasonable efforts have been made to publish reliable data and information, but the author and publisher cannot assume responsibility for the valid- ity of all materials or the consequences of their use. The authors and publishers have attempted to trace the copyright holders of all material reproduced in this publication and apologize to copyright holders if permission to publish in this form has not been obtained. If any copyright material has not been acknowledged please write and let us know so we may rectify in any future reprint. Except as permitted under U.S. Copyright Law, no part of this book may be reprinted, reproduced, transmitted, or uti- lized in any form by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopy- ing, microfilming, and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without written permission from the publishers. For permission to photocopy or use material electronically from this work, please access www.copyright.com (http:// www.copyright.com/) or contact the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. (CCC), 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, 978-750-8400. CCC is a not-for-profit organization that provides licenses and registration for a variety of users. For organizations that have been granted a photocopy license by the CCC, a separate system of payment has been arranged. Trademark Notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. Visit the Taylor & Francis Web site at http://www.taylorandfrancis.com and the CRC Press Web site at http://www.crcpress.com For Mom and Rachel, and For Meghan, Michael, Sara, and Janet Contents List of Boxes ........................................................................................................................xv List of Figures ...................................................................................................................xvii List of Tables ......................................................................................................................xix Preface ................................................................................................................................xxi Acknowledgments ...........................................................................................................xxiii About the Authors .............................................................................................................xxv Introduction ....................................................................................................................xxvii What Is Energy? ...........................................................................................................xxviii Structure of the Energy Industry ..................................................................................xxviii Stakeholders in the Energy Policy Network ....................................................................xxix What Actions Should We Take? ......................................................................................xxxi Purpose for the Book .....................................................................................................xxxii Why an Energy Policy Is Important .............................................................................xxxiii Energy and Economic Growth ...........................................................................xxxiii Energy Policy and Public Opinion .....................................................................xxxiv Structure of the Book ...................................................................................................xxxiv Part 1: The Challenges in Crafting U.S. Energy Policy .......................................xxxiv Part 2: Policies for Energy Transition ..................................................................xxxvi Part 1 tHE CHaLLENGES IN CraFtING U.S. ENErGY POLICY 1 The Political Realities of Energy Policy .......................................................................3 Demystifying Energy Policy ...............................................................................................4 An Example: Coal, from Mine to Furnace ..........................................................................4 A Good Fuel for Generating Electricity ....................................................................6 A Big Footprint ........................................................................................................7 The Rankine Cycle Process .......................................................................................7 Understanding the Scale of Energy .....................................................................................8 Conversion Processes Needed ..................................................................................9 Why Worry about These Conversions? .....................................................................9 The Economic Perspective .......................................................................................11 The Function of Energy Policy .........................................................................................12 vii viii  ◾  Contents Unexpected Influence of Nonenergy Policies ...........................................................13 Why Does the United States Use so Much Energy? ...........................................................14 Factors Influencing U.S. Energy Use .......................................................................16 Sources of Our Preferences ......................................................................................17 Encouraging Energy Trends ....................................................................................18 The U.S. Energy Sector .....................................................................................................18 Energy in Contemporary Society ............................................................................19 Energy as a Business ................................................................................................19 Public Utilities .......................................................................................................20 Need for a New Business Model .............................................................................21 Energy in Commerce and Industry ...................................................................................21 Energy and the Consumer ................................................................................................22 Help for Low-Income Families ...............................................................................22 Energy and Agriculture ....................................................................................................23 Conclusion: Energy out of Balance...................................................................................24 2 Energy Policy in Transition ........................................................................................25 Early Climate Research ....................................................................................................26 The Threat of Climate Change ...............................................................................28 Forecasts, Energy, and Creating the Future .......................................................................28 Why Forecasts Are Necessary .................................................................................29 New Planning Tools ...............................................................................................30 Confusion over Peak Oil ..................................................................................................30 Lower Amounts Predicted .......................................................................................33 Transitioning from Peak Production .................................................................................34 Climate Change: Challenges and Policy Goals ..................................................................35 High GHG Emissions Levels Continue .................................................................37 The Challenge; the Response ............................................................................................37 A Supreme Challenge .............................................................................................37 Who Is Responsible? ..............................................................................................38 Thinking in Wedges .........................................................................................................39 The Stern Review and Its Aftermath ..................................................................................40 The Social Cost of Carbon ...............................................................................................40 Why the Discrepancy? ............................................................................................41 The Ethics Question ...............................................................................................41 The Equity Question...............................................................................................41 The Carbon Price Debate ..................................................................................................41 Arcane Issues with Global Ramifications ..........................................................................42 How High to Price Carbon? ...................................................................................43 Conclusion: Climate Implications for Energy Policy ........................................................43 3 The Art and Science of Crafting Public Policy ...........................................................45 Policy Making in Action ....................................................................................................45 The Evolution of U.S. Political Culture .............................................................................47 A New Conception of the State..............................................................................48 Emerging Themes ..................................................................................................49 Congress and Its Influence on Policy ................................................................................49 Contents  ◾  ix The Battle for Control............................................................................................50 Pluralism, Elites, Triangles, and Networks ........................................................................50 The Role of Technical Experts in Policy Making ......................................................51 Shifting Models of Government Power ..............................................................................51 A New Approach: The Policy Network ....................................................................51 Two Additional Policy Models ................................................................................52 The Multiple Streams Framework ..............................................................52 Policy Design and Social Construction ......................................................53 Constructions Are Not Fixed .................................................................................54 The System: Weakened, but Still Functioning—for Now .................................................54 Framing the Energy Policy Issue .......................................................................................54 Worrisome Trends ...................................................................................................55 Visible Lack of Consensus ......................................................................................56 A More Divisive Nation .........................................................................................56 Subtext of the Framing Issue ..................................................................................56 A Glimmer of Optimism ........................................................................................57 Hard to Generate Citizen Involvement ...................................................................57 Needed: A New Way of Thinking about Policy ..................................................................57 Occurring at the Local Level ..................................................................................58 The U.S. Policy Space: Today and the Near Tomorrow .....................................................58 Meeting the Needs of an Aging Society ..................................................................58 Structural Deficits and Entitlements .......................................................................59 A Shifting U.S. Economy .......................................................................................60 Conclusion: A Rough Terrain Ahead .................................................................................61 4 The Long Search for a Sustainable Energy Policy ......................................................63 The History of U.S. Energy Policy since 1945 ..................................................................64 1945 to 1970: Managing an Energy Surplus ....................................................................64 1971 to 1980: Coping with Energy Shortages ...................................................................65 1981 to 1990: Deregulating the Industry ..........................................................................67 1991 to 1999: Calls for a Comprehensive Energy Policy ..................................................68 2000 to 2002: Linking Energy and National Security ......................................................69 War, Politics, and Energy Security ..........................................................................70 2003 to 2007: A Comprehensive Energy Policy Finally Emerges ......................................72 The Energy Policy Act of 2005 ...............................................................................72 Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 .....................................................75 New CAFE Standards ............................................................................................77 2008 to 2009: A Renewed Call for Energy Independence ................................................78 2010 and Beyond: Energy Efficiency, Conservation, and the Environment ......................78 The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) ........................................79 The Evolution of Fuel Efficiency Standards ............................................................80 Conclusion: A History of Crisis and Change ..........................................................81 5 Difficulties in Achieving a Balanced Energy Policy ...................................................83 Why Intervene in Energy? ................................................................................................84 The Principal-Agent Problem ..................................................................................85 Multiple Stakeholders .......................................................................................................86

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