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Advances in Geographical and Environmental Sciences Asheem Srivastav Energy Dynamics and Climate Mitigation An Indian Perspective Advances in Geographical and Environmental Sciences Series Editor R. B. Singh, University of Delhi, Delhi, India Advances in Geographical and Environmental Sciences synthesizes series diagnostigation and prognostication of earth environment, incorporating challeng- ing interactive areas within ecological envelope of geosphere, biosphere, hydro- sphere, atmosphere and cryosphere. It deals with land use land cover change (LUCC), urbanization, energy flux, land-ocean fluxes, climate, food security, ecohydrology, biodiversity, natural hazards and disasters, human health and their mutual interaction and feedback mechanism in order to contribute towards sustainablefuture.Thegeosciencesmethodsrangefromtraditionalfieldtechniques and conventional data collection, use of remote sensing and geographical information system, computer aided technique to advance geostatistical and dynamic modeling. The series integrate past, present and future of geospheric attributes incorpo- rating biophysical and human dimensions in spatio-temporal perspectives. The geosciences, encompassing land-ocean-atmosphere interaction is considered as a vital component in the context of environmental issues, especially in observation andpredictionofairandwaterpollution,globalwarmingandurbanheatislands.It is important to communicate the advances in geosciences to increase resilience of society through capacity building for mitigating the impact of natural hazards and disasters. Sustainability of human society depends strongly on the earth environ- ment,andthusthedevelopmentofgeosciencesiscriticalforabetterunderstanding of our living environment, and its sustainable development. Geoscience also has the responsibility to not confine itself to addressing current problemsbutitisalsodevelopingaframeworktoaddressfutureissues.Inorderto build a ‘Future Earth Model’ for understanding and predicting the functioning of the whole climatic system, collaboration of experts in the traditional earth disciplines as well as in ecology, information technology, instrumentation and complex system is essential, through initiatives from human geoscientists. Thus human geosceince is emerging as key policy science for contributing towards sustainability/survivality science together with future earth initiative. Advances in Geographical and Environmental Sciences series publishes books thatcontainnovelapproachesintacklingissuesofhumangeoscienceinitsbroadest sense — books in the series should focus on true progress in a particular area or region.Theseriesincludesmonographsandeditedvolumeswithoutanylimitations in the page numbers. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/13113 Asheem Srivastav Energy Dynamics and Climate Mitigation An Indian Perspective 123 Asheem Srivastav Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India ISSN 2198-3542 ISSN 2198-3550 (electronic) Advances in Geographical andEnvironmental Sciences ISBN978-981-15-8939-3 ISBN978-981-15-8940-9 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-8940-9 ©SpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd.2021 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained hereinorforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregard tojurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd. The registered company address is: 152 Beach Road, #21-01/04 Gateway East, Singapore 189721, Singapore Contents 1 Energy Security and Sustainability: An Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1 Understanding Various Terms and Conversion Factors . . . . . . . . . 2 1.2 Energy Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 1.3 The Paradox of Energy Security and Sustainability. . . . . . . . . . . . 8 1.4 Energy Security and Access in India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 2 Energy Sector Progression in India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 2.1 Energy as a Commercial Entity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 2.2 Part I (The Initial Phase—Coal, Oil, and Water). . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 2.2.1 The First and Second Five-Year Plans (1951–1956 and 1956–1961). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 2.3 Part II—The Nuclear Energy Phase. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 2.3.1 The Third (1961–1966), Fourth (1969–1974), and Fifth (1974–1978) Five-Year Plans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 2.4 Part III (Emergence of Renewable Sources) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 2.4.1 The Sixth Five-Year Plan (1980–1985). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 2.4.2 The Seventh Five-Year Plan (1985–1990). . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 2.4.3 The Eighth Five-Year Plan (1992–1997). . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 2.4.4 The Ninth Five-Year Plan (1997–2002) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 2.5 The Complexities of Renewable Energy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 2.5.1 The Tenth Five-Year Plan (2002–2007) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 2.5.2 The Eleventh Five-Year Plan (2007–2012) . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 2.5.3 The Twelfth Five-Year Plan (2012–2017) . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 3 The Challenges of Energy Supply. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 3.1 The Understanding and Perception . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 3.2 Carbon-Intensive Energy Sector. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 3.3 Inconsistent Power Generation by States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 vii viii Contents 3.4 The Fallacies of Household and Rural Electrification . . . . . . . . . . 87 3.5 Impediments to Electricity Generation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 3.5.1 Hydropower . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 3.5.2 Nuclear. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 3.5.3 Thermal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 3.5.4 Gas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 3.5.5 Coal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 3.5.6 Oil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 3.5.7 Renewables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 3.6 Biomass Fuels: A Threat to India’s Forests, Soil, and Human Health . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 3.7 Overcoming Impediments to Sustained Energy Supply . . . . . . . . . 112 3.8 India’s Domestic Energy Balance in 2040 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 4 Climate Mitigation and India’s Commitment to Global Community. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 4.1 Multilateral Environmental Affairs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 4.2 India’s Initial Submission to UNFCCC in 2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126 4.3 Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 4.4 First Biennial Report by India—2015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 4.5 Commitment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 4.6 Second Biennial Report by India—2018 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136 4.7 Climate Vulnerability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140 4.8 Initiatives by Government. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 5 Fourth Industrial Revolution and India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 5.1 The Fourth Industrial Revolution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 5.2 Readiness for Low/Zero Carbon Growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 5.3 Carbon-Based Economies Will Eventually Prove Cataclysmic. . . . 155 5.4 Renewable Energy Assessment—India. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 166 5.5 The Predicament of Biomass-Based Fuel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 5.6 Every Little Step Will Be a Great Leap for India . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182 5.7 Fourth Industrial Revolution and Global Energy Prospects . . . . . . 187 5.8 Great Hope for Future—Fusion Power and Fuel Cell . . . . . . . . . . 191 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193 Chapter 1 Energy Security and Sustainability: An Overview Abstract Every living entity requires internal energy, derived through biological process, for survival, growth, and sustenance. Human being is an exception in the sense that they need additional energy from external sources to accomplish their questforexcellence.Theavailabilityandadequacyofexternalenergyandreliability ofitssupplywhethercommercialornon-commercialaffecteconomicproductivity, development,andsustenance.Theprocessofglobalsplitbetweenenergy-richand energy-poorthatstartedwithindustrialrevolutioncontinuestilldateandeachnation isworkingrelentlesslytoensuresecuresupplyofenergyfromrenewableandnon- renewable sources. Energy indicators are developed, and projections are done to assess future energy scenario and an understanding of complete energy flow and bottlenecks.Indiahasbeenundergoingtransformativechangessinceindependence with population, poverty, and energy as the pivotal challenge. With the passage of everyday,Indiafacesthetoughestchallengeofenergizingitseconomicdevelopment throughpowergenerationthatishighlydependentonimportsofoil,gas,solarpanel, andwindturbines.Withclimate-relateddisastersbecomingtoointenseandfrequent, Indiahasnooptionbuttoraceaheadinreplacingdirtyfuelswithrenewables. · · · · · Keywords Calorie Joule Watt Tonsofoilequivalent BTU Tonsofcoal · · · · · equivalent Energysecurity Energyaccess Calorificvalue Britishton · · Americanton Metricton Energyindicators The Quest for Energy: From Carbohydrate to Hydrocarbon and beyond (An illustration) 1700174017801820186019001920194019601980200020202040206020802100 Coal Oil and Gas Renewable ©SpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd.2021 1 A.Srivastav,EnergyDynamicsandClimateMitigation, AdvancesinGeographicalandEnvironmentalSciences, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-8940-9_1 2 1 EnergySecurityandSustainability:AnOverview The concept of energy security is of recent origin and has emerged due to high demand for commercial energy consumed for manufacturing goods, providing variousservices,andforhumancomfort.Humanquestforexcellenceinknowledge combinedwithhardwork,innovation,perseverance,anddedicationhaschangedthe globalenergylandscapefromcarbohydrate(wood-based)tohydrocarbon(coal,oil, andgas)economy.Unfortunately,thesideeffectsofhydrocarboneconomyhaveled tomanycatastrophicphenomena,includingozonehole,pollutionofterrestrialand aquaticsystems,oceanacidification,andglobalwarming.Theindustrialrevolution that has withstood the test of time so far with external energy derived from non- biologicalsourceshasfailedthetestofsustainability.Wooddominatedthesocioe- conomicdevelopmentinEuropeuntilthe1500sandwasthemostimportantmaterial forbuildingconstruction,ships,forcookingandheating,aswellasforpurificationof variousmetals.Rampantandexcessextractionofwoodeventuallyledtothedisap- pearanceofnaturalforestsinearly1700s.Disappearanceofwoodwassucceededby emergence ofcoal inEngland. Coalwas initiallyobtained through surfacemining to avoid risking human lives due to flooding of underground mines. The desire formorecoalculminatedininventionofsteamenginebyThomasNewcomenthat savedBritainfromenergycrisis.By1800,Britainswitchedoverfromcarbohydrate tohydrocarboneconomy.Hydrocarboneconomyhasbeenmeticulouslycontrolled byafewnationswhohavevastresourcesofcoalandoil.Theseconglomerateshave manipulatedinternationalpricetotheiradvantagefrequentlythreateningtheenergy securityof theworld.To counter these forces,many countries,startedworking on alternative sources of energy such as nuclear (fission in particular), solar, wind, geothermal, and biofuel. In recent years, the climate change disasters have struck humanitywithimpunityandthescientificcommunityisunitedinitsopiniontostop theuseofcoalandoilinnearfuture.Asthefourthindustrialrevolutionprogresses, theworldwillwitnessemergenceofrenewableenergyfromdifferentsources—and eventuallybidfarewelltohydrocarboneconomy. 1.1 UnderstandingVariousTermsandConversionFactors Beforeembarkingonthecontentsofthischapter,itwillbeusefulformany,ifnot most,readerstounderstandthevarioustermsandunitsofmeasurementadoptedby differentcountries/institutions/authors. There are six most common units of energy used at global level (Foresti et al. 2010):

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