UNICEF SUDAN End-Project Evaluation of the Youth Leadership, Empowerment, Advocacy and Development in Sudan Final Report The Youth LEAD Project in Sudan funded by Canada-CIDA from 2012 to 2015 about USD 11 million, has been evaluated by the independent consultant team of : Mrs Oumoul Khayri Ba Tall, International Consultant Team Leader Dr Rania Elfatih Elsheikh, National Consultant Dr Reema Abass, Nataional Consultant for qualitative data analysis In consultations with UNICEF Country Office, the Regional Office and the Ministry of Youth and the Embassy of Canada in Sudan 2 Table of Contents ACRONYMS ....................................................................................................................................................... 5 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ............................................................................................................................... 6 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .............................................................................................................................. 8 I. OBJECT OF THE EVALUATION .................................................................................................. 15 1.1. INTRODUCING THE CONTEXT OF THE INTERVENTION .............................................................................. 15 1.2. THE PROJECT AREA AND TARGET GROUPS .................................................................................................. 16 1.3. THE PROJECT OUTCOMES, COMPONENTS AND RESULTS FRAMEWORKS .............................................. 17 1.4. THE IMPLEMENTATION APPROACH AND MANAGEMENT STRATEGY ..................................................... 18 II. PURPOSE, OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE OF THE EVALUATION ............................................. 21 2.1. PURPOSE & OBJECTIVE OF THE EVALUATION ............................................................................................ 21 2.2. EVALUATION SCOPE AND KEY QUESTIONS .................................................................................................. 21 2.3. THE EVALUATION METHODOLOGY .............................................................................................................. 24 2.4. COMMENTS ON THE TORS, ADJUSTMENTS AND LIMITATIONS ...................................................................... 30 III. EVALUATION FINDINGS ........................................................................................................... 31 3.1. RELEVANCE ...................................................................................................................................................... 31 3.2. EFFECTIVENESS & LIKELY IMPACT .............................................................................................................. 32 3.3. EFFICIENCY ...................................................................................................................................................... 60 3.4. SUSTAINABILITY .............................................................................................................................................. 65 IV. MAIN CONCLUSIONS & LESSONS LEARNED .................................................................. 68 6.1. CONCLUSIONS .......................................................................................................................................................... 68 6.2. LESSONS LEARNED ................................................................................................................................................. 72 V. RECOMMENDATIONS ..................................................................................................................... 72 6.1. RECOMMENDATIONS TO UNICEF AND THE GOVERNMENT ........................................................................... 72 6.2. RECOMMENDATIONS TO UNICEF ....................................................................................................................... 73 6.3. RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE GOVERNMENT ..................................................................................................... 74 APPENDIX ....................................................................................................................................................... 76 APPENDIX 1 : EVALUATION TORS .............................................................................................................................. 77 APPENDIX 2 : LIST OF DOCUMENTS AND OTHER REFERENCES CONSULTED ......................................................... 84 APPENDIX 3 : LIST OF PERSONS INTERVIEWED, AND SITES VISITED ..................................................................... 86 APPENDIX 4 : THE EVALUATION MATRIX .................................................................................................................. 88 APPENDIX 5 : THE PROJECT RESULTS FRAMEWORK ............................................................................................... 92 APPENDIX 6 : THE PROJECT BUDGET AND EXPENSE REPORT ............................................................................. 113 APPENDIX 7 : THE EVALUATION CORE TEAM ........................................................................................................ 114 APPENDIX 8 : DETAILED DATA COLLECTION METHODS & TOOLS, SAMPLING, DATA ANALYSIS ................... 114 APPENDIX 8.1 : SAMPLING (ESTIMATING THE SAMPLE SIZE, ALLOCATION TO LOCALITIES, SAMPLE METHODS) ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 118 APPENDIX 9 : SUMMARY OF YOUTH FRIENDLY SERVICES AND TRAININGS ...................................................... 119 APPENDIX 10: INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY BUILDING: LIST OF TRAININGS TO MOYS AND YOUTH CSO STAFF MEMBERS ...................................................................................................................................................................... 120 APPENDIX 11: TRAININGS PROVIDED BY TO CSO TO YOUTH .............................................................................. 122 APPENDIX 12: YOUTH EMPLOYMENT SURVEY DATA ............................................................................................ 123 APPENDIX 13 : SURVEY POPULATION DATA (SELECTED DATA) .......................................................................... 125 APPENDIX 14 : POPULATION SIZE IN TARGET LOCALITIES .................................................................................. 126 APPENDIX 15 : SURVEY SAMPLE (ENGLISH VERSION) ......................................................................................... 127 APPENDIX 16 : KEY INFORMANT INTERVIEW QUESTIONNAIRE (KII) -YOUTH ............................................... 131 APPENDIX 17 : FOCUS GROUP DISCUSSION GUIDE (FGD) .................................................................................. 143 APPENDIX 18: CASE STUDY WORLD CHILD CANADA (WCC) ............................................................................. 145 3 Table of Illustrations - Photographs FIGURE 1: FATUMA FROM GOKER, TRAINED IN MAÇONRY .................................................................................................................. 47 FIGURE 2: FATUMA REBUILT HER DESTROYED HOUSE, AFTER TRAINING .......................................................................................... 47 Table of Illustrations – Tables & Graphs TABLE 1 : SAMPLE SIZE CALCULATION FOR THE SURVEY ........................................................................................................... 29 TABLE 2 : DATA COLLECTION TOOLS ................................................................................................................................................. 29 TABLE 3 : YOUTH FRIENDLY TRAININGS & SERVICES TO YOUTH BENEFICIARIES, PER STATE (SUMMARY) .............. 33 TABLE 4 : TARGET POPULATION AND REACH, PER STATE (SUMMARY) .................................................................................. 33 TABLE 12 : YOUTH INVOLVEMENT IN COMMUNITY (Q9) ............................................................................................................ 37 TABLE 4 : ALP ENROLMENTS PER YEAR, BY SEX.......................................................................................................................... 41 TABLE 13 : TRAININGS ACHIEVED VS PLANNED VS EMPLOYABILITY .................................................................................... 43 GRAPH 1 : PROJECT TRAININGS (VCT), KASSALA STATE .......................................................................................................... 44 GRAPH 2 : PROJECT TRAININGS (VCT), WEST DARFUR STATE ................................................................................................ 44 TABLE 5 : RELATE CURRENT OCCUPATION TO VCT ..................................................................................................................... 45 TABLE 6 : IMPROVED EMPLOYABILITY BY VCT ............................................................................................................................ 45 TABLE 11: CONTRIBUTIONS OF YOUTH TO INCREASED FAMILY EARNINGS.......................................................................... 48 TABLE 8 : PARTICIPATION TO STOP AND ACT EVENTS (PROJECT FINAL REPORT) ............................................................. 49 TABLE 15 : PARTICIPANTS TO STOP AND ACT TRAININGS & OCCUPATION (SURVEY) ...................................................... 50 TABLE 10 : NUMBER OF TRAINEES AND PARTICIPANTS COMPARED TO PLANS ..................................................................... 64 TABLE 7 : SUMMARY OF VOCATIONAL TRAININGS (NBR) PAR LOCALITY, (ACTUAL VS PLAN) ....................................... 65 Report Submitted by the Evaluation Core Team: -Ms Oumoul Khayri Ba Tall -Dr Rania Elfatih Elsheikh The Final version of the report is endorsed by UNICEF on 26 February 2016 following technical quality assusrance and the national workshop organized in December 2015 jointly by the Ministry of Youth and UNICEF for discussions of findings, lessons learned and recommndations. 4 Acronyms ALP Accelerated Learning Programme AUW Ahfad University for Women CIDA Canadian International Development Agency CPA Comprehensive Peace Agreement CSO Civil Society Organization DPA Darfur Peace Agreement FGD Focus Group Discussion FGM/C Female Genital Mutilation / Cutting GBV Gender Based Violence GE Gender Equality HIV/AIDS Human Immunodeficiency Virus / Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome IDPs Internally Displaced Person(s) IGA Income Generating Activity KII Key Informant Interview MICS Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey MOE Ministry of Education MOH Ministry of Health MOSD Ministry of Social Development MOYS Ministry of Youth and Sports MTR Mid-Term Review NGO Non-Governmental Organization PCA Programme Cooperative Agreement PMF Performance Measurement Framework RH Reproductive Health STIs Sexually Transmitted Infections TOC Theory of Change UNDAF United Nations Development Assistance Framework UNFPA United Nations Population Fund UNICEF United Nations Children‘s Fund UXO Unexploded Ordinance VCT Vocational Training WASH Water, Sanitation and Hygiene WD West Darfour WHO World Health Organization YC Youth Center YFS Youth Friendly Space YFSS Youth Friendly Space and Service Youth LEAD Youth Leadership, Empowerment and Development 5 Acknowledgement The Evaluation Team is grateful to UNICEF Representative in Sudan (Mr Geert Cappelaere), the former UNICEF Deputy Representative (Mrs Shaya Asindua) and the Ministry of Youth who approved and provided strong support to this evaluation as part of UNICEF’s accountability to the Donor. The Evaluation team is grateful to all the people who have taken part or contributed to this work in one way or another, and would like to acknowledge their valuable contributions in helping to improve the work. From the early days of the planning of the field work to the final evaluation report, many people were involved in ways that made it possible to start and complete this assignment, they belong to: The UNICEF Evaluation Office in Khartoum led by Robert Ndamobissi Chief of Planning, Monitoring & Evaluation, Aala Mahmoud Monitoring & Evaluation Specialist who assured the Technical direction, guidance, management and quality assurance of the Evaluation. The Youth LEAD management team composed of Mrs Jumana Haj-Ahmad former Manager of Youth LEAD Project, Mellese Bedanie and Buthayna Osman Abdel Hakam Youth Project Officers, and UNICEF field offices in Kassala (Ali Abu ElGasim, Abdel Raouf Ahmed) and in Geneina Waala Hussein Awad who provided adequate informations related to the project and assistance to the field data collection in selected communities. The experts of Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), data collectors and enumerators in Kassala, WD states, and Khartoum (Dr Reema Abass) provided technical support for the survey. They reviewed the survey questionnaire to make it compatible with the field language, helped in the selection of the sites within each locality, organised expert and qualified teams to collect, compile and summarize data, providing even a first level analysis, including a debriefing meeting (in Kassala) to share their field observations. The Ministry of Youth-MOYs focal points in Khartoum and Kassala, implementing agencies, CSOs for their contributions in the data collection, and their feedback from the validation workshop The UNICEF Regional Office in Jordan (Mrs Roumiana Gantcheva): The quality review assesment performed by UNICEF regional office helped focus the evaluation report and streamline responses to the initial evaluation’s questions of the ToR. The report was reshaped after this review to adopt an adapted definition of « impact » vis- à-vis the five OECD-DAC evaluation criterias by incorporating the longer-term horizon for an unfinished business (the project implementation was ongoing). Acknowledging that impact should be considered in the longer term horizon, we agreed with the Evaluation Office at UNICEF Sudan to include the “likely impact” under the assesment of effectiveness of the project, to echo the qualitative evidence collected from triangulated FGD, KII and the opinion survey pointing to potential sustainable impact in the lives of young people and an improved enabling environment for youth programming in Sudan. A Theory of Change has been developped aposteriori by the independent Consultant Team as requested by the UNICEF Evaluation Office in Sudan in order to show the potential expected benefits of this large investment on Youth well-being in the view of Value For Money (chain of results) in a challenging operating context. The evaluation findings were extensively reviewed by project stakeholders all of whom have taken part to the national validation workshop organized by UNICEF and the Ministry of Youth following in December 2015 based on an earlier evaluation draft report. They provided additional information that was taken into account in this final report and also endorsed the final conclusions and recommendations in consensus. All those contributions should be considered as part of the evaluation process as a good practice of great ownserhip of an evaluation for learning, accountability and improving strategies for greater impact on Youth. The evaluation team is also grateful to the UNICEF operations and logistics staff who worked so hard to make us travel to the field in very difficult circumstances…up to the remote Sirba under stormy water and security escort. Most of all, we would like to recognize all the young boys and girls, and those we met in the Youth Centers (YCs), for their strong enthusiasm and appreciation of what the project aims to provide them, we hope we have been able to convey at least some level of their faith in the YouthLEAD aspirations. We acknowledge some limitations of performing the assessment of impact using the comparative community group in the absence of initial base line survey of the project and taking into consideration the challenges of conflicts affected areas. We apply adapted methods and tools that enabled to generate valuable combined quantitative and qualitative evidence that support conclusions and recommendations that have been approved by all parties. This end-project evaluation is a concrete example of “real world evaluation of development end-project in a difficult context of country facing protracted emergency crisis”. We appreciate UNICEF’s and the MOY willingness and openness to undertake this exercice for better evidence-based policy & strategy and accountability of results for children in application of the programmatic shifts adopted by Government and UNICEF at the 2014 Mid- Term Review for doing business differently in Sudan. The Evaluation Core Team: -Ms Oumoul Khayri Ba Tall -Dr Rania Elfatih Elsheikh 7 Executive Summary 1. Presentation of the Evaluation Object UNICEF has completed the independent ex-post evaluation of the Youth Leadership, Empowerment and Development project (YouthLEAD) implemented during 3 years (March 2012-June 2015) in Sudan. The project ultimate goal is to achieve « Enhanced contribution to socio economic development, and to the development of peace, for 56 000 young women and men aged 10-24 years, in Kassala and Aroma in Kassala Sate, and Geneina and Sirba in West Darfur State ». YouthLEAD is a holistic and innovative pilot project, designed and implemented in a participatory way, building on the vision of young people as potential agents of social change and peace. The 2013 gender analysis confirms that youth is a central player « to ensuring sustainable recovery and peace building in Sudan », while mainstreaming gender, when it’s potential for development and peace is valued. Most of the population in Sudan is considered young, as illustrated in the 2014 MICS survey with 50.6% under 18 years. Young people in Sudan have been « living in a country that has been into war for the most part of their lives », and they face multiple challenges such as high level of poverty (50% from UNDAF 2009-2011), high unemployment level (66% Sudanese aged 15-29 are unemployed, while youth unemployment reaches 88% in our Survey); high level of out of school (only 20% (1 in 5) children completed primary school, …), high level of illiteracy particularly among women (36,2% of males and 63,8% of women have never been to school) ; vulnerability to HIV and other sexually-transmitted infections, and particularly women (UNDP, 2009), in addition to associated risks such as early pregnancy, unsafe abortions, and paid sex. In order to help young people face the challenges and become productive and responsible citizens, two intermediate results were targeted: (A) Increased equitable engagement in sustainable livelihoods, peace building, and use of economic and social services by young people, and (B) Enhanced ability of targeted government Ministries and CSOs to design and implement participatory, gender responsive policies, programmes and services. The project was implemented from 2012 to mid-2015, in four localities in four localities of two states: Aroma and Kassala in Kassala State, and Sirba and Geneina in West Darfur State. To achieve these results, a variety of activities aimed at the youth and youth service providers were identified and organised in five components: (i) Youth Friendly Spaces and Services, (ii) Basic Education, Vocational Skills Training, (iii) Youth Voices in Governance and Peace, (iv) Capacity building in Policy and Advocacy, and (V) Institutional Capacity Building of Civil Society Organisations (CSOs) and Ministries supporting youth. The project activities include youth friendly spaces, life skills development, youth friendly trainings/services, vocational trainings, ALP, gender awareness/advocacy and gender- sensitive youth programming trainings, management trainings and institutional capacity building for YSP. The identification of services was based on needs assesment, and used a participatory approach with the active involvement of youth, and other project stakeholders such as community leaders, parents and YSP. UNICEF developed partnership agreements with INGOs, CSOs and other national institutions, in addition to government line Ministries at federal and state levels, to carry out specific activities, and for the coordination at state and federal levels. Project Cooperation Agreements (PCA) were signed with Plan International (who sub-contracted Concern 8 Worldwide, and CDA in WD), War Child Canada (WCC), and Child Development Foundation (CDF) a well established national NGO. Besides CDF, National Partners include the Afhad University for Women, and NNGOs subcontracted as implementation partners (CDA, SORD, FPDO), to conduct a number of specialized skilled activities. Small Scale Funding Agreements (SSFA) were signed with 13 youth CSOs to strengthen their capacity as Youth Service Provider (YSP) while they were tasked to implement activities related to their respective fields. 2. The Evaluation Design To measure outcomes and assess the potential for impact, UNICEF seeks to provide solid evidence on what difference the YouthLEAD investment made for the personal development of the target youth and adolescents, for their role in the communities, and for the institutional arrangements regarding youth affairs. The evaluation was designed using the DAC criteria of Relevance, Effectiveness, Efficiency, Impact, and Sustainability; in addition to the criteria of Coherence considered important given the diverse and complex nature of the intervention, and we have adressed working thru the logic of the intervention. The evaluation assessed the project relevance, its contribution to improved social and economic development of youth, to the development of peace, to greater equity and gender balance, and questionned the validity of the intervention logic. The Evaluation reviewed how girls and young vulnerable groups were reached, and how gender equality and equity were promoted. With regard to the Impact criteria, it was agreed to look into emerging and likely impact only, under the assesment of project outcomes, as the project was just closing, and the timing was not suitable to an assesment any impact as defined by the OECD-DAC. The evaluation also assessed the project contributions to enhanced capacities of youth service providers to design and implement gender-responsive policies, programs and services to the youth. Again, the evaluation also assessed important signs of improvement in the youth environnement and service delivery, looking for the likelihood of development impact. We designed a mixed method evaluation approach, with a quasi-experimental impact assesment survey, focus group discussions, Key informant and other semi-structured interviews with diverse project stakeholders (youth, youth commitee members, community leaders, implementation partners, and UNICEF staff involved in the project), in addition to a number of documentation reviews, including financial reports. The sample size for the survey is estimated at 600 individuals (by application of the statistical formula of probabilitst sample design performed with technical assistance of the CBS) using the highest number of youth involved in any given activity, which was then divided between the two states, for 300 for each, with 100 dedicated to a non-intervention locality to serve as a comparison group. The sample was allocated to different sites where interviews were to take place, prorated by the population size. Individuals surveyed within each site were then randomly selected, with a purposeful criteria to target the age range and young girls. The table below provides a list of sites where the interviews have taken place within each selected locality in the project and the comparison areas: Kassala State Frequency WD State Frequency Hay Alshaty 50 Alzohor 25 Dar Alsalam 25 Alemtidad 25 Ard Alhajar 25 Alrriad 10 Hay Alarab 20 Om Alqora 10 Alhalanga 20 Ardamga 10 9 Alssoq Alshaaby 15 Kerandaq 10 Almorabaat 15 Aljabal 10 Alkormota 15 Sirba 50 Alamiriah 15 Katarby 30 Aroma 50 Bir Daqiaq 20 Albatary 25 Morni 100 CMacaly 25 Total 300 Total 300 The control locality for Kassala is Khashmelgerba and Keriank in WD, where the Morni IDP camp is located. The first choice was not possible due to logistics and security obstacles, therefore, the choice of Keriank was by default, and it happened that the locality is challenging for the quality of the comparative data as it is an IDP camp, and one that has been receiving important donor assistance, which included many of the same Youth project activities. Therefore we made extensive use of other data sources, from KII and FGD as triangulation and for further exploration on the causes of the observations. Despite the limits due to imperfect comparison, we believe that the data collected will still provide valuable information if properly triangulated. 3. The Evaluation Findings and Conclusions 3.1. Relevance of the YouthLEAD response to youth priorities The availability of relevant comprehensive set of interventions as key priorities for youth and enhanced institutional services have been well appreciated both by young people and their communities. All services offered fall into their priority needs, and most appreciated was the YFSS model. The project model is unique so far in Sudan, in that it adresses both the demand (thru youth empowerment and leadership) and the supply side (from YSP improved plans and delivery) of youth programming, in a harmonious, inclusive and equitable manner. 3.2. General Effectiveness Evidence-based findings revealed that the YouthLEAD project created a unique space for young people, to meet first, and exercise their newly acquired knowledge, skills and competencies to involve themselves into the community events and processes, from and around the new centers. Their active involvement in the project allowed young people to gain greater attention, from their peers and from the community leaders and officials, which made them able to foster the new thinking and skills embedded into the teachings they have received, to push youth leadership roles and GE forward. Major improvements were noted, although not always at a sizeable scale, but important enough to deserve acknowledgement and attention given the potential for impact. 3.3. Effectiveness of Youth Friendly Centers (YFC) and Youth Friendly Spaces and Services (YFSS) The project was succesful in making the YFCs the focal point for Youth friendly activities and Youth involvment into the community, including girls. Girls were able to find a suitable space to accomodate their needs, which all stakeholders acknowledged. The YFC conveys a new vision with a broader set of activities and new roles (YFSS), such as education, awareness and capacity building in addition to the traditional entertainment and sports. The stigma of « boys-only Clubs » strongly attached to the old fashion Youth Clubs is seriously 10
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