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ENCOURAGING EFFECTIVE EVALUATION OF CONFLICT PREVENTION AND PEACEBUILDING ACTIVITIES Towards DAC Guidance A joint project of the DAC Network on Conflict, Peace and Development Co-operation and the DAC Network on Development Evaluation Off-print of the OECD Journal on Development 2007: Volume 8, No. 3 ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT The OECD is a unique forum where the governments of 30 democracies work together to address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. The OECD is also at the forefront of efforts to understand and to help governments respond to new developments and concerns, such ascorporate governance, the information economy and the challenges of an ageing population. The Organisation provides a setting where governments can compare policy experiences, seek answers to common problems, identify good practice and work to co-ordinate domestic and international policies. The OECD member countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark,Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The Commission of the European Communities takes part in the work of the OECD. OECD Publishing disseminates widely the results of the Organisation’s statistics gathering and research on economic, social and environmental issues, as well as the conventions, guidelines and standards agreed by its members. Published in French under the title: Vers un guide du CAD pour l’évaluation des activités de la prévention des conflits et de la construction de la paix © OECD 2007 ENCOURAGINGEFFECTIVEEVALUATIONOFCONFLICTPREVENTIONANDPEACEBUILDINGACTIVITIES Part 1 Encouraging Effective Evaluation of Conflict Prevention and Peacebuilding Activities: Towards DAC Guidance Abstract:Thisreportoutlinesanapproachfordevelopingguidanceonevaluatingconflictprevention and peacebuilding activities.It draws on a broad document review and interviews with key experts, andhasbeendevelopedinconsultationwiththeDACNetworksonConflict,PeaceandDevelopment Co-operationandonDevelopmentEvaluation. First,thereportspecifieswhichtypesofworkcanbeconsideredconflictpreventionandpeacebuilding activities,distinguishingbetweenconflictsensitivityandconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingwork. Thechallengesofevaluatinginthisfieldarediscussedandrecommendationsaremadeonkeyconcepts andimportantelementsfortheprocess,includingconductingaconflictanalysis;examiningtheories of change; understanding impacts; programming to support evaluation; and choosing evaluation methodologiesandapproaches. The report also looks at the applicability of existing DAC tools, and adapts the DAC Criteria for EvaluatingDevelopmentAssistancetotheconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingfield.Finally,itoutlines thenextstepsfortheDACNetworksindevelopingguidance. Acknowledgements:ThispaperisaresultofajointprojectoftheDACNetworkonConflict,PeaceandDevelopment Co-operation and the DAC Network on Development Evaluation.The report was prepared by Mary B.Anderson, DianaChigasandPeterWoodrowofCDACollaborativeLearningProjects(CDA),basedinCambridge,Massachusetts, USA.ThetwoNetworksreceivedandcommentedonthisdocumentpriortoitspublication.Thefindingsofthisresearch arebeingusedinthepreparationofdraftDACguidance,whichwillbecompletedbythetwonetworksintheautumn of2007.Theguidancewillbeusedforevaluationsinthefieldduringaoneyearapplicationphase,thenrevisedand finalisedattheendof2008.Anycommentsorqueriesshouldbeaddressedto<[email protected]>. ©OECD2007 3 . ENCOURAGINGEFFECTIVEEVALUATIONOFCONFLICTPREVENTIONANDPEACEBUILDINGACTIVITIES Table of Contents ExecutiveSummary..................................................................................................................................................7 Summaryofgeneralfindings................................................................................................................................7 FutureOECD/DACactionsandnextsteps.........................................................................................................10 Introduction.............................................................................................................................................................13 Interviews..............................................................................................................................................................14 Documentreview..................................................................................................................................................14 Policydocuments..................................................................................................................................................15 Organisationofthisreport..................................................................................................................................15 I.AnOverviewofConflictPreventionandPeacebuildingActivities...............................................................17 A. Theproblem:blurredboundariesandlackofdefinitionalconsensus...................................................17 B. Definingconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingforevaluationpurposes..............................................19 C. Clarifyingthedifferencebetweenconflictsensitivityandconflictpreventionandpeacebuilding...21 D. Particularchallengesofconflictprevention................................................................................................22 E. Acoresetofconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingactivities.................................................................23 II.ConflictPreventionandPeacebuildingEvaluations:SpecialIssues..........................................................25 A. Framingissues:Conflictanalysis,demystifyingimpacts,consideringindicators................................25 B. Specialproblems,conditionsandexpectations..........................................................................................29 C. Methodologicalissuesinconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingevaluations......................................32 III.RelevanceofExistingDACEvaluationTools.................................................................................................37 A. Guidanceforevaluatinghumanitarianassistanceincomplexemergencies........................................37 B. TheDACEvaluationCriteria.........................................................................................................................38 IV.RecommendationsandMainFindings..........................................................................................................43 1.PreparingtheEvaluation.................................................................................................................................43 A. Gettingprogrammedesignright:Anaidtogoodevaluation...................................................................43 B. Settinguptheevaluation...............................................................................................................................44 C. Additionalissuestoconsider........................................................................................................................51 2.ConductingtheEvaluation..............................................................................................................................52 A. Obtainorperformaconflictanalysis..........................................................................................................52 B. Identifyinterventiongoalsandassessthetheoryofchange...................................................................54 C. Gatherandanalysedata/information..........................................................................................................55 D. Examinetheeffortagainstvariouscriteria.................................................................................................55 E. Analysetheresultschain...............................................................................................................................58 F. Assessforconflictsensitivity.........................................................................................................................59 G. Examinetherelationshiptopolicies............................................................................................................59 H. Engageinalearningprocess.........................................................................................................................59 Afinalnote:Keepitsimple.................................................................................................................................60 ©OECD2007 5 ENCOURAGINGEFFECTIVEEVALUATIONOFCONFLICTPREVENTIONANDPEACEBUILDINGACTIVITIES Annex1.Interviewees............................................................................................................................................61 Annex2.GeneralBibliography.............................................................................................................................63 Annex3.Bibliography:PolicyDocuments..........................................................................................................69 Annex4.WhoshouldusetheDACconflictpreventionandpeacebuilding EvaluationGuidanceandforwhichtypesofintervention?............................................................73 Potentialusersandapplicationsoftheguidance............................................................................................73 Thecategoriesofconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingprogramming......................................................76 Annex5.ReflectingonPeacePractice(RPP)CriteriaofEffectiveness............................................................79 Challengesforassessingeffectiveness..............................................................................................................79 Programmeeffectivenessvs.peaceeffectiveness...........................................................................................79 SixCriteriaofEffectiveness.................................................................................................................................79 TheCriteriaarecumulative................................................................................................................................80 Annex6.TheoriesofChange................................................................................................................................81 Evaluatingconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingtheoriesofchange.........................................................81 Example1:EvaluatinggrassrootsconflictpreventioninLiberia...................................................................82 Example2:TheimpactofinternationalpeacebuildingpoliciesandprogramminginKosovo.................83 Annex7.ApplicationofGeneralEvaluationGuidancetoSpecificconflict preventionandpeacebuildingDomainsofWork.............................................................................89 A.Evaluatingtrainingprogrammes:Specialissues,specialconsiderations................................................89 B.Evaluatingdialogueprogramming:Definitions,specialchallenges,considerations.............................91 Annex8.ConsultantTermsofReferenceDevelopingGuidanceforEvaluatingConflictPreventionand PeacebuildingActivities:AnApproachPaper....................................................................................97 Introduction...........................................................................................................................................................97 Questionsandchallenges:Towardsdevelopingguidanceforevaluatingconflictprevention andpeacebuildingactivities...............................................................................................................................97 Tables Table1.1 Applyingconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingevaluationguidance: Conflictsensitivity,objectivesandeffectiveness..............................................................................18 Table1.2 Operationalvs.structuralprevention.................................................................................................22 Table4.1 Rangeofconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingapproaches.........................................................77 Table6.1 Commontheoriesofchange................................................................................................................86 Figure Figure4.1. Mappingconflictpreventionandpeacebuildinggoalsandstrategies........................................54 Boxes 4.1. Guidingprinciplesforevaluations...............................................................................................................44 4.2. FutureDACactionsandnextstepsindevelopingguidance....................................................................60 6 ©OECD2007 ENCOURAGINGEFFECTIVEEVALUATIONOFCONFLICTPREVENTIONANDPEACEBUILDINGACTIVITIES Executive Summary Thechangingnatureofwarandtheastoundinglyhighhuman,societalandfinancialcostsofrecent violentconflicts–coupledwithagrowingsensethatsuchsufferinganddevastationcouldbeavoidedor atleastmitigated–haveledtoamarkedincreaseinconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingactivity.The past decade has seen growing numbers of individuals,governments,international organisations,civil society groups and research institutions devote their efforts, intelligence and financial resources to interventions intended to avert or end violent conflict.At the same time,concern has grown over the effectivenessofsuchefforts. TwoNetworksoftheOECDDevelopmentAssistanceCommittee(DAC)–DevelopmentEvaluationand Conflict,Peace and Development Co-operation (CPDC) – sensed this growing unmet need for direction, among their members as well as other actors in the conflict prevention and peacebuilding fields. In response,they launched an initiative to develop forthcoming DAC guidance on evaluating conflict prevention and peacebuildingactivities.Theoverall objectiveofthis two-year process has been tohelp improveevaluation practiceand thereby support thebroadercommunity ofexperts and implementing organisationsintheireffortstoenhancethequalityofconflictpreventionandpeacebuildinginterventions. CDA Collaborative Learning Projects (CDA) was asked to draft this report with a fourfold aim: to establish greater clarity with regard to conflict prevention and peacebuilding definitions; to review standards against which to evaluate conflict prevention and peacebuilding activities; to identify the distinguishingcharacteristicsandspecialconsiderationsoftheresultingevaluations;andtooutlinekey potentialelementsthoseevaluationscouldinclude.Theresearchisbasedonanexaminationofevaluation and policy documents and interviews with evaluation specialists,donor representatives,multilateral organisationsandprogrammeimplementers,includingnon-governmentalorganisations(NGOs).CDAalso participatedinaDACmeetinginParisinOctober2006andthejointworkshopofthetwoDACnetworks inOsloinDecember2006.Thereportthereforerepresentsausefulstepinthelargerprocessofdeveloping thoroughlytestedandpracticalconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingevaluationguidance. The main audiences for this report are the evaluation and policy staff of donor agencies,conflict prevention and peacebuilding field practitioners and other relevant donor government personnel. Nonetheless,manyotheractorsintheconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingandevaluationfieldswillfind theinformationcontainedhereinusefulaswell. Summary of general findings Definingconflictpreventionandpeacebuilding Through comparative analysis of activities across contexts and times,CDA found that a policy or approachthatwaslabelledconflictpreventionandpeacebuildinginsomeplacesoftenwasnotseenas conflictpreventionandpeacebuildingelsewhere.Theoriesofpeacebuildingandconflictresolutionabound, buteachhasbeendisprovedasoftenasithasbeenproved.Donorsalsodifferintheirinterpretationsof whatconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingis.Theconfusionoverdefinitionsofconflictpreventionand peacebuildingleadsmanytoassume(falsely)thatbybeing“conflict-sensitive”theyareipsofactoalsodoing peacebuildingwork. ©OECD2007 7 ENCOURAGINGEFFECTIVEEVALUATIONOFCONFLICTPREVENTIONANDPEACEBUILDINGACTIVITIES Furthermore,manypeopleassumethatadvancesincriticalstructuralareasalsocontributetothe reduction of conflict and the promotion of peace. Many donor-funded programmes and policies are undertakenontheassumptionthatprogresstowardsliberalisation,economicgrowth,prosperity,human rightsanddemocracycontributetopeace.Evidenceshowsthatwhilesomeofthoseeffortsdocontribute topeace,othershavenegativeornegligibleeffectsonconflict. Giventhisconfusion,CDAsuggestedthefollowingdefinitionofconflictpreventionandpeacebuilding asthebasisforguidance: Conflict prevention and peacebuilding interventions are efforts that adopt goals and objectives aimed at preventing conflict or building peace; they are usually (but not always) focused on a particular conflict zone – an area threatened by, in the midst of, or recovering from serious intergroupviolence.1 Using an intervention’s goals and objectives as the determining criteria for delineating conflict prevention and peacebuilding boundaries helps to clarify the difference between “conflict-sensitive programming”and conflict prevention and peacebuilding activities.All efforts undertaken in a conflict area should be conflict-sensitive (aware of how they affect the dynamics of conflict). Interventions intended to prevent conflict and build peace must also be accountable for their impact on the specific factorsthatdriveandshapethatconflict. Conflictpreventionandpeacebuildingevaluations Scope–Whenapolicyorprogrammeadoptsgoalstomakeadifferenceinthekeydrivingfactors2of conflict,it becomes a legitimate subject for conflict prevention- and peacebuilding-focused evaluating. Donors may also decide to examine the impacts on peace of interventions that do not have conflict preventionandpeacebuildinggoals,becausethoseeffortsnonethelesshavethepotentialforinfluencing thefactorsdrivingconflict.Insettingsvulnerabletoconflict,policymakersmaywishtoensurethatall interventionsareconsistentwiththeefforttopreventviolence.Thus,eveneffortsthatwerenotoriginally intended to address conflict may be examined for their actual or potential impacts, using conflict preventionandpeacebuildingevaluationcriteria. Conflictanalysisandtheoriesofchange–Policymakers,practitionersanddonorsagreethatinorderto be effective,conflict prevention and peacebuilding activities must be based on an analysis of the key drivingfactorsofandactorswithintheconflict.Thereisalsogrowingagreementthatevaluatorsofconflict prevention and peacebuilding should use such an analysis as the basis for evaluations.Based on that analysis,conflictpreventionandpeacebuildingprogrammestrategiesortheoriesofchangedescribethe way practitioners and policy makers believe a particular activity will contribute to achieving peace (or conflict prevention). These underlying theories need to be uncovered, described and tested during evaluation. 1. Thereisnointernationallyagreeddefinitionoftheterm“violence”.Theterm“intergroupviolence”isusedhereto distinguishtheintentionalandillegitimateuseofarmedforce,includingbothinter-andintra-stateconflicts,from othertypesofviolencesuchascriminalactivityandinterpersonalviolence.Whilesomeconflictpreventionand peacebuildingactivitiesmayaddresssuchformsofviolence,thisresearchdealsprimarilywithintergroupviolence (war). 2. Keydrivingfactorsaremajorelementsthatcontributetotheconflict,withoutwhichtheconflicteitherwouldnot existorwouldbesignificantlydifferent.Thesecanbelong-termstructuralissues,moreimmediatetriggersorany- thinginbetween,asidentifiedbypeopleinthesituation. 8 ©OECD2007 ENCOURAGINGEFFECTIVEEVALUATIONOFCONFLICTPREVENTIONANDPEACEBUILDINGACTIVITIES Impacts – There are wide differences of opinion about what is meant by impacts in the context of conflict prevention and peacebuilding evaluations.Many think that impacts are beyond the immediate outcomesofconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingprogramming,occurring“atahigherlevel”andoverthe longterm.IntheviewoftheCDAteam,thispreoccupationwiththeremotenessofimpactscanmistakenly divertevaluationattentionawayfromassessingthemanyeffects(intendedornot)ofconflictprevention andpeacebuildingprogrammes.Evaluationsshouldtakeaccountofindividualprogrammeimpactsand cumulative,multi-programmeimpactsatthestrategicorpolicylevel.Bothlong-andshort-termimpacts shouldbeexamined,withafocusonimpactsontheconflict. Specialproblems,conditionsandexpectationsofconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingevaluations–Thereis broadevidencethatevaluatingconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingfacesspecialchallenges,including: thepoliticalnatureofpeaceprocesses;thepotentiallyproblematicroleofpartnergovernments;unclear orunspecifiedgoalsofconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingactivities;implicitandunarticulated(aswell asuntested)theoriesofchange;theimportanceofprocessesaswellasoutcomesandimpacts;andthe emotional and ideological commitments of conflict prevention and peacebuilding advocates and programmers. Evaluationasanintervention–Becauseaconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingevaluationoccursin thecontextofconflict,itsapproachesandprocessesareeffectivelyinterventionsintheconflict.Evaluators whodonotknowhowtoengagewithconflictdynamicsinpositiveways(lackingconflictsensitivityand know-how)maydoharmastheyevaluateaprogramme.Conflictpreventionandpeacebuildingevaluators must act in accordance with the field’s established principles and be sure that they have thoroughly analysedtheconflictcontext. Approachesandmethodologiesforevaluations–Thereisnoone“right”methodologytoaddressallthe special circumstances and conditions of conflict prevention and peacebuilding.There are, however, commonprinciplesthatshouldbefollowed,interalia:inclusiveness;testingoftheunderlyingtheoryof change;useofamixofbothqualitativeandquantitativemethods;attentiontounexpectedimpacts;and ethical standards for approaching informants and handling the reporting of findings within conflict environments. Adaptation of the DAC Criteria to conflict prevention and peacebuilding – DAC’s Criteria for Evaluating Development Assistance,3 with additional information from the OECD/DAC “Glossary of KeyTerms in EvaluationandResultsBasedManagement”,havebeenadaptedtoserveasthebasisforconflictprevention and peacebuilding evaluation guidance. All activities (projects, programmes, country strategies, interventionsandpolicies)shouldbeexaminedusingthesecriteria.Specificquestionslinkingeachcriterion to conflict prevention and peacebuilding issues were also developed. The criteria are: Relevance/ Appropriateness; Effectiveness; Efficiency; Impact; Sustainability; Linkages (replacing“Connectedness”); Coverage;andConsistencywithconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingvalues.Thereisdisagreementover whetherCoherenceshouldbeconsideredacriterion;somefeelmuchmoreevidenceisneededtoestablish whether coherence contributes to conflict prevention and peacebuilding effectiveness.Nor is there full consensusonaddingConsistencyandCoverage,whichcouldbecoveredbyothercriteria. Skillsandtoolsnecessaryforconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingevaluators–Threequalificationsappear tobeofparticularimportanceforevaluatorteams:i)knowledgeofevaluationmethods;ii)knowledgeof theconflictpreventionandpeacebuildingfield(includingthestateoftheartandtheskillsrequiredfor performing conflict analysis); and iii) an appropriate and conflict-sensitive style of working (being comfortableworkingindangeroussituations,havinginterpersonalapproachesthataretransparent,being gender-andculturallysensitive,andpossessingskillsformanagingconflictandtension). 3. DACCriteriaforEvaluatingDevelopmentAssistance,http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/15/21/39119068.pdf ©OECD2007 9

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B. Defining conflict prevention and peacebuilding for evaluation purposes. Theories of peacebuilding and conflict resolution abound, but each has been
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