Emerging Technologies for Economic Development

334 Pages·2019·6.768 MB·English

by  Dirk Meissner, Leonid Gokhberg, Ozcan Saritas

Science, Technology and Innovation Studies
Dirk Meissner
Leonid Gokhberg
Ozcan Saritas Editors
Emerging
Technologies
for Economic
Development
Science, Technology and Innovation
Studies
SeriesEditors
LeonidGokhberg
Moscow,Russia
DirkMeissner
Moscow,Russia
Science, technology and innovation (STI) studies are interrelated, as are STI
policies and policy studies. This series of books aims to contribute to improved
understanding of these interrelations. Their importance has become more widely
recognized,astheroleofinnovationindrivingeconomicdevelopmentandfostering
societal welfare has become almost conventional wisdom. Interdisciplinary in
coverage, the series focuses on the links between STI, business, and the broader
economy and society. The series includes conceptual and empirical contributions,
which aim to extend our theoretical grasp while offering practical relevance.
RelevanttopicsincludetheeconomicandsocialimpactsofSTI,STIpolicydesign
and implementation, technology and innovation management, entrepreneurship
(and related policies), foresight studies, and analysis of emerging technologies.
The series is addressed to professionals in research and teaching, consultancies
andindustry,governmentandinternationalorganizations.
Moreinformationaboutthisseriesathttp://www.springer.com/series/13398
(cid:129) (cid:129)
Dirk Meissner Leonid Gokhberg
Ozcan Saritas
Editors
Emerging Technologies
for Economic
Development
Editors
DirkMeissner LeonidGokhberg
NationalResearchUniversity NationalResearchUniversity
HigherSchoolofEconomics HigherSchoolofEconomics
Moscow,Russia Moscow,Russia
OzcanSaritas
NationalResearchUniversity
HigherSchoolofEconomics
Moscow,Russia
ISSN2570-1509 ISSN2570-1517 (electronic)
Science,TechnologyandInnovationStudies
ISBN978-3-030-04368-1 ISBN978-3-030-04370-4 (eBook)
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04370-4
LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2019934100
#SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2019
Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartofthe
materialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation,
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Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication
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The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this
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Contents
1 WhatDoEmergingTechnologiesMeanforEconomic
Development?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
DirkMeissner,LeonidGokhberg,andOzcanSaritas
PartI MaterialsandManufacturing
2 NewMaterials:TheCaseofCarbonFibres. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
OzcanSaritas,AlexanderSokolov,andKonstantinVishnevskiy
3 NanotechnologyforHigh-TechIndustries:Light-Emitting
Diodes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
VitalyRoud,AlexanderSokolov,andDirkMeissner
4 TechnologyUseinTraditionalIndustries:CatalystsforPetroleum
Refining. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77
DirkMeissnerandPavelRudnik
PartII EnergyandTransport
5 RenewableEnergyTechnologicalPotentialAssessmentfor
Evidence-BasedPolicy-Making. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107
BorisErmolenko,GeorgyErmolenko,andLilianaProskuryakova
6 GlobalMarketCreationforFuelCellElectricVehicles. . . . . . . . . . 131
AlexanderSokolov,OzcanSaritas,andDirkMeissner
7 TechnologyRoadmaps:EmergingTechnologiesintheAircraft
andShipbuildingIndustries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
MarinaKlubova,LubovMatich,VladimirSalun,
andNataliaVeselitskaya
PartIII LivingSystemsandEnvironment
8 WaterTreatmentandPurification:TechnologicalResponses
toGrandChallenges. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177
OzcanSaritasandKonstantinVishnevskiy
v
vi Contents
9 EmergingTechnologiesIdentificationinForesightandStrategic
Planning:CaseofAgricultureandFoodSector. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205
LeonidGokhberg,IlyaKuzminov,PavelBakhtin,AntonTimofeev,
andElenaKhabirova
10 TechnologyAssessmentforContainerClosureIntegrityTesting
TechnologyforBiotechIndustry. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225
QinGuo,MichaelClark,MitsutakaShirasaki,andTugrulDaim
11 EmergingTechnologies,TrendsandWildCardsinHuman
Enhancement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 243
OzcanSaritas
PartIV Security
12 Illuminatingthe“DarkSide”ofEmergingTechnologies. . . . . . . . . 263
AharonHauptman
13 DefenceandSecurity:NewIssuesandImpacts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287
AndrewJames
14 Defense4.0:InternetofThingsinMilitary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 303
SerhatBurmaoglu,OzcanSaritas,andHaydarYalcin
PartV ChallengestoSTIPolicy
15 HowtoStimulateConvergenceandEmergenceofTechnologies?. . . . 323
DirkMeissner,LeonidGokhberg,andOzcanSaritas
Editors and Contributors
About the Editors
DirkMeissner isDeputyHeadoftheLaboratoryfor
Economics of Innovation at HSE ISSEK and Aca-
demic Director of the Master Program “Governance
for STI.” Dr. Meissner has 20 years of experience in
researchandteachingtechnologyandinnovationman-
agement and policy. He has strong background in
policy making and industrial management for STI
with special focus on foresight and roadmapping,
funding of research and priority setting. Prior to join-
ingHSE,Dr.Meissnerwasresponsiblefortechnology
and innovation policy at the presidential office of the
Swiss Science and Technology Council. Previously,
he was management consultant for technology and
innovation management with Arthur D. Little. He is
memberofOECDWorkingPartyonTechnologyand
Innovation Policy. He is Associate Editor of Techno-
logical Forecasting and Social Change, IEEE
Transactions on Engineering Management, Journal
of the Knowledge Economy, member of Editorial
ReviewBoardatSmallBusinessEconomicsandJour-
nal of Knowledge Management. He guest edited Spe-
cialIssuesinIndustryandInnovationjournal,Journal
ofEngineeringandTechnologyManagement,Techno-
logical Analysis and Strategic Management among
others.
vii
viii EditorsandContributors
Leonid Gokhberg is First Vice-Rector of the HSE
andalsoDirectorofHSEISSEK.Hisareaofexpertise
is statistics and indicators on STI as well as foresight
and policy studies in this area. He has authored over
400 publications in Russian and international peer-
reviewed journals, monographs, and university
textbooks. Prof. Gokhberg has coordinated dozens of
national and international projects funded by public
agencies, businesses, and international organizations.
He has served as a consultant of the OECD, Eurostat,
UNESCO, and other international and national
agencies. Leonid is also a member of the Global
InnovationIndexAdvisoryBoard, theOECDGovern-
ment Foresight Network, and OECD and Eurostat
working groups and task forces on indicators for S&T
as well as steering committees of various prestigious
internationalandnationalinitiatives.Prof.Gokhbergis
Editor-in-ChiefoftheScopus-indexedscientificjournal
Foresight and STI Governance and editor of the
Springer academic book series Science, Technology,
andInnovationStudies,andparticipatesontheeditorial
boardsofseveralotherinfluentialjournals.HeholdsPh.
D.andDr.ofSc.degreesinEconomics.
OzcanSaritas isProfessorofInnovationandStrategy
attheHSEandEditor-in-ChiefofForesight—thejour-
nal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy. He
worked as Senior Research Fellow at the Manchester
Institute of Innovation Research, the University of
Manchester. His research focuses on innovation and
policy research with particular emphasis on socio-
economic and technological foresight. With a Ph.D.
fromthe“ForesightandProspectiveStudiesProgram,”
he introduced the “Systemic Foresight Methodology,”
andhasproducedanumberofpublicationsonthetopic.
Dr. Saritas has extensive work experience with the
international organizations, including the United
Nations, OECD, and the European Commission. He
hasbeeninvolvedinlarge-scalenational,multinational,
and corporate research and consultancy projects on
sectors including energy, climate change, agriculture,
food, water, transportation, and ICT among others;
published a number of articles in respected journals;
and have delivered keynote speeches in more than
EditorsandContributors ix
50countriesacrosstheworld.Besideshisresearchand
publicationactivities,hedesignsanddeliversacademic
andexecutiveeducationcoursesonForesightandStra-
tegic Planning. He has recently co-authored a book,
entitled Foresight for Science, Technology and
Innovation published by Springer, which has become
oneofthekeyreadingsinthefield.
Contributors
Pavel Bakhtin Information and Analytical Systems Unit, HSE ISSEK, Moscow,
Russia
Serhat Burmaoglu Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Izmir
KatipCelebiUniversity,Izmir,Turkey
MichaelClark PortlandStateUniversity,Portland,OR,USA
TugrulDaim PortlandStateUniversity,Portland,OR,USA
Boris Ermolenko National Research University, Higher School of Economics,
Moscow,Russia
Georgy Ermolenko National Research University, Higher School of Economics,
Moscow,Russia
Leonid Gokhberg National Research University, Higher School of Economics,
Moscow,Russia
QinGuo PortlandStateUniversity,Portland,OR,USA
AharonHauptman TelAvivUniversity,TelAviv,Israel
Andrew James Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, The University of
Manchester,Manchester,UK
Elena Khabirova Unit for Digital Economy Studies, HSE ISSEK, Moscow,
Russia
Marina Klubova National Research University, Higher School of Economics,
Moscow,Russia
Ilya Kuzminov National Research University, Higher School of Economics,
Moscow,Russia
Lubov Matich National Research University, Higher School of Economics,
Moscow,Russia