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Elections and Democracy The Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES) is a collaborative program of research among election study teams from around the world. Participating coun- tries include a common module of survey questions in their post-election studies. The resulting data are deposited along with voting, demographic, district, and macro variables. The studies are then merged into a single, free, public dataset for use in comparative study and cross-level analysis. The set of volumes in this series is based on these CSES modules, and the vol- umes address the key theoretical issues and empirical debates in the study of elec- tions and representative democracy. Some of the volumes will be organized around the theoretical issues raised by a particular module, while others will be thematic in their focus. Taken together, these volumes will provide a rigorous and ongoing contribution to understanding the expansion and consolidation of democracy in the twenty-first century. Further information on CSES activities can be obtained from: CSES Secretariat Center for Political Studies Institute for Social Research The University of Michigan 426 Thompson Street Ann Arbor, Michigan 481042321 USA CSES web site: http://www.cses.org Elections and Democracy Representation and Accountability Edited by Jacques Thomassen 1 1 Great Clarendon Street, Oxford, OX2 6DP, United Kingdom Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries © The several contributors 2014 The moral rights of the author have been asserted First Edition published in 2014 Impression: 1 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted by law, by licence or under terms agreed with the appropriate reprographics rights organization. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above You must not circulate this work in any other form and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016, United States of America British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data Data available Library of Congress Control Number: 2014930995 ISBN 978–0–19–871633–4 Printed and bound by CPI Group (UK) Ltd, Croydon, CR0 4YY Links to third party websites are provided by Oxford in good faith and for information only. Oxford disclaims any responsibility for the materials contained in any third party website referenced in this work. Series Editors’ Preface Few topics generate as much interest among observers and practitioners of politics as the quality of the democratic process. The expansion of democracy during the twentieth century, which accelerated rapidly after the collapse of communism in 1990, has meant that a majority of the world’s countries are now electoral democracies. But not all democracies can be considered equal; they differ widely in terms of institutional arrangements and practices and in the levels of public support that they attract. It is the public support for democracy that the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES) project is designed to investigate. This volume series presents the key findings from this major research project that commenced in 1994. The first CSES volume, edited by Hans-Dieter Klingemann, has document- ed much of its historical background, the basic principles of data collection, and provided sample chapters showing many of the analytical possibilities of this unique data collection. This volume is based on the first module of sur- vey questions in the CSES, completed in 2001, which examines the interac- tion of political institutions and political behaviour regarding attitudes towards the democratic regime, the political authorities, and the quality of the political process generally. As with the first volume, the second one, edited by Russell J. Dalton and Christopher J. Anderson, addresses the fundamental question of whether the institutional structure of elections affects the nature of the public’s choices. The first question looks at explanations of turnout, and how institutions structure the likelihood of voting. The second question discusses determi- nants of individual electoral behaviour and examines the role of institutions in shaping what kinds of political information voters acquire. The third volume in the series, by Russell J. Dalton, David Farrell, and Ian McAllister, describes and explains the role of political parties in election cam- paigns, in forming the electoral choice of voters and their role in government and opposition. The theoretical arguments relate to the logic of the responsi- ble parties model. It is the first study that tests these ideas using a comprehen- sive and comparative design. It demonstrates the importance of the left–right schema to enable political positioning, political communication, and politi- cal representation. v Series Editors’ Preface Elections and Democracy: Representation and Accountability, edited by Jacques Thomassen, constitutes the fourth volume of the series. Inspired by Arend Lijphart’s theory, the analyses contrast voting and elections in countries of majoritarian Westminster and consensus democracies. The volume asks the question: do consensus models of democracy serve the interests of their citi- zens better than majoritarian systems? The answer is that formal institutions such as the electoral system matter less than might be expected. What does matter is the characteristics of the party system, such as the level of polariza- tion and the clarity of accountability. Jack Vowles and Georgios Xezonakis have edited the fifth volume, to follow soon. The authors ask how globalization affects democratic mass politics, and in particular the political attitudes and behaviour of ordinary citizens and the policies of political parties—not just governments. All of the books in the series raise key questions for extending our under- standing of individual citizen behaviour. Most studies of voting behaviour have been based on single country studies, often covering just a single elec- tion. By comparing a wide range of countries, for the first time the CSES pro- ject enables the institutional environment to be brought into the equation, enhancing our understanding of the complex relationship between individ- ual choice and institutional context. Indeed, such analyses were impossible until the CSES was established. All of the CSES data are freely available and can be downloaded from our website <http://www.cses.org>. Hans-Dieter Klingemann Ian McAllister Series Editors vi Preface This book is based upon the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES). The most innovative characteristic of CSES is that it collects data from a great number of countries both at the country level and at the level of individual citizens. This makes it possible to study the effects of different institutional arrangements on people’s political behaviour and their perception and evalu- ation of the democratic process. It hardly needs to be argued how important it is to know what these effects are. There is a growing body of literature argu- ing that elections are no longer an effective instrument of democracy as they are failing to connect the policy preferences of the electorate to government policy. Also, people allegedly are losing their confidence in politicians, politi- cal parties, and political institutions. Against this background, trying to find out which kind of political-institutional arrangements serve electoral democ- racy best and which institutions are better able to sustain people’s confidence in them is like a quest for the Holy Grail. Of course, the political institutions of different countries can differ in many ways. Fortunately, there is some structure in these differences. Following Lijphart’s seminal work Patterns of Democracy we make a distinction between majoritarian and consensus models of democracy. These models are the embod- iment in institutional structures of two different views of democracy. In the majoritarian view the single most important function of an election is the selection of a government. The concentration of power in the hands of an elected majority government makes it accountable to the people. In consen- sus models of democracy, or proportional systems, the major function of elec- tions is to elect the members of parliament who together should be as representative as possible of the electorate as a whole. The criterion for the democratic quality of the system is how representative parliament really is. This book explores how far these different views and their embodiment in institutional structures influence vote choice, political participation, and sat- isfaction with the functioning of democracy. Unfortunately, we did not find the Holy Grail. Our major finding is that formal political institutions and in particular the distinction between a con- sensus and a majoritarian system of democracy are far less relevant for peo- ple’s political behaviour and their perceptions and evaluations of the process vii Preface of democracy than often presumed. Rather than formal political institutions like the electoral system it seems to be the characteristics of the party system like polarization and the clarity of responsibility that really matter. This might be a disappointing message for institutional engineers: whatever the cure for a poorly functioning democracy or people’s dissatisfaction with the functioning of democracy is, a makeover of political institutions in all likeli- hood will not make much of a difference. It is politics that really matters. This book is the fourth volume in a series of books based on CSES. CSES has evolved into a collaborative, cross-national programme of electoral behav- iour among over 60 election study teams from around the world. The first ideas for bringing together the principal investigators of national election studies in order to develop a comparative programme of election studies were developed in the context of the International Consortium for Research into Elections and Representative Democracy (ICORE) which was founded at the ECPR Research Sessions in Rimini in 1989. This at first was an organization of the established election studies in Western Europe, which decided to focus on the development of a longitudinal common database of European Election Studies at the Central Archive (now GESIS) in Cologne. Later on this led to the publication of The European Voter. But ICORE initially did not develop any plans for a worldwide comparative programme of election studies. It was Ste- ven Rosenstone, the then principal investigator of the American National Election Studies who first made the ANES member of ICORE in 1993 and then immediately took the initiative for CSES. The idea for it was born in the con- text of ANES, but Steven Rosenstone wanted it to be organized under the umbrella of ICORE, being afraid that researchers in many parts of the world would otherwise shy away from what they might consider as American intel- lectual imperialism. That concern was totally unjustified. Being affiliated with the famous election studies at the University of Michigan was an impor- tant incentive for many of them to join. Without Steven Rosenstone CSES would not have seen the light of day, at least not at any time soon. Co- directing the first planning committee with him was an adventurous but pleasant experience. The authors of this book are indebted to many people and institutions. First, we are standing on the shoulders of giants in our discipline, Arend Lijphart’s in particular. His distinction between majoritarian and consensus models of democracy is the major independent variable in this book. His measures were updated and somewhat amended for the countries participat- ing in CSES by Julian Bernauer, Nathalie Giger, and Adrian Vatter. The second module of CSES on which this book is almost entirely based was developed by the second planning committee under the benevolent leadership of Phil Shively. Dave Howell of the CSES secretariat has been supportive throughout the project. The Institute of Governance Studies at the University of Twente viii Preface hosted and funded a research meeting at which first drafts of the chapters were discussed. Janine van der Woude transformed the chapter drafts into a single style manuscript. Dominic Byatt of Oxford University Press and the series editors, Ian McAllister and Hans-Dieter Klingemann, have been sup- portive and patient from the very beginning. As always, the staff at OUP did a wonderful job preparing the final manuscript. I’m especially grateful to my co-authors for their patience and perseverance. They never complained about yet another revision, at least not in my presence. Enschede, February 2014 Jacques Thomassen ix

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Elections and Democracy addresses the contrast between two different views on representative democracy. According to the first view elections are a mechanism to hold government accountable. In the second view elections are primarily a means to ensure that citizens' views and interests are properly r
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