Education and Health Across Lives, Cohorts, and Countries A Study of Cumulative (Dis)advantage in Germany, Sweden, and the United States Liliya Leopold Thesis submitted for assessment with a view to obtaining the degree of Doctor of Political and Social Sciences of the European University Institute Florence, 04 May 2017 European University Institute Department of Political and Social Sciences Education and Health Across Lives, Cohorts, and Countries A Study of Cumulative (Dis)advantage in Germany, Sweden, and the United States Liliya Leopold Thesis submitted for assessment with a view to obtaining the degree of Doctor of Political and Social Sciences of the European University Institute Examining Board Professor Hans-Peter Blossfeld (EUI, Supervisor) Professor Fabrizio Bernardi (EUI) Professor Johan Mackenbach (Erasmus Medical Center, University of Rotterdam) Professor Johan Fritzell (CHESS, University of Stockholm) © Liliya Leopold, 2017 No part of this thesis may be copied, reproduced or transmitted without prior permission of the author Researcher declaration to accompany the submission of written work Department of Political and Social Sciences - Doctoral Programme I Liliya Leopold certify that I am the author of the work "Education and Health Across Lives, Cohorts, and Countries: A Study of Cumulative (Dis)advantage in Germany, Sweden, and the United States" I have presented for examination for the Ph.D. at the European University Institute. I also certify that this is solely my own original work, other than where I have clearly indicated, in this declaration and in the thesis, that it is the work of others. I warrant that I have obtained all the permissions required for using any material from other copyrighted publications. I certify that this work complies with the Code of Ethics in Academic Research issued by the European University Institute (IUE 332/2/10 (CA 297). The copyright of this work rests with its author. Quotation from it is permitted, provided that full acknowledgement is made. This work may not be reproduced without my prior written consent. This authorisation does not, to the best of my knowledge, infringe the rights of any third party. I declare that this work consists of 53.556 words. Statement of inclusion of previous work: I confirm that chapter 4 was jointly co-authored with Dr. Thomas Leopold and I contributed 80% of the work. Statement of language correction: This thesis has been corrected for linguistic and stylistic errors. I certify that I have checked and approved all language corrections, and that these have not affected the content of this work. Signature and date: 21.02.2017 Abstract According to the cumulative (dis)advantage hypothesis, social disparities in health increase over the life course. Evidence on this hypothesis is largely limited to the U.S. context. The present dissertation draws on recent theoretical and methodological advances to test the cumulative (dis)advantage hypothesis in two other contexts – Sweden and West Germany. Three empirical studies examine the core association between socioeconomic position and health (a) from a life- course perspective considering individual change, (b) from a cohort perspective considering socio- historical change, and (c) from a comparative perspective considering cross-national differences. The analyses are based on large-scale longitudinal data from the Swedish Level of Living Survey, the German Socio-economic Panel Study, the Health and Retirement Study, and the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. The key analytical constructs are education as a measure of socioeconomic position and self-rated health, mobility limitations, and chronic conditions as measures of health. The results show large differences within countries and between countries in the age patterns and cohort patterns of change in health inequality. In the U.S., educational gaps in health widen strongly over the life course, and this divergence intensifies across cohorts. In Sweden, health gaps are much smaller, widen only moderately with age, and remain stable across cohorts. In Germany, health gaps widen with age and across cohorts, but these patterns pertain only to men. Taken together, these findings show that health inequality across lives and cohorts is mitigated in Western European welfare states, which target social inequality in health-related resources. In the U.S. context, which is characterized by a lack of social security, unequal access to health care, and large social disparities in quality of living, health inequality increases across lives and cohorts. 1 Publication record and declaration of the author’s contribution to the studies contained in this dissertation (as of February, 2017) Study I “Cumulative Disadvantage in an Egalitarian Country? Socioeconomic Health Disparities over the Life Course in Sweden”, Journal of Health and Social Behavior 2016, 57: 257-273. Sole authorship. Study II “Education and Health in the United States and Sweden:A Comparative View on Health Trajectories in Later Life”, Revise & Resubmit at Demography. Sole authorship. Study III “Education and Health Across Lives and Cohorts: A Study of Cumulative (Dis)advantage in Germany”, Revise & Resubmit at Journal of Health and Social Behavior. Contribution of Liliya Leopold is approximately 80%. Co-authored with Thomas Leopold. An earlier draft of this Chapter has been published as a working paper: Leopold, L., and T., Leopold. 2016. “Education and Health Across Lives and Cohorts: A Study of Cumulative Advantage in Germany”, SOEPpapers No. 835 – 2016. 2 Contents Chapter I Introduction.....………………………………….…:…………….…………………………4 Chapter II Cumulative disadvantage in an egalitarian country? Socioeconomic Health Disparities over the Life Course in Sweden..………:….………...41 Chapter III Education and Health in the United States and Sweden: A Comparative View on Health Trajectories in Later Life………………:………………83 Chapter IV Education and Health Across Lives and Cohorts: A Study of Cumulative (Dis)advantage in Germany……………………………………121 Chapter V Discussion ………………..………………………………………………….…………:178 3 Chapter I Introduction Health is one of the most important goods for individuals and societies. Being healthy is a precondition for achieving personal goals and fulfilling social roles. The societal benefits of improving population health and prolonging lives include not only reductions of health care expenditures, but also increases in productivity, labor supply, and economic growth (Bloom and Canning 2000). Despite its immense value, large social groups still fail to maintain good health. Remarkably, this is not only the case in poor countries, but even in the most developed societies where the basic needs for being healthy – sufficient nutrition, medical supply, and adequate housing – have long been covered for the majority of the population (Fritzell et al. 2013; Marmot 2005; Mackenbach 2012). Moreover, substantial variation in the extent of social disparities in health exists not only between poor and rich countries, but also within the most advanced democracies (Smits and Monden 2009). In the U.S., for example, disparities between the least and the most affluent and educated people in mortality, physical functioning, and chronic conditions greatly exceed those in Western European countries. However, health disparities are substantial also in Western Europe. For instance, the gap between lower and higher educated people in disability-free life expectancy amounts to eight years; the probability of being in good self-rated health amounts to about 30 percentage points (Hu et al. 2016; Mäki 2013; Mackenbach 2008). Although the most recent studies report positive trends of declining social inequality in mortality, substantial disparities in health 4