E P O CONOMICS OF OLICY PTIONS TO ADDRESS CLIMATE CHANGE No part of this digital document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means. The publisher has taken reasonable care in the preparation of this digital document, but makes no expressed or implied warranty of any kind and assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. No liability is assumed for incidental or consequential damages in connection with or arising out of information contained herein. This digital document is sold with the clear understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, medical or any other professional services. E P O CONOMICS OF OLICY PTIONS TO ADDRESS CLIMATE CHANGE GREGORY N. BARTOS Nova Science Publishers, Inc. New York Copyright © 2009 by Nova Science Publishers, Inc. All rights reserved. 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(cid:30) New York CONTENTS Preface vii Abbreviations ix Correspondence xi Chapter 1 Results in Brief 1 Chapter 2 Background 5 Mitigating Greenhouse Gas Emissions 11 Adaptation Policies to Reduce Vulnerability to Climate Change 13 Estimating the Potential Benefits and Costs of Actions to Address Climate Change 14 Climate Change Policies Currently under Consideration by the Congress 16 Chapter 3 Despite some Uncertainty Regarding the Potential Economic Impact, All of the Panelists Supported Establishing a Price on Greenhouse Gas Emissions 17 All of the Panelists Agreed that the Congress Should Consider Establishing a Price on Greenhouse Gas Emissions, and the Majority Recommended Complementary Policies 18 Panelists Described the Potential Benefits and Costs of Actions to Address Climate Change 22 vi Contents Panelists Rated Estimates of Costs of Actions to Address Climate Change as more Useful than Estimates of Benefits, Citing Uncertainties Associated with Future Impacts 25 The Majority of Panelists Said that the United States should Begin to Control Emissions Soon, regardless of International Participation 27 Chapter 4 The Panelists’ Views on the Strengths and Limitations of Policy Options Focused Primarily on the Environmental Certainty of a Cap-and-Trade System versus the Efficiency of a Tax on Emissions 29 Panelists Rated the Importance of Criteria for Evaluating Policy Options 31 The Most Important Trade-offs Are between the Relative Effectiveness of Cap-and-Trade Systems and the Relative Efficiency of Taxes 31 The Panelists Viewed Other Policy Options less Favorably but Cited Their Potential as a Complement to a Market-Based Mechanism 33 Appendix I Scope and Methodology 39 Appendix II Selected Characteristics of Panelists’ Preferred Policy Options for Addressing Climate Change 43 Appendix III Selected Questions and Expert Responses 47 Appendix IV Panel of Experts 57 Appendix V Bibliography of Selected Literature Reviewed by GAO 59 Endnotes 71 Index 75 PREFACE Elevated levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and the resulting effects on the earth’s climate could have significant environmental and economic impacts in the United States and internationally. Potential impacts include rising sea levels and a shift in the intensity and frequency of floods and storms. Proposed responses to climate change include adapting to the possible impacts by planning and improving protective infrastructure, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions directly through regulation or the promotion of low-emissions technologies. Because most U.S. emissions stem from the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and natural gas, much of this book centers on the effect emissions regulation could have on the economy.
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