Economic and demographic analysis of Montana : information in support of the Montana Consolidated Plan for the plan year beginning April 1, 2003, final report

68 Pages·2002·2.4 MB·English

by  Western Economic Services

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Department of Commerce
ECONOMIC AND
DEMOGRAPHIC
ANALYSIS
OF MONTANA
VOLUME
I
Economic Profile of the State of Montana
Montana's Demographic
Profile
Housing Inventory and Affordability
Information in Support of the IVIontana Consolidated Plan
For Plan Year Beginning
April 1,2003
NOVEMBER
2002
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MONTANA STATE lib.. WV
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EQUAL HOUSING
OPPORTUNITY

MontanaSlateLibrary
3 0864 1005 8690 1
Economic and Demographic Analysis
of IVIontana
information in Support of the Montana Consolidated Plan
For Plan Year Beginning
April 1,2003
VOLUME
1
FINAL REPORT
Prepared by:
Western Economic Services, LLC
212 S.E. 18th Avenue
/
Portland, Oregon 97214
[phone]
Fax: [phone]
"V^
\ E-mail: [email protected]
November 2002
Montana Department of Commerce
MontanaDepartmentofCommerce Final Report: 11/27/02
We make every effort to ensure our documents are
fully accessible to persons with disabilities.
Alternative accessible formats of this document will
be provided upon request. Please contact the
Montana Department of Commerce at 406-841-2820 or
TDD
406-841-2702.
MontanaDepartmentofCommerce Final Report: 11/27/02
1 5581
TABLE OF CONTENTS
VOLUME
I
Page
Executive Summary
1
Introduction 13
Section I - Economic Profile ofthe State ofMontana 15
Background
1
Economic Structure
1
Labor Force
1
Personal Income 20
Poverty 23
Summary 25
Section II - Montana's Demographic Profile 27
Population 27
Population Density 27
Where Growth Is Occurring 30
Demographic Characteristics 31
Gender, Age, and Race 3
Household Formation 32
Population Living in Group Quarters 33
Native Americans 34
Marital Status 34
Veteran Status 35
Disabled Population 35
Poverty Status for Disabled 38
Employment Status ofDisabled 38
Education Enrollment and Attainment ofDisabled 39
Summary 41
Section III - Housing Inventory and Affordability 43
Housing Units 43
Housing Characteristics 44
Occupants per Room 44
Lacking Plumbing or Kitchen Facilities 44
Rooms per Housing Unit 44
Year Structure Built 45
Housing Construction 46
Explanatory Notes on Residential New Construction 46
Building Permits 47
Building and Electrical Permits, MBIA Housing Starts 47
Housing Costs 48
Total Monthly Housing Costs 51
MontanaDepartmentofCommerce ' FinalReport: 1 121102
TABLE OF CONTENTS
(Cont)
Page
Cost Burden Thresholds 52
Summary 53
List ofReferences 55
VOLUME
II
Page
Appendix A - Annual Labor Force Statistics in Montana 1
Appendix B - Income and Poverty Statistics 5
Appendix C - Housing Characteristics 11
Appendix D - New Construction Permit Data 17
Appendix E - Average Housing Costs, Utihty Costs, Finance Costs, and Cost
Burden Thresholds 31
VOLUME
III
Appendix F: 1990 and 2000 Decennial Population and Demographic Statistics 1
Table F.1: Population in Montana (by County) 2
Table F.2: Population in Selected Montana Cities and Census-Designated Places 3
Table F.3: Montana Population Report by U.S. Census Bureau 6
Table F.4: Total Population Living in Group Quarters 8
Table F.5: Institutionalized Persons Living in Group Quarters 9
Table F.6: Non-Institutionalized Persons Living in Group Quarters 10
Table F.7: Marital Status by County for Montana 11
Table F.8: Veteran Status by County for Montana 12
Table F.9; Disabled 5 to 15 Years by Disability Type by County for Montana 13
Table F.IO: Disabled 16 to 64 Years by Disability Type by County for Montana 14
Table F.1 1 : Disabled 65 Years and Over by Disability Type by County for Montana 15
Table F.12: Disabled Population Poverty Status (Male) by County for Montana 16
Table F.13: Disabled Population Poverty Status (Female) by County for Montana 17
Table F.14: Disabled 18 to 64 Years (Male) by County forMontana
Educational Enrollment and Attainment 18
Table F.15: Disabled 18 to 64 Years (Female) by County for Montana
Educational Enrollment and Attainment 19
Table F.16: Disabled 16 to 64 Years by Disability Type 20
TABLE OF CONTENTS
(Cont)
MontanaDepartmentofCommerce FinalReport: 11/27/02
1111
Page
Table F.17: Disabled 65 Years and Overby Disability Type 20
Table F.I8: Disabled Poverty Status (Male) by Cities 5,000 and Over
for Montana 2
Table F.19: Disabled Poverty Status (Female) by Cities 5,000 and Over
for Montana 2
Table F.20: Disabled Employment Status (Male) 22
Table F.21: Disabled Employment Status (Female) 22
Table F.22: Disabled Employment Status (Male) 23
Table F.23: Disabled Employment Status (Female) 24
Table F.24: Disabled 5 to 15 Years by Disability Type 25
Table F.25: Disabled 16 to 64 Years by Disability Type 25
Table F.26: Disabled 65 Years and Over by Disability Type 26
Table F.27: Disabled Poverty Status (Male)
by Cities With Population 5,000 or More for Montana 26
Table F.28: Disabled Poverty Status (Female)
by Cities With Population 5,000 or More for Montana 27
Table F.29: Disabled Population 16 to 20 (Male) Employment Status 29
Table F.30: Disabled Population 16 to 20 (Female) Employment Status 3
Table F.31: Disabled Population 21 to 64 (Male) Employment Status 33
Table F.32: Disabled Population 21 to 64 (Female) Employment Status 35
Table F.33: One or More Disabilities 5 to 15 Years by County for Montana 37
Table F.34: One or More Disabilities 16 to 20 Years by County for Montana 39
Table F.35: One or More Disabilities 21 to 64 Years by County for Montana 41
Table F.36: One or More Disabilities 65 Years and Over by County for Montana 43
Table F.37: Disabled Population 5 to 15 Years for Montana 45
Table F.38: Disabled Population 16 to 20 Years for Montana 46
Table F.39: Disabled Population 21 to 64 Years for Montana 47
Table F.40: Disabled Population 65 Years and Over for Montana 48
Table F.41 Disabled Population 16 to 20 (Male) Employment Status 49
:
Table F.42: Disabled Population 16 to 20 (Female) Employment Status 50
Table F.43: Disabled Population 21 to 64 (Male) Employment Status 5
Table F.44: Disabled Population 21 to 64 (Female) Employment Status 52
Table F.45: Disabled 18 to 64 Years (Male) Education Enrollment
and Attainment 53
Table F.46: Disabled 18 to 64 Years (Female) Education Enrollment
and Attainment 54
MontanaDepartmentofCommerce "' FinalReport: 11/27/02
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TABLE OF EXHIBITS
Page
Exhibit I: Montana's Nonbasic/Basic Multiplier 1
Exhibit II: Montana Full- and Part-Time Employment (Jobs) 2
Exhibit III: Montana and U.S. Average Real Wage Rates 3
Exhibit IV: Montana's Percent Poverty Rate by County 4
Exhibit V: Profile ofGeneral Demographic Characteristics 4
Exhibit VI: Poverty Status for the Disabled Population ofMontana 6
Exhibit VII: Selected Housing Characteristics 6
Exhibit VIII: Number ofRooms Per Dwelling Unit 7
Exhibit IX: Montana Total Units Permitted by Permit Issuing Areas 7
Exhibit X: Average Monthly Housing Costs for Renters and Homeowners 9
Exhibit XI: Median Family Income Groups and Cost Burden Thresholds 10
Diagram 1.1 Montana's Nonbasic/Basic Multiplier 16
Diagram 1.2: Montana's Full- and Part-Time Employment (Jobs) 18
Diagram 1.3: Montana and U.S. Average Real Wage Rates 20
Diagram II.1: Montana Population 27
Diagram U.2: Veteran Status In Montana 35
Diagram II.3: Montana's Disabled Population 5 Years Old and Older by Age 36
Diagram II.4: Employment Status ofDisabled Population Aged 16-64 Years 38
Diagram II.5: Educational Enrollment for Montana's Disabled Population 40
Diagram II.6: Disabled Population Educational Attainment by Sex 40
Diagram III.1 Number ofRooms per Dwelling Unit 45
Diagram III. Montana Total Units Permitted by Permit Issuing Areas 47
Diagram III. Single Family PerUnit Valuation in Montana 50
Diagram III. Average Housing Costs for Renters and Homeowners 51
Figure 1.1 Percent Poverty Rate by County 24
Figure II.1 Ten-Year Growth Rates by County 28
Figure II.2: Annual Growth Rates in Montana Counties 29
Figure II.3: Population in Montana Counties 29
Figure II.4: Growth Rates in Selected Places, 1990-2000 30
Figure II.5: Montana's Disabled Population by County 37
Table 1. Montana Employment by Industry 19
Table 1.2 Montana Labor Force Statistics 19
Table 1.3 Real Earnings by Industry in Montana 21
Table 1.4 Real Personal Income in Montana 22
Table 1.5 Median Family Income for Montana 22
Table 1.6 Income for Homeowners and Renters in Montana 23
Table 1.7 Poverty Status for Montana 24
Table U.l Montana Population Reported by U.S. Census Bureau 31
Table II.2 Profile ofGeneral Demographic Characteristics 32
Table II.3 Total Montana Population Living in Group Quarters 33
MontanaDepartmentofCommerce FinalReport: 11/27/02
TABLE OF EXHIBITS (Cont)
Page
Table II.4 Comparison ofMontana's American Indian Population 34
Table II.5 Marital Status in Montana 35
Table II.6 Disabilities Tallied for Montana 37
Table II.7 Poverty Status for the Disabled Population in Montana 38
Table II.8 Disability by Employment Status by Sex and Age 39
Table III.1 Selected Housing Characteristics for Montana 43
Table in.2 Year Structure Built for Montana 45
Table III.3 Montana Residential New Construction Statistics 48
Table III.4 Manufactured Housing in Montana 48
ACCRA
Table III.5 Housing Cost ofLiving Index 49
Table III.6 Median Family Income (MFI) Groups and Cost Burden Thresholds 53
MontanaDepartmentofCommerce FinalReport: 11/27/02
ExecutiveSummary
MontanaDepartmentofCommerce FinalReport: 11/27/02