Economic and agronomic analysis of the seed potato supply chain in Ethiopia Adane Hirpa Tufa Thesis committee Promotors Prof. Dr ir. A.G.J.M. Oude Lansink Professor of Business Economics Wageningen University Prof. Dr ir. P.C. Struik Professor of Crop Physiology Wageningen University Co-promotors Dr ir. M.P.M. Meuwissen Associate professor, Business Economics Group Wageningen University Dr ir. W.J.M. Lommen Assistant professor, Centre for Crop Systems Analysis Wageningen University Other members Prof. Dr ir. M.K. van Ittersum Wageningen University Prof. Dr O. van Kooten Wageningen University Dr W.J.J. Bijman Wageningen University Dr N.I. Valeeva Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI) Wageningen UR This research was conducted under the auspices of the Wageningen School of Social Sciences (WASS) Economic and agronomic analysis of the seed potato supply chain in Ethiopia Adane Hirpa Tufa Thesis submitted in fulfilment of the requirement for the degree of doctor at Wageningen University by the authority of the Rector Magnificus Prof. Dr M.J. Kropff, in the presence of the Thesis Committee appointed by the Academic Board to be defended in public on Wednesday 12 June 2013 at 4 p.m. in the Aula. Adane Hirpa Tufa Economic and agronomic analysis of the seed potato supply chain in Ethiopia, 182 pages. Thesis, Wageningen University, Wageningen, NL (2013) With references, with summaries in English and Dutch ISBN: 978-94-6173-543-0 Abstract In Ethiopia, potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) can significantly contribute to food security improvement by increasing food availability and cash income of smallholder farmers. Currently, production and productivity of potato in Ethiopia are very low because of poor quality seed tubers and unavailability of seed tubers of improved varieties. The overall objective of this thesis was to study the economic and agronomic aspects that affect quality and availability of seed potatoes in Ethiopia. To accomplish this objective, first, seed potato systems currently operating in Ethiopia, i.e. informal, alternative and formal ones, were analysed for their strengths and weaknesses. The result of the analysis showed that all existing seed systems have problems in performing their function and need to improve. To enhance overall supply of seed tubers co-existence and linkage of the three seed systems were found to be very important. Second, a conjoint analysis (a technique used to measure relative contribution of product attributes) was conducted to elicit farmers’ opinions on management attributes that they believed to affect yield and quality of potato. The results showed that management attributes, such as storage method, hoeing combined with hill size, fertilizer rate and fungicide application frequency had more effect on seed yield and quality than seed source, seed size, sprouting method, tillage frequency, and planting date. Third, a study was conducted to develop cost-effective seed potato production plans for farmers in Ethiopia using perceived contributions of production and postharvest management and costs. Several plans were developed from which farmers could choose an affordable plan that will enable them to produce seed potato with reasonable yield and quality levels. The fourth study was conducted to describe existing and potential seed potato supply chains, and to evaluate the performance of these chains. The findings showed that seed potato supply chains vary in their performance with respect to cost, seed quality, flexibility and responsiveness. Actors in the chains also varied with respect to their importance to improve seed potato supply chain performance sub- indicators. The results of this thesis indicate that seed quality and availability can be improved by improving economic and agronomic aspects of the seed systems in general and seed supply chains in particular. Key words: Potato, seed quality, seed tuber, seed system, quality improvement, expert elicitation, Solanum tuberosum, seed potato, supply chain, performance, Ethiopia Preface Sometime in 2008, Wageningen University announced three PhD research positions on potato in Ethiopia for its new research programme entitled Co-innovation for Quality in African Food Chains (CoQA). I was interested in one of the positions with profiles somehow related to my academic background. I submitted an application even though the research topic was not that much close to what I had in mind. At the end of May 2008, Prof. Paul Struik came to Hawassa University, Ethiopia, to make a short list and conduct interviews. Fortunately, I was selected for the PhD (that started October 2008) about which I am writing this preface. I would like to thank Professor Paul Struik for his interest and confidence in my application and for giving me an opportunity as well as a challenge I never considered before. I would also like to thank the CoQA team for developing and implementing such an interesting programme. This thesis was co-funded by the Interdisciplinary Research and Education Fund (INREF) of Wageningen University and the Netherlands Organization for International Cooperation in Higher Education (NUFFIC), and I would like to thank both organizations. I also want to acknowledge Hawassa University for providing transport for field research at the beginning of this thesis work and Dr JA Zwartz Foundation for covering part of the printing costs of this thesis. I would like to express my heart felt gratitude to my supervisors Professor Dr ir. Paul Struik and Professor Dr ir. Alfons Oude Lansink and co-supervisors Dr ir. Miranda Meuwissen and Dr ir. Willemien Lommen. Without their involvement, the completion of this thesis would have been impossible. Paul, Alfons, Miranda and Willemien, thank you very much for your diligent guidance and support from the beginning to the end of the entire thesis work. You had always time to respond to my concerns, even during weekends and holidays. I will never forget those extraordinary fast responses. I have benefited a lot from the discussions we had during the several regular supervision group and individual meetings. Paul, thank you very much for coming with me to the field observation trip to the Shahsamane area. Thank you also for being considerate about the differences between the Dutch and the Ethiopian ways of communicating with people and for the efforts you made to bridge the gaps. Alfons, thank you very much for allowing me to work in Business Economics Group. Miranda, thank you very much for your friendship, in addition to your supervision. Thank you a lot for the cares and treats to me and my family. I also want to thank your husband Stef and your children Thomas and Manon for their warm welcome during the dinner invitation at your home, your birthday party and the 2012 fest of ‘Sint Maarten’ (the light and pancakes). Willemien, thank you very much for welcoming me for additional discussions on the research issues that needed special attention. I would like to thank Ivo van der Lans for his advice on one of the papers in this thesis. Dr Adamasu, thank you for coordinating this thesis research in Ethiopia. Prof. Haverkort, Dr Wiersema, Dr Gildemacher and Mr Abdulwhab, thank you very much for the discussions we had on potato in general and on my research topic in particular during the early stages of this thesis research, and also for filling out the questionnaires. Dr Berga, Dr Bekele and Mr Gebremedhin, thank you for providing me literatures that were not available from others sources. Dr Bijman and Prof. Leeuwis, thank you for commenting on the first paper of this thesis. I would like to thank all survey participants for their cooperation. Business Economic Group PhD students, Tamara, Geralda, Daphne, Koenraad, Victor, Niels, Mahesh, Hugo, Daniel, Luis, João, Eva, Farahnaz, Xuezhen, Wudu, Ewaldus, Tsion, Christina, Jaap, Felix Ngoc, Frazen, Eliana and Norhariani; and staff, Anne, Dr Grigorios, Dr Monique, Dr Annet, Mr Gerard, Dr Erno, Prof. Spiro, Dr Henk, Dr Helmut and Dr Wilma, thank you very much for making my stay in the corridor a very pleasant one. Thanks to Argyris and Grigorios for welcoming me to the Netherlands and taking me to the Bungalowpark at Hoenderloo. Argyris, thanks for your jacket; it saved me from the cold shock I experienced for the first time in my life. During my stay in the BEC I shared office with former and current PhD students, Huria, Natash, Niels, Victor, Mahesh, Tamara, Geralda, Wudu, Daniel, Tsion and Hugo, thank you for creating a nice working atmosphere. Tamara and Daniel, thank you very much for willing to be my paranymphs. Tamara, thanks for assisting me in designing the cover of this thesis. Anne, thank you for all your help regarding administrative, financial and housing issues. Thank you also for the Easter eggs, the Sinterklaas chocolates and the barbecues. Ilona, Jeanette and Leonie, thank you for all your help. Thanks to the CoQA PhD students, Gumataw, Temesgen, Engida, Djalal, Nicodème and Menouwesso; and the Post-docs, Meike, Annie and Verena for the great times we had together in the CoQA programme. Special thanks to Annie for the welcoming visit of my family at Wageningen. Thank you to my former colleagues and friends, Dr Moti, Dr Guush, Dr Getawu, Kebebe, Thomas, Dr Dambala, Dr Michele Nori, Dr Berhanu Gebremdhin, Mohammed, and Dr Waktole for the moral support. Dr Berhanu, I learned from you how to write a scientific report. Thank you very much for that. I would like to thank my relatives and friends who gave me a hand in accomplishing some activities I left behind because of my study. Bedaso, Mesfin, Assefa, thanks for the help and moral support. Abnet and Frew, thank you a lot for driving long distances during field work and for the friendship. I met several new friends at Wageningen University. Frederike, Desalegn, Abiy, Mahdere, Mahlet, Solomie, Dhuguma, Marga, Dawit, Shemelis, Yenenesh, Lebeyesus, Ayalew, Solomon, Zenebe, Waga, Mequanint, and Tewodros, thank you a lot for the times we spent together and drinks and traditional meals we had together. I am thankful to Marion Zaaijer for facilitating the Netherlands entry visa for my son, Margreet van Beek for facilitating day-care for my son; and AnneMeike and other Kievitsnest day-care workers for taking care of my son. Very special thanks to my wife Habtamnesh Girma Habtemariam and my son Japheth for their love, care, moral support and patience. Habtamnesh (Mama), thank you very much, again. Without your support and love, my PhD study would have been very difficult. You made life easier for me. I am proud of you. Japheth (Japhi), you also contributed a lot to the success of this thesis. You travelled with us this long journey. I used part of your time and your comfort to work on the thesis. You have contributed even more; your sweet smile had a great power that always refilled me with new energy after a long tiring day. I never forget the continuous moral support, blessing and love of my mother, who passed away on 18 June 2012. It would not be possible for me to be at this stage without her care and encouragement during my childhood. Adane Hirpa Tufa Wageningen, June 2013 Contents Chapter 1. General introduction..................................................................................................1 1.1. General background ......................................................................................................... 2 1.2. Potato in Ethiopia ............................................................................................................. 3 1.3. Problem statement ............................................................................................................ 5 1.4. Objectives ......................................................................................................................... 7 1.5. Research approach ............................................................................................................ 7 1.6. Outline .............................................................................................................................. 9 References ............................................................................................................................. 10 Chapter 2. Analysis of seed potato systems in Ethiopia .......................................................... 15 2.1. Introduction .................................................................................................................... 17 2.2. Major potato growing areas and types of seed systems ................................................. 18 2.3. Materials and methods .................................................................................................... 22 2.4. Current status of seed potato systems ............................................................................. 25 2.5. Expert elicitation on improvement options .................................................................... 37 2.6. Conclusions .................................................................................................................... 40 References ............................................................................................................................. 41 Chapter 3. Farmers’ opinion on seed potato management attributes in Ethiopia: A conjoint analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 45 3.1. Introduction .................................................................................................................... 47 3.2. Methodology .................................................................................................................. 47 3.3. Results ............................................................................................................................ 58 3.4. Discussion ...................................................................................................................... 66 3.5. Conclusions .................................................................................................................... 68 References ............................................................................................................................. 69 Chapter 4. Cost-effective seed potato production in Ethiopia ................................................. 73 4.1. Introduction .................................................................................................................... 75 4.2. Framework and model specification .............................................................................. 76 4.3. Description of data ......................................................................................................... 78 4.4. Data analysis ................................................................................................................... 83 4.5. Results ............................................................................................................................ 84 4.6. Discussion ...................................................................................................................... 88
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