ECO-REGIONAL APPROACHES FOR SUSTAINABLE LAND USE AND FOOD PRODUCTION Systems Approaches for Sustainable Agricultural Development VOLUME 4 Scientific Editor F.W.T. Penning de Vries, CABO-DLO, Wageningen, The Netherlands International Steering Committee 0.1. Dent, Edinburgh, U.K. J.T. Ritchie, East Lansing, Michigan, U.S.A. P.S. Teng, Manila, Philippines L. Fresco, Wageningen, The Netherlands P. Goldsworthy, The Hague, The Netherlands Aims and Scope The book series Systems Approaches for Sustainable Agricultural Development is intended for readers ranging from advanced students and research leaders to research scientists in developed and developing countries. It will contribute to the development of sustainable and productive systems in the tropics, subtropics and temperate regions, consistent with changes in popUlation, environment, technology and economic structure. The series will bring together and integrate disciplines related to systems ap- proaches for sustainable agricultural development, in particular from the technical and the socio-economic sciences, and presents new developments in these areas. Furthermore, the series will generalize the integrated views, results and experiences to new geographical areas and will present alternative options for sustained agricultural development for specific situations. The volumes to be published in the series will be, generally, multi-authored and result from multi-disciplinary projects, symposiums, or workshops, or are invited. All books will meet the highest possible scientific quality standards and will be up- to-date. The series aims- to publish approximately three books per year, with a maximum of 500 pages each. The titles published in this series are listed at the end oft his volume. Eco-regional approaches for sustainable land use and food production Proceedings of a symposium on eco-regional approaches in agricultural research, 12-16 December 1994, ISNAR, The Hague Edited by J.BOUMA Department of Soil Science and Geology, and C. T. de Wit Graduate School for Production Ecology, Wageningen Agricultural University, Wageningen, The Netherlands A. KUYVENHOVEN Department of Development Economics, Wageningen Agricultural University, Wageningen, and Netherlands Economic Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands B. A. M. BOUMAN, J. C. LUYTEN DLO-Research Institute for Agrobiology and Soil Fertility, Wageningen, The Netherlands and H. G. ZANDSTRA International Potato Center, Lima, Peru SPRINGER-SCIENCE+BUSINESS MEDIA, B. V. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Sy•pos1um on Eco-regional Approaches in Agr1cultural Research (1994 : ISNARl Eco-re:ional approaches for susta1nable land use and food production : proceedings of a Sympos1um on Eco-regional Approaches in Agr1cultural Research, 12-16 December 1994, ISNAR, The Hague 1 ed1ted by J. Bouma ... [et al.] p. cm. -- <System approaches for sustainable agrlcultural development ; v. 4) !ne 1u des 1n dex. ISBN 978-94-010-4058-7 ISBN 978-94-011-0121-9 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-94-011-0121-9 1. Agr1cultural ecology--Congresses. 2. Food crops--Ecology- ·Congresses. 3. Regional plannlng--Environmental aspects- ·Congresses. 4. Land use, Rural--Envlronmental aspects--Congresses. 5. Sustalnable development--Envlron•ental aspects--Congresses. I. Bouma, Janneke J. II. T1tle. III. Series. S589.7.S94 1994 338.1'4--dc20 95-21138 ISBN 978-94-010-4058-7 Printed on acid-free paper Ali Rights Reserved @1995 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 1995 Softcover reprint ofthe hardcover 1st edition 1995 No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner. Contents Preface ix Introduction xi SECTION A. ECO-REGIONAL APPROACHES Eco-regional approaches, why, what and how R Rabbinge 3 Facing the challenge of the Andean Zone: the role of modeling in developing sustainable management of natural resources R.A. Quiroz, Ruben Dario Estrada, C.U. Le6n-Velarde and H.G. Zandstra 13 Eco-regional approaches and Agenda 21: a policy view RD. van den Berg 33 SECTION B. RESOURCES AVAILABILITY AND DEMAND STUDIES AT A GLOBAL SCALE Scenarios for land use in Europe: agro-ecological options within socio-economic boundaries H.C. van Latesteijn 43 Natural resources and limits of food production in 2040 F.W.T. Penning de Vries, H. van Keulen and R Rabbinge 65 Prospects for world food security and distribution P. Pinstrup-Andersen and R. Pandya-Lorch 89 Responses W. Tims 113 P.S. Teng, M. Hossain and M.J. Kropff 123 SECTION C. LINKING DIFFERENT SCALE LEVELS IN ECOLOGICAL AND ECONOMIC STUDIES Agro-ecological knowledge at different scales L.O. Fresco 133 vi Aggregating Economic Knowledge for use at national, regional, sector, and farm level W.G. Janssen 143 SECTION D. CASE STUDmS OF ECO-REGIONAL APPROACHES AT NATIONAL AND REGIONAL SCALE A systems approach to analyze production options for wheat in India P.K. Aggarwal, N. Kalra, S.K. Bandyopahyay and S. Selvarajan 167 Options for sustainable agricultural systems and policy instruments to reach them A. Kuyvenhoven, R. Ruben and G. Kruseman 187 Sustainable agriculture in the Sahel? (integrated farming, perennials and fertilizers) H. Breman 213 Responses R.D. Norton 237 K. Atta-Krah 249 P.G. Jones 257 SECTION E. INSTITUTIONAL ASPECTS Founding a systems research network for rice H.EM. ten Berge and M.J. Kropff 263 Collaboration between national, international, and advanced research institutes for eco-regional research P.R. Goldsworthy, P.B. Eyzaguirre and S.W. Duiker 283 Developing a R&D Model for the humid tropical eco-region in Asia P.S. Teng, M. Hossain and K.S. Fischer 305 SECTION F. CASE STUDmS OF ECO-REGIONAL APPROACHES AT THE FARMIENTERPRISE LEVEL Designing optimal crop management strategies P.K. Thornton, J.W. Hansen, E.B. Knapp and J.W. Jones 333 Sustainability and long-term dynamics of soil organic matter and nutrients under alternative management strategies H. van Keulen 353 vii Evaluating policies for sustainable land use: a sub-regional model with farm types in Costa Rica R.A. Schipper, H.G.P. Jansen, J.J. Stoorvogel and D.M. Jansen 377 Responses M.S. Dicko, N.G. Traore and K. Sissoko 397 J. Baidu-Forson, M.Y.K. Sivakumar and J. Brouwer 401 S. Fernandez-Rivera, P. Hiernaux, R. von Kaufmann, M.D. Turner and T.O. Wtlliams 409 SECTION G. CASE STUDIES OF ECO-REGIONAL APPROACHES AT THE CROP LEVEL U sing systems approaches to design and evaluate ideotypes for specific environments M.J. Kropff, A.J. Haverkort, P.K. Aggarwal and P.L. Kooman 417 An eco-regional perspective of crop protection problems J.C. Zadoks, P.K. Anderson and S. Savary 437 Site specific management on field level: high and low tech approaches J. Bouma, J. Brouwer, A. Verhagen and H.W.G. Booltink 453 Responses R.A. Quiroz 475 1.0. Akobundu 481 DISCUSSIONS General discussions 489 Closing panel discussion 495 Acronyms 497 List of participants 499 Subject index 503 Preface In the next four decades, the globe will need to triple its food and feed production, and almost all of the increase is needed for developing countries. This observation has a socio-economic and a biophysical side. On the biophysical side, increasing productivity is a necessity. Howev- er, many intensive crop and animal production systems do not use natural resources (land, water, biodiversity) in ways that are physically and economi- cally sustainable. Much of global agriculture overuses the scarce suitable land, and extends into fragile marginal lands. As a result, a spiral of unsustainabil- ity occurs there with disastrous results. At the other end of the spectrum, excessive use of inputs, too narrow crop rotations, and loss of biodiversity prevail. Unsustainability in eco-technical terms is threatening food produc- tion and food security. These trends are becoming more and more apparent. Achieving sustainable use of natural resources is therefore an indispensable component for increasing food production. On the socio-economic side, increasing production requires broad-based economic development, as poverty must be overcome for the landless to buy food and for farmers to purchase external inputs to produce sufficient food. Economic development takes place in communities and regions. Three inseparable sides of the development triangle are therefore: a region- al approach to reduction of poverty, efficient and sustainable use of natural and human resources in the region, and increased food production. radition- al component and commodity research addresses these issues too narrowly and at too small a scale. Rural development needs an eco-regional approach that integrates biophysical and socio-economic understanding of cropping systems, livestock, the environment, and natural resources. As natural resources management becomes a more important part of the CGJAR's agenda, systems analysis and modelling capabilities are more need- ed in CG-centers and national agricultural research systems. The integration of insights in the biophysical and socio-economic aspects of commodity tech- nology, cropping systems, livestock and natural resource management will require these new capabilities. Experimentation and hypothesis testing will more and more be based on the results of systems analysis and modelling work, as will extrapolation of results of location specific observations. The Directorate General for International Cooperation (Special Program 'Research') of the Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs initiated and sup- ported generously the organization of this meeting. ISNAR and the Nether- J. BoU17Ul et al. (eds.). Eco-regional approaches for sustainable land use andjoodproduction. ix-x. x lands Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Nature Management also provid- ed welcome support. The symposium emphasized that the rural development triangle requires major changes in focus of international agricultural research, and allowed discussion of some case studies in which eco-regional approach- es are practiced. The meeting stimulated collaboration among participants and wider application of natural resources research techniques discussed. We hope that this book will inspire many other scientists and research leaders. F.W.T. Penning de Vries (AB-DLO) R. Rabbinge (TPE-WAU) H.G. Zandstra (CIP) Introduction The symposium "Bco-regional approaches for sustainable land use and food production" was initiated by a request from the Directorate General for Inter- national Cooperation (ooIS) of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in The Nether- lands. The eco-regional approach to research is increasingly being embraced by CGIAR Institutes and NARCs. This calls for periodic meetings where methodology is discussed and improved, while results obtained are subject- ed to discussions within interdisciplinary teams which are well versed in systems analysis. This book presents invited papers, results of group discus- sions and some general conclusions and recommendations on eco-regional approaches. Bco-regional studies emphasize the use of interdisciplinary approaches to characterize relations between different agro-ecological production systems and limited natural and socio-economic resources of the region. Each region has specific characteristics to the extent that it can be considered as a relatively homogeneous unit of analysis. As is made clear in the papers being presented, the region is only one level to be considered, be it a level that is attractive from a land use planning point of view. Data at farm level, however, form the backbone for defining land use options, even at regional level, while the regional level feeds analyses at higher levels ranging from a province or state to the intemationallevel. One element of the discussions during this symposium has been raised many times before and deals with the most appropriate focus of eco-regional studies in general. During the conference, emphasis was placed in several papers on exploratory studies of the spatial effects of different agro-ecological land-use scenario's in terms of defining realistic options for land use. Whether or not such options can be realized depends on the socio-economic environ- ment: services and infrastructure determine which enterprises can be sup- ported and markets determine whether and to what extent it is worthwhile to produce certain crops, lifestock or forestry products. Defining options that are feasible from an agro-ecological point of view can certainly be illuminat- ing, but lack of further research in terms of supporting the ultimate selection process where many other factors have to be considered as well, can make agro-ecological options by themselves rather academic. Exploratory studies based on agro-ecology provide important "building blocks" to be used or discarded when final decisions about land use are derived by farmers and planners. For them, agro-ecology is only one element J. Bouma et al. (eds.), Eco-regional approaches for sustainable land use andjood production, xi-xiii.