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EARNINGS MANAGEMENT IN ACQUIRED COMPANIES by CAMELIA VASILESCU Submittedinaccordancewiththe requirementsfor the degree of Doctor of Philosophy The University ofLeeds LeedsUniversity BusinessSchool Accounting andFinanceDivision Centre forAdvancedStudiesinFinance November, 2014 Intellectual Property Statement The candidate confirmsthatthe work submittedisherownandthatappropriate credithasbeengivenwhere reference hasbeenmade tothe work ofothers. This copy has been supplied on the understanding that it is copyright material and that no quotation from the thesis may be published without paper acknowledgement. ©2014 The University ofLeedsandCamelia Vasilescu i Dedication To my beloved mother, Maria, and partner, Tim, many thanks for your love, support and encouragementthroughoutmydoctoral studiesin Leeds. ii Acknowledgements Acknowledgements All the glory and praise to my Lord, Jesus Christ and Virgin Mary for giving me discipline, strength, wisdomandknowledge tocomplete thisresearchproject. I would like to thank my primary supervisor, Professor Kevin Keasey, for his guidance, support, encouragement and for being a great source of inspiration throughoutmy doctoral studiesinLeeds. Hisresearchexperience andvaluable feedback contributed significantly to the completion and the quality of my work. I am also grateful to my second supervisor, Dr. Iain Clacher, for his help and support. Furthermore, I am truly thankful to the Centre for Advanced Studies in Finance (CASIF)fortheirfinancial support. Special thanks to all my colleagues both at the Centre for Advanced Studies in Finance (CASIF) and within the Accounting and Finance division at Leeds University Business School for their valuable support, encouragement and challenging discussions over the last few years. I am also grateful to the two referees of the British Accounting Review fortheirpositive feedbackandsuggestions onChapter5 thatI submittedtothis journal for publication. I would further like to thank all the participants at the British Accounting and Finance Association conferences (2013 and 2014), and the European Accounting Association conference (2014), for their valuable feedback and constructive commentsonthe firsttwoempirical chapterswhichIpresentedatthese conferences. iii Acknowledgements Finally, I would like to express my eternal love and gratitude to my beloved mother, Maria, and partner, Tim, my father, sister and other relatives, who have constantly prayed for, encouraged and supported me during my doctoral studies in Leeds. iv Abstract Abstract Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are very important corporate events for both acquirers and targets, and the quality of public accounting information has a significant role in mergers and acquisitions decisions. Acting on the shareholders’ behalf or pursuing their self-interests, targets’ managers have strong incentives to manipulate reported earnings prior to a deal in order to boost the stock price and generate higher gains for shareholders and themselves. Consistent with this view, researchers have dedicated much effort to examining whether acquirers and targets undertake earnings manipulationaroundtakeovers. The objective of this thesis is to examine whether UK publicly listed targets engage in accruals and real-activity earnings management prior to M&A, and the consequences this has on targets’ shareholder wealth, in particular deal premium and stock return. Earnings management can occur through two main channels: accruals earnings management and real-activity earnings management. These two main earnings management tactics differ in their opacity, cost and the effect they cause to stock price performance prior to M&A (Roychowdhury et al., 2012). Most of the previous studies on this subject have focused exclusively onaccruals earnings management, however, the evidence shows that opportunistic accruals earnings management is not a common practice among targets in M&A. More recent research on earnings management provides evidence that firms use multiple earnings manipulation strategies based on v Abstract accruals and real-activities (e.g., Graham et al., 2005; Roychowdhury, 2006; Cohen and Zarowin, 2010; Zang, 2011), and managers prefer real-activities manipulation over accruals earnings manipulation as a way to increase reported earnings (Graham et al., 2005). The first empirical study of this thesis examines whether UK publicly listed targets attempt to manipulate earnings via accruals prior to a deal, and further, investigates the relationship between the deal premium and the targets’ earnings management behaviour. The results of the accruals tests under the cross-sectional modified-Jones model and performance-matched model, and using either the balance- sheet approach or the cash-flow approach, indicate that, on average, targets do not manage earnings upward prior to mergers and acquisitions. Furthermore, the analysis of the relationship between earnings management and deal premium provides evidence that the deal premium and the targets’ abnormal accruals are negatively related, which is consistent with the view that acquirers take into consideration the quality of targets’ earnings in making takeover decisions (e.g., Anilowski et al., 2009; Raman et al., 2013). The evidence in this study also suggests that the deal premium constrains targets’ accruals earnings management and acts as a strong disincentive to manipulate earnings. Consequently, the cost of detection explanation for the lack of earnings management by UK targets appears capable of explaining this relationship between the deal premium andthe abnormal accrualsoftargets. The second empirical study builds on the results of the previous research, which finds no evidence of accruals manipulation by UK targets in M&A, and explores a potential explanation of this phenomenon. Specifically, this study examines whether firm diversification has an impact on earnings management by targets in M&A. An explicit distinction between industrial and geographical diversification is made in this study. Prior research provides evidence that the mode of diversification, such as vi Abstract industrial vs. geographical, can explain the difference in the correlation between discretionary accruals and diversification due to whether or not they are in different industry segments and/or whetherbusiness units are locatedindifferentcountries(Kim and Kim, 2001). Using a panel data framework for a sample of publicly listed targets, the results of this empirical study suggest that industrial diversification mitigates earnings management prior to mergers and acquisitions. In addition, the results also show that a combination of industrial and geographical diversification alleviates earnings management. However, there is no clear empirical evidence that geographical diversification facilitates or mitigates earnings management. These results are consistent with those reported in Jiraporn et al. (2008) and El Mehdi and Seboui (2011), who find thatindustrial diversificationdecreasesearningsmanagementby US firms. Finally, the third empirical study investigates the earnings management behaviourofUKtargetsin M&A, inparticularcombinedandsimple strategiesbasedon accruals and real-activities, and the impact of earnings management on targets’ stock overvaluation at the time of a deal. Prior literature provides evidence that at times of heightened scrutiny, such as M&A, earnings management via accruals is unlikely to be a dominant source of overvaluation (e.g., Cohen and Zarowin, 2010; Roychowdhury et al., 2012). Consistent with this view, the results of this study, which were derived from a panel data regression analysis, show that if targets engage in income-increasing earnings management, they are more likely to use combined strategies of earnings management via both accruals and real-activities simultaneously rather than simple strategies based solely on either accruals or real-activities. Furthermore, managers’ propensity to engage in combined strategies of earnings management prior to M&A is significantly higher than the propensity for accruals earnings management, despite the high and long-term costs of this earnings management method. Furthermore, the stock return tests performed in this study provide evidence that firms which exhibit evidence of vii Abstract combined earnings management strategies tend to be the most overvalued targets prior toM&A whichisconsistentwiththose results reportedby Roychowdhury etal. (2012). To sum up, UK publicly listed targets are more likely to utilise combined earnings management strategies based on accruals and real-activities prior to a takeover, and these targets’ shareholders appear to gain the most if they sell their shares before the deal announcement. However, accruals earnings management as a sole method of earningsmanipulationisnota widespreadpractice inUKmergersandacquisitions, and the deal premium constrains the targets’ accruals earnings management behaviour. If earnings manipulation by targets is detected, acquirers might adapt their takeover strategies by adjusting the deal price downward. Finally, industrial diversification mitigatesearningsmanagementby UKtargetspriortomergersandacquisitions. Given the significant negative wealth consequences of both accruals and real- activity earnings manipulation, the findings of this thesis emphasise the fact that targets’ shareholders, board of directors and auditors, as well as financial advisors need to be alert to managers attempting to engage in earnings management via accruals, but also carefully monitor real-activities. Furthermore, investors, acquirers and financial analysts should be fully aware of the existence and severity of targets’ stock overvaluation when they make orfacilitate importantinvestmentdecisions. viii Tableof Contents Table of Contents Intellectual Property Statement ..............................................................................i Acknowledgements...............................................................................................iii Abstract...................................................................................................................v Table ofContents..................................................................................................ix ListofFigures......................................................................................................xii ListofTables.......................................................................................................xiii ListofAbbreviations...........................................................................................xiv Chapter1Introduction............................................................................................1 1.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................1 1.2 AccrualsEarningsManagementandDeal Premiuminthe UK..........................8 1.3 AccrualsEarningsManagementandUKFirmDiversification.........................11 1.4 AccrualsandReal-Activity EarningsManagement,andUKTargets’ Stock Overvaluation...........................................................................................................13 1.5 ResearchQuestions..................................................................................................16 1.6 Contributionsofthe Thesis.....................................................................................17 1.7 Structure ofthe Thesis.............................................................................................20 Chapter2UK M&A MarketandTakeoverRegulation.Benefits andCosts of Earnings Management.........................................................................................23 2.1 Introduction...............................................................................................................23 2.2 M&A Marketinthe UK...........................................................................................24 2.2.1 AnOverview ofM&A Activity inthe UK..................................................25 2.2.2 PerspectivesandMeasurementofTakeoverSuccess................................36 2.2.3 Deal CharacteristicsandShareholders’ WealthEffects.............................41 2.3 The MotivationofTargetsforManipulating ReportedEarnings......................50 2.3.1 Asymmetric Information HypothesisandM&A........................................51 2.3.2 Financial IncentivesHypothesis....................................................................53 2.3.3 TakeoverDefence Hypothesis......................................................................54 2.3.4 Managerial OpportunismversusEfficiency Rationale toManipulate ReportedEarnings...........................................................................................56 2.4 Managerial IncentivesofEarningsManagement.................................................59 2.4.1 Capital MarketIncentives...............................................................................59 2.4.2 Non-Capital MarketIncentives.....................................................................62 2.5 EarningsManagementConstraintsinM&A.........................................................65 2.5.1 AuditCosts.......................................................................................................66 2.5.2 Governance andControls..............................................................................68 2.5.3 Political Costs...................................................................................................70 2.5.4 Probability ofDetection.................................................................................71 2.5.5 Reversal ofAccruals........................................................................................72 2.5.6 GAAPFlexibility andChangestoUKAccounting Standards.................73 2.5.7 OtherExternal Factors-RelatedCostsandTakeoverRegulationinthe UK-A ShareholderOrientedApproach.....................................................80 ix

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and that no quotation from the thesis may be published without paper To my beloved mother, Maria, and partner, Tim, many thanks for your love, provides evidence that firms use multiple earnings manipulation strategies data regression analysis, show that if targets engage in income-increasing
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