Early Prevention of Adult Antisocial Behaviour Editedby David P. Farrington UniversityofCambridge Jeremy W. Coid StBartholomew’sandtheRoyalLondonSchoolofMedicineandDentistry PUBLISHEDBYTHEPRESSSYNDICATEOFTHEUNIVERSITYOFCAMBRIDGE ThePittBuilding,TrumpingtonStreet,CambridgeCB21RP,UnitedKingdom CAMBRIDGEUNIVERSITYPRESS TheEdinburghBuilding,CambridgeCB22RU,UK 40West20thStreet,NewYork,NY10011-4211,USA 477WilliamstownRoad,PortMelbourne,VIC3207,Australia RuizdeAlarco´n13,28014Madrid,Spain DockHouse,TheWaterfront,CapeTown8001,SouthAfrica http://www.cambridge.org (cid:1)C CambridgeUniversityPress2003 Thisbookisincopyright.Subjecttostatutoryexception andtotheprovisionsofrelevantcollectivelicensingagreements, noreproductionofanypartmaytakeplacewithout thewrittenpermissionofCambridgeUniversityPress. Firstpublished2003 PrintedintheUnitedKingdomattheUniversityPress,Cambridge TypefacePlantin10/12pt SystemLATEX2ε [] AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary ISBN0521651948hardback Contents Listoffigures pageix Listoftables x Listofcontributors xi Preface xiii 1 Advancingknowledgeabouttheearlypreventionofadult 1 antisocialbehaviour . 2 Formulatingstrategiesfortheprimarypreventionof 32 adultantisocialbehaviour:“Highrisk”or“population” strategies? . 3 Riskfactorsforadultantisocialpersonality 79 , . . 4 Preventingtheintergenerationalcontinuityofantisocial 109 behaviour:Implicationsofpartnerviolence . 5 Protectivefactorsandresilience 130 6 Preventionduringpregnancy,infancyandthepreschool 205 years . 7 Preventionthroughfamilyandparentingprogrammes 243 8 Preventionintheschoolyears 265 . . vii viii Contents 9 Preventionofantisocialbehaviourinfemales 292 - 10 Economiccostsandbenefitsofprimarypreventionof 318 delinquencyandlateroffending:Areviewoftheresearch . 11 Conclusionsandthewayforward 356 . . Index 369 Figures 2.1 Personsfoundguiltyof,orcautionedfor,indictable page34 offencesper100,000populationbyagegroup,1999 2.2 Fourstagesofcriminalcareers 37 2.3 DiagnosticcriteriaforDSM-IV,AxisII.301.7Antisocial 39 PersonalityDisorder 2.4 DiagnosticcriteriaforDSM-IV312.8ConductDisorder 40 componentofAntisocialPersonalityDisorder 2.5 Lifetimerates/100ofAntisocialPersonalityDisorder 43 (DSM-III,DSM-III-R)basedoncommunitysurveysor surveysofrelatives 2.6 Lifetimerates/100ofAntisocialPersonalityDisorderin 47 prisonsurveys 2.7 Schematicrepresentationoftherelationbetweenriskof 56 crimeandthedistributionofdifferentlevelsofexposure toacause 2.8 Vulnerabilityandstressfactorsrelatingtoadverseadult 59 outcome.KauaiLongitudinalStudy 2.9 Protectivefactorsrelatingtopositiveoutcome.Kauai 60 LongitudinalStudy 3.1 AhierarchicaldevelopmentalmodelofADHD,ODD,CD, 84 andantisocialpersonality 5.1 Hypotheticalmodelandempiricalresultsontherelationship 140 betweenaccumulatedriskfactors,accumulatedprotective factors,andtheintensityofproblembehaviour 5.2 Asimplemodelofcumulatingrisksinthedevelopmentof 144 persistentantisocialbehaviour 6.1 Frequencyofhitting,biting,andkickingforboysandgirls 206 aged2to11years 6.2 Possiblelinksbetweenmanipulatedfactorandoutcomefor 208 developmentalpreventionexperiments ix Tables 3.1 DefinitionsofAntisocialPersonalityDisorder, page82 PsychopathicPersonalityDisorder,andDissocial PersonalityDisorder 5.1 Multilevelexamplesofpotentialprotectivefactors 179 againstantisocialbehaviour 6.1 Studieswithjuveniledelinquencyasanoutcome 210 6.2 Studieswithsociallydisruptivebehaviourasan 212 outcome 6.3 Studieswithcognitiveskillsasanoutcome 214 6.4 Studieswithfamilycharacteristicsasanoutcome 216 10.1 Summaryofprimaryandsecondaryprevention 326 studies 10.2 EconomicbenefitsoftheQuantumOpportunities 344 Programme x 1 Advancing knowledge about the early prevention of adult antisocial behaviour David P. Farrington Themainaimsofthisbookaretoreviewwhatisknownaboutthecauses and prevention of adult antisocial behaviour. The book aims to specify whatweknow,whatwedonotknow,andwhatweneedtoknow,recom- mending priority research that would address key questions and fill key gaps in knowledge. The main aim of this introductory chapter is to set the scene for the more detailed chapters that follow by outlining some of the key topics, issues and questions arising in the early prevention of adult antisocial behaviour. This chapter defines the territory by briefly reviewing epidemiology, development, risk and protective factors, and preventionprogrammes. Fourtypesofpreventioncanbedistinguished(TonryandFarrington, 1995).Criminaljusticepreventionreferstotraditionaldeterrence,inca- pacitationandrehabilitationstrategiesoperatedbylawenforcementand criminal justice agencies. Situational prevention refers to interventions designed to reduce the opportunities for antisocial behaviour and to in- crease the risk and difficulty of committing antisocial acts. Community prevention refers to interventions designed to change the social condi- tions and social institutions (e.g. community norms and organisations) thatinfluenceantisocialbehaviourincommunities.Developmentalpre- vention refers to interventions designed to inhibit the development of antisocial behaviour in individuals, by targeting risk and protective fac- torsthatinfluencehumandevelopment(seeFarrington,2000a). This book concentrates on early developmental prevention pro- grammes, including those implemented in pregnancy and infancy, par- enting programmes, preschool programmes, individual skills training, andschoolprogrammes.Manyoftheseinvolveprimaryprevention,tar- geting unselected individuals in the whole community, but secondary preventionprogrammestargetingchildrenatriskarealsoreviewed.The focusofthebookisonriskfactorsandearlypreventioninchildhoodand adolescence; for reviews of risk factors and early interventions for con- ductdisorderanddelinquency,seeFarrington(1999)andRutter,Giller andHagell(1998). 1 2 D.Farrington Definitionandmeasurement Definitionofantisocialbehaviour There is clearly a syndrome of adult antisocial behaviour defined by a cluster of antisocial symptoms. This syndrome is given different names indifferentcountriesanddifferentclassificationsystems:antisocialper- sonalitydisorderinDSM-IV(AmericanPsychiatricAssociation,1994), dissocial personality disorder in ICD-10 (World Health Organisation, 1992)andpsychopathicdisorderintheEnglishMentalHealthAct1983, forexample. Both types of behaviour and features of personality are included in the antisocial behaviour syndrome. Types of behaviour include prop- erty crimes such as burglary, violent crimes, drug use, heavy drinking, drunk or reckless driving, sexual promiscuity or risky sex behaviour, divorce/separation or unstable sexual relationships, spouse or partner abuse, child abuse or neglect, unemployment or an unstable employ- ment history, debts, dependence on welfare benefits, heavy gambling, heavysmoking,andrepeatedlyingandconning.Personalityfeaturesin- clude impulsiveness and lack of planning, selfishness and egocentricity, callousness and lack of empathy, lack of remorse or guilt feelings, low frustrationtoleranceandhighaggressiveness. An important question is the relative importance of behavioural and personality symptoms in defining antisocial personality disorder. Hare andhiscolleagues(e.g.Hare,HartandHarpur,1991)haveconsistently criticised the DSM criteria for antisocial personality as too behavioural andinsufficientlyconcernedwithpersonalityfeatures.Hare’sPsychopa- thyChecklist(PCL-R)distinguishestwofactors.Factor1consistsofper- sonalityfeaturessuchasegocentricity,lackofremorse,andcallousness, while factor 2 describes an impulsive, antisocial, and unstable lifestyle. Theproblemisthatsomefeaturesofanantisociallifestyle(e.g.unemploy- mentanddependenceonwelfarebenefits)mayeitherreflectanantisocial personalityormaybecausedbycircumstancesoutsidetheperson’sown control. Because of this, it is desirable to include both behavioural and personalityfeaturesinthedefinitionofantisocialpersonality. Anotherimportantquestioniswhetherindividualsdifferqualitatively (in kind) or quantitatively (in degree) in antisocial personality (Clark, LivesleyandMorey,1997).Peoplecanbescoredaccordingtotheirnum- ber of symptoms. For example, Robins and her colleagues (e.g. Robins and Price, 1991) have consistently argued that the number of child- hood conduct disorder symptoms predicts the number of adult antiso- cial behaviour symptoms, rather than any specific childhood behaviour Advancingknowledgeofearlyprevention 3 predicting a specific adult behaviour. The key problem is where to set the boundary between normal and pathological, or between health and illness. Existing boundaries depend largely on clinical judgement. For example, according to DSM-IV, ‘only when antisocial personality traits areinflexible,maladaptiveandpersistentandcausesignificantfunctional impairmentorsubjectivedistressdotheyconstituteAntisocialPersonal- ityDisorder’(AmericanPsychiatricAssociation,1994,p.649).Farmore is known about the early prevention of particular types of antisocial be- haviourthanabouttheearlypreventionofantisocialpersonalitydisorder orpsychopathy. Measurementofantisocialbehaviour Antisocial behaviour can be measured in a variety of ways. Interviews by psychiatrists are necessary to yield psychiatric diagnoses in Great Britain, where explicit diagnostic criteria are not as widely used as in North America. However, psychiatrist interviews are not very practical for large-scale epidemiological studies. One possible strategy is to use a two-stage procedure in which the population is initially screened using briefsymptomquestionnaires(e.g.Bebbingtonetal.,1981).Then,more intensiveclinicalinterviewscanbegiventoallthosewithhighsymptom scoresandtoarepresentativesampleofthosewithlowscores. Another possible method is to use an interview designed for non- clinicians, such as the NIMH Diagnostic Interview Schedule used in theEpidemiologicalCatchmentAreaproject(RobinsandRegier,1991). Ratingsorchecklistscompletedbyinformantssuchasinstitutionalstaff can also be used, based on interviews and records, as in the case of thePCL-R(Hare,1991).Alternatively,semi-structuredinterviewswith informants such as relatives or close friends can be used, as with the Standardized Assessment of Personality (Pilgrim and Mann, 1990), or psychologicaltestsandself-completionquestionnairescanbeused(e.g. Blackburn,1975). Itisimportantwithallmeasurementtechniquestoassessvalidityand reliability. However, one problem in assessing validity is that the exter- nal criterion for antisocial personality disorder or psychopathy is often basedonpsychiatricdiagnoses,whichmayhavelowreliability(Malgady, Rogler and Tryon, 1992). It is especially important to measure the pre- dictive validity of instruments given at a relatively early age or stage of development. Inthischapter,IwillrefertoresultsobtainedintheCambridgeStudy in Delinquent Development, which is a prospective longitudinal survey of 411 South London males from age 8 to age 46 (Farrington, 1995, 4 D.Farrington 2002c).Atage32,ameasureofantisocialpersonalitywasdevised,based onthefollowingtwelveitems:convictedinthelastfiveyears,self-reported offender,involvedinfights,drug-taker,heavydrinker,poorrelationship with parents, poor relationship with wife/cohabitee, divorced/child liv- ingelsewhere,frequentunemployment,anti-establishmentattitude,tat- tooed, and impulsive (Farrington, 1991). These were measured in a structured social interview. The reliability of this scale was 0.71, and the worst quarter of the males had four or more adverse features out of twelve. Inter-relationshipsbetweenbehaviours In general, all the behavioural and personality symptoms listed above tend to be intercorrelated, since people who show one of them have an increased risk of also showing any other. For example, the two factor scores of the PCL-R are highly intercorrelated (over 0.5: Hare et al., 1991),andthetotalPCL-Rscoreishighlycorrelatedwiththediagnosis ofantisocialpersonalitydisorder(0.67inHare,1985).Comorbidityisa common finding, and it is assumed that all of the symptoms reflect the sameunderlyingtheoreticalconstruct.However,itisimportanttoquan- tifythedegreeofversatilityinantisocialbehaviour,andtoassesswhether itismorereasonabletoassumetwoormoreunderlyingconstructsrather than only one. Another important question is whether conclusions are differentwithcontinuousasopposedtodichotomousmeasuresofsymp- toms. To the extent that intercorrelated clusters of symptoms are identified within the general category of antisocial behaviour, it may be useful to distinguish typologies of individuals. For example, Moffitt (1993) dis- tinguished between ‘life-course-persistent’ individuals, who began their antisocial behaviour at an early age and persisted for a long time, and ‘adolescence-limited’ ones who began later and desisted earlier. How- ever,itisunclearhowfarthesecategoriesdifferindegreeratherthanin kind. Epidemiologyanddevelopment Epidemiology It is important to establish the prevalence of antisocial symptoms, and of antisocial personality disorder, at different ages. It is useful to deter- minethepeakagesofdifferenttypesofantisocialbehaviour,andthepeak agesforaccelerationanddecelerationinprevalence.Informationisalso
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