N A V A L W A R C O L L E NAVA L WA R C O L L E G E R EV I EW G E R E V I E Autumn 2010 W Volume 63, Number 4 A u t u m n 2 0 1 0 __CCoovveerr..iinndddd 11 88//99//22001100 11::1144::2211 PPMM Report Documentation Page Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. 1. REPORT DATE 3. DATES COVERED 2010 2. REPORT TYPE 00-00-2010 to 00-00-2010 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5a. CONTRACT NUMBER Naval War College Review,Autumn 2010, Volume 63, Number 4 5b. GRANT NUMBER 5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER 6. AUTHOR(S) 5d. PROJECT NUMBER 5e. TASK NUMBER 5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION Naval War College,,686 Cushing Rd.,Newport,,RI, 02841 REPORT NUMBER 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S ACRONYM(S) 11. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S REPORT NUMBER(S) 12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Approved for public release; distribution unlimited 13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 14. ABSTRACT It is becoming increasingly clear that the prolonged financial crisis in which the United States currently finds itself will not be without significant consequences for the size and shape of American military forces in the coming decades. While the present administration has so far been careful to avoid linkage of the defense budget with the domestic economic situation, it is difficult to believe that this state of affairs is politically sustainable for the indefinite future. 15. SUBJECT TERMS 16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION OF 18. NUMBER 19a. NAME OF ABSTRACT OF PAGES RESPONSIBLE PERSON a. REPORT b. ABSTRACT c. THIS PAGE Same as 175 unclassified unclassified unclassified Report (SAR) Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98) Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39-18 Cover Details from the “Black Ship scrolls,” created in Japan soon after the visits of Commodore Matthew Calbraith Perry’s squadron in 1853 and 1854. Digitized copies of the original scrolls, on long-term loan from the Preserva- tion Society of Newport County, Rhode Island, are on display at the Naval War College Museum. They appear in an attractive new exhibit space on the fi rst fl oor produced by moving the Naval War College Foundation’s Museum Store to an expanded site in the Museum’s fi rst-fl oor west wing. Shown are USS Saratoga (up- per left), USS Powhatan (upper right), USS Susquehanna (lower left), and USS Lexington (lower right). See our “From the Editors” department in this issue for related, exciting developments at Found- ers Hall. Courtesy Naval War College Museum. __CCoovveerr..iinndddd 22 88//99//22001100 11::1144::2233 PPMM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen NAVAL WAR COLLEGE REVIEW Autumn 2010 Volume 63, Number 4 NAVALWARCOLLEGEPRESS 686 Cushing Road Newport, RI 02841-1207 NWCR_Autumn2010.ps C:\Documents and Settings\john.lanzieri.ctr\Desktop\NavalWarCollege\NWC_Review_Autumn2010\NWCR_Autumn2010.vp Friday, August 13, 2010 2:49:14 PM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen NAVALWARCOLLEGEPRESSADVISORYBOARD PRESIDENT,NAVALWARCOLLEGE Adam Bellow Rear Adm. James P.Wisecup, USN Capt. Wayne P. Hughes, USN (Ret.) PROVOST Jeffrey Kline Amb. Mary Ann Peters Gale A.Mattox Robert A.Silano DEANOFNAVALWARFARESTUDIES Robert C. Rubel MarinStrmecki DovS.Zakheim NAVALWARCOLLEGEPRESS CarnesLord,Editor NAVALWARCOLLEGEREVIEWEDITORIALBOARD Pelham G. Boyer,Managing Editor DonaldChisholm Phyllis P. Winkler,Book Review Editor AudreyKurthCronin Lori A.Almeida,Secretary and Circulation Manager PeterDombrowski FrankUhlig, Jr.,Editor Emeritus StephenDownes-Martin Naval War College Review Col. Theodore L.Gatchel, USMC (Ret.) Code 32, Naval War College James R. Holmes 686 Cushing Rd., Newport, RI 02841-1207 Capt. DennisMandsager,JAGC, USN (Ret.) Fax: 401.841.1071 William C.Martel DSNexchange, all lines: 841 Col.MackubinOwens, USMC (Ret.) Website: www.usnwc.edu/press Cdr. Derek S.Reveron, USN http://twitter.com/NavalWarCollege Capt. Peter M.Swartz, USN (Ret.) Scott C.Truver Editor, Circulation, or Business James J.Wirtz 401.841.2236 [email protected] Managing Editor 401.841.4552 [email protected] Newport Papers, Books [email protected] Essays and Book Reviews 401.841.6584 [email protected] Other Naval War College Offices 401.841.3089 NWCR_Autumn2010-1.ps C:\Documents and Settings\john.lanzieri.ctr\Desktop\NavalWarCollege\NWC_Review_Autumn2010\NWCR_Autumn2010.vp Wednesday, August 18, 2010 2:17:47 PM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen TheNavalWarCollegeReviewwasestablishedin1948asaforumfordiscussionof publicpolicymattersofinteresttothemaritimeservices.Thethoughtsandopinions expressedinthispublicationarethoseoftheauthorsandarenotnecessarilythose oftheU.S.government,theU.S.NavyDepartment,ortheNavalWarCollege. The journal is published quarterly. Distribution is limited generally to commands andactivitiesoftheU.S.Navy,MarineCorps,andCoastGuard;regularandreserve officersofU.S.services;foreignofficersandcivilianshavingapresentorprevious affiliationwiththeNavalWarCollege;selectedU.S.governmentofficialsandagen- cies;andselectedU.S.andinternationallibraries,researchcenters,publications,and educationalinstitutions. Contributors Please request the standard contributors’ guidance from the managing editor or access it online before submitting manuscripts.TheNavalWarCollegeReviewnei- theroffersnormakescompensationforarticlesorbookreviews,anditassumesno responsibilityforthereturnofmanuscripts,althougheveryeffortismadetoreturn thosenotaccepted.Insubmittingwork,thesenderwarrantsthatitisoriginal,that itisthesender’sproperty,andthatneitheritnorasimilarworkbythesenderhas beenacceptedorisunderconsiderationelsewhere. Permissions Reproduction and reprinting are subject to the Copyright Act of 1976 and appli- cable treaties of the United States. To obtain permission to reproduce material bearing a copyright notice, or to reproduce any material for commercialpur- poses,contacttheeditorforeachuse.Materialnotbearingacopyrightnotice may be freely reproduced for academic or other noncommercial use; however, it is requested that the author andNaval War College Reviewbe credited and that the editor be informed. Periodicals postage paid at Newport, R.I. POSTMASTERS, send address changes to:Naval War College Review,Code 32S, Naval War College, 686 Cushing Rd., Newport, R.I. 02841-1207. ISSN0028-1484 NWCR_Autumn2010.ps C:\Documents and Settings\john.lanzieri.ctr\Desktop\NavalWarCollege\NWC_Review_Autumn2010\NWCR_Autumn2010.vp Friday, August 13, 2010 2:49:14 PM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen NWCR_Autumn2010.ps C:\Documents and Settings\john.lanzieri.ctr\Desktop\NavalWarCollege\NWC_Review_Autumn2010\NWCR_Autumn2010.vp Friday, August 13, 2010 2:49:15 PM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen CONTENTS FromtheEditors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 RemarksofSecretaryofDefenseRobertM.Gates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 President’sForum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Programs vs. Resources SomeOptionsfortheNavy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Ronald O’Rourke If the U.S. Navy’s budget does not increase in real terms, the prospect over the longer run is for a fleet with advanced capabilities for performing missions but too few ships and aircraft to perform them simultaneously in all desired areas. Policy makers addressing this situation could face difficult choices among options that present feasibility challenges or have their own potential downsides. TalkingaboutSeaControl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Robert C. Rubel For two decades the U.S. Navy has enjoyed total command of the sea, so much so that it has stopped talking about sea control, even to the extent of forgettinghowto. The time has come to rediscover the discipline, yet again. Allied Navies The Canadian Navy and Canada’s National Interests in ThisMaritimeCentury . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 Vice Admiral Dean McFadden, Canadian Navy Adversaries have learned to integrate the warfare traditions of Clausewitz and Mao Zedong and to organize all means of violence—criminal, irregular, and conventional—to achieve their political ends. There are important implications in this for Canada’s maritime forces, including the fundamental capacity to fight and prevail in combat at sea against a potentially far broader and more comprehensive range of threats than ever before. A Private Security Solution to Somali Piracy? The U.S. Call for Private Security Engagement and the Implications for Canada. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 Christopher Spearin Recently expressed U.S. interest in encouraging commercial shippers to rely on private security companies against pirates is a matter of concern, both in practical terms and in fundamental terms of “who does what” at sea. NWCR_Autumn2010.ps C:\Documents and Settings\john.lanzieri.ctr\Desktop\NavalWarCollege\NWC_Review_Autumn2010\NWCR_Autumn2010.vp Friday, August 13, 2010 2:49:15 PM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 2 NAVALWARCOLLEGEREVIEW TamingtheOutlawSea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 Admiral James G. Stavridis, U.S. Navy, and Lieutenant Commander Richard E. LeBron, U.S. Navy Piracy in the Horn of Africa presents the international community with a complex and multidimensional challenge but also with a golden opportunity to come together and work collaboratively to solve it. China’s “Antiaccess” Ballistic Missiles and U.S. Active Defense. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 Marshall Hoyler Asymmetries in the competition of Chinese ballistic missiles versus U.S. antiballistic missiles make it unlikely that active defense alone will succeed. The United States needs to consider a broad menu of alternatives. The Most Daring Act of the Age PrinciplesforNavalIrregularWarfare. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 Lieutenant Commander Benjamin Armstrong, U.S. Navy The 1804 burning of the captured frigatePhiladelphiain Tripoli harborwas an early example of U.S. Navy irregular warfare, and it suggests principles that will be valuable in the irregular warfare that the Navy is likely face in the years to come. Four Lessons That the U.S. Navy Must Learn from the DreadnoughtRevolution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 Angus K. Ross Early in the twentieth century the Royal Navy, the world’s dominant naval force, stood at the cusp of fundamental technological and strategic shifts—and failed, as an institution, to respond effectively to them. Why? What can the U.S. Navy, in a similar position today, learn from the experience? Review Essays UncoveringNoSuchAgency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144 The Secret Sentry: The Untold History of the National Security Agency, by Matthew M. Aid reviewed by John R. Schindler PaulJohnson’sBriefLifeofChurchill. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 Churchill,by Paul Johnson reviewed by Henry M. Rector NWCR_Autumn2010-2-TOC.pS C:\Documents and Settings\john.lanzieri.ctr\Desktop\NavalWarCollege\NWC_Review_Autumn2010\NWCR_Autumn2010.vp Wednesday, August 18, 2010 2:18:44 PM Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen CONTENTS 3 Book Reviews Real Leadership: Helping People and Organizations Face Their Toughest Challenges,by Dean Williams reviewedbyHankKniskern . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 The Rise of China: Essays on the Future Competition,edited by Gary J. Schmitt reviewedbyJamesR.Holmes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 Death by Moderation: The U.S. Military’s Quest for Useable Weapons, by David A. Koplow reviewedbyTheodoreL.Gatchel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 Why NATO Endures,by Wallace J. Thies reviewedbyThomasFedyszyn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 Military Reform: An Uneven History and an Uncertain Future, by Winslow T. Wheeler and Lawrence J. Korb reviewedbySeanSullivan. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 Execute Against Japan: The U.S. Decision to Conduct Unrestricted Submarine Warfare,by Joel Ira Holwitt reviewedbyRearAdmiralJamesP.Wisecup,U.S.Navy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 Canaris: The Life and Death of Hitler’s Spymaster,by Michael Mueller reviewedbyAnthonyD.McIvor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 Special Operations in the Age of Chivalry: 1100–1550,by Yuval Noah Harari reviewedbyMarkK.Vaughn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 The Grand Strategy of the Byzantine Empire,by Edward N. Luttwak reviewedbyMikeMarkowitz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 OfSpecialInterest. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 ReflectionsonReading. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 NWCR_Autumn2010-3.ps C:\Documents and Settings\john.lanzieri.ctr\Desktop\NavalWarCollege\NWC_Review_Autumn2010\NWCR_Autumn2010.vp Monday, August 16, 2010 10:31:38 AM