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DTIC ADA554684: Solar Energy Development on Department of Defense Installations in the Mojave and Colorado Deserts PDF

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Solar Energy Development on Department of Defense Installations in the Mojave and Colorado Deserts Robert Kwartin, Sarah Alexander, Martin Anderson, Donald Clark, John Collins, Chris Lamson, Garrett Martin, Ryan Mayfield, Lindsay McAlpine, Daniel Moreno, Jeffrey Patterson, Craig Schultz, and Emily Stiever ICF International January 2012 Report Documentation Page Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. 1. REPORT DATE 3. DATES COVERED JAN 2012 2. REPORT TYPE 00-00-2012 to 00-00-2012 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5a. CONTRACT NUMBER Solar Energy Development On Department Of Defense Installations In 5b. GRANT NUMBER The Mojave And Colorado Deserts 5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER 6. AUTHOR(S) 5d. PROJECT NUMBER 5e. TASK NUMBER 5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION ICF International,9300 Lee Highway,Fairfax,VA,22031 REPORT NUMBER 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S ACRONYM(S) 11. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S REPORT NUMBER(S) 12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Approved for public release; distribution unlimited 13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 14. ABSTRACT 15. SUBJECT TERMS 16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION OF 18. NUMBER 19a. NAME OF ABSTRACT OF PAGES RESPONSIBLE PERSON a. REPORT b. ABSTRACT c. THIS PAGE Same as 533 unclassified unclassified unclassified Report (SAR) Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98) Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39-18 Solar Energy Development on Department of Defense Installations in the Mojave and Colorado Deserts ICF International Study Team Study Director Robert Kwartin Deputy Director Garrett Martin Geographic Setting of the Deserts Sarah Alexander Mission Compatibility John Collins, Chris Lamson, Jeffrey Patterson Solar Technology Characterization Emily Stiever, Garrett Martin Solar Potential Assessment Craig Schultz, Donald Clark, Daniel Moreno, Ryan Mayfield Energy Security Implications Martin Anderson Policy and Program Review Garrett Martin, Lindsay McAlpine, Emily Stiever ESTCP Project Manager James Galvin HGL Incorporated Project Manager Sam Figuli Solar Energy Development on DoD Installations in the Mojave & Colorado Deserts January 2012 Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank Jeff Marqusee and Jim Galvin of the Environmental Security Technology Certification Program and Sam Figuli of HydroGeoLogic, Inc. for their invaluable support, review, and encouragement throughout the development of this report. The authors would also like to thank Optony, Inc. and Power Ten, Inc. for their contributions to the research and review of this report. In addition, the team wishes to thank all of the individuals from each of the Services and from the Office of the Secretary of Defense for volunteering their time and expertise to support this analysis. i Solar Energy Development on DoD Installations in the Mojave & Colorado Deserts January 2012 Table of Contents Acknowledgements .......................................................................................................................... i List of Figures ................................................................................................................................. x List of Tables ............................................................................................................................... xiv Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... xviii ES.1 Key Findings ....................................................................................................... xviii ES.2 Report Purpose .................................................................................................... xviii ES.3 Mission Compatibility ............................................................................................ xx ES.4 Solar Potential Assessment .................................................................................. xxii ES.5 Energy Security ................................................................................................... xxxi ES.6 Solar Development Context ................................................................................ xxxi ES.7 Conclusions and Recommendations ................................................................... xxxii 1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 1-1 2 Geographic Setting Characterization ..................................................................... 2-1 2.1 General Characteristics .......................................................................................... 2-1 2.1.1 Mojave Desert ........................................................................................................ 2-1 2.1.2 Colorado Desert ..................................................................................................... 2-2 2.1.3 Desert Habitats ....................................................................................................... 2-2 2.1.4 Prominent Ecological Features .............................................................................. 2-4 2.1.5 Cross-Cutting Ecological Issues ............................................................................ 2-5 2.1.6 Species ................................................................................................................... 2-6 2.2 Legal Regime governing Mojave and Colorado Deserts .................................... 2-13 2.2.1 California Desert Conservation Area (CDCA) .................................................... 2-15 2.2.2 California Desert Protection Act (CDPA) of 1994 .............................................. 2-16 2.2.2.1 DoD Involvement with the CDPA of 2011 ............................................ 2-19 2.2.3 West Mojave Plan ................................................................................................ 2-19 2.2.3.1 DoD Involvement with the West Mojave Plan ...................................... 2-19 2.2.4 California Desert Renewable Energy Conservation Plan (DRECP).................... 2-19 2.2.5 Desert Manager’s Group ...................................................................................... 2-20 2.2.6 Nevada Wildlife Action Plan ............................................................................... 2-21 2.2.7 Clark County Multi-Species Habitat Conservation Plan (MSHCP) .................... 2-21 2.3 Land Use in the Mojave and Colorado Deserts ................................................... 2-21 2.3.1 Historic Land Use ................................................................................................ 2-22 2.3.2 Timeline of Land Use Developments in Mojave and Colorado Eco-region ....... 2-23 2.3.3 Current Land Uses and Impacts ........................................................................... 2-24 3 Mission Compatibility ........................................................................................... 3-1 3.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 3-1 3.2 Overview of Mission Compatibility Issues ........................................................... 3-2 3.3 Mission Compatibility Challenges ........................................................................ 3-3 3.4 Sensitivity .............................................................................................................. 3-3 3.5 Activity .................................................................................................................. 3-3 3.5.1 Technical and Spectrum Mission Conflict ............................................................. 3-4 3.5.1.1 Solar Energy Systems and the EM Spectrum .......................................... 3-4 3.5.1.2 Military Uses of the EM spectrum ........................................................... 3-5 . ii Solar Energy Development on DoD Installations in the Mojave & Colorado Deserts January 2012 3.5.1.3 Conflicts across the EM Spectrum ........................................................... 3-6 3.5.1.4 Conflicts in the Visible Spectrum ............................................................ 3-6 3.5.1.5 Conflicts in the IR Spectrum.................................................................... 3-9 3.5.1.6 Conflicts in the RF Spectrum ................................................................. 3-13 3.5.1.7 Hazards to Flight Operations ................................................................. 3-17 3.5.2 Range Utilization and Physical/Operational Mission Conflicts .......................... 3-18 3.5.2.1 Introduction: Installation and Range Activities ..................................... 3-18 3.5.2.2 Fort Irwin, National Training Center (NTC) ......................................... 3-20 3.5.2.3 Naval Air Weapons Station, China Lake (NAWS China Lake) ............ 3-24 3.5.2.4 Naval Air Station, El Centro (NAF El Centro) ...................................... 3-41 3.5.2.5 Compatibility Issues............................................................................... 3-44 3.5.2.6 Marine Corps Air Ground Combat Center (MCAGCC) Twentynine Palms ................................................................................................................ 3-44 3.5.2.7 Marine Corps Logistic Base Barstow (MCLB Barstow) ....................... 3-49 3.5.2.8 Chocolate Mountain Aerial Gunnery Range (Chocolate Mtn. AGR).... 3-51 3.5.2.9 Edwards Air Force Base (Edwards AFB) .............................................. 3-54 3.5.2.10 Creech Air Force Base (Creech AFB) ................................................... 3-55 3.5.2.11 Nellis AFB and NTTR ........................................................................... 3-56 3.6 Access .................................................................................................................. 3-59 3.6.1 Fort Irwin and MCAGCC Twentynine Palms ..................................................... 3-59 3.6.2 NAWS China Lake, Edwards AFB, Nellis AFB, and Creech AFB .................... 3-59 3.6.3 NAF El Centro and Chocolate Mtn. AGR ........................................................... 3-60 3.6.4 MCLB Barstow .................................................................................................... 3-60 3.7 Environs and Shared-Use .................................................................................... 3-60 3.7.1 Explosive Ordnance (Munitions) Storage ............................................................ 3-61 3.7.2 Quantity Distance Determination and Restrictions.............................................. 3-61 3.7.2.1 Quantity Distance (QD) ......................................................................... 3-61 3.7.2.2 High Occupancy Facilities/Areas (HOFA) ............................................ 3-62 3.7.3 Waivers, Exemptions, and Secretarial Certifications/Exemptions ...................... 3-62 3.7.4 Service Issues ....................................................................................................... 3-63 3.7.4.1 Navy ....................................................................................................... 3-63 3.7.4.2 Army ...................................................................................................... 3-64 3.7.4.3 Air Force ................................................................................................ 3-64 3.7.4.4 Marine Corps ......................................................................................... 3-65 3.7.5 Explosive Ordnance (Munitions) Storage Facilities by Installation .................... 3-65 3.7.6 The Business Case for Siting Solar Adjacent to Explosive Ordnance Storage ... 3-66 3.7.7 Surface Danger Zones .......................................................................................... 3-69 3.8 Summary ............................................................................................................. 3-69 3.8.1 Mission Compatibility Screening ........................................................................ 3-69 3.8.2 Observations and Conclusions ............................................................................. 3-69 4 Technology Characterization ................................................................................ 4-1 4.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 4-1 4.2 Concentrating Solar Power Technologies ............................................................. 4-2 4.2.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................ 4-2 4.2.2 Parabolic Trough .................................................................................................... 4-2 4.2.2.1 Description ............................................................................................... 4-2 . iii Solar Energy Development on DoD Installations in the Mojave & Colorado Deserts January 2012 4.2.2.2 System Components................................................................................. 4-2 4.2.2.3 Applications ............................................................................................. 4-4 4.2.2.4 Existing and Future Projects and Trends ................................................. 4-4 4.2.3 Solar Power Towers ............................................................................................... 4-5 4.2.3.1 Description ............................................................................................... 4-5 4.2.3.2 System Components................................................................................. 4-5 4.2.3.3 Applications ............................................................................................. 4-7 4.2.3.4 Existing and Future Projects and Trends ................................................. 4-8 4.2.4 Dish/Engine Systems ............................................................................................. 4-8 4.2.4.1 Description ............................................................................................... 4-8 4.2.4.2 System Components................................................................................. 4-8 4.2.4.3 Applications ............................................................................................. 4-9 4.2.4.4 Existing and Future Projects and Trends ................................................. 4-9 4.3 Solar PV Systems ................................................................................................ 4-10 4.3.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................... 4-10 4.3.2 Applications ......................................................................................................... 4-11 4.3.3 Existing Projects .................................................................................................. 4-13 4.3.4 Future Trends ....................................................................................................... 4-14 5 Solar Potential Assessment ................................................................................... 5-1 5.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 5-1 5.2 Geographic Analysis ............................................................................................. 5-4 5.2.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................ 5-4 5.3 Geospatial Database and Analysis Methodology .................................................. 5-6 5.3.1 Data Collection and Compilation........................................................................... 5-6 5.3.2 Requirements Assessment ..................................................................................... 5-7 5.3.3 Public Agency Data Sources .................................................................................. 5-7 5.3.4 DoD Data Sources.................................................................................................. 5-8 5.3.5 Geospatial Analyses ............................................................................................. 5-10 5.3.6 Suitability Rating Scale........................................................................................ 5-16 5.3.7 Composite Map Overlay ...................................................................................... 5-20 5.3.8 Suitable Areas ...................................................................................................... 5-21 5.4 Results ................................................................................................................. 5-24 5.4.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................... 5-24 5.4.2 Overall Results Across Seven California Installations ........................................ 5-24 5.4.3 Individual Military Installation Geographic Analysis Results............................. 5-28 5.5 Implications of Results ........................................................................................ 5-64 5.6 Solar Technology Analysis ................................................................................. 5-66 5.6.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................... 5-66 5.6.2 Methodology ........................................................................................................ 5-67 5.6.2.1 Solar Technologies Applied in Study .................................................... 5-67 5.6.2.2 Solar PV ................................................................................................. 5-68 5.6.2.3 Concentrating Solar Power .................................................................... 5-68 5.6.3 Configuration of Solar Installations ..................................................................... 5-69 5.6.4 Solar Electricity Output Calculations for PV Systems ........................................ 5-73 5.6.5 Array Size based on Given Area and Assumed Array Layout ............................ 5-74 5.6.6 Array Tilt and Orientation ................................................................................... 5-74 . iv Solar Energy Development on DoD Installations in the Mojave & Colorado Deserts January 2012 5.6.7 Input Derates ........................................................................................................ 5-74 5.6.8 Shading ................................................................................................................ 5-75 5.6.9 Weather Data ....................................................................................................... 5-76 5.6.10 Solar Electricity Output Calculations for Dish/Stirling Systems ......................... 5-76 5.6.11 Solar Electricity Output Calculations for Parabolic Trough Systems ................. 5-76 5.7 Summary of Results: Technical Potential for Solar on Military Installations .... 5-77 5.8 Implications of Technical Potential Results ........................................................ 5-87 5.9 Economic Analysis .............................................................................................. 5-89 5.9.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................... 5-89 5.9.2 Methodology ........................................................................................................ 5-90 5.9.3 Solar Technology Costs ....................................................................................... 5-90 5.9.4 Electricity Prices .................................................................................................. 5-95 5.9.5 REC Prices ......................................................................................................... 5-101 5.9.6 Other Federal, State, and Utility Incentives ....................................................... 5-103 5.9.7 Land Lease Rates ............................................................................................... 5-104 5.9.8 Transmission Costs ............................................................................................ 5-106 5.9.9 Economic and Project Finance Rates ................................................................. 5-108 5.9.10 Project Ownership .............................................................................................. 5-109 5.9.11 20-Year Investment Return Calculation ............................................................ 5-110 5.10 Economic Analysis Results ............................................................................... 5-111 5.10.1 Overall Economic Results.................................................................................. 5-111 5.10.2 Economic Results by Military Installation ........................................................ 5-119 5.11 Implications of Economic Analysis Results ...................................................... 5-133 5.11.1 Environmental Impacts of Solar Development on Military Installations .......... 5-138 5.11.2 Renewable Energy Impacts................................................................................ 5-138 5.11.3 Air Impacts......................................................................................................... 5-139 5.11.4 Water Impacts .................................................................................................... 5-140 5.11.5 Habitat Impacts .................................................................................................. 5-142 5.12 Planned and Existing On-Installation Solar Energy Facilities .......................... 5-143 5.13 Economic Analysis Reference Tables ............................................................... 5-145 6 Energy Security ..................................................................................................... 6-1 6.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 6-1 6.2 Energy Service Disruption Scenarios .................................................................... 6-1 6.3 Energy Security Requirements During Grid System Failure ................................ 6-2 6.3.1 Outage Duration ..................................................................................................... 6-2 6.3.2 Critical Point Load, Critical Microgrid, or Complete Distribution System Backup .. ............................................................................................................................... 6-3 6.3.3 Island Mode Operation .......................................................................................... 6-3 6.3.4 Black-Start Capability ............................................................................................ 6-4 6.4 Alternative Solar Energy Solutions ....................................................................... 6-4 6.4.1 PV Solar ................................................................................................................. 6-4 6.4.2 Concentrating Solar Power .................................................................................... 6-4 6.5 Storing Energy from Solar Plants for 24/7 Operations ......................................... 6-5 6.5.1 Alternative Energy Storage Technologies ............................................................. 6-5 6.5.1.1 Battery Energy Storage ............................................................................ 6-5 6.5.1.2 Thermal Energy Storage .......................................................................... 6-7 . v Solar Energy Development on DoD Installations in the Mojave & Colorado Deserts January 2012 6.5.1.3 Pumped Energy Storage ........................................................................... 6-8 6.5.1.4 Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES) ................................................ 6-8 6.5.1.5 Superconducting Magnet Energy Storage (SMES) ................................. 6-8 6.5.1.6 Ultracapacitor Energy Storage ................................................................. 6-9 6.5.1.7 Flywheel Energy Storage ......................................................................... 6-9 6.5.2 Costs of Energy Storage......................................................................................... 6-9 6.5.3 Cut-Over Speed .................................................................................................... 6-10 6.5.4 Black-Start Capability .......................................................................................... 6-11 6.6 Traditional Emergency Generation Technology ................................................. 6-11 6.7 Potential Role of Solar Energy for Emergency Backup Supply ......................... 6-12 6.8 Conclusion ........................................................................................................... 6-13 7 The Solar Development Context ........................................................................... 7-1 7.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 7-1 7.2 Mandates and Goals .............................................................................................. 7-1 7.2.1 Federal Government............................................................................................... 7-2 7.2.1.1 Mandate and Goal Compliance – Renewable Energy Goals ................... 7-4 7.2.1.2 Mandate and Goal Compliance – GHG Goals ......................................... 7-5 7.2.2 State Renewable Portfolio Standards ..................................................................... 7-7 7.2.2.1 California ................................................................................................. 7-7 7.2.2.2 Nevada ................................................................................................... 7-10 7.3 Withdrawn Lands ................................................................................................ 7-12 7.4 Utility Policy and Planning ................................................................................. 7-14 7.4.1 Transmission ........................................................................................................ 7-14 7.4.1.1 Regional Transmission Overview .......................................................... 7-16 7.4.1.2 Transmission Planning ........................................................................... 7-18 7.4.1.3 Transmission Management .................................................................... 7-27 7.4.1.4 Transmission Expansion Constraints ..................................................... 7-29 7.4.2 Interconnection .................................................................................................... 7-30 7.4.2.1 Nevada ................................................................................................... 7-31 7.4.2.2 California ............................................................................................... 7-32 7.4.3 Net Metering ........................................................................................................ 7-34 7.4.3.1 California ............................................................................................... 7-36 7.4.3.2 Nevada ................................................................................................... 7-37 7.4.4 Renewable Energy Sales ...................................................................................... 7-38 7.4.4.1 California ............................................................................................... 7-38 7.4.4.2 Nevada ................................................................................................... 7-39 7.5 Federal Planning .................................................................................................. 7-39 7.5.1 DOI/DOE Solar PEIS .......................................................................................... 7-41 7.6 Development Limitations .................................................................................... 7-43 7.6.1 Water Scarcity ...................................................................................................... 7-43 7.6.2 Environmental Resources .................................................................................... 7-44 7.6.2.1 Habitat Disturbance ............................................................................... 7-44 7.6.2.2 Regulatory Framework and DoD Policies ............................................. 7-45 7.6.2.3 Vegetation Communities ....................................................................... 7-46 7.6.2.4 Jurisdictional Waters/Wetlands ............................................................. 7-48 . vi

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