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JAnUARY 2011 . VoL 4 . IssUE 1 CoMBATInG TERRoRIsM CEnTER AT WEsT poInT C TC SEn T InEL oBJECTIVE . RELEVAnT . RIGoRoUs Terrorist Awakening in Contents Sweden? FEATURE ARTICLE 1 Terrorist Awakening in Sweden? By Magnus Ranstorp By Magnus Ranstorp REpoRTs 6 British Universities Continue to Breed Extremists By James Brandon 8 Improving Airline Security in the United States By Rafi Ron 11 Al-Qa`ida’s Yemeni Expatriate Faction in Pakistan By Evan F. Kohlmann 15 Understanding Al-Qa`ida’s Business Model By Alex Gallo 18 Disengagement or Deradicalization: A Look at Prison Programs for Jailed Terrorists By Andrew silke 21 Recent Highlights in Terrorist Activity 24 CTC Sentinel Staff & Contacts Swedish police at the scene of a terrorist attack in central Stockholm in December 2010. - Photo by Jonathan Nackstrand/AFP/Getty Images F or decades, sweden has Islamist extremism which outlined that been regarded as the relative it had identified about 200 extremists backwater of international in Sweden; more than 80% were socially terrorism. Even Usama bin connected, and most lived inside the Ladin had mentioned Sweden as immune three major cities of Sweden, with more from terrorism in an al-Jazira broadcast than half residing in Stockholm.1 in October 2004. This sense of immunity was shattered twice in December 2010. This article examines the circumstances First, a suicide bomber struck in the behind these developments and their About the CTC Sentinel Nordic countries for the first time ever implications for the evolution of The Combating Terrorism Center is an on December 11. The Swedish security terrorism in Sweden. It illustrates the independent educational and research service, Säkerhetspolisen (SÄPO), had interconnectivity of terrorist social institution based in the Department of social no record of the bomber before the attack, networks, and it underscores the sciences at the United states Military Academy, as he had studied and lived for a decade importance of terrorist travelers to West point. The CTC sentinel harnesses in the United Kingdom. At the same time, Pakistan and Somalia and the potential the Center’s global network of scholars and he admitted he had traveled to Iraq to for a boomerang effect. To some extent, practitioners to understand and confront perform jihad. Second, four Swedes were this article argues that the events in contemporary threats posed by terrorism and arrested later that month for planning Sweden are a microcosm or reflection of other forms of political violence. to conduct a protracted Mumbai-style broader terrorism trends. attack on the Jyllands-Posten newspaper in Copenhagen, Denmark. The men were The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and not of the U.s. Military Academy, arrested after driving from Sweden to the Department of the Army, or any other agency Copenhagen to execute the attack. Third, 1 “Våldsbejakande islamistisk extremism i Sverige,” Säk- of the U.s. Government. SÄPO produced a report on violent erhetspolisen, 2010. 1 Report Documentation Page Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. 1. REPORT DATE 3. DATES COVERED JAN 2011 2. REPORT TYPE 00-00-2011 to 00-00-2011 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5a. CONTRACT NUMBER Terrorist Awakening in Sweden? 5b. GRANT NUMBER 5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER 6. AUTHOR(S) 5d. PROJECT NUMBER 5e. TASK NUMBER 5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION Combating Terrorism center,US Military Academy,607 Cullum Road, REPORT NUMBER Lincoln Hall,West Point,NY,10996 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S ACRONYM(S) 11. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S REPORT NUMBER(S) 12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Approved for public release; distribution unlimited 13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The Combating Terrorism Center is an independent educational and research institution based in the Department of Social Sciences at the United States Military Academy, West Point. The CTC Sentinel harnesses the Center?s global network of scholars and practitioners to understand and confront contemporary threats posed by terrorism and other forms of political violence. 14. ABSTRACT This article examines the circumstances behind these developments and their implications for the evolution of terrorism in Sweden. It illustrates the interconnectivity of terrorist social networks, and it underscores the importance of terrorist travelers to Pakistan and Somalia and the potential for a boomerang effect. To some extent, this article argues that the events in Sweden are a microcosm or reflection of broader terrorism trends. 15. SUBJECT TERMS 16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION OF 18. NUMBER 19a. NAME OF ABSTRACT OF PAGES RESPONSIBLE PERSON a. REPORT b. ABSTRACT c. THIS PAGE Public Release 24 unclassified unclassified unclassified Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98) Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39-18 JAnUARY 2011 . VoL 4 . IssUE 1 Anatomy of Sweden’s First Suicide Bomber His wife inserted a martyrdom picture, After sending his farewell e-mails, On December 11, 2010, a 28-year-old “Hoor al-Ayn,” depicting a martyr on al-Abdaly proceeded to ignite his Iraqi-Swede, Taimour Adbulwahab al- horseback as “mood background” for car filled with gas canisters and Abdaly, became the first suicide bomber the recording. This suggested either his flammable material, which burst into in Sweden when he accidentally detonated wife knew more than she claimed, or flames at 4:52 PM. He then walked one of the six pipe bombs strapped to his that there was possibly an accomplice toward the pedestrian shopping street body among busy Christmas shoppers in to al-Abdaly at large.2 Drottninggatan for 10 minutes, where central Stockholm. The Swedish public he began to fiddle with his equipment, narrowly escaped a major terrorist The issue of possible accomplices has walking in and out of a side street attack that was cleverly designed as a been strongly suspected for a number talking on either a communication radio multipronged, one-man mass casualty of reasons. First, in the pre-recorded or mobile phone before his explosive event. Beginning with the explosion of tapes, there is clearly a second person device detonated prematurely. From his station wagon filled with gas tubes breathing and there have been efforts eyewitness accounts, it is clear there and flammable material, al-Abdaly had to remove everything below 100 hertz was a malfunction rather than a desire planned to walk down Drottninggatan, on all three tapes.3 A second reason is to abort the operation. Taking refuge in a major pedestrian shopping street, the two-way radio found by his body a more deserted side street, al-Abdaly toward a large department store and the after one of the pipe bombs detonated placed his bomb belt down moments main central railway station placing two prematurely. Third, according to before his pipe bomb exploded.6 He died or more explosive devices at different those close to the investigation, the quickly without killing anyone else. locations before detonating his own contraption of pipe bombs was too serial-connected pipe bombs strapped cumbersome and complex for him to have Profile of Taimour al-Abdaly to his body. Al-Abdaly had at least six put on his body alone. Fourth, closed- Five days after the suicide bombing, pipe bombs filled with ball bearings, a circuit television footage captured, after SÄPO provided the findings of a pressure-cooker, and a backpack filled the accidental detonation, the images previously cabinet-commissioned with explosives and nails. of a man wearing a sketchy billboard report on Islamic extremism in Sweden. sign for “London restaurant” with a Embarrassingly, SÄPO had to admit Al-Abdaly commenced the operation red khaffiyeh wrapped around his face that al-Abdaly was not among the 200 earlier that day at the crack of dawn that seemed to be the only individual Islamic extremists it had previously by driving to Stockholm from his focused and drawn to the scene where identified. Interestingly, SÄPO’s chief, parents’ house in the small town of al-Abdaly was dying, as everyone else Anders Danielsson, also placed partial Tranås, a 170-mile journey northward. fled the explosion. Fifth, al-Abdaly’s blame why they missed him on MI5—his He would have arrived in Stockholm disclosure on the farewell tape that British counterpart—as al-Abdaly had about three hours later following the he frequently traveled to the Middle resided in the United Kingdom since collection of explosive devices from an East to wage jihad raised the prospect 2001 (although he frequently visited his undisclosed storage site. Assuming al- that he had links to more organized parents in Sweden). Abdaly arrived in Stockholm around terrorist networks in the region. This midday, it is still unclear where he was strengthened by his affinity to the Profiling Taimour Abdulwahab al- initially went and what he did prior Islamic State of Iraq on his Facebook Abdaly has produced a complicated to the commencement of the terrorist page, postings of Shaykh Muhammad picture of a relative loner that assault at 4:40 PM. At precisely that al-Maqdisi and multiple credible claims radicalized in Luton in the United time, al-Abdaly sent different e-mails to by radical al-Qa`ida-affiliated websites Kingdom, surrounded possibly by three recipients: his wife, the Swedish that suggested he belonged to the Islamic shadowy figures connected as “brokers” Security Service SÄPO (which failed to State of Iraq. Postings on al-Hanin to Mohammed Siddique Khan, a small check it for 4.5 hours), and Tidningarnas and the popular Shumukh al-Islam cadre of the outlawed Islamist group Telegrambyrå, the official Swedish websites suggested this affiliation.4 al-Muhajiroun, and possibly by a more wire service. The e-mail contained pre- It has also emerged that General Zia nefarious terrorist network emerging from recorded sound files. In the English and Alkanani, the counterterrorism chief in Iraq, as he traveled there frequently. Arabic versions, al-Abdaly’s message Iraq, has claimed that al-Abdaly spent was addressed to his wife asking for three months in Mosul at an explosives Al-Abdaly was born in Baghdad in 1982 forgiveness and explaining that he had training camp together with an Egyptian and arrived with his father, mother, and been secretly a mujahidin for the past accomplice, according to imprisoned al- older sister to Tranås, Sweden at the four years and that his business trips Qa`ida members.5 age of 10. Tranås is a small town with to the Middle East had been a lie. Al- a population of 18,000 inhabitants. Abdaly’s wife, living in Luton in the It appears that al-Abdaly adapted 2 Martin Ekelund, “Nätet avslöjar medhjälparen,” Af- United Kingdom, would later profess well there, quickly learning Swedish, tonbladet, January 3, 2011. Also see www.gudmundson. no knowledge of his activities in an becoming known as a keen basketball blogspot.com. exclusive interview to controversial player and was well-liked by his friends. 3 Mikael Stengård and Eveline Grassman, “Experter: television broadcaster, Muslim convert He graduated from secondary school in Ljudet är manipulerat,” Aftonbladet, December 18, 2010. and ex-Taliban prisoner Yvonne Ridley, 4 Sam Jones and Haroon Siddique, “Stockholm Suicide yet a longer unedited version of the tape Bomber Confronted by Luton Mosque Leaders,” Guard- 3 Months in Mosul,” al-Arabiya, January 7, 2011. appeared within 24 hours on the couple’s ian, December 13, 2010. 6 Richard Ashberg and Johanna Hellsten, “Buken full shared YouTube account: mona123timo. 5 “Iraqi Official to al-Arabiya: Stockholm Bomber Trained med metal,” Aftonbladet, December 16, 2010. 2 JAnUARY 2011 . VoL 4 . IssUE 1 natural sciences and there was no major to attend a terrorist training camp.11 It Some of these followers were connected indication that religion was a significant is still to be determined if there is any to radical cleric Omar Bakri Mohammed, part of his life. In fact, he had a Jewish connection between Q and al-Abdaly. and they had open recruitment stalls girlfriend.7 All of this would change as It is likely, however, that al-Abdaly on the high street near the al-Abdaly he moved to Luton in the United Kingdom came into contact with more extremist family home. to enroll at the University of Bedfordshire elements since the Bury Park area of to study sports therapy in 2001. Luton has “featured prominently in Al-Abdaly appears to have been affected counterterrorism investigations.”12 by a confrontation with Qadeer Baksh, Only weeks after al-Abdaly enrolled in Regardless, the July 2005 London the chairman of the Luton Islamic Center. the university, the September 11, 2001 attacks likely played a role in al- According to mosque officials, al- attacks occurred. This was a period Abdaly’s radicalization process. Abdaly showed up at the Luton Islamic of immense identity turmoil with Center, also known as the al-Ghurabaa intertwined experiences of xenophobia, It is also clear that al-Abdaly was mosque, during Ramadan 2006-2007. Islamophobia and extremist Islamist affected by the 2006 Israel-Hizb Allah According to Baksh, his congregation sentiments.8 The far-right English war in Lebanon. This is evident from immediately drew to his attention that Defense League was active in Luton his postings on Facebook. While he al-Abdaly harbored extremist views as well. The activities of the Finsbury seemed to admire Hizb Allah leader about jihad and takfiri principles and was Park Mosque and the openly radical Hassan Nasrallah, it was also clear that encouraging rebellion against Muslim Abu Hamza al-Masri were only a short he was vehemently anti-Shi`a in Iraq. leaders. This caused Baksh to undertake train ride away, and investigators are Similarly, he watched shock video clips several personal interventions in an pursuing leads as to whether al-Abdaly with violent images from Chechnya that effort to deconstruct his arguments visited the controversial mosque.9 There with a theological debate. On several are no signs that al-Abdaly was involved “The debate climate about occasions, it seemed al-Abdaly came to in radical groups at the university. accept Baksh’s rebuttals, but it became terrorist threat assessment Instead, while at university he met his known that al-Abdaly continued to future wife, Mona (also known as Umm in Sweden had been stifled spread extremist views among the Amira), a young woman from Romania community. As a result, Baksh decided by ideologically-driven who partially grew up in Sweden.10 He to publicly confront him in front of 100 married her in 2004, and he graduated debaters who used the worshippers at an early morning prayer.14 with a BSc in sports therapy. They had Al-Abdaly stormed out of the mosque label of Islamophobia their first daughter in 2006, the second humiliated, angry and disappeared, in 2008 and in the summer of 2010 and racism to silence the probably traveling back and forth to the they had a son and named him Usama Middle East and Sweden.15 issue. This is not possible in honor of Usama bin Ladin. After meeting al-Abdaly, she rapidly became anymore.” In 2007, al-Abdaly began traveling religious, wearing the djellaba. extensively to Jordan and Iraq. In 2008, he reportedly traveled to Syria as well.16 A suspected turning point for al-Abdaly Al-Abdaly collected new Swedish was the fact that Mohammed Siddique regularly portrayed Russian atrocities passports in 2001, 2007 and 2008, Khan and the London bombers had and the bravery of the mujahidin, suicide the last of which he claimed was lost driven to Luton railway station before operations in Iraq, and humiliating abroad.17 This is seen as evidence that heading to conduct the operation of July interrogation scenes where U.S. soldiers he was attempting to conceal his travel 7, 2005. In fact, three streets from al- taunted Iraqi prisoners. He also seemed patterns and destinations to perform Abdaly’s house in Bury Park, Luton, to have a fascination with Judgment jihad in the Middle East. It is possible lived Mohammed Quayyum Khan, Day, radical extremist ideologues that he even had an extra Swedish known as “Q,” who was instrumental and anashid (jihadist songs). His own passport so he could switch back and in arranging for the ringleader of the Facebook profile picture depicted a forth, concealing his entry and exit 2005 London bombers, Mohammed mujahid raising the black battleflag to suspicious destinations to British Siddique Khan, to travel to Pakistan of Islam. Some have speculated that officials. he came into contact with the Reflect Project, previously known as al- Al-Abdaly surfaced again on November Muhajiroun, which organized a protest 19, 2010 when he returned to Sweden 7 Eduardo Grutzky, “Jag var självmordsbombarens frit- at a homecoming parade in Luton for alone to stay with his parents long idsledare,” Newsmill.se, January 5, 2011. troops who had served in Afghanistan.13 8 Jonathan Githens-Mazer and Robert Lambert, Islamo- phobia and Anti-Muslim Hate Crime: A London Case Study Home,” Sunday Telegraph, December 19, 2010. (Exeter: University of Exeter, 2010). 11 Sam Jones, Ian Corbain, Richard Norton-Taylor and 14 BBC Newsnight, December 13, 2010. 9 Sean O’Neill and Daniel McGrory, The Suicide Factory: Shiv Malik, “The ‘Bubbly’ Luton Radical Who Became 15 Ibid. Abu Hamza and the Finsbury Park Mosque (London: Harp- a Suicide Bomber in Sweden,” Guardian, December 14, 16 Martin Evans, “Stockholm Bomber: Family Blame er Collins, 2006). 2010. Britain for Radicalization,” Telegraph, December 13, 10 Olle Lönnaeus and Erik Magnusson, “Mannen som 12 Ibid. 2010. skulle sprang sig själv,” Sydsvenskan, December 19, 13 Jason Lewis, “Stockholm Bomber: Banned Extremists 17 Martin Ekelund, “Reste med olika pass,” Aftonbladet, 2010. Recruit Near Taimour Abdulwahab al-Abdaly’s Luton December 23, 2010. 3 JAnUARY 2011 . VoL 4 . IssUE 1 enough to celebrate his own and his Traveling in separate convoys, Safia These overlapping social networks made father’s birthday, which they commonly was with the wife of U.S. citizen Daniel it easy for SÄPO to identify and monitor share. He stayed in his parents’ flat in Maldonado, a convicted terrorist who the different suspects in the plot against Tranås and proceeded over the next two had undertaken training in bomb-making Jyllands-Posten. Apart from Munir Awad weeks to acquire a vehicle for $1,300, and volunteered for suicide operations.20 and Sahbi Zalouti, the network involved aluminum powder, pyrotechnics and 30-year-old Moroccan Omar Abdallah nails and ball bearings from local Second, Awad, his girlfriend and Aboelazm, a convicted sexual offender hardware stores. Few believe that he their baby were caught in Dera Ghazi who has been in psychiatric care, and was alone in what seems to be a rather Khan by Pakistani security, together 44-year-old Mounir Dhahri, a former overly complex operation for a lone with Mehdi Ghezali and seven other drug addict convicted of spousal abuse, wolf. His carefully prepared farewell Germans in August 2009 after traveling drug offenses and assault.22 It is believed tapes in Arabic, Swedish and English through Iran en route to Miran Shah in that Zalouti was the more senior leader strengthens this suspicion. North Waziristan Agency of Pakistan’s in the network, but he bailed out of the Federally Administered Tribal Areas. trip to Denmark. Consequently, it is Al-Abdaly’s farewell tapes followed a It is believed that two of the Germans believed that Mounir Dhahri became familiar al-Qa`ida-inspired narrative have links to the Islamic Movement the key figure driving the plot forward. script. It emphasized humiliation of of Uzbekistan (IMU). According to Dhahri also spent significant time in Muslims under siege as evidenced Ghezali, he was traveling to a Tablighi Pakistan, which is likely to become key by the occupation of Muslim lands Jama`at meeting, although security to the investigation. (Afghanistan); reinforced by officials confiscated $10,940 in cash, metaphorical issues (the Lars Vilks knives, a neck trap (disguised in There are also indirect links between controversy18); offering reciprocal diapers) and electronic items.21 This 43- Munir Awad and the Jyllands-Posten plot revenge by urging “all mujahidin in day prison incident became problematic and the earlier 2009 plot against the Europe and Sweden” to strike now. for Helena Benaouda, the chairwoman same newspaper by David Coleman The issue of possible affiliation to the of the Swedish Muslim Council, who Headley (who has been linked to the Islamic State of Iraq was raised due to campaigned tirelessly protesting their senior terrorist Ilyas Kashmiri).23 the fact that al-Abdaly alluded to the innocence. Kashmiri, who also has close ties to “Islamic State” in his script. A puzzling Lashkar-i-Tayyiba, provided Headley feature is why the Islamic State of Third, Awad shared an apartment with with two sets of contacts for the planned Iraq, if involved, did not claim any 26-year-old Ellas Bille Mohamed, one 2009 operation in Copenhagen: two responsibility. By his own admission in of the two al-Shabab terrorists who followers in Derby, England, and the tape, he participated for four years were recently convicted of preparing one individual in Stockholm named in jihad overseas. and commissioning suicide operations Farid, a Moroccan-born businessman in Somalia. This connection reinforces who declined participation in August Munir Awad and the Jyllands-Posten Plot the overlapping social relationships in 2009 as he was believed to be under The second terrorist incident involving these semi-closed extremist circuits and surveillance by SÄPO.24 Farid is a major Sweden in December 2010 was the case suspicions about Awad’s previous travel figure in extremist circles in Stockholm of four Swedes arrested for planning to patterns in Somalia and Pakistan. Awad and he knew some of the suspects in the conduct a Mumbai-style attack on the also had strong social contacts with Jyllands-Posten plot of December 2010. Jyllands-Posten newspaper in Copenhagen, Sahbi Zalouti, one of the accomplices Denmark. The men were arrested after in the Copenhagen plot (who rented After discovering the December plot, driving from Sweden to Copenhagen to the vehicle for the trip from Stockholm SÄPO and the Danish Intelligence execute the attack. A central figure in to Copenhagen but never joined the & Security Service (PET) kept the the plot is Munir Awad, a 29-year-old operation). While Zalouti was similarly Swedes under surveillance for two Lebanon-born Swedish citizen. This detained in Pakistan in areas controlled months. On December 29, 2010, Awad, case is well-known in Sweden for a by the Taliban and al-Qa`ida, another Aboelazm and Dhahri left Stockholm number of reasons. accomplice, Mounir Dhahri, spent for Denmark in their rental car to considerable time with extremists in launch a “storming” operation against First, Awad and his pregnant girlfriend, Pakistan. Jyllands-Posten. In the middle of the night, Safia Benaouda (the daughter of the they started the six hour drive from head of the Swedish Muslim Council), Stockholm to Copenhagen. Later that vember 2010. was caught initially in Somalia in 2007 day in the morning, they were arrested in 20 Michael Taarnby and Lars Hallundbaek, “Al-Sha- by Ethiopian forces and interrogated by baab: The Internationalization of Militant Islamism in Kenyan and U.S. intelligence. They had Somalia and the Implications for Radicalisation Pro- 22 Ibid. veered off a trip to Dubai and decided to cesses in Europe,” report supported by the Danish Min- 23 Jette Elbeak Maressa and Heidi Plougsgaard, “Han er visit Somalia “to see a more traditional istry of Justice, February 26, 2010; “American Charged den pakistanske forbindelse,” Jyllands-Posten, October Muslim culture,” in their own words.19 with Receiving Al Qaeda Terrorist Training in Weapons, 28, 2010. Bomb-Making, and Interrogation Techniques in Soma- 24 Yassin Marmasbash, “Investigators Look into Pos- 18 Lars Vilks is a Swedish artist who depicted the Proph- lia,” U.S.A. v. Daniel Maldonado a/k/a Daniel Aljughaifi, sible Ties to ‘Mickey Mouse Project,’” Jyllands-Posten, De- et Muhammad in drawings. Southern District of Texas, 2007. cember 30, 2010; Kaare Sorensen and Carsten Ellegard, 19 “Nowhere to Go: Sweden’s Complicity in the World- 21 “Här grips de – misstänkta för terrorism,” Aftonbladet, “David Headley forsogte at rekruttere terrorist i Sverige,” Wide Detention of Monir Awad,” Cage Prisoners, No- September 12, 2009. Jyllands-Posten, November 9, 2010. 4 JAnUARY 2011 . VoL 4 . IssUE 1 Copenhagen in a joint Danish-Swedish contact and establish trust, the Somali out of the shadows, with no connectivity intelligence operation after continuous community is the reverse and keen to to al-Qa`ida, that are beginning to pose surveillance on the car throughout the work with authorities. The Somali issue a transnational terrorist threat. journey. In a joint news conference, both is also shared with other neighboring the SÄPO and PET heads emphasized countries as there are family and clan The Swedish context illustrates the that an attack was imminent. The links cutting across Sweden, Denmark, close social networks or circuits that terrorists had in their possession a Norway and the United Kingdom. Unlike extremists move in. Most know each machine gun with a silencer and 72 other foreign fighter destination points, other; some even live together. An cartridge shells as well as a 9mm pistol Somalis do not have a “romanticized” equally important, but often unexplored with 36 shells. They also possessed a view about the brutality of the conflict; issue is the role of women, wives and large quantity of plastic strips to tie the reverse is true for Pakistan or widows in these networks. These hands.25 While the terrorist plan was a Yemen. women play not only supporting roles Mumbai-style operation “in miniature,” and provide excellent cover for logistical closely resembling the original Headley Both Sweden and Denmark are transactions, but also become pivotal in plan, it is unclear whether the suspects increasingly focusing on Pakistan as a cementing social network ties.27 The role had conducted advance reconnaissance destination as well as to a lesser extent of widows of prominent terrorist leaders on Jyllands-Posten. The PET head, Jakob Yemen. For Denmark, the security is interesting in this respect as they can Scharf, did not want to rule out the environment has been “red” for a become recruitment sergeants, as in the possible connection to the Headley significant period as there have been Belgian case of Malika el-Aroud. case. four terrorist trials during the last four years. There have also been four Finally, the December 2010 attacks Microcosm of Terrorism: Reflecting Broader attacks against Jyllands-Posten and the in and from Sweden were sudden and Trends? Danish cartoonist Kurt Westergaard unexpected. Swedish politicians and the Sweden experienced both luck and skill since 2009. Not only are converts and public were shocked. The debate climate in averting two major mass casualty extremist recruits lured by extremist about terrorist threat assessment in attacks in December 2010. Intelligence facilitation brokers, but Denmark and, Sweden had been stifled by ideologically- by its nature involves filtering and to a lesser degree, Sweden are becoming driven debaters who used the label of puzzling together fragments of prioritized symbolic attack targets Islamophobia and racism to silence the information in a timely manner. As the for core al-Qa`ida, regional affiliates issue. This is not possible anymore. The former head of the United Kingdom’s and Pakistani extremist groups due challenge for Sweden will be to debate Joint Terrorism Analysis Center to the Prophet Muhammad cartoon the issues more frankly but sensibly, (JTAC) once said, “Our work can best affair and the Lars Vilks controversy. while simultaneously addressing the be described as trying to drink water This is exacerbated by the perception issue of countermeasures against from a water hydrant on full blast. It is of a possible “Madrid effect,” where extremism. For this, Sweden is looking not the absence of information; rather extremists are calculating that targeting toward Denmark, the Netherlands the difficulty lies in filtering out the Sweden, as well as Germany, would not and the United Kingdom, which have necessary and critical pieces and piecing only create a societal shock effect, but had longstanding community-based these together quickly, accurately and to also contribute to eroding support for “experiments” in countering violent the right agencies.”26 Even if SÄPO was ISAF contribution to Afghanistan. extremism. The trick is to find suitable blindsided, it had as much to do with transferable lessons. It will require a the UK intelligence agencies missing al- Terrorist mobility within the European national strategy against extremism. Abdaly under their watch. Union is also cause for concern. The The other challenge is for the Swedish recent case of Lars Doukajev, the one- Muslim community to address the issue Both the al-Abdaly and Awad cases legged Belgian-Chechen bomber who of extremism from within. illustrate the importance of intensifying was arrested in September 2010 after focus on so-called terrorist travelers his explosives detonated prematurely Dr. Magnus Ranstorp is the Research or foreign fighters. SÄPO has stated in a Copenhagen hotel as he was Director of the Center for Asymmetric that it believes there are 20-30 Swedes preparing a parcel bomb for Jyllands- Threat Studies at the Swedish National who have traveled to Somalia to Posten, is illustrative of the threat from Defence College. fight and join al-Shabab; three or “lone wolves” or unexpected sources. four individuals have died there. Doukajev filed off the serial number of Authorities have focused on working his prosthetic limb and did not have a cell with the Somali communities to phone, identification card, credit card, strengthen their resilience against or any other piece of unique information. extremism and recruitment. Unlike It took almost a week to identify him other minority immigrant communities, and it was not the intelligence services who are suspicious and difficult to but rather a tabloid newspaper that succeeded. The worrying element is 25 “Terrorsigtede havde 108 skarpe skud klar,” Berling- not what intelligence services see, but ske Tidende, December 30, 2010. rather what they do not know or miss. 26 Personal interview, Swedish National Defence Col- To an extent, this is the case with those 27 Nivette Dawood and Kristina Edblom, “Hustru – till lege, November 2006. extremist groups in Pakistan emerging en terrorist,” Aftonbladet, December 19, 2010. 5 JAnUARY 2011 . VoL 4 . IssUE 1 British Universities university students graduated to the At present, it is difficult to say whether Continue to Breed battlefields of international jihad. British Muslims who go to university Indeed, since the report was published, are any more or less likely to carry out Extremists another graduate of a British university, acts of terrorism than those who do not. Taimour Adbulwahab al-Abdaly, died Current research shows that around 35% By James Brandon in December 2010 while attempting to of British terrorist convicts have studied carry out a multiple bombing attack in for a higher education qualification— in early october 2010, University Stockholm.5 not far off the national average.9 That College London (UCL) published its said, many university graduates seem to official inquiry into the radicalization Background have played key roles in those terrorist of Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, who During the 1990s, British university “These and other is currently awaiting trial in the United campuses played a key role in the States for attempting to destroy a evolution of international jihadist cases suggest that Detroit-bound airliner on Christmas networks, providing extremist groups Abdulmutallab’s Day 2009. The inquiry concluded that a steady source of motivated and high- “there is no evidence to suggest either caliber recruits whose UK passports radicalization at UCL was that Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was enabled them to move freely around the not an outlier; it was part radicalized while a student at UCL or world. One of the earliest such recruits that conditions at UCL during that time was Omar Saeed Sheikh, a British of a trend of university- or subsequently are conducive to the Muslim from a privileged Pakistani educated radicals becoming radicalization of students.”1 To reach background, who was radicalized in the this conclusion, the report overlooked early-1990s while at the London School involved in sophisticated abundant evidence that Abdulmutallab of Economics (LSE). After hearing terrorist plots.” had not only entrenched his extremist Omar Bakri, the leader of the radical leanings while studying in London, but al-Muhajiroun group, speak on campus also actively sought to popularize such about the then-ongoing massacre of views among his fellow students.2 The Muslims in Bosnia, he embarked on report, for instance, skimmed over the a career of jihadist action, becoming attacks that come closer to “success.” many web postings Abdulmutallab made involved with militant groups in Bosnia, For instance, the 2007 attempted car during his time at UCL that showed India and Pakistan.6 In 2002, Sheikh was bomb attacks in central London and his increasing theological rigidity and found guilty of leading the kidnapping Glasgow airport, which failed only due intolerance. It also did not mention that and beheading of U.S. reporter Daniel to minor technical flaws in the bombs’ the campus’ Islamic society (ISoc),3 of Pearl in Pakistan. Since then, British construction, was led by Kafeel Ahmed, which Abdulmutallab was president universities have consistently acted as who had studied engineering at several in 2006-2007, regularly invited hard breeding grounds for extremism, with British universities including Queen’s line Salafist and Islamist speakers to British university graduates joining University Belfast.10 campus during this period, holding jihadist movements in Iraq, Kashmir, events which one student described as Israel and elsewhere. Indeed, just one Similarly, one of the leaders of the “brainwashing.”4 year after the conviction of Sharif, sophisticated 2006 plot to use liquid Omar Khan Sharif, a former student at explosives to blow up transatlantic The UCL report is only the latest evidence King’s College university in London, airliners was Abdulla Ahmed Ali, a that UK universities are still failing to took part in a suicide bomb attack in graduate of London’s City University, understand, let alone seriously grapple Tel Aviv. Sharif, like al-Abdaly, the of whose ISoc he had been president. with, the problem of radicalization Stockholm bomber, is believed to have Another of the plot’s leaders was of students at UK universities—more been pushed toward violence by the Waheed Zaman, a graduate of London than 15 years since the first British rhetoric of Hizb al-Tahir (HT), a radical Metropolitan University.11 Similarly, but ostensibly non-violent Islamist the two leaders of the successful July group.7 Other students recruited into 7, 2005 London bombings, Mohammed 1 “Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab: Report to UCL Coun- HT at British universities have gone on Siddique Khan and Shehzad Tanweer, cil of Independent Inquiry Panel,” University College to play leading roles in setting up HT had both attended Leeds Metropolitan London, September 2010, available at www.ucl.ac.uk/ branches in Pakistan and Bangladesh.8 University. These and other cases suggest caldicott-enquiry/caldicottreport.pdf. that Abdulmutallab’s radicalization at 2 For the most complete account of Abdulmutallab’s UCL was not an outlier; it was part of radicalization, see Alexander Meleagrou-Hitchens and 5 Duncan Gardham, Marcus Oscarsson and Peter Jacob Amis, “The Making of the Christmas Day Bomb- Hutchison, “Sweden Suicide Bomber: Taimur Abdulwa- er,” Current Trends in Islamist Ideology 10 (2010). hab al-Abdaly Was Living in Britain,” Daily Telegraph, 9 Robin Simcox, Hannah Stuart and Houriya Ahmed, 3 In the United Kingdom, a campus “Islamic Society,” or December 12, 2010. Islamist Terrorism: The British Connections (London: The “ISoc,” is an independent university organization funded 6 Personal interview, eyewitnesses, October 2010. Center for Social Cohesion, 2010), p. 329. and run entirely by students. They are generally seen by 7 Shiv Malik, “NS Profile - Omar Sharif,” New Statesman, 10 Steve Bird, “Profile: Kafeel Ahmed, Glasgow Attack university administrations as the de facto “representa- April 24, 2006. Terrorist Who Burnt to Death,” The Times, December 16, tive” of Muslim students. 8 For instance, Dr. Nasim Ghani, a graduate of a Lon- 2008. 4 Adam Nossiter, “Lonely Trek to Radicalism for Terror don medical college, is now a leading organizer of Hizb 11 “Profiles: Airline Plot Accused,” BBC News, Septem- Suspect,” New York Times, January 16, 2010. al-Tahrir in Bangladesh. ber 7, 2009. 6 JAnUARY 2011 . VoL 4 . IssUE 1 a trend of university-educated radicals ISoc also invited radical speakers to their activities.18 One lecturer was so becoming involved in sophisticated give campus talks—some of which were frightened by the ISoc’s behavior that terrorist plots. canceled following pressure from civil she considered contacting the police. society groups and activists.15 A Case Study: London’s City University These events, which took place on a A striking example of the radicalization The hard line Salafi-jihadi ideology central London campus during the currently occurring on British university propagated by City University’s ISoc 2009-2010 academic year, illustrate the campuses is the events of the 2009- had immediate effects on campus. Jewish dangers that radical Islamists pose on 2010 academic year at City University,12 and homosexual students on campus British university campuses—both in a college of 21,000 students in central reported being harassed by students terms of disrupting relations between London that has a large population of suspected of being from the ISoc.16 Muslims and non-Muslims and in terms local and foreign Muslim students.13 A police investigation into an attack of increasing the risk of radicalization During this period, the university’s on Muslim students by local youths toward terrorism. They also show the ISoc, which was led by mainly UK-born, collapsed after the ISoc discouraged challenges of preventing radicalization. South Asian-origin Salafists, created Muslim eyewitnesses from assisting the For instance, although the ISoc’s an atmosphere in which extremism “kuffar” police service.17 The ISoc also repeated promotion of extremism has could, and did, flourish. For instance, sought to forcibly impose its views on undoubtedly increased the chances of throughout the year, the ISoc’s leaders Muslim students. For instance, in early terrorism, the police or the security gave Friday sermons in which they 2010 the ISoc attempted to order female services could do little to intervene as no defended the principle “defensive laws were broken. Such “sub-criminal and offensive jihad,” denounced the “Such ‘sub-criminal extremism” is inherently difficult to “Western value system,” endorsed tackle—not least because until a student extremism’ is inherently homophobia as “Islamic” and called for commits an act of terrorism, their the killing of Muslims who intentionally difficult to tackle—not radicalization is generally only more or missed prayers.14 Other sermons given less hypothetical. least because until a by ISoc leaders advocated the creation of an “Islamic state” in which adulterers student commits an Official Reaction would be stoned to death. The ISoc’s Despite the mounting evidence that act of terrorism, their website re-published material by Abu British universities remain a crucible Muhammed al-Maqdisi, the Jordanian radicalization is generally of extremism, the UK government has al-Qa`ida theorist, and Ali al-Tamimi, been slow to act. For instance, even only more or less a U.S. preacher convicted of terrorism after the 2005 London bombings, (“May Allah hasten his release,” in the hypothetical.” universities were largely excluded words of the ISoc website). Into early from the government’s “Preventing 2010, the website also re-published Violent Extremism” program. writings by Anwar al-`Awlaqi, the Simultaneously, university vice- wanted Yemeni-American cleric, who Muslim students to leave campus at chancellors are struggling to face up the ISoc had attempted to host via video- 4 PM every day, while students also to campus radicalization. “We all used link the previous year. When al-`Awlaqi reported that some female Muslims to be radicals…Radicalization can be was reported killed in an airstrike had been forced to wear the hijab. The a good thing,” this author was told in December 2009, the ISoc posted ISoc also prevented Muslims from by the vice-chancellor of one London a message of support, writing “May using an “interfaith prayer room,” a university whose alumni have recently Allah protect him and the Muslims” and practice which they believed was haram been involved in a number of terrorist predicting “there are many others like (forbidden). Instead, they began holding plots.19 Alarmingly, some universities al-Aulaqi [sic], and if he dies a hundred Friday prayers in the university’s main have not only turned a blind eye to more like him will arise, alhamdulillaah courtyard, a deliberately confrontational such extremism, but have actively [praise be to God].” During the 2009- gesture that disrupted the university’s defended such extremists. For instance, 2010 academic year, City University’s academic work and is credited with in early 2010 the national British media increasing tensions between Muslim reported that Friday sermons in the and non-Muslim students. ISoc campus prayer room at the London 12 The following material is partly drawn from a brief- members also sought to intimidate two School of Economics were being given ing paper co-written by this author. The paper is based university lecturers and students who by a prominent member of HT, who on recordings of ISoc sermons, open-source material had sought to draw public attention to is also a Ph.D. student and part-time and interviews with a wide range of staff and students at lecturer at the university, who was City University. For the full paper, see “Radicalisation on British University Campuses: A Case Study,” Quilliam Foundation, October 2010. 15 “Muslim Students Continue Street Protests,” Times 18 A sample of these problems can be seen in the follow- 13 The university does not keep statistics on the percent- Higher Education Supplement, March 16, 2010. ing article in City’s student newspaper, as well as in the age of Muslim students, but this is estimated by staff at 16 Jennifer Lipman, “London Campus was ‘Launch Pad comments that follow it: “City Islamic Society Defends between 10-20%. For more details, see ibid. for Islamist Terrorism,’” The Jewish Chronicle, October 21, Radical Preacher and Threatens the Inquirer,” The In- 14 “‘Taliban Rule’ at British University,” Sunday Times, 2010. quirer, January 2, 2010. October 17, 2010. Much of this data was also available on 17 For full details of these incidents, see “Radicalisation 19 Personal interview, vice-chancellor, anonymous Lon- the ISoc’s website, which has since been removed. on British University Campuses: A Case Study.” don university, January 2010. 7 JAnUARY 2011 . VoL 4 . IssUE 1 using this platform to promote the stand up to campus radicals, particularly Improving Airline Security group.20 In response, the university ones who control ISocs, have a monopoly in the United States issued a statement defending the HT over Friday sermons and, as in the case member on the grounds that he had not of LSE, are openly backed by university said “anything unlawful during sermons authorities. Moreover, once radicals By Rafi Ron at Friday prayers.”21 The student have seized control of an ISoc or a prayer union also issued a press release in his room, problems tend to self-perpetuate almost 10 years after 9/11, the defense, stating that “no-one should as this leadership appoints or grooms Transportation Security Administration be subject to a media witch-hunt” and equally radical successors each year. (TSA) recently introduced another that “we stand with students and staff There is also no official mechanism for technology system to improve airline united in opposition to Islamophobia taking radicals out of such leadership security. Known as Advanced Imaging and racism on campus...and are united positions since ISocs are independent, Technology (AIT), or “body scanners,” in opposition to the victimization of student-run organizations.25 the new devices created a public our colleagues.”22 Since then, Muslims uproar over privacy concerns since the attending LSE Friday prayers have said As a result of these trends, it is hard to technology effectively sees through a that this HT member still regularly uses see radicalization at British universities subject’s clothes during screening.1 The his Friday sermons at LSE to advocate lessening any time soon. This will not AIT systems have been rapidly installed HT policy, promote HT events and even only affect the security of the United at airports across the United States in denounce critics by name—despite HT’s Kingdom—individuals previously the wake of an attempted terrorist attack documented involvement in several radicalized at British universities on a U.S.-bound airliner on December instances of university radicalization.23 have beheaded American journalists 25, 2009. Many British universities appear to in Pakistan, carried out suicide bomb regard Islamist radicalization primarily attacks in Israel and, most recently, On that day, Umar Farouk as a public relations problem. Sweden, aided radical movements Abdulmutallab, a young Nigerian through South Asia and elsewhere, Muslim, concealed a small explosive Conclusion and Outlook and attempted to bomb U.S.-bound device in his underwear and boarded The presence of radicalizing forces on airliners. Ongoing radicalization at a flight departing from Lagos, Nigeria, British university campuses is clear. UK universities is not just a British connecting in Amsterdam to Detroit, What is less clear is whether any action problem, but a global one. Michigan. The young terrorist was on a will be taken to combat it. Although “divine” mission to blow up the aircraft the British prime minister has recently James Brandon is Head of Research at the along with more than 200 passengers spoken of the need to “de-radicalize our Quilliam Foundation, a counter-extremism and crew over Detroit. His intention universities,” the barriers government think-tank based in London. was to kill as many people as possible, must overcome are formidable.24 For including the unsuspecting Detroit a start, even the most radical students suburban inhabitants on the ground. rarely break the law, meaning that the Luckily, due to his poor skills (rather police and security services are largely than any security measures implemented powerless to take action against such at the airport) he failed his mission and radicalization, even if it might ultimately ended up in a federal jail. lead to terrorism. Simultaneously, the left-leaning nature of British academia This incident has special significance means that a right-leaning government for two reasons. First, Abdulmutallab’s has few natural allies on campus. At the attempt revealed security failures at same time, however, moderate students every layer—intelligence analysis, opposed to extremism, including many airport security, and the handling of the Muslims, have not yet found a way to incident by the on-board crew as well as the handling of the plane by ground authorities.2 Second, the attempted 20 Sean O’Neill, “Senior Member of Extreme Islamist Group Hizb ut-Tahrir Teaches at LSE,” The Times, Janu- ary 15, 2010. 1 The alternative to body scanning, however, is arguably 21 “Statement on Mr Reza Pankhurst,” London worse, as it involves intensive manual “pat downs” that School of Economics, undated, available at www2.lse. under other circumstances would be considered a form ac.uk/intranet/news/internalNews/internalNews- of harassment. Archive/2010/01/RPankhurst.aspx. 2 For example, despite the grave situation on board, the 22 “Statement from the Students’ Union Regarding captain reported to the ground that there was no need Recent Media Attention,” February 15, 2010, available for any emergency procedures. As a result, the airport at www.lse.oncampus.net/pages/representation/state- 25 Although ISocs feature heavily in accounts of campus called off any emergency measures and the aircraft (car- ment_on_mr_reza_pankhurst_.html. radicalization, this is not necessarily because of any in- rying a detained terrorist and an unexploded device) was 23 Personal interviews, anonymous students, London, trinsic problem with ISocs. Rather, it is likely because directed to a normal gate linked to the terminal (full of March-April 2010. radical groups often focus on taking over these societies passengers and employees) with other aircraft close by. 24 William Maclean, “Britain Admits Security Lapses and making them into vehicles for their own ideology; in Passengers were allowed to disembark and mix with After Sweden Blast,” Reuters, December 15, 2010. effect, making them hubs of campus radicalization. people present in the gate area without any screening 8 JAnUARY 2011 . VoL 4 . IssUE 1 attack was almost a carbon copy of an In both cases, there were clear “red flags” Current Security Practices Inadequate incident that took place eight years in the way their journey was prepared. Reviewing all attempted attacks against earlier when another poorly skilled Both Reid and Abdulmutallab had one- U.S. aviation—starting with 9/11, terrorist carried a similar explosive way tickets, both paid the travel fare in including Richard Reid’s shoe bomb device (concealed in his shoe) on an cash, and both did not check any bags attempt, the liquid explosives plot American Airlines flight from Paris to (for a transatlantic flight). Richard Reid and Abdulmutallab’s Christmas Day Miami, earning his place in history as twice failed a short interview conducted attack—a clear common denominator the “shoe bomber.” What is alarming by a private security firm (hired by is identified. It is the failure of is that Abdulmutallab’s attempted American Airlines as part of a procedure aviation security technology to detect terrorist attack in 2009 represents a implemented on inbound flights to the and prevent terrorists from carrying level of security failure worse than the out their missions successfully. In one eight years earlier. “Reviewing all attempted all of these attacks, the weapon or the explosive devices were smuggled Similarities to the Shoe Bomber attacks against U.S. through security checkpoints to the The similarities between the two aviation, a clear common aircraft, or, as in the case of the liquid attacks are astounding. Both devices explosives plot, was luckily stopped by used pentaerythritol tetranitrate denominator is identified. early intelligence as there was nothing (PETN) as the main explosive material. It is the failure of aviation at the airport that could have detected Both contained no metal parts to avoid explosives in liquid form. airport metal detection technology. security technology Both used improvised detonators. Both to detect and prevent The problem started shortly after 9/11 were carried on the terrorist’s body to when the TSA was created with the avoid x-ray screening. Both explosives terrorists from carrying conviction that the terrorist threat required some basic skill to detonate, could be met by improving the quality out their missions which is why both terrorists failed. of the airport screening operation. Yet successfully.” the notion that the terrorists’ success On the human side, both Richard Reid on the morning of 9/11 was the result (the “shoe bomber”) and Abdulmutallab of a “screening failure” is misleading. were inexperienced and were not able At that time, box cutters and other to avoid suspicion from people around United States). Abdulmutallab was sharp items were practically allowed on them prior to the attack. Richard Reid, not subjected to this procedure as it board. Even if such items were banned, for example, drew suspicion from the had since been changed to address however, there was still the open security guard that interviewed him immigration concerns. Security aspects cockpit door and the FAA guideline prior to checking in to his flight, to the of his limited human encounter were for pilots to cooperate with hijackers; point that French police were called in minimized to checking his name against indeed, this would have led to the same to interrogate him for more than two the “No Fly” and suspected terrorist tragic result. hours only to release him as a legitimate watch lists. There is good reason to passenger. Missing the original flight assume, based on his behavior after his Moreover, nine of the 19 terrorists on as a result, he showed up the next day arrest, that had Abdulmutallab been 9/11 were identified by a computerized and once again the French police were subjected to a professional security (non-racial) profiling system called summoned, although this time they interview, he would have been flagged CAPPS, which was developed by the cleared him to fly. Reid still drew further as “suspicious.” FAA and used by the airlines as a suspicion from the flight attendant at mandatory requirement. The response the aircraft door who described him The TSA’s conclusion from the protocol to CAPPS selection of “high as having a threatening appearance, “shoe bomber” attack in 2001 was risk” passengers was an additional as well as by the cabin attendant who disappointing and off the mark. It shallow “pat down,” which was less reported to the senior flight attendant a was characterized by a minimalist than adequate to stop Muhammad `Atta “suspicious passenger” prior to takeoff. approach, defining the terrorist modus and his team since they did not carry operandi (MO) as “carrying a bomb in banned items. shoes” rather than “carrying a bomb on the body.” This reactive approach led to In the aftermath of 9/11, the policy forcing passengers to take off their shoes that was created and implemented to and submitting them to x-ray screening. avoid another terrorist attack could As a result, it left the door open to an al- be summarized as using screening Qa`ida operative and bombmaker based technology to detect forbidden items in Yemen to take advantage of it eight prior to boarding the aircraft. The or questioning (ignoring the risk of a second terrorist on years later, sending Abdulmutallab emphasis was on the use of technology board). The wounded terrorist was detained by two law with an explosive device concealed to mitigate the threat. The other aspect enforcement officers and was taken without any special in his underwear. The only surprise, of that policy was to avoid any form of security measures by ambulance to the nearest hospital. perhaps, is that it took al-Qa`ida eight discrimination; as a result, the search This chain of events is characterized by a lack of under- years to repeat the attack. for banned items had to be carried standing of the situation and resulted in putting the pub- out in a uniform manner. This policy, lic at risk of a potential disaster at the airport. 9

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