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DTIC ADA515506: Radar Versus Stealth: Passive Radar and the Future of U.S. Military Power PDF

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Radar versus Stealth Passive Radar and the Future of U.S. Military Power F aced with the prospect of aerial By Ar enD G. Westr A stealth proliferation, states in the 21st century are looking for antistealth defense options. One such alternative, passive radar, appears a cost- effective counter to stealth. Passive radar is a receive-only system that uses transmitters of opportunity.1 Integrating a system of netted receivers, passive radar can detect, track, and target piloted and unpiloted stealth systems and provide cuing for antiair weapons systems. A passive radar system emits no radio energy and can be well camouflaged in both urban and rural landscapes. The threat system produces no indications on friendly radar warning receivers and is difficult to locate and target. Faced with a passive radar threat, the United States may find itself unable to achieve air superiority at an acceptable cost. As this article shows, ongoing advances in passive radar will deny traditional means to defeat enemy air defenses, make air supe- riority difficult to achieve against a passive radar opponent, and require changes in thinking to maintain U.S. power projection capability. In developing this central idea, this article describes the history of the battle between aircraft and radar, the rise of stealth and counterstealth, and the ongoing surge in passive radar and how it relates to advances in signal processing and sensor fusion. Addi- tionally, this article assesses the passive radar threat to stealth, posits implications for future U.S. military power, and recommends a U.S. course of action regarding passive radar. Aircraft versus Radar “The defensive form of warfare is intrinsically stronger than the offensive”—so argued Carl von Clausewitz in On War.2 The man) static warfare of the late 19th century and the Way M. Walter LMieauritneen aAnirt- CGorolounnedl TAarsekn dF oGr.c We ePslatrnas, UOSffMicCe,r iast a 3 d SCaeinloterr m aobnoiatrodr sU rSaSd aJro hsncr Cee. Sn tienn Cnoismbat Direction U.S. Navy ( MMairrainmea Ar, iSrcarna fDt iWeginog, C, Malaifroirnnei aC.orps Air Station 136 JFQ / issue 55, 4th quarter 2009 ndupress.ndu.edu Report Documentation Page Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. 1. REPORT DATE 3. DATES COVERED 2009 2. REPORT TYPE 00-00-2009 to 00-00-2009 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5a. CONTRACT NUMBER Radar versus Stealth: Passive Radar and the Future of U.S. Military 5b. GRANT NUMBER Power 5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER 6. AUTHOR(S) 5d. PROJECT NUMBER 5e. TASK NUMBER 5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION National Defense University,Institute for National Strategic Studies,260 REPORT NUMBER 5th Avenue SW Fort Lesley J. McNair,Washington,DC,20319 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S ACRONYM(S) 11. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S REPORT NUMBER(S) 12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Approved for public release; distribution unlimited 13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 14. ABSTRACT 15. SUBJECT TERMS 16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION OF 18. NUMBER 19a. NAME OF ABSTRACT OF PAGES RESPONSIBLE PERSON a. REPORT b. ABSTRACT c. THIS PAGE Same as 8 unclassified unclassified unclassified Report (SAR) Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98) Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39-18 WESTRA Great War of 1914–1918 appeared to validate transmitter and receiver via a shared antenna, a always get through.” Indeed, stealth aircraft this idea. In 1921, however, Giulio Douhet configuration known as monostatic, thus creat- have maintained the overwhelming advantage asserted that the airplane changed warfare ing the conventional radar configuration most in recent conflicts, including Operation Allied “by magnifying the advantages of the offense commonly used thereafter. Force and the invasion of Iraq in 2003. and at the same time minimizing, if not nul- Historically, radar has been the corner- Despite the overall success of the U.S. lifying, the advantages of the defensive.”3 stone of air defense. For example, during the stealth program, in 1999 an F–117 was shot Douhet did not envision the many sur- Vietnam War, North Vietnamese air defense down in the Balkans by a Serbian SAM face-to-air threats that would evolve over the radars targeted U.S. aircraft, which, in turn, battery.15 Although some considered the decades after his work was published. Neither countered with jamming and antiradiation downing an anomaly, the incident created did airpower critics. As Sir Stanley Baldwin missiles. Due to the success of North Viet- much controversy. While the Air Force informed the British parliament in 1932, “I namese air defenses, the United States was assessed tactical lessons learned, others saw think it is well also for the man in the street only able to establish temporary air superior- evidence that stealth could be defeated.16 The to realize that there is no power on earth that ity over local areas of North Vietnam. Over incident illustrated what stealth designers can protect him from being bombed, what- the course of the war, the North Vietnamese already knew: stealth technology does not ever people may tell him. The bomber will shot down 190 U.S. aircraft using 1950s-era make an aircraft invisible. As a submariner always get through.”4 Russian surface-to-air missiles (SAMs).10 once aptly noted, “Stealth is a zero-sum game. Yet a few decades earlier in 1904, German engineer Christian Hülsmeyer had the overwhelming offensive power of the airplane was largely patented the telemobilskop, an early form of mitigated by the deployment of radar and modern air defenses radar. But it was not until 1935 that radar first showed significant operational promise. In the now famous Daventry experiment, Sir A third paradigm shift began in the In a given encounter, one platform has it Robert Watson-Watt used radar to detect a 1970s in the “Skunk Works” of Lockheed and the other does not. The tactical advan- British Heyford bomber at a range of 8 miles.5 Martin, where stealth pioneers first created tage accrued by being able to detect, close, Notably, the Daventry experiment tested a the F–117 “stealth fighter” (more bomber than and attack from a covert stance completely passive radar system using the BBC Empire fighter in usage).11 Made operational in 1983, dominates all other factors in any encounter broadcast as a transmitter of opportunity.6 the F–117 saw combat in Panama in 1989 and algorithm.”17 In Serbia in 1999, a SAM battery Watson-Watt went on to develop the British again in the Gulf War in 1990.12 During the commander attacked from a covert stance and Chain Home radar that played a critical role Gulf War, the F–117 was employed against won the tactical advantage. It was a missile in defeating the German Luftwaffe during the Iraq’s most heavily defended targets. In spite shot heard around the stealth world.18 Battle of Britain in 1940.7 of Iraq’s robust air defenses, not a single F–117 World War II served as catalyst for a was lost or damaged during the conflict.13 By The Future of Stealth second paradigm shift. The overwhelming comparison, 32 nonstealth aircraft were lost If anything, the downing of an F–117 offensive power of the airplane was largely to antiaircraft artillery (AAA) and SAMs.14 If over Serbia only highlighted to the United mitigated by the deployment of radar and Baldwin had witnessed the Gulf War, he might States the importance of stealth. Increasingly, modern air defenses. Airpower did not prove have concluded, “The stealth bomber will the U.S. military has made stealth one of its Figure 1. Bistatic Geometry an all-powerful offensive weapon that could not be countered, and the bomber did not Figure 1. Bistatic Geometry always get through. Air defenses of both the Axis and Allied opponents proved complex and resilient, and combatants obtained air TARGET superiority only locally and for limited dura- tions through the costly reduction of enemy air defenses. This paradigm held firm through Rtx ß Rrx World War II and for the duration of the Cold War. For the time being, it seemed that Clausewitz had caught up with the airplane. Despite Watson-Watt’s breakthrough at L Daventry, the experiment highlighted passive radar’s difficulties, including intermittent signal TRANSMITTER RECEIVER strength and, at the time, irresolvable locating and tracking ambiguities due to the passive Note: L = distance between transmitter and target ("bistatic baseline"); radar geometry.8 Passive radar is bistatic, Rtx = transmitter range to target; Rrx = receiver range to target; ß = bistatic angle. meaning the receiver is located at a distance from the transmitter.9 Bistatic radar geometry Source: C.J. Baker and H.D. Griffiths, Bistatic and Multistatic Sensors for Homeland Security (London: University College, 2005), 4, available at <http://nato-asi.org/sensors2005/papers/baker.pdf>. is shown in figure 1. In 1936, scientists solved the difficulty of geometry by collocating the ndupress.ndu.edu issue 55, 4th quarter 2009 / JFQ 137 FEATURES | Passive Radar and the Future of U.S. Military Power highest priorities, both in terms of new acqui- signature is defined as all the observables on a radars where the receiver is collocated with sitions and the retrofit of older aircraft. In stealth platform that require external illumina- the transmitter and is less effective against short, stealth is the centerpiece of the U.S. air tion. . . . The active signature reduction methods bistatic radar geometry.27 Radar-absorbent superiority strategy. are commonly called low probability of intercept material augments fuselage shaping by As stealth grows ubiquitous, nonstealth (LPI). . . . Passive signature reduction techniques absorbing radar energy and reducing the systems will become rare. Stealth principles are are often called low observables (LO).23 strength of the radar echo.28 Future innova- evident in nearly every newly developed mili- tions may allow stealth aircraft to actively tary aircraft, ship, and ground combat system. Stealth designers attempt to balance cancel radar echo by retransmitting radar Nations devote large proportions of their signature techniques.24 For example, efforts energy and/or by ionizing boundary layer air military budgets to stealth research and devel- to make an aircraft less visible at 5 miles are around the fuselage.29 opment. And with the Air Force having retired somewhat superfluous if it can be acquired by the F–117 in 2008, the United States now has an infrared (IR) sensor at 20. LPI designers Counters to Stealth a shortage of operational stealth aircraft.19 focus most of their efforts on reducing the Before discussing passive radar, several Current U.S. stealth aircraft inventory consists emissions produced by the aircraft’s radar other radar and sensor systems are worth of 20 B–2 bombers and 187 F–22s, with the and IR sensors.25 In designing LO, the main mentioning in terms of counterstealth capa- Joint Strike Fighter projected to become opera- concern is reducing reflection in the radar bility. One of the most significant counters tional in 2012.20 Planned U.S. procurement spectrum, also known as the radar cross to stealth, namely conventional very high for the Joint Strike Fighter is 2,456 aircraft section (RCS). frequency (VHF) and ultra high frequency delivered over a 28-year period.21 Meanwhile, (UHF) radar, has been around since World Russia, India, China, Japan, and other coun- stealth is achieved by a broad War II and is still in use today for long-range tries are attempting to enter the stealth aircraft collection of techniques that air surveillance. Most LO techniques are market.22 In short, stealth is relevant, in much designed to defeat acquisition and fire control render a platform difficult to demand, and continuously evolving. radar in the X band, which uses centimeter locate and attack wavelength. VHF- and UHF-band radar, Stealth Techniques however, uses decimeter- to meter-long Stealth is achieved by a broad collection Designers reduce RCS primarily wavelength. In general, the RCS of an aircraft of techniques that render a platform difficult through fuselage shaping and radar-absorbent increases as wavelength of the illuminating to locate and attack. It requires reducing air- material. Fuselage shaping, the more impor- radar increases.30 Furthermore, when the craft signature, generally categorized as either tant of the two methods, reflects radar energy radar wavelength is in the same order of mag- active or passive: away from the direction of the emitter.26 nitude as the aircraft or parts of it, the radar Figure 2 depicts a stealth aircraft RCS versus waves and the aircraft resonate, which signifi- Active signature is defined as all the observable that of a conventional aircraft. Fuselage cantly increases the RCS of the aircraft.31 It emissions from a stealth platform. . . . Passive shaping works primarily against conventional is the physics of longer wavelength and reso- Figure 2. Conventional and Stealth Aircraft Radar Cross Section Signature dBsm CONVENTIONAL AIRCRAFT NOTIONAL STEALTH AIRCRAFT dB 35 40 30 30 25 20 20 10 15 0 10 -10 5 Note: dBsm = decibels per square meter; dB = decibels Source: David Lynch, Introduction to RF Stealth (Raleigh, NC: SciTech, 2004), 6. 138 JFQ / issue 55, 4th quarter 2009 ndupress.ndu.edu WESTRA nance that enables VHF and UHF radar to MMW antiair missile seekers, and other off-the-shelf technology makes them attrac- detect stealth aircraft. Poor resolution in angle countries are following suit.37 tive for nonpeer countries as well. and range, however, has historically prevented While the aforementioned technologies Passive radars use transmitters of these radars from providing accurate target- offer important capabilities, they possess opportunity. Potential waveforms include FM ing and fire control.32 limitations that restrict their effectiveness and AM radio, television, digital audio/video Since the Gulf War, the Russian defense for air defense. Conventional radar is vulner- broadcast, and cellular phone networks.38 radar industry has put considerable effort into able to detection and attack by electronic Today, passive radar is often configured as digitizing its VHF and UHF radar systems warfare and air-delivered weapons; listening a “multistatic” system using three or more to improve counterstealth capability. Russia’s systems do not provide tracking information; transmitters and receivers. older model radars now have improved reso- and IR/EO/MMW is limited in surveillance Passive radar locates and tracks targets lution and signal processing, and newly devel- capabilities. through a combination of methods, greatly oped models, such as the Nebo surface vehicle In contrast, passive radar is covert, all simplified here for the sake of discussion. unit, which is a VHF adaptive electronically weather, and capable of medium- to long- First, the radar measures the time difference steered array radar, likely present significant range surveillance, and shows strong potential of arrival between the direct signal from the counterstealth capability.33 in detecting, tracking, and targeting stealth transmitter and the reflected signal from the Other recently developed conventional aircraft. It is thus emerging as a solid competi- target to determine the bistatic range. Bistatic radars likely to have counterstealth capabil- tor in the counterstealth game. range, expressed as an ellipse, is shown in ity include Lockheed Martin’s theater high- altitude area defense radar and the Israeli a new paradigm is emerging, enabled by advances in Green Pine radar (recently sold to India), networked computing and passive radar technology systems with both long range and high resolution in the UHF L-band.34 The Signal Multi-beam Acquisition Radar for Tracking Passive Radar figure 3. The radar uses the intersection of the (L) naval radar manufactured by Thales is A new paradigm is emerging, enabled by receiver-to-target bearing and the bistatic range yet another system with reputed counter- advances in networked computing and passive ellipse to estimate approximate target location. stealth capability.35 radar technology. Because of their potential to In a multistatic system, the radar refines target Passive listening systems, such as elec- counter stealth-based airpower advantage, the location based on intersecting bistatic range tronic support measures (ESM) and direc- use of these technologies by peer competitors ellipses. The radar further measures Doppler tion finding (DF), attempt to detect stealth is highly likely. That these systems are both shift—wavelength compression or expansion aircraft radar, radio, and data link emissions low cost and, in part, based on commercial- caused by relative motion—to determine target and pass this information to surveillance radars. LPI techniques of stealth are designed Figure 3. Bistatic Range Figure 3. Bistatic Range to reduce or deny ESM and DF, but systems such as the Russian Kolchuga remain formi- dable threats that are likely being updated with digital processing.36 TRANSMITTER Another counter to stealth is IR/electro- 0 optical (EO) systems, which include IR search Rtx TARGET and track and high magnification optics. Such systems, however, are limited in the ability to scan large volumes of airspace and usually must be cued by other sensors. In addition, L Rrx most of this spectrum is degraded by clouds, low illumination, and low visibility. Stealth aircraft counter IR/EO through heat signature management, stealthy flight profiles, and LO paint schemes. Constant range 0 Growing in potential as a counterstealth ellipse RECEIVER technology is millimeter wave (MMW) imaging, which uses the radiometric signa- ture naturally emitted by all objects. MMW penetrates clouds and low visibility. The wave- Note: Rtx = transmitter range to target; Rrx = receiver range to target; L = distance between transmitter and receiver. Bistatic range, expressed as Rtx + Rrx – L, form can also be transmitted by radar, which remains constant at all points on the ellipse. then receives and processes the return echo. The A–64 Apache Longbow/Hellfire system Source: NationMaster Encyclopedia, “Bistatic Range,” available at <http://www.nationmaster.com/ is an example of operational MMW radar. encyclopedia/Image:BistaticRange.png>. The Russian defense industry has developed ndupress.ndu.edu issue 55, 4th quarter 2009 / JFQ 139 FEATURES | Passive Radar and the Future of U.S. Military Power heading and speed. The radar tracks the target are frequency, bandwidth, and the presence radar. Digital audio broadcast, while a useable by performing regular updates. of continuous wave, which provides Doppler waveform, emits at low power, offering only a Advanced signal processing allows shift for measurement of velocity.44 Also short detection range of 36 km.48 Use of more passive radar to integrate data from multiple important is whether illuminators transmit than one waveform is possible, with existing receivers, cancel signal interference, differenti- continuously or with significant interruptions systems touting accurate three-dimensional ate real targets from ghost returns and clutter, (for example, daytime only). surveillance capabilities across multiple wave- and establish a target track. Although such pro- Several waveforms in the HF, VHF, and forms, to include FM radio and analogue and cessing requires significant computing power, UHF bands have shown potential for use in digital television. most passive radar systems operate on com- passive radar and also exhibit counterstealth Most important to this discussion, all of mercial DOS-based computing technology. properties. In the VHF band, FM radio is the aforementioned waveforms fall between The recent advances of passive radar broadcast at high relative power and has mul- 3 and 450 megahertz. Based on their decime- arise from a confluence of digital processing tiple transmitters available in moderately to ter- to meter-wavelengths, these waveforms technology, cheap, sophisticated hardware, heavily populated regions. Analog television inherently increase RCS and also interact with and the demand for enhanced surveil- (VHF band) also provides useful illumina- an aircraft to create resonance. RCS induced lance.39 Moore’s law describes the doubling tion, as does digital audio broadcast, which is by resonance is largely independent of fuse- of computer processing speed every 18 growing in usage worldwide. High-definition lage shape. In short, radar in this spectrum is months. Meanwhile, designers have made (HD) television is spreading globally as well inherently counterstealth. significant advancements in correspond- and offers a wideband, high-power waveform While passive radar can perform detect- ing radar software. What was once thought in the low UHF band. In the HF band, Digital ing, locating, and tracking functions, it may impossible—that is, integrating signals from Radio Mondiale (DRM), a digital form of also be able to perform target identification multiple receivers and detecting tiny echoes shortwave AM radio, also has passive radar (ID). Under development are methods to in high-clutter radar environments—has now potential. conduct target imaging using multistatic become feasible.40 These waveforms offer differing levels UHF-band Inverse Synthetic Aperture As a result of this confluence of of utility. Analog television and FM radio Radar.49 Additionally, existing passive ID technology, several systems are now either both offer strong illumination and medium measures, such as DF/ESM, will likely available off the shelf or are in development. detection ranges—FM out to roughly 120 augment passive radar. Such systems include Lockheed Martin’s kilometers (km).45 Analog television has a If successful at creating a target track “Silent Sentry,”41 Roke Manor Research’s strong signal but suffers from interference, and ID, passive radar could provide cueing for CELLDAR,42 Thales-Raytheon’s Homeland while FM is marked by interruptions, such as surface-to-air and airborne weapons systems Alerter,43 and others, including French, pauses during human speech.46 HD television in order to enable acquisition. Weapons system Swedish, Chinese, and Russian systems. provides an uninterrupted signal with a detec- cueing requires communications infrastruc- Certain commercial waveforms are tion range of 120 km.47 DRM potentially offers ture; for a covert system, this means a local more suitable for passive radar illumination over-the-horizon detection ranges; however, area network for ground-based weapons and than others. The most important parameters low resolution limits its use to early warning an LPI data link for airborne platforms. For F–117A Nighthawk stealth fighter while passive radar can perform detecting, locating, and tracking functions, it may also be able to perform target identification SAMs with a command guidance mode, the passive radar could provide midcourse guid- ance via data link. In keeping with the passive radar system, a passive missile seeker—IR, EO, MMW, or perhaps multisensor—would likely be used for end-game guidance in order to complete the kill chain. way) Threat employment Duna A future adversary will look increasingly Andy to counter the U.S. stealth advantage with Air Force ( pora sisni vceo nrajudnarc,t eioitnh ewri tahs aa csttiavned s-uarlvoeniell saynsctee m U.S. radars. Passive radar is relatively cheap, and 140 JFQ / issue 55, 4th quarter 2009 ndupress.ndu.edu WESTRA its covert stance lends itself to a strategy of Electronic warfare (EW) offers the Building new generations of stealth striking from concealment. Moreover, our potential to temporarily neutralize passive aircraft may be feasible, but efforts to most likely future opponent—an authoritar- radar. Standoff noise jamming would have improve stealth will eventually reach a point ian state—already possesses tight control over an effect, but because the location of the of diminishing returns. Advantages will its commercial media, a situation that requires receivers is unknown, the jammer would grow more difficult and expensive to achieve a relatively small step to optimize broadcast- need to emit across a wide sector, unavoid- as counterstealth technologies concurrently ing parameters for passive radar use. ably reducing jamming signal density.51 grow more advanced. This same adversary will build a passive multistatic receiver network in the VHF and North Vietnamese surface-to-air missile crew in front of SA–2 launcher UHF bands, blending the system into the vertical buildup of urban terrain.50 In remote areas not served by media broadcast, the adversary may disperse a network of inex- pensive throw-away transmitters to function as the surveillance area illuminators. He will integrate passive radar and other sensors for rapid, efficient command and control. It is likely that such an adversary will make efforts to develop or acquire passive SAMs with low observable launch signatures and procure and deploy high- and mid-altitude unmanned aerial vehicles—“missile trucks”—to deny flight at those altitudes. Countering Passive Radar Countering passive radar will prove difficult. What are the signs that an opponent iosf uthsien tgh preaasts imvea rya pdraorv? iFdoe raenh aidneda k onf ogwenleedragle Air Force capabilities. Are friendly air forces losing U.S. aircraft to ground fire with little or no threat warning indications? With no radio frequency basic stealth techniques will be less effective than they once electronic intelligence available, locating the were against passive radar systems that benefit from bistatic passive radar receivers will be challenging. geometry and the use of counterstealth waveforms Intelligence will face a difficult task of using indirect methods—human intelligence, ground surveillance, computer network Moreover, deception jamming may be of Implications operations, and nodal analysis—to collect on limited use against passive radar, also due to Passive radar has many implications for sparse information. the unknown receiver location.52 Other types future U.S. military power. Stealth will con- If the command and control nodes and of jamming, however, may prove highly effec- tinue to be a critical feature of tactical military receivers cannot be found, targeting planners tive. Overall, the lack of known threat loca- aircraft, particularly as a defense against pres- could focus on destroying suspected trans- tion bolsters the argument for a robust EW ently fielded weapons systems. As is evident mitters—for example, FM radio, television, capability that is integral to friendly multirole in the continued proliferation of conventional and HD television networks. Depending on aircraft. Advocacy for or against a dedicated radar SAMs and AAA, these threats are not their location and the potential for collateral EW platform, however, is beyond the scope of going away any time soon. damage, however, destroying these targets this article. Stealth airframes require long design may result in undesirable strategic conse- Other means of countering passive and procurement processes, whereas avion- quences, particularly in urban areas. radar include special operations and computer ics and software are more readily modified. At the tactical level, friendly forces could network attack. In the end, targeting passive This phenomenon is driving a philosophy employ reactive defenses against SAM launch radar systems may fall in the “too hard” cat- in tactical aircraft design that basic stealth and fly-out and conduct immediate counter- egory for limited warfare. Missile systems— techniques are the critical solid foundation attack of associated threat systems through mobile SAMs, UAVs, and even man-portable upon which the aircraft’s more malleable electronic attack, standoff weapons, directed air defense systems—may be easier to find offensive and defensive capabilities—sensors, energy, or other means. This approach, than passive radar. The adversary will likely weapons, and communications—are built. however, would consume time and resources deploy substantial passive air defense assets, The concept of a layered defense will be criti- and would likely fail to achieve low- to mid- and U.S. forces will face a long, tedious cal to the survivability of stealth aircraft in altitude air superiority. process of locating and attriting them. the future. ndupress.ndu.edu issue 55, 4th quarter 2009 / JFQ 141 FEATURES | Passive Radar and the Future of U.S. Military Power Basic stealth techniques, however, will planners must recognize the counter to U.S. ■ work hand in hand with key allies to be much less effective than they once were stealth-based air-superiority that is currently develop shared capabilities against passive radar systems that benefit from unfolding, of which passive radar forms a core ■ explore enhancing parallel technolo- bistatic geometry and the use of counterstealth technology. These self-same leaders must take gies (such as disposable transmitters). waveforms. Increasingly, combatants will use appropriate measures to ensure that the United passive radar and weapons systems to detect, States is not caught off guard by this impending Develop methods of degrading enemy acquire, track, and target aerial stealth plat- shift in the technological landscape. The fol- passive radar. In support of this effort: forms. Against such systems, stealth on its own lowing recommendations are in order. will likely provide inadequate protection for Endeavor to be a leader in the passive ■ focus on a multilevel EW capability manned aircraft, UAVs, and missiles. radar field. Arguably, the United States has against passive radar54 This article posits that an ongoing race marginalized the passive radar field due to ■ continue to develop layered defensive between stealth and counterstealth is emerg- a focus on conventional radar systems. The measures for aircraft and UAVs. ing, in which technology will provide only U.S. military must gain an understanding incremental advantage to a combatant until of passive radar, not merely theoretically, or Prepare for military operations without a new counter is found. This assertion does with minor research and development proj- air superiority. In support of this effort: not mean that there are no further opportuni- ects, but with a dedicated effort. But why, one ties to leverage stealth advantages, but that may ask, build a stealth counter when there ■ (again) develop passive radar, but advances in stealth will be more evolutionary is no immediate stealth peer competitor? The in this case to deny enemy air superior- than revolutionary. The future of stealth and answer is that would-be competitors in the ity—future enemy stealth capabilities are counterstealth will more closely resemble the stealth arena are making a dedicated push to ultimately not a matter of if but when technological one-upmanship that occurred develop this technology. We cannot afford to ■ continue to integrate complementary during World War II and the Cold War than spend billions on stealth, only to fail to thor- piloted and unmanned system capabilities the order of magnitude advantage the United oughly understand and counter rival systems. ■ plan and train to the contingency of States enjoyed during the Gulf War and the two In support of this effort: military operations with only local air supe- decades that have followed. Against a passive riority or with air superiority largely denied. radar adversary, air superiority will likely only ■ build collaboration between key indus- be achieved at significant cost. Forcible entry try and independent electronic engineers Passive radar will play a critical role and amphibious operations will accordingly ■ increase prioritization of passive radar in future conflict. Ongoing advances in prove much more challenging. Once again, the research and development passive radar will deny traditional means defensive form of warfare asserts itself. ■ develop and field a passive radar of defeating enemy air defenses, make air system on a U.S. training range—as a train- superiority difficult to achieve against a Recommendations ing tool for U.S. stealth pilots and systems to passive radar opponent, and require changes To best position the United States for test countermeasures and tactics and assess in thinking to maintain U.S. power projec- the future, military strategists and operational performance53 tion capability. we cannot afford to spend billions on stealth, only to fail to thoroughly understand and counter rival systems walter) Sho Ffu–t3u5r eL ihgohmtnei nogf JIIo filniet sS otrvikeer EFgiglihnt eAri rt rFaoinrcineg B faasceil, ity S. Air Force (Julianne U. 142 JFQ / issue 55, 4th quarter 2009 ndupress.ndu.edu WESTRA Will the United States go forward to hq.af.mil/Publications/fulltext/gulf_war_air_power_ 32 Willis and Griffiths, 95. a future that resembles the past—one in survey-vol5.pdf>. 33 “Nebo-SVU Surveillance Radar (Russian 14 Ibid., 641. Federation)—Jane’s Radar and Electronic Warfare which air superiority is gained only through 15 Benjamin S. Lambeth, “Kosovo and the Con- Systems,” available at <www.janes.com/extracts/ a gradual and costly reduction of the tinuing SEAD Challenge,” Aerospace Power Journal extract/jrew/jrew0078.html>. enemy—or to a future that is worse than the 16, no. 2 (Summer 2002), 12, available at <www. 34 “India Defense Consultants: What’s Hot— past, in which the use of airpower is denied? airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj02/ Analysis of Recent Happenings,” available at <www. Alternatively, can the United States develop sum02/sum02.pdf>. indiadefence.com/Rums_visit.htm>. advantageous capabilities in passive radar, as 16 “Serb Discusses 1999 Downing of Stealth,” 35 Gerrit Dedden, “SMART–L Multibeam well as effective counters to it, and so main- available at <www.usatoday.com/news/world/2005- Radar,” European Radar Conference 2004. tain the airpower advantage? In this alternate 10-26-serb-stealth_x.htm>. 36 “The Leadership in Ukraine: Congressional future, shaped by awareness of the shifting 17 Collin T. Ireton, “Filling the Stealth Gap and Record: October 17, 2002 (Senate),” available at paradigm posed by counterstealth technology, Enhancing Global Strike Task Force Operations,” <http://frwebgate4.access.gpo.gov/cgi-bin/TEXTgate. the United States can become a leader in the Air and Space Power Journal 20, no. 3 (2006), 69–76, cgi?WAISdocID=883061460628+1+1+0&WAISactio available at <www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchron- n=retrieve>. passive radar field and, in cooperation with icles/apj/apj06/fal06/Fal06.pdf>. 37 Guy J. Farley and S.M. Gauthier, “Radar partner nations, position itself to maintain air 18 In this article, the term covert means stealthy Technology Forecast for Land Warfare,” April 2000, superiority, accomplish its military campaign or hidden versus the sense of preserving deniability, 8, available at <http://pubs.drdc.gc.ca/PDFS/zbd87/ objectives, and achieve its political goals. as in covert operation, that is used in joint terminol- p514797.pdf>. Which future will ours be? JFQ ogy. In the F–117 downing, covert SAM employment 38 Willis and Griffiths, 132. may have been accomplished through mobility, 39 Howland, 105. NoTeS control of radar emissions, camouflage, and/or other 40 Ibid. considerations. 41 “Silent Sentry Fact Sheet,” available at <www. 1 Passive radar is also known variously as 19 Ireton, 71. lockheedmartin.com/data/assets/isgs/documents/ passive coherent location, passive covert radar, and 20 B–2 and F–22 data are current as of April SilentSentry.pdf>. passive bistatic radar. 2009. Joint Strike Fighter initial operational capability 42 “Super-Radar, Done Dirt Cheap,” available at 2 Carl von Clausewitz, On War, ed. Michael date is from Lieutenant General George J. Trautman <www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/03_42/ Howard and Peter Paret (Princeton: Princeton Uni- III, USMC, FY2009 Marine Aviation Plan: Supporting b3854113.htm>. versity Press, 1976), 358. Our Most Lethal Asset (Washington, DC: Headquar- 43 “Homeland Alerter,” available at <www.tha- 3 Giulio Douhet, The Command of the Air, ters United States Marine Corps, October 1, 2008), lesraytheon.com/business-and-products/products/ trans. Dino Ferrari (Washington, DC: Office of Air 6–3, available at <http://hqinet001.hqmc.usmc.mil/ radars/passive-radars.html>. Force History, 1983), 15. AVN/FY2009%20AVPLAN.pdf>. 44 Willis and Griffiths, 105. 4 “The Bomber Will Always Get Through,” Air 21 Christopher Bolkcom, F–35 Lightning II Joint 45 Ibid., 135. Force Magazine 91, no. 7 (July 2008), 72, available at Strike Fighter (JSF) Program: Background, Status, and 46 Ibid., 107. <www.airforce-magazine.com/MagazineArchive/ Issues (Washington, DC: Congressional Research 47 Ibid., 135. Documents/2008/July%202008/0708keeper.pdf>. Service, February 17, 2009), 1, available at <www.fas. 48 Ibid. 5 Paul Howland, “Editorial: Passive Radar org/sgp/crs/weapons/RL30563.pdf>. 49 A.D. Lazarov and C.N. Minchev, “Three- Systems,” IEEE Proceedings Radar, Sonar and Naviga- 22 “J–XX Stealthy Fighter Aircraft—(China Dimensional ISAR Image Reconstruction Technique tion 152, no. 3 (2005), 105. stealth fighter),” January 3, 2008, available at <www. with Multiple Receivers,” Proceedings of 2d Inter- 6 Ibid. sinodefence.com/airforce/fighter/jxx.asp>. See also national Conference on Recent Advances in Space 7 “The Radar Pages—Chain Home,” available at Mari Yamaguchi, “Japan to Build Stealth Fighter Technologies, June 2005, 692. <www.radarpages.co.uk/mob/ch/chainhome.htm>. Jets by 2014,” Air Force Times, December 10, 2007, 50 Willis and Griffiths, 104. 8 Howland, 105. available at <www.airforcetimes.com/news/2007/12/ 51 Ibid., 128. 9 Passive radar is considered a subset of bistatic ap_japan_stealth_071207/>; and “Indo-Russian 5th 52 Ibid., 178. radar. Bistatic radar can also employ cooperative Generation Fighter to Take Off by 2012,” The Times 53 The author attributes the idea of a passive (friendly) or noncooperative (enemy) transmitters. of India, October 30, 2007. radar training range to Paul Wiedenhaefer, interview The British Chain Home radar and other radar 23 David Lynch, Introduction to RF Stealth by author, Arlington, VA, April 15, 2009. fences are examples of early bistatic radars that (Raleigh, NC: SciTech, 2004), 3. 54 By multilevel, the author means that electronic employed cooperative transmitters as dedicated parts 24 Ibid., 8. warfare should be considered tactically, operation- of the system. 25 Ibid., 46. ally, and strategically. A multilevel electronic warfare 10 Craig C. Hannah, Striving for Air Superior- 26 Bill Sweetman, Inside the Stealth Bomber (EW) strategy could include both dedicated and ity, vol. 76, The Tactical Air Command in Vietnam (Osceola, WI: MBI Publishing Co., 1999), 50. nondedicated EW platforms. (College Station: Texas A&M University Press, 2002), 27 Nicholas J. Willis and H. Griffiths, Advances in 87. Bistatic Radar (Raleigh, NC: SciTech, 2007), 95–97. 11 “F–117A Nighthawk Factsheet,” available at 28 Bernardo Malfitano, “Low-Observable ‘Invis- <www.air-attack.com/page/44/F-117A-Nighthawk. ible’ Airplanes: Radar Stealth,” available at <www. html>. airplanedesign.info/52-radar-stealth.htm>. 12 “F–117 Site History,” available at <www. 29 Ibid. f117reunion.org/f117_site_history.htm>. 30 Eugene F. Knott, John F. Shaeffer, and Michael 13 Eliot A. Cohen et al., eds., Gulf War Air Power T. Tuley, Radar Cross Section, 2d ed. (Raleigh, NC: Survey (Washington, DC: Department of the Air SciTech, 2003), 58–59. Force, 1993), 650, available at <www.airforcehistory. 31 Lynch, 36. ndupress.ndu.edu issue 55, 4th quarter 2009 / JFQ 143

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