An Evidence-Based Public Health Approach to Injury Priorities and Prevention Recommendations for the U.S. Military Bruce H. Jones, MD, MPH, Michelle Canham-Chervak, PhD, MPH, David A. Sleet, PhD Abstract:InjuriesaretheleadingcauseofmorbidityandmortalityconfrontingU.S.militaryforces inpeacetimeorcombatoperations.Notonlyareinjuriesthebiggesthealthproblemofthemilitary services,theyarealsoacomplexproblem.Theleadingcausesofdeathsaredifferentfromthosethat resultinhospitalization,whicharedifferentfromthosethatresultinoutpatientcare.Asaconse- quence, it is not possible to focus on just one level of injury severity if the impact of injuries on militarypersonnelistobereduced.Toeffectivelyreducetheimpactofaproblemasbigandcomplex asinjuriesrequiresasystematicapproach. The purpose of this paper is to: (1) review the steps of the public health process for injury prevention;(2)reviewliteratureonevaluationofthescientifıcqualityandconsistencyofinformation neededtomakedecisionsaboutpreventionpolicies,programs,andinterventions;and(3)summa- rizecriteriaforsettingobjectiveinjurypreventionpriorities.Thereviewofthesetopicswillserveas afoundationformakingrecommendationstoenhancetheeffectivenessofinjurypreventionefforts inthemilitaryandsimilarlylargecommunities.Thispaperalsoservesasanintroductiontotheother articlesinthissupplementtotheAmericanJournalofPreventiveMedicinethatillustratetherecom- mendedsystematicapproach. (AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S):S1–S10)PublishedbyElsevierInc.onbehalfofAmericanJournalofPreventive Medicine Introduction (OEF),nonbattleinjuriesaretheleadingcauseofhealth conditions serious enough to require aero-medical Injuries in the Military: a Large Problem evacuationsoutofthetheaterofoperations.Nonbattle I njuries are the biggest health problem confronting injuriesaccountforabout35%ofsuchmedicalevacu- U.S.militaryforcesinpeacetimeandcombatopera- ations,comparedto16%forbattleinjuriesand7%for tions.1,2 Injuries result in over 1.8 million medical digestive diseases, the leading non-injury reason for encounters annually across the military services and af- medical evacuation (Keith Hauret, U.S. Army Center fectmorethan800,000individualservicemembers.3The for Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine, un- secondleadingcauseofmedicalencounters,mentaldis- published data, 2008). Relative to other health prob- orders,resultsinabout750,000encountersannually,af- lems,injurieshavethebiggestimpactonthehealthand fectingabout190,000servicemembers.Historically,in- combatreadinessofmilitarypersonnel. jurieshavebeenshowntobetheleadingcauseofdeaths, In the past, military surveillance of injuries and disabilities, hospitalizations, and outpatient visits.3–7 “accidents” has focused primarily on fatalities, espe- While battle injuries are the leading cause of death in cially motor vehicle and aviation fatalities. Since the OperationsIraqiFreedom(OIF)andEnduringFreedom late 1990s, however, increasing attention has been di- rected toward nonfatal injuries following establish- ment of the Defense Medical Surveillance System in FromtheInjuryPreventionProgram,U.S.ArmyCenterforHealthPromo- 1997.8Asaresultoftherecentfocusonnonfatalinju- tionandPreventiveMedicine(Jones,Canham-Chervak),AberdeenProv- ingGround,Maryland;andCentersforDiseaseControlandPrevention, ries,ithasbeenshownthatforeverynoncombatinjury NationalCenterforInjuryPreventionandControl(Sleet),Atlanta,Georgia deathofamilitaryservicememberthereare33hospi- Address correspondence and reprint requests to: Michelle Canham- talizations and 3800 outpatient clinic visits for inju- Chervak,PhD,MPH,U.S.ArmyCenterforHealthPromotionandPreven- tive Medicine, ATTN: MCHB-TS-DI, Aberdeen Proving Ground MD ries.9 It has also been estimated that injuries result in 21010-5403.E-mail:[email protected]. about 25,000,000 days of limited duty among service 0749-3797/00/$17.00 doi:10.1016/j.amepre.2009.10.001 members annually.9 It is clear that injuries are a tre- PublishedbyElsevierInc.onbehalfofAmericanJournalofPreventiveMedicine AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S)S1–S10 S1 Report Documentation Page Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. 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THIS PAGE Same as 10 unclassified unclassified unclassified Report (SAR) Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98) Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39-18 S2 Jonesetal/AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S):S1–S10 mendous drain on military manpower during peace- torvehiclecrashes.15Furthermore,becauseanabundance timeandtimesofarmedconflict. ofevidenceforfurtherpreventionofmotor-vehiclecrashes isavailablefromestablishedgovernmentorganizationssuch Injuries in the Military: a Complex Problem astheNationalHighwayTraffıcSafetyAdministration,the CDC, the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, and In addition to being a large problem, injuries are also a academic organizations, the military can adopt civilian complex problem for the military. Among other com- approaches already demonstrated to be effective.16 But plexities,aswithciviliancommunities,theleadingcauses formostinjuryproblems,evenlarge,potentiallyserious ofinjuryvarywidelydependingonthelevelofseverityof injuryproblemssuchasfalls,verylittlepreventioninfor- injuries.Forinstance,historically,motorvehiclecrashes mationisavailable.Researchneedstobeconductedbe- have been the leading cause of unintentional, nonbattle fore policies and programs are implemented when sys- injurydeathsacrossallthemilitaryservices,accounting tematic reviews determine that scientifıc information is for 55% to 64% of all unintentional injury deaths,10 re- scant and where gaps in knowledge about prevention sulting in fıve to ten times as many deaths as the next exist. leading specifıc injury causes (drowning, fıres/burns, or falls,dependingontheservice).5Ontheotherhand,the Purpose topthreecausesofinjuryhospitalizationofmilitaryper- sonnel have been documented to be falls, athletics Aswithanylargecommunityoroccupationalgroup,for (sports),andmotorvehiclecrashes.6In2006,theleading apublichealthproblemasbigandcomplexasinjuriesin cause of injury hospitalizations for military personnel themilitary,asystematicapproachtoplanningandset- wasfallsandnearfalls(slipsandtrips),whichaccounted tingprioritiesisneededforpreventionactivitiestosuc- for 17.5% of such hospitalizations, followed by motor ceed.Becauseresourcesforpreventionarescarce,apro- vehicle mishaps at 15.4%, and sports and athletics at cessisneededforsettingprioritiesthatidentifiesnotonly 13.1%(MichelleCanham-Chervak,U.S.ArmyCenterfor effective countermeasures, but also those strategies that Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine, unpub- affectthehealthofthelargestnumberofpersonnelatthe lisheddata,2007). lowestcosts.17,18Whenscientifıcevidenceisavailable,a Thesamethreecausesofinjuries—falls,sports,andmo- process for evaluating the quality of individual studies torvehiclemishaps—arealsotheleadingcausesofmedical and a mechanism for making recommendations for the evacuationsfromoperationsinIraqandAfghanistan.2The aggregate fındings on a particular injury problem are only data readily available on causes of outpatient-treated needed.Thepurposeofthispaperistooutlineasystem- injuries come from army fıeld investigations. That data aticprocessforidentifyingthelargest,mostsevereinjury indicatedthatphysicaltraining(i.e.,exercise)isthelead- problems for which effective prevention strategies have ingcauseofoutpatientinjuryvisits,accountingfor25% beendeveloped,andtargetingthoseproblemsforinter- to 40% of such injuries.11,12 On the other hand, motor vention. An evidence-based approach to identifying vehicle mishaps account for less than 5% of all injuries problemsforwhicheffectivepreventionstrategiesexistis treatedinoutpatientclinicsandranknohigherthan7th described and used as a foundation for making recom- or 8th when compared to other causes. It is clear from mendationsthatcouldbeappliedtothemilitaryorother data such as these that if priorities for military injury similarlylargepopulations. prevention were based on fatalities, the major causes of themajorityofinjuries,physicaltrainingandfalls,would A Systematic Process for Injury Prevention notbeaddressed. Adding further to the complexity of the problem of The public health approach. Modern epidemiology injuries,thecircumstancesofinjuriesresultingfromsim- hasshownthatinjuriesarenot“accidents”;theyarepre- ilarcausescanbequitedifferent.Asanexample,fallscan dictableandpreventable.Acomprehensivepublichealth occurfromstairs,ladders,andotherheights,andonlevel approach for the prevention of injuries has previously surfaces during garrison or combat conditions.13 Like- been recommended for the military services.4,19–21 The wise,athleticsresultinfrequent,sometimesserious,inju- primary recommendation entailed establishing the fıve ries associated with a variety of sports occurring under functional elements of the public health approach for variedcircumstances.2,14 injurypreventionlistedinTable1.Foralargecommunity Withregardtoprevention,successhasbeenachieved or organization such as the military to successfully pre- where attention has been focused and surveillance sys- ventinjuries,itisnecessaryforeachofthefıvefunctional tems are in place. For example, just as in the civilian elements to be operating. Although the approach does community,themilitaryhashadgreatsuccesspreventing notnecessarilyneedtobecarriedoutinsequentialorder, injuriesanddeathsassociatedwithprivatelyownedmo- all of the steps are necessary in order to successfully www.ajpm-online.net Jonesetal/AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S):S1–S10 S3 Table 1. Functional steps of the public health approach to injury preventiona Functionalstepof Descriptionoffunction preventionprocess 1.Surveillance Medicalandsafetysurveillanceroutinelytracksfrequencies,rates,andtrendsininjuriesand otherhealthproblems.Thedataareusedtoidentifyongoingandemergentproblemsand tohelpsetpriorities.Surveillancecanalsohelpmonitorpreventionpolicyandprogram effectiveness. 2.Researchandfield Researchandtosomeextentpublichealthfieldinvestigationsprovideinformationonthe investigationsonrisk incidenceofinjuriesandotherhealthproblemsanddeterminecausesandriskfactorsfor factorsandcauses healthproblems. 3.Researchoninterventions Researchmayalsoentailconductinginterventiontrials,bothrandomizedandnonrandomized, todeterminewhatworkstopreventinjuriesandotherhealthproblems.Interventiontrials provideinformationontheefficacyofpreventionstrategies. 4.Programandpolicy Policymakers,worksitesupervisors,militarycommanders,andotherauthoritiesdirect implementation implementationofinjurypreventionandotherpublichealthpolicies,programs,and strategiestoprotectpopulationsandcommunities. 5.Evaluationandmonitoring Oncepolicies,programs,andstrategiesareimplementedtheeffectivenessofthoseactivities ofprogramsandpolicies shouldbeevaluatedtodeterminetheeffectivenessoftheactions.Surveillancedatacan alsobeusedtomonitorongoingeffectiveness. aAdaptedfromotherpublishedreports.16,19,20ThepublichealthapproachwasfirstdescribedbyMercyetal.56 preventinjuriesovertime.Greatstrideshavebeenmade the Guide to Clinical Preventive Services in 1989.28,29 since the initial recommendation of the fıve-step public WiththedevelopmentoftheGuidetoCommunityPre- health approach to the Armed Forces Epidemiological ventive Services in 2000, that process was extended to Boardin1996.20Routinemedicalsurveillanceofinjuries communitypublichealth.27–30Theprocessforidentify- resulting in hospitalization of military service members ing successful evidence-based prevention strategies and andalsothosetreatedinoutpatientclinicshasbeenim- setting public health and safety priorities has gained plemented. Additionally, the means to evaluate public enoughcredencetorecommendwideimplementation. healthpracticesimplementedtopreventinjurieshasbeen Thekeystepoftheevidence-basedprocessistheeval- demonstrated.22,23Thestepsforwhichtheleastprogresshas uationofthequalityofindividualpreventionstudiesor been made are research. While occasional ad hoc injury investigations(Table2).31,32Thenextstepoftheprocess researchinitiativesarise,atthistimethereisnodedicated is development of recommendations for prevention injurypreventionresearchobjectiveorprogramforthemil- based on the overall quality and consistency of the evi- itary.Inaddition,injurycausecodingofoutpatientdatais dencesupportingorrefutingtheeffectivenessofpreven- needed to prioritize and guide prevention efforts. Despite tion strategies.31,32 Earlier steps of the evidence-based great progress, for injury prevention in the military to be decision-making process begin with defıning the prob- effective,allofthestepsoftheprocessneedtobeimproved lemandsystematicreviewsofthescientifıcliterature,or foreachoftheservices. meta-analyses. The fınal steps are to set priorities for prevention and research based on the magnitude or se- The evidence-based process. In addition to the fıve verityofpublichealthproblems;thestrengthandconsis- stepsofthepublichealthapproach,cost-effectiveinjury tencyoftheevidencethateffectivesolutionsfortheprob- anddiseasepreventionrequiresanevidence-basedmech- lems exist; and a determination that the identifıed anismforprioritizingpreventionactivitiesandallocation preventionstrategiesarefeasibletoimplement.24,25,33 ofpublichealthandpreventionresources(Table2).Pri- ority should be given to problems for which there is Surveillance and the evidence-based process. The scientifıc evidence of effective prevention policies, pro- evidence-basedprocessbeginswithidentifıcationofthe grams, or interventions.24–26 Great progress has been biggestandmostseverehealthproblemsaffectingacom- made in evidence-based decision making in preventive munityorpopulation.34,35Healthandsafetysurveillance medicine and public health over the last 20 years in the andsurveysarethelogicalmeansforidentifyingthemost U.S.,startingwiththeU.S.PreventiveServicesTaskForce commonandsevereinjuryandotherhealthproblemsof (USPSTF)inthelate1980s.27,28AsdescribedbyBrissand acommunity.Inthepast,thepublichealthimportanceof McGinnis, the USPSTF fırst applied the evidence-based injuriesandotherhealthproblemshasbeenestablished processtotheevaluationofclinicalpreventiveservicesin primarily using fatality data.36 In the military services, January2010 S4 Jonesetal/AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S):S1–S10 Table 2. Steps of evidence-based public health decision-making process Stepofprocess Descriptionofstep 1.Identificationofbiggestor Thefirststepoftheevidence-basedpublichealthprocessutilizesmedical,safety,andother mostsevereproblems surveillanceandsurveydatasourcestoidentifycausesortypesofinjurywithhighratesor indicatorsofseveritytotargetforpotentialprevention. 2.Searchforevidenceof Thesecondstepoftheprocessusesknowledgeofthemostsignificantinjuryproblems effectiveprevention confrontingapopulationfromStep1tofocussystematicreviewsofthescientificliterature onthoseproblemstodeterminewhatevidenceexistsfortheirprevention. 3.Evaluationofqualityof Thethirdstepoftheprocessevaluatesthequalityofindividualresearchstudiesusing evidenceforprevention predeterminedcriteriatoassessstrengthsandweaknessesofdesign,execution,and analysis. 4.Recommendationsbasedon Thefourthstepoftheprocessassessesthestrengthandconsistencyoftheoverall strengthandconsistencyof evidencethatinterventionsworktopreventtheproblemsidentifiedasafoundationfor evidence recommendations.Note:Noonestudydesignaddressesallthequestionsrequiring answersabouteffectiveness,harms,andreal-worldfeasibility.Onestudyisnotsufficient tomakeevidence-basedrecommendations. 5.Prioritizationof Thefifthstepappliespredeterminedcriteriatorankpreventionstrategiesforallocationof interventions resourcesandimplementationbasedonthemagnitudeorseverityofaproblem,its preventability(evidenceofeffectiveinterventions),andthefeasibilityofimplementation. 6.Identificationofresearch Thesixthandfinalstepoftheevidence-basedpreventionprocesscantakeplace gaps concurrentlywiththefifth.Thisstepidentifiesgapsinknowledgeofwhatpreventsthe mostsignificanthealthproblemsconfrontingapopulationandtargetsthemformore research. topprioritiesforinjurypreventionarestillpredicatedon processeshavebeenadoptedbyothergroupsandorgani- theleadingcausesofdeaths—motorvehicleandaviation zations.31,41,42Mostrecently,asimilarprocesshasbeen mishaps.Theprioritizationprocessshouldincludemea- adoptedbytheGuideforCommunityPreventiveSer- suresnotjustofmortality,butalsomorbiditymeasures vices.28,30,43 What the Guide for Community Preven- such as disabilities, hospital discharges, and visits for tiveServicesandothersuchevidence-basedprocesses emergency and other outpatient treatment, among oth- haveincommonistheinitiationoftheprocesswitha ers.9,30,37Usingfatalitydataforsettinginjuryprevention systematicreviewoftheliteratureusingawell-defıned, prioritiescanbeparticularlymisleadingasthemostfre- pre-established approach. Once the most prevalent quent causes of injuries do not necessarily result in and severe public health problems have been identi- death.38Also,ashighlightedearlier,becausetheleading fıed,thesecondstepservestoidentifypotentialinter- causes of injury deaths are different than the leading ventions/countermeasuresthathavebeenscientifıcally causesofthemorenumerousnonfatalinjuries,reducing evaluatedandfoundeffective. theleadingcausesofdeathsmayhavelittleimpactonthe Aftertheliteraturesearcheshavebeencompleted,the overall burden of injuries on a population. As a conse- nextstepistoassessthequalityofthescienceforidenti- quence,intheinitialphaseofidentifyingthemostimpor- fıedstudiesandtocharacterizethehealthoutcomesasso- tant injury problems of a community, both magnitude ciatedwiththeinterventionsstudiedandthesizeofthe andseverityofinjuriesshouldbeconsideredusingfatal- effectsduetotheinterventions.Thereisagrowingcon- ity,disability,hospitalization,andoutpatientdata. sensusthat,whetheroneisassessingtheeffectivenessofa Systematic reviews and the quality of evidence. In medication,clinicalpreventiveservices,oracommunity targetingandconductingeffectiveinjuryprevention,itis preventiveservice,morethanjustthebenefıcialeffectof notenoughtoknowwhatthebiggestinjuryproblemsare. aninterventionmustbeconsideredwhenmakingrecom- It is also necessary to know which are preventable. A mendations for prevention. The potential harms of an process for identifying and evaluating the evidence for interventionmustbeassessedtoo.31,32,41,42Toworkwell, whatworkstopreventinjuriesisalsoessential(Table2). theprocessmusthave(1)astandardizedmethodoffınd- Anumberofapproacheshavebeenestablishedforeval- ingevidencetoassess,(2)astandardsetofconsiderations uating the effectiveness of interventions to treat or pre- in evaluating the quality of individual scientifıc studies, vent health problems. The best known is the process and(3)amethodofarrivingatacompositescoreforeach established by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, study on a particular prevention strategy that can be which has been well-described elsewhere.32,39,40 Similar comparedtootherstudies.Suchsystematicreviews(lit- www.ajpm-online.net Jonesetal/AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S):S1–S10 S5 Table 3. Levels of recommendations for injury prevention strategiesa Recommendation Reasonsforrecommendation Stronglyrecommend Gooddataoneffectivenessexist,someofithighquality,andfindingsacrossstudiesareconsistent. Effectsizesaresubstantial. Recommend Atleastfairevidenceofinterventioneffectivenessexists,andfindingsofeffectivenessaremostly consistent.Effectsizesmaybemodest. Norecommendation Benefitsandharmstooclosetomakearecommendation. Recommendagainst Datafromstudiesofadequatesamplesizetoshowinterventioneffectsofmodestmagnitudedonot use indicatethattheinterventioniseffectiveorthattheharmsoftheinterventionoutweighthebenefits. Insufficientevidence Insufficiencyofevidencemayresultfromacompletelackofdata,fewstudies,orinconsistencyof results. Expertopinion Intheabsenceofscientificevidenceontheeffectivenessofinterventions(e.g.,insufficientevidence), utilizationofexpertopinionorconsensusopinionsonrecommendationsforpreventionmaybe warrantedforurgenthealthproblems.Whenthebasisforaninterventionisexpertopinion,the interventionimplementedshouldberigorouslyevaluatedandcloselymonitoredforeffectiveness. aAdaptedfromotherpublishedreports.31–33 erature reviews coupled with quality assessments) are implementation.26,29,31,32,41,42 In making recommen- nowviewedasacriticalpartofthepublichealthdecision- dations,informationonthequalityandconsistencyof makingprocess.44,45 evidence that a strategy works must be balanced Completing the literature search and evaluation pro- againstpotentialharmsandthecostsimplementation cessistimeconsumingandrigorous.Asaconsequence, mayimpose. Harris et al.,32 in writing about the USPSTF, state that Inadditiontoweighingeffectiveness,harms,andcosts “limited resources and time requires compromises in intheprocessofmakingpublichealthrecommendations, the intensity of reviews.... One strategy is...topic considerationshouldbegiventowhatneedstobedonein prioritization....Anotherstrategy...istofocusthereview situationswhenanurgentpublichealthorsafetyproblem onthequestionsandevidencemostcriticaltomakingrec- exists,butthereisinsuffıcientscientifıcevidenceofinter- ommendations.” This type of process has been applied to ventionsthatworktopreventtheproblem.41,46Inarating settingprioritiesformilitaryinjuryprevention,andanex- schemeforrecommendationsbytheStrengthofRecom- peditedprocessformorerapidevaluationbypublichealth mendationTaxonomy(SORT),Ebell31indicatesthatthe and safety organizations has been recommended.9,33 To lowest level of evidence is consensus or usual practices facilitatemorerapidtransmissionofevidence-basedin- (i.e., expert opinion). In his discussion of the USPSTF, jurypreventioninformationtodecisionmakersandpoli- Harris warns that if evidence is deemed insuffıcient to cymakers, an expert military panel established an expe- makearecommendationtoprovidepreventiveservices, dited process for scientifıc study evaluation.33 Thus then decision makers must rely on factors other than several approaches can be used to facilitate more rapid science.32 Claxton41 addresses the issue directly, stating transmissionofinformationfromevaluatorstodecision thatamethodisneededforacquiring“judgmentsfrom makers,includingfocusingthesystematicreviewprocess expertswhennoevidenceisavailable.” onthemostimportantinterventionsandexpeditingthe Withtheaboveconsiderationsinmind,asetofratings reviewprocessitself. forrecommendationshasbeenmadethatissuitablefor Systematicreviewsandthestrengthandconsistency use in a large population that frequently confronts new of evidence. Following the identifıcation of evidence andsignifıcantpublichealthandsafetyproblems,many sources (studies) and the evaluation of the quality of of which may be of an urgent nature (Table 3). The individualstudies,thenextstepistranslationofthebody proposedcategoriesofrecommendationsareasfollows: of the evidence as a whole into recommendations. This stronglyrecommend,recommend,norecommendation, stepoftheevidence-basedprocessentailstheassessment insuffıcientevidence,andexpertopinion.Toaccommo- oftheoverallstrengthandconsistencyoftheevidencefor date the inevitable situation in which the military and a particular intervention.29,31,32 As mentioned earlier, otherorganizationsneedrecommendationsforinterven- not only must the process evaluate how effective an tion when no evidence of preventability exists, an addi- interventionstrategyisatpreventinginjuriesorother tionalcategoryforexpertopinionwasadded.Itshouldbe healthoutcomesbutalsoifanyharmsmightarisefrom noted, however, that when interventions without clear January2010 S6 Jonesetal/AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S):S1–S10 evidenceofeffectivenessareimplemented,theyshouldbe that “policymakers should be skeptical of evidence de- carefullyevaluated. rivedfromasinglestudy.”Thefactthatnoonestudyor study type is an adequate basis for policy and public Studydesignandtrade-offsinvalidityofevidence. An health decisions argues for greater use of systematic re- issue of importance to the process of evaluating the viewsthatmakeuseofallavailableevidenceregardlessof quality and strength of evidence supporting preven- studytype,publishedorunpublished.46–48Weighingev- tionisthatofstudytypeordesign.Inthepast,theonly idence from multiple studies of different types provides a acceptablestandardwasanRCT.Thereis,however,a greateropportunitytobalanceeffectivenessagainstharms growing consensus that RCTs are not necessarily the andcosts.WhileRCTsprovideconfıdencethatstudyfınd- only acceptable evidence or even the gold standard, ingsarenotduetochanceorbiasresultingfrominadequate especiallyfornonpharmaceutical,nonclinical,community- studydesign(i.e.,internalvalidity),othertypesofwell-de- basedinterventions.26,32,40,42,47,48EventheUSPSTFaccepts signedstudiesmaybemorepractical,lesscostly,andmore studytypesotherthanRCTsasevidence.32Thisconsen- generalizable(i.e.,externallyvalid). sushasarisenfromthegrowingawarenessoftheshort- comingsofRCTsindocumentingtheharmsoradverse Criteria for setting priorities. The need for a mecha- outcomes of interventions, the inability to provide an nismforsettingprioritiesforallocationofresourcesfor accurateassessmentofthemagnitudeofhealthbenefıts prevention of injuries and disease is widely recog- of an intervention in a non-experimental setting, and nized.17,24–26,35,37,41,49–52 The Institute of Medicine’s impracticalityofconductingrandomizedstudiesinmany CommitteeonInjuryPreventionandControlstatedthat, circumstances. While RCTs may have greater internal forinjuryprevention,“Whatevertheoveralllevelofpub- validity, they lack the external validity offered by other licinvestment...prioritiesforresearchandsocialaction studydesigns.Atkinsetal.46specifıcallynotethatRCTs mustbeset.Thechallengefacingthefıeldisdeveloping “maynotgiveanaccuratepictureoftheimpactofapolicy criteriaforsettingthesepriorities.”35 decisionunderreal-worldconditions.” Anumberofapproachestoestablishingpreventionpri- Because of time and funding constraints, RCTs fre- oritiesemployingavarietyofcriteriahavebeensuggested, quentlyemployintermediateoutcomes.Thisisnotaccept- includingusingtheburdenofdisease,37considerationofthe able.Severalauthorscautionthat,indeterminingtheeffec- magnitude,severity,andcostsofproblems49,53orthesein combination with preventability/effectiveness17 and feasi- tiveness of an intervention, it is essential that the health outcomesofinterestbeassessed,26,46unlessthelinkbetween bilityfactorssuchasacceptability,availableresources,and legalauthority.24,25,50,54Runyan16,25andFowler24havede- anintermediateoutcomeandtheoccurrenceofthehealth scribedmorecomprehensivecriteriathanothersandcre- outcomeofinterestiswellestablished,suchasthelinkbe- ateddecisionmatricesspecifıcallyforsettinginjurypreven- tweenseatbeltuseanddecreasedriskoftraffıcfatalities. tion priorities. Their criteria for setting injury prevention Avarietyofvalidalternative,nonrandomizedstudyde- prioritiescanbeaggregatedintoseveraloverarchingcatego- signsmaybeusefulinassessingtheeffectivenessofinterven- riesincludingeffectiveness(preventabilityconsideringben- tionsintendedtobeimplementedonawidescaleincom- efıtsandharms),costs,feasibility(funding,infrastructure, munities and populations. These study types include personnel,legalauthority),acceptability(socialandpoliti- nonrandomizedprospectiveandretrospectivecohortstud- cal),andsustainability. ies,pre–poststudies,time-series,case–control,andnatural experiments,aswellasotherquasi-experimentalorobser- Processforsettingprioritiesbasedoncriteria. Once vationaltypesofstudies.26,47,48Suchstudiesmaybebetterat criteria are established for setting priorities, a process determiningtheeffıcacyofinterventionsinreal-worldcom- forrankingthepotentialprioritiesmustbedeveloped. munity settings than RCTs. Teutsch notes that data from Fowler24 described a qualitative process using rankings RCTs is scarce for many interventions, so investigators of “high,” “moderate,” and “low” for each criterion in a should not be deterred from using other more practical decisionmatrix.Runyan25suggestedthateitherqualita- studydesigns.26Grouprandomizedtrialsprovideanother tiveorquantitativemethodsforapplyingcriteriacanbe alternative to RCTs.47,48 What is important in choosing a employedtosetpriorities,providedthatdecisionmakers studydesignisthatitbeabletodeterminewhetherimple- considerthemostimportantfactorslikelytodetermine mentationofaninterventionchangedtheincidenceofthe policy,program,orinterventionsuccess.Claxtonetal.41 healthoutcomeofinterest. expressed a preference for a quantitative approach to Furthermore,Merceretal.47state“Noonestudyestab- suchdecisionmaking,stating:“Inparticular,evidentiary lishescausality.”Rather,consistentoutcomesfrommul- criteriaarenottiedformallyandquantitativelytobene- tiplestudiesmakeabetterfoundationforevidence-based fıts,risks,andcostsassociatedwithaninterventionandas health and public health policy. Atkins et al.46 caution a result do not maximize health benefıts.” As a conse- www.ajpm-online.net Jonesetal/AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S):S1–S10 S7 Table 4. Priority-setting criteria employed by military injury prevention working groups Criterion Scoring A.Programorpolicyisconsistentwithmissionoftheworkinggroup/organization IfYES—Continuewithscoring. IfNO—Stophere. B.Importanceofproblemtopublichealthorworkplaceproductivity (10points;1(cid:1)low,10(cid:1)high) Considerations: 1. Magnitudeoftheproblem(e.g.frequency,incidence) 2. Severityofproblem(e.g.,degreeofeffectonpersonnelhealthandperformance) 3. Costoftheproblem(e.g.,training,property,andpersonnelcosts) 4. Sizeofpopulationatrisk 5. Degreeofconcern(e.g.,leadershipconcern,publicandServicememberconcern, visibilityofproblem) C.Preventabilityofproblem (10points;1(cid:1)low,10(cid:1)high) Considerations: 1. Cause(s)areidentifiable 2. Riskfactorsaremodifiable 3. Provenpreventionstrategiesthatreduceexistinginjuryratesexist 4. Preventionstrategiesthatreduceexistinginjuryratescanbedesigned 5. Effectsize D.Feasibilityofprogramorpolicy (10points;1(cid:1)low,10(cid:1)high) Considerations: 1. Existenceofinfrastructuretosupportimplementationandsustainabilityofthe programorpolicy(e.g.,medicalstaffandfacilities,safetystaffandresources, manpoweravailability) 2. Perceivedadequacyoffundingtosupportimplementationandsustainability 3. Authoritytoimplementandsustaintheprogramorpolicyisheldorobtainableby theimplementingorganization(s) 4. Programorpolicywillnotundermineessentialmissions 5. Politicalandculturalacceptabilityofprogramorpolicy 6. Accountabilityandresponsibilityforimplementationandsustainabilityexistsorcan beestablished E.Timeliness (5points;1(cid:1)low,5(cid:1)high) Considerations: 1. Timetoimplementation 2. Timetoresults F.Evaluationofprogramorpolicy (5points;1(cid:1)low,5(cid:1)high) Considerations: 1. Abilitytoevaluateeffectsofprogramorpolicy(i.e.,availabilityofmetrics) 2. Benefitsofprogramorpolicyoutweighthecostsofimplementationand sustainability 3. Collateralbenefitsasaresultofimplementation(i.e.,increasedreadiness, decreasedattrition,anddecreasedotherhealthproblems) quence of this kind of thinking, several military injury Asimilarsetofcriteriatothoseforsettingprevention preventionworkinggroupshaveadoptedaquantitative prioritiescanbeusedtosetresearchpriorities.In2002,a approach to setting priorities.9,33,55 The criteria em- preliminarysetofsuchcriteriawasdevelopedbytheU.S. ployedbythesemilitaryworkinggroupsandthescoring ArmyCenterforHealthPromotionandPreventiveMed- ofcriteriaareprovidedinTable4.Thesynthesisofcrite- icineandtheJohnsHopkinsCenterforInjuryResearch riaforpreventionprioritiesenumeratedbythesemilitary andPrevention(Table5).55Insettinginjuryprevention workinggroupsactuallybeganattheCDCin2000with andotherpublichealthpreventionpriorities,aprimary workstartedtherebyoneoftheauthors(BHJ). criterionisscientifıcevidencethateffectiveinterventions January2010 S8 Jonesetal/AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S):S1–S10 Table 5. Suggested priority-setting criteria for military necessary. While the infrastructure needed to address research eachstepofthepublichealthapproachexistswithinthe DepartmentofDefense,italsoneedstobestrengthened. A.Programorpolicyisconsistentwithmissionofthe workinggroup/organization Currently, the strongest element of the U.S. military’s injury prevention system is medical and safety surveil- B.Importanceofproblemtoforcehealthandreadiness lance.Whileimprovementssuchastheadditionofout- Considerations: patient injury cause coding are needed, these data are 1. Magnitudeandseverityofproblem currentlyadequatetoidentifysignifıcantmilitaryinjury 2. Highcostsofproblem problemsandtomonitorchangesinratesofinjuriesover 3. Sizeand/orvulnerabilityofpopulationatrisk time following implementation of interventions, pro- 4. Degreeofconcern(commandorpublic) 5. Gapsinknowledgeofeffectivepreventionstrategies,or grams,orpolicies. modifiablecausesandriskfactorsexist In regard to getting prevention information to those 6. Militaryuniqueness who need it, the infrastructure for disseminating injury C.Potentialvalueofresearch preventioninformationisreadilyavailablethroughthemil- Considerations: itaryservicesafetycentersandchainsofcommand.Like- wise, once the effectiveness and feasibility of an injury 1. Cross-cutting(cutsacrosstypesofinjury) prevention strategy has been demonstrated, the infra- 2. Likelihoodofidentifyingdiscretemodifiablerisk factors structure and mechanisms exist within the military to 3. Demonstratedpreventabilityincivilianpopulation rapidlyimplementthestrategy. D.Feasibilityofresearchprogramorproject The ability to evaluate programs and document suc- cess at the installation and service level has also been Considerations: demonstrated,22,23,33buthumanandfıscalresourcesfor 1. Publichealthandmedicalinfrastructureexiststo thisessentialpublichealthservicearecurrentlylimited. supportresearchefforts 2. Researchpartnersexist In addition, despite the fact that an evidence-based ap- 3. Technologicfeasibilityofdoingresearch(abilityto proach to making recommendations for injury preven- collectdata) tionandsettingprioritieshasbeenemployedinthepast, 4. Adequacyofresources the process has not been institutionalized in the military.9,33 Finally, the weakest step in the process for the De- exist.Ontheotherhand,aprimarycriterionforsetting partmentofDefenseisresearch.Eventhoughinjuries research priorities is that adequate evidence of effective arethesinglebiggesthealthproblemofallofthemili- interventionsdoesnotexist.Thus,themostobviousevi- tary services, there is no specifıc injury-prevention dence that research is needed is when a big problem is scientifıcortechnicalobjectivetowhichresourcescan identifıed, but no research is found to support preven- be routinely applied, with the exception of occasional tion. Insuffıcient evidence is also another indicator that monies directed to address ad hoc problems, such as research is needed, as multiple studies are typically re- traumatic brain injuries. Without an injury-research quiredtoestablishthevalidityofasuggestedprevention programguidedbydata-drivenprioritiesandwithout strategy. The most effıcient way to set both prevention identifıcation of gaps in prevention knowledge, and research priorities may be to conduct both at the progress with military injury prevention will cease sametime,becausetheprocessforidentifyingimportant, onceoff-the-shelfsolutionshavebeenexhausted. preventable injury or other health problems will be the Withtheaboveconsiderationsinmind,thefollow- same,andthecriteriaforsettingprioritieswillbesimilar ingrecommendationsaremadetoestablishacompre- withtheexceptionthattherewillbeevidencetosupport hensive, evidence-based approach to military injury interventionsintheformerandnotforthelatter. prevention: ● Use readily available military surveillance databases Conclusion and Recommendations (deaths, disabilities, hospitalization, outpatient, and Theproblemofinjuriesforthemilitaryislargeenoughand safety)toidentifythelargestandmostseveremilitary costlyenoughtowarrantthetimeandresourcesneededto injuryproblems.4,19 conductasystematic,data-driven,andevidence-basedpro- ● Commission systematic reviews of prevention and cessofdefıningpreventionpriorities.Toeffectivelyim- safetyliteraturetodeterminewhathasbeenshownto plement such a process, all the functional capabilities/ work for prevention of the largest, most serious mili- stepsofthepublichealthapproachlistedinTable1are taryinjuryproblems. www.ajpm-online.net Jonesetal/AmJPrevMed2010;38(1S):S1–S10 S9 ● Establish committees of medical and safety subject References matterexpertstoroutinelyaccessandsetprioritiesfor both injury prevention research and program/policy 1. 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