DTIC ADA421946: Asia and the Pacific: U.S. Strategic Traditions and Regional Realities PDF
Preview DTIC ADA421946: Asia and the Pacific: U.S. Strategic Traditions and Regional Realities
Asia & the Pacific Report Documentation Page Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. 1. REPORT DATE 2. REPORT TYPE 3. DATES COVERED 12 JUN 2000 N/A - 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5a. CONTRACT NUMBER Asia-Pacific Forum 5b. GRANT NUMBER 5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER 6. AUTHOR(S) 5d. PROJECT NUMBER 5e. TASK NUMBER 5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION Naval War College 686 Cushing Road Newport, RI 02841 REPORT NUMBER 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S ACRONYM(S) 11. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S REPORT NUMBER(S) 12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Approved for public release, distribution unlimited 13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 14. ABSTRACT 15. SUBJECT TERMS 16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION OF 18. NUMBER 19a. NAME OF ABSTRACT OF PAGES RESPONSIBLE PERSON a. REPORT b. ABSTRACT c. THIS PAGE UU 135 unclassified unclassified unclassified Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98) Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39-18 Asia-Pacific Forum Naval War College, Newport, R.I., 11–12 June 2000 Asia & the Pacific U.S. Strategic Traditions and Regional Realities Edited by Paul D. Taylor Naval War College Press Newport, Rhode Island 2001 NavalWarCollegePress Code32,NavalWarCollege,686CushingRoad Newport,R.I.02841-1207 LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Asia&thePacific:U.S.strategictraditionsandregionalrealities/editedbyPaulD.Taylor. p.cm. ISBN1-884733-15-8 1.UnitedStates—Militarypolicy—Congresses.2.PacificArea—Strategic aspects—Congresses.3.Asia—Strategicaspects—Congresses.4.United States—Relations—PacificArea—Congresses.5.United States—Relations—Asia—Congresses.6.PacificArea—Relations—United States—Congresses.7.Asia—Relations—UnitedStates—Congresses. I.Taylor,PaulD. (PaulDaniel),1939– UA23.A7352001 327.7305—dc21 00-068699 PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica The Asia-Pacific Studies Group The Asia-Pacific Studies group acts as a catalyst, coordinator, and implementorofresearchtoservetherequirementsoftheU.S.Navy, the U.S. Pacific Command, and other elements of the U.S. govern- ment responsible for formulating American policy, strategy, and plansrelatedtoAsiaandthePacific.Itjoinstogetherthosepersonnel oftheNavalWarCollegeandtheNavyWarfareDevelopmentCom- mand who are engaged in work on Asia and the Pacific. Disclaimer The contents of this volume are the views of the authors. They are notnecessarilyendorsedbytheU.S.NavalWarCollegeoranyother organization or agency of the U.S. government. CONTENTS Foreword ViceAdmiralArthurK.Cebrowski,U.S.Navy ........... ix Preface PaulD.Taylor ................................... xi Acknowledgements.................................. xv The Strategic Traditions of the United States in the Asia-Pacific Region StephenPeterRosen ............................... 1 Strategic Trends in the Asia-Pacific Region Paul Dibb ...................................... 9 An Assessment of the “Objective” Political Conditions That Pertain in the Asia-Pacific Region AbramN.Shulsky ................................ 29 Understanding Changes in Asia’s Economic Landscape Leif Rosenberger ................................. 51 The Military Dimensions of Great-Power Rivalry in the Asia-Pacific Region JohnR.Landry................................... 83 Roundtable: Net Assessment—Objective Conditions versus the U.S. Strategic Tradition Robert Sutter.................................... 97 Michael McDevitt................................ 101 Jonathan Pollack ................................. 107 Appendix.......................................... 115 Contributors,andtheEditor ........................... 117 FOREWORD C ARLVONCLAUSEWITZtaughtthatanyonewhoplansstrategy beforehehasachievedacleardefinitionofpolicygoalsputsthe cart before the horse. It is equally true that it makes no sense for a countrytotrytodevelopitsforcesorplanoperationswithouttaking accountoftheuniquecharacteristicsthatdefineandshapeitspoten- tial adversaries and available allies. Forthesereasons,weattheNavalWarCollegehaveplacedspecial emphasis on understanding the Asia-Pacific region. The economic, political,anddemographicdynamicsofthatareamakeclearitsim- portancetoachievingglobalU.S.objectives.Atthesametime,con- tinued tensions related to the Korean Peninsula, issues between ChinaandTaiwanandbetweenIndiaandPakistan,aswellasunrest withinIndonesiaunderscoreimportantthreatstostabilityinthere- gion. Its vast territory and expanses of ocean make the Asia-Pacific regionfundamentallyamaritimetheaterandtheU.S.Navyacentral playerinanymilitaryoperationstodefendtheinterestsoftheUnited States. The Asia-Pacific Forum, from which the papers that follow are taken, brought together a distinguished collection of scholars and policypractitionerstoexaminethepolitical,economic,andmilitary realitiesoftheAsia-PacificregioninthecontextoftheU.S.strategic tradition.Theyprovedthatfamiliarmilitarythinkingaboutsomeim- portant questions might have become obsolete. Inhiskeynoteaddress,forexample,Prof.StephenP.RosenofHar- vardrecalledthatmilitaryconventionalwisdomaboutAsiahadsug- gested that nuclear weapons do not matter, that offense dominates defense,thattheallieswillalwaysbewithus,andthateventhough Asiamightbefaroff,we“knowhowtogetthere.”Infact,however, Professor Rosen noted, the current reality is not quite like that. Toughquestionsariseifallofourpotentialenemiesandsomeofour friendsinthetheaterhavenuclearweapons.Offenseisdesirable,but it is an option only if one can fight from sanctuary; the balance be- tweenoffenseanddefenseisshifting.Someofthebasingpatternsare alsoinquestion,andsoweneedtorethinkassumptionsthathaveun- derlain our forward presence.
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