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Disjointed Ways, Disunified Means - Learning from America's Struggle to Build an Afghan Nation (2012) PDF

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LD e ais rnjo DDiissjjooiinntteedd WWaayyss,, DDiissuunniiffiieedd MMeeaannss:: i ni gn t Fre LLeeaarrnniinngg FFrroomm AAmmeerriiccaa’’ss SSttrruuggggllee ttoo BBuuiilldd od m W A aann AAffgghhaann NNaattiioonn ma ey rs ic, aD ’ Lewis G. Irwin si s S u t rn u gifi g le e d U.S. ARMY WAR COLLEGE to M B ue ia l dn as n: A f g h a n N a t i o n Visit our website for other free publication downloads L e http://www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil/ w is To rate this publication click here. G . I U.S. ARMY WAR COLLEGE r w This Publication SSI Website USAWC Website i n Strategic Studies Institute Book DISJOINTED WAYS, DISUNIFIED MEANS: LEARNING FROM AMERICA’S STRUGGLE TO BUILD AN AFGHAN NATION Lewis G. Irwin May 2012 The views expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Depart- ment of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Gov- ernment. Authors of Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) publications enjoy full academic freedom, provided they do not disclose clas- sified information, jeopardize operations security, or misrepre- sent official U.S. policy. Such academic freedom empowers them to offer new and sometimes controversial perspectives in the in- terest of furthering debate on key issues. This report is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited. ***** This publication is subject to Title 17, United States Code, Sec- tions 101 and 105. It is in the public domain and may not be copy- righted. ***** Comments pertaining to this report are invited and should be forwarded to: Director, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 45 Ashburn Drive, Bldg. 47, Carlisle, PA 17013- 5046. ***** All Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) publications may be down- loaded free of charge from the SSI website. Hard copies of this report may also be obtained free of charge while supplies last by placing an order on the SSI website. SSI publications may be quoted or reprinted in part or in full with permission and ap- propriate credit given to the U.S. Army Strategic Studies Insti- tute, U.S. Army War College, Carlisle Barracks, PA. Contact SSI by visiting our website at the following address: www.Strategic StudiesInstitute.army.mil. ***** The Strategic Studies Institute publishes a monthly e-mail newsletter to update the national security community on the re- search of our analysts, recent and forthcoming publications, and upcoming conferences sponsored by the Institute. Each newslet- ter also provides a strategic commentary by one of our research analysts. If you are interested in receiving this newsletter, please subscribe on the SSI website at www.StrategicStudiesInstitute. army.mil/newsletter/. ISBN 1-58487-528-3 ii ***** For the dedicated professionals of America’s joint, interagency national security team. ***** iii CONTENTS Preface ………………………..............................vii About the Author ……...........................……..xvii Introduction ……………........................………xix Part I: The Challenge of Afghanistan …….....…1 1: Defining the Afghan Problem ……...........…3 2: The Scope of Irregular Warfare and “Nation-Building” ……….................…55 3: E volving U.S. Strategic Interests, Options, and Risks ………............................83 Part II: Disjointed Policies and Organizational Structures ...................123 4: Disjointed Policies, Strategies, and Objectives..............................................125 5: A Clash of Organizational Cultures and Resources ..............................................173 6: Disunified Interagency Structures, Processes, and Effort ..................................215 7: The Unsurprising and Uneven Results...........................................................259 v Part III: Potential Solutions …….................….289 8: Commonly Proposed Solutions and Faulty Assumptions ….........................291 9: Essential Elements of Any Feasible and Effective Solution.........................................327 10: A Way Ahead—The NSC, Combatant Commands, and USRADCOM …............. 345 A Brief Epilogue: Contemplating the Context and Future of “Nation-Building”..... 385 Bibliography.......................................................395 Acronyms and Abbreviations …………….… 413 vi PREFACE From August 2007 until February 2008, I served with the U.S. Army in Afghanistan as the leader of an ad hoc interagency group assigned the mission of designing and implementing a nation-wide reform of the Afghan National Police. This extensive police reform initiative, dubbed “Focused District Develop- ment,” represented a major shift in focus for the U.S. agencies charged with developing the Afghan secu- rity forces and their corresponding Afghan govern- mental institutions—tasks clearly at the heart of any successful irregular warfare effort. Coalition and Af- ghan leaders alike deemed the mission to be of central importance to the ongoing counterinsurgency and, accordingly, the Afghan police development mission received enhanced resources and concentrated senior leader attention, as “Focused District Development” moved forward in its design, operational planning, and eventual execution. In spite of these natural advantages, however, the development, coordination, and implementation of this high-profile initiative revealed to me major shortcomings in U.S. Government systems for coordi- nating and integrating the resources and effort of its agencies, at least at the operational level of activity. It was also becoming increasingly clear then that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) mission was falling well short of achieving its other major nonmilitary objectives, despite the hard work of so many. Given the central importance of U.S. contribu- tions to the broader coalition effort, I began to wonder about the root causes of the interagency shortfalls I had observed, as well as about the potential reforms that might enable the U.S. Government to achieve true vii interagency “unity of effort.” In short, how could we realize the genuine “whole of government” approach needed to achieve our complex national security ob- jectives more effectively, efficiently, and directly? As I prepared to return home at the end of my tour of duty, a series of fundamental questions remained unanswered: • W ith so many talented people working so hard to achieve “success” in Afghanistan, why were the results falling so far short of the goal? • W as the notion of “nation-building” in Afghan- istan reasonable in the first place? Or was there something about Afghanistan that predestined “nation-building” to likely failure there, given the basic requirements of nationhood? • H ad the administration’s strategic guidance for Afghanistan been clearly defined and feasible? Did the capabilities, priorities, and effort of the various agencies match the requirements of this complex irregular warfare and “nation- building” mission? • W hat specific shortcomings in the U.S. Govern- ment interagency processes were contributing to these shortfalls? Did these problems stem from structural or procedural deficiencies at the strategic, operational, or tactical levels of the national security apparatus, or perhaps from some combination of the three? • W ere there reforms of our national security structures and systems underway already that might reasonably be expected to solve these in- teragency problems? • W hat elements would any national security re- forms need to feature in order to be successful, given the practical realities of the agencies’ ex- viii isting mandates, core expertise, organizational cultures, comparative resources, and career in- centives? • W hat specific national security reforms might address those requirements directly, while overcoming likely practical and political ob- stacles to their implementation? • W hat were the broader implications of these lengthy, resource-intensive irregular warfare, and “nation-building” missions for U.S. na- tional security in general? After returning home and continuing this line of inquiry, I quickly realized that the challenges I had discovered for myself were already commonly recog- nized by most practitioners and observers concerned with U.S. national security. In fact, these obstacles to unified agency and departmental effort were acknowl- edged to extend much further than any one operational theater or any one reform initiative. As a result, while my own operational-level interagency experience served as the initial impetus for my research, this book is not intended merely to recount my own experiences or to focus solely on the operational-level shortfalls in the U.S. Government interagency processes. Instead, the goal of this analysis is to carry out a much broad- er and more systematic review of our government’s strategic and interagency performance in Afghanistan to date, using the Afghan case as the vehicle for an investigation into the nature and root causes of the interagency problems I observed firsthand. I then use this analysis to frame potential corrective measures that can be applied to future irregular warfare and “nation-building” missions in particular and Ameri- can national security affairs more generally. ix

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