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196 Pages·2016·8.99 MB·English
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Digital Transformation in business and society (Photo: Photopress-Archiv / Keystone) By Sylvain Cottong, strategybuilders.eu October 2016 Version 1.00 1 Table of contents TABLE OF CONTENTS ............................................................................................................................... 2 FOREWORD BY THE CHAMBER OF COMMERCE ................................................................................... 6 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................................... 7 WHICH REVOLUTION ? .............................................................................................................................. 8 BOX 1: THE COGNITIVE REVOLUTION .................................................................................. 14 THE CURRENT STATE OF THE WORLD - FROM STABILITY AND PREDICTABILITY TO UNCERTAINTY AND AMBIGUITY ............................................................................................................ 14 BOX 2: THE GLOBAL RISK REPORT - WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM ................................... 20 NEW ECONOMICS .................................................................................................................................... 21 ABOUT DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION ..................................................................................................... 24 THE ESSENCE OF DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION ............................................................................................... 25 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION’S UNDERLYING MAIN TECHNOLOGIES AND CONCEPTS .............................................. 26 BOX 3: CLOUD COMPUTING................................................................................................... 28 Definition ............................................................................................................................... 28 The cloud stack ....................................................................................................................... 28 Cloud characteristics ............................................................................................................... 29 Cloud Pros and Cons ................................................................................................................ 29 The cloud market .................................................................................................................... 30 Everything smart ................................................................................................................................ 32 Smart cities & smart mobility .......................................................................................................... 32 Smart grids .................................................................................................................................... 35 Smart factories (Industry 4.0) ......................................................................................................... 36 Smart homes & smart buildings ..................................................................................................... 36 Smart clothes and wearable technology ........................................................................................ 37 Human augmentation (Bionics) ...................................................................................................... 37 Smart contracts and the blockchain ............................................................................................... 39 BOX 4: BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY ..................................................................................... 41 BOX 5: AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES ......................................................................................... 45 The Internet of (Every)thing(s) ........................................................................................................... 47 Big data .............................................................................................................................................. 51 BOX 6: OPEN DATA ................................................................................................................. 56 Artificial intelligence ............................................................................................................................ 58 Virtual and Augmented Reality ........................................................................................................... 63 3D Printing (Additive Manufacturing) .................................................................................................. 66 BOX 7: INDUSTRIE 4.0 ............................................................................................................. 69 2 Additional technologies ...................................................................................................................... 73 BUSINESS ASPECTS OF DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION ...................................................................................... 74 Dematerialization of the entire value-chain: Towards the economy 4.0 ............................................. 75 New management models .................................................................................................................. 76 Innovation Management ................................................................................................................ 77 Marketing & Value Proposition ....................................................................................................... 89 BOX 8: The Attention Economy ................................................................................................. 92 Customer Knowledge ..................................................................................................................... 92 Customer Experience Management............................................................................................... 93 Servitization ................................................................................................................................... 98 Organizational design .................................................................................................................... 99 BOX 9: Self-organization ......................................................................................................... 106 New economic models ..................................................................................................................... 106 The Access (On-Demand) Economy and the Sharing Economy ................................................. 107 The Circular Economy ................................................................................................................. 111 The App Economy ....................................................................................................................... 113 The Platform Economy ................................................................................................................ 115 The Data Economy ...................................................................................................................... 119 THE FUTURE OF JOBS AND WORK ............................................................................................................. 120 Skills ................................................................................................................................................. 121 Jobmarket ........................................................................................................................................ 124 SECURITY AND PRIVACY ISSUES................................................................................................................ 130 Security ............................................................................................................................................ 130 Privacy ............................................................................................................................................. 132 REGULATORY ASPECTS OF DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION ................................................................................ 133 CULTURAL DIMENSIONS OF DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION ................................................................................ 134 GOVERNANCE IN THE DIGITAL AGE ............................................................................................................ 139 ETHICAL AND SOCIETAL CHALLENGES ......................................................................................................... 142 THE SITUATION IN LUXEMBOURG ....................................................................................................... 147 SOME GENERAL ECONOMIC FACTS ABOUT LUXEMBOURG ............................................................................. 147 ECONOMIC POLICY & DIVERSIFICATION ....................................................................................................... 148 DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE ........................................................................................................................ 149 THE EUROPEAN DIGITAL ECONOMY AND SOCIETY INDEX (DESI) 2016 ......................................................... 150 E-SKILLS AND THE JOBMARKET .................................................................................................................. 153 E-COMMERCE ......................................................................................................................................... 156 BOX 11: What is an Innovation Ecosystem ? .......................................................................... 158 Innovation subsystems ........................................................................................................ 158 3 System dynamics ................................................................................................................ 159 Innovation policy ................................................................................................................. 159 Open Innovation .................................................................................................................. 160 THE LUXEMBOURG ECOSYSTEM ................................................................................................................ 162 Research and Development ............................................................................................................. 162 The Luxembourg Cluster Initiative .................................................................................................... 164 Initiatives & programs ....................................................................................................................... 165 Fit for Innovation .......................................................................................................................... 165 Fit for digital ................................................................................................................................. 165 Fit for circularity............................................................................................................................ 165 Club Innovation ............................................................................................................................ 165 Luxembourg Open Innovation Club (LOIC) .................................................................................. 165 Fit for start .................................................................................................................................... 165 Fit4Entrepreneurship ................................................................................................................... 165 House of Entrepreneurship .......................................................................................................... 166 Hello Future ................................................................................................................................. 166 Digital(4)Eductaion....................................................................................................................... 166 Funding opportunities ....................................................................................................................... 166 National funding ........................................................................................................................... 166 Digital Tech Fund ......................................................................................................................... 167 Luxembourg Future Fund ............................................................................................................ 167 Financial Centre ........................................................................................................................... 167 Start-up accelerators, incubators and co-working spaces ................................................................ 167 Makerspaces .................................................................................................................................... 168 Representative bodies ...................................................................................................................... 168 Regulators and governance bodies .................................................................................................. 170 The media ........................................................................................................................................ 172 Other activities ................................................................................................................................. 172 Bold projects .................................................................................................................................... 172 Digital Lëtzebuerg ........................................................................................................................ 173 The Third Industrial Revolution (Rifkin-process) .......................................................................... 173 High Performance Computing (HPC) ........................................................................................... 173 Space Mining ............................................................................................................................... 174 Luxembourg Automotive Campus ................................................................................................ 175 CHALLENGES & OPPORTUNITIES ............................................................................................................... 175 General challenges .......................................................................................................................... 175 Innovation efficiency ......................................................................................................................... 176 4 Financial incentives for entrepreneurship and business investment ................................................ 177 SMEs ................................................................................................................................................ 177 Public services ................................................................................................................................. 178 Regulation ........................................................................................................................................ 179 Fintech & Regtech ............................................................................................................................ 179 Reinforcing existing economic priorities and other assets ................................................................ 182 Big Data ........................................................................................................................................... 183 Security and trust ............................................................................................................................. 183 E-identity .......................................................................................................................................... 183 Luxembourg as a laboratory ............................................................................................................. 184 Sustainable development ................................................................................................................. 185 Culture & identity .............................................................................................................................. 186 (Smart) Governance ......................................................................................................................... 186 BOX 12: Building community resilience ................................................................................... 188 FINAL REMARKS .................................................................................................................................... 190 Appendice I: Ressources on Organization Design in Transition .............................................. 192 5 Foreword by the Chamber of Commerce Just as in the previous industrial revolutions where the steam engine or electrification revolutionized entire industries and tohne tshoec wiehtyo le, so will the digital revolution transform companies and condition our ways to conduct business as well as our social and cultural norms. There is a widespread recognition among most actors in industry and societvye t hdaigt itthael teemchenrogleongcies o mf daiys rupti fundamentally alter our perception of how we interact, communicate and exchange services, goods and knowle dge. Although the process of digitalisation is an omnipresent topic in news and media, a large majority still lacks a prooufnd understanding of how the current technologies may affect human behaviour, businesses and management. The disruptive power should not be underestimated and their progressive development is happening quick and swiftly uncoverihnagt an eneudm bbee ra opfp crehhaellenndgeeds a tnd understood but offering at the same time unparal leled opportunities for value creation. Becoming a digital enterprise or even a digital nation requires far more substantial changes than purely devoting resourcesi gtoit athl tee clahtneostlo dgies or building up digital infrastructures. Digital transformation will push traditional stakeholders to fundamentally question their current strategies, operating and business models and underlying ceu lotuf rteh ein s ohridftes rt htoa ts tand firm in the fac progress at a sheer e xponential rate. The disruptive nature of digitalisation and the implications it may have on business and society is the primary reason why the Chamber of Commerce took theis decision to get engaged in this topic. T document covers a wide array of topics linked to the process of digitalisation and aims to raise awareness among actors in economy and society by outlining the main digital artefacts and assessing, amongst others, th-ee csooncoiomic implicantsioenqsu aendce cso. It is for the first time that such a comprehensive document has been published by the Chamber of Commerce for the broader public in Luxembourg and the Chamber of Commerce aspires to step up its efforts to become an active partner in the con otfe dxitgital transformation. This document offers a first introduction into the world of digital artefacts. For actors who are less acquainted with the ramifications of digitalisation, this is a very comprehensive guide to get a fisrs lte gfte unpe rtaol tohvee rrevaiedwe.r Itto i reflect on the various digital trends and the possible implications they might have on its environment. The document can be considered as a toolbox and used as guidance to take the necessary actions that may help to keep up with the pace of digital transformation or e ven to move a step ahead. This is the gen-seerta tlh mati nsdhould inspire the decision makers in society, politics and economy as Luxembourg has no choice other than becoming ar wino orlrdd eclra tsos digital adopter and creato remain competitive and attractive on the global stage. This can only happen if all the major stakeholders in Luxembourg embrace digital technologies and perceive them as a formidable opportunity for growth and not as an incessanmt bthorueragt .o Lffuexres numerous advantages to be a great playground for testing new innovations and enabling technologies. While Luxembourg’s innovation ecosystem seems to be well set-up, several hurdles still need to be redressed in order to be fully able to engage the path towards a digitally integrated economy and society. Solutions supported by partnerships between government agencies and private companies (PPPs) will be key to drive the success of the country’s digitization initiatives as they offer the opportunity to forge collaboration and to identify the right inspiring questions that are fundamental for future policies, practices and strategy recommendations. Moreover, the document displays a clear link with the project “Third Industrial Revolution” that the Chamber of Commerce launched in cooperation with the Ministry of Economy and IMS Luxembourg. It is an ongoing initiative that focuses to encourage a greater number of companies to strengthen their capacity to adapt to future megatrends by capitalising on the digitalized communication internet which is converging with the energy internet and a digitalized automated transportation and logistics network. Those key enabling technologies are supposed to unleash new productivity gains and render the economy and society on the whole more sustainable and prepare the path for future quality growth and assure the long- term competitiveness of the Luxembourg economy, and hence the continuation of its unparalleled social welfare model. The report was prepared in collaboration with Sylvain Cottong from strategybuilders.eu, whom we would like to thank for his support and his invaluable expertise. We are confident that the findings and recommendations will contribute to improve the awareness about digital transformation in business and society. 6 Introduction Digital transformation is definite ly a topical issue today. Indeed, the way we live, work, and relate to each other has fundamentally changed since the advent of the Internuentd, oubte bdliyg gtheest innovationnic iant icoonm sminuce the invention of the book press. At the same time, the pace at which network technologies and computing has evolved ever since is currently disrupting at an almost daily basis manbye hoaf voi uworuh krislneo hwena sviylys tgceh masll eanngdi n existing business models and governance processes. We may experience that evolution like an unknown and sometimes mysterious-f icatniodn f rweotfruldl s acpiepnroceaching us but also we feel like passionate pioneering creators of the ciqouem chpanlecet feorl syo lvnineg twhe, w aor ldu’sn most pressing problems and a high potential for creating a whole new era of economic growth and prosperity. Therefore, our society is at an inflection point: are we becoming a dystopian control society or a human-centred knowledge society? Lengthy philosophical discussions could be held about how fast and how selective we want to digitally transform our society and our economy but the fact is that digital transformation happens anyway, with or without Luxembourg. As a small country and open economy centrally located in Europe with an already very dense, open and connected economic activity and a considerable proportion of technology intensive economic sectors we simply have no choice other than becoming a world class digital adopter and creator in most areas to keep pace with our partners and the rest of the world in the globally hyper-connected marketplace. This requires that the role of the ICT sector has to be strengthened in its own right, but also as a partner and an enabler of digital transformation. At the same time, we must carefully tackle the challenges and threats of this super-fast evolution and develop innovative policies and regulation without falling into the trap of killing innovation through over regulation. Luxembourg’s success has often been built on such an attitude, by making a business case out of pioneering regulation, such as in the financial sector, in intellectual property management and more recently in space mining. But digital transformation goes deeper than merely creating something new: It also questions our existing culture and way of thinking, and thus the management models that we embraced over the last 200 years. The Chamber of Commerce believes that digital transformation is a key ingredient, next to a more sustainable way of relating to resources, of the future socio-economic state of Luxembourg. Therefore, the objective of this document is twofold: first of all, we would like to raise awareness regarding the process of digital transformation, taking stock of its main artefacts and ramifications. Second, we touch upon the socio-economic consequences of digital transformation - both in macroeconomic and in microeconomic terms - with a clear focus on providing a first set of proposals and public policy conclusions as a way to leverage digital transformation as an opportunity, rather than a threat. More formally, in this document, first we situate the so called 3rd or 4th Industrial Revolution in more long- term economic history1. We then draw a short picture of the current state of the world, as any evolution always has also to be seen in the broader context in which it happens. As digital transformation transcends many different areas of our economy, society, environment and personal lives 2, we will then identify the most important ones and give a brief overview on current states, practices and expected near future evolution for each of them. 1 For simplicity and clarity, we will use « 3rd industrial revolution », as defined by Jeremy Rifkin, as an expression for describing the current transformation processes that our economies experience worldwide throughout this report, given the fact that different authors use either expression but meaning the same phenomena. 2 Disruptive technologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy, http://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/business-technology/our-insights/disruptive- technologies & full report under http://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Business%20Functions/Business%20Technology/Our %20Insights/Disruptive%20technologies/MGI_Disruptive_technologies_Full_report_May2013.ashx 7 We then draw a general picture of the current situation in Luxembourg in terms of digital transformation (economy and society) and identify challenges and opportunities at different levels. While it is clear that this document is a mere introduction to a very broad topic, it aims to open the debate and to contribute to embark and guide Luxembourg on the path of its digital transformation. The future is already here — it's just not very evenly distributed. » - 3 William Gibson . Which revolution? According to Klaus Schwab, the founder and chairman of the World Economic Forum, the current industrial revolution is triggered by the confluence of electronics, IT and automated production starting around 1969. Today, we witness a second phase in the 3rd industrial revolution which is the emergence of cognitive task automation via artificial intelligence and learning machines. That’s the reason why Schwab talks about a 4th industrial revolution whilst being a vivid proponent of the disruptive character and reminder of the challenges of digital transformation which he qualifies as the current emergence and evolving dominance of « cyber-physical systems » 4. Source 5 3 William Ford Gibson (born 17 March 1948) is an American-Canadian writer who has been called the "noir prophet" of the cyberpunk subgenre of science fiction. Gibson coined the term "cyberspace" in his short story "Burning Chrome" and later popularized the concept in his debut novel, Neuromancer (1984), https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/William_Gibson 4 The Fourth Industrial Revolution: what it means, how to respond https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-what-it-means-and- how-to-respond 5 http://d27n205l7rookf.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/DUP_2898_Figure_1.jpg 8 6 Schwab writes There are three reasons why today’s transformations represent not merely a prolongation of the Third Industrial Revolution but rather the arrival of a Fourth and distinct one: velocity, scope, and systems impact. The speed of current breakthroughs has no historical precedent. When compared with previous industrial revolutions, the Fourth is evolving at an exponential rather than a linear pace. Moreover, it is disrupting almost every industry in every country. And the breadth and depth of these changes herald the transformation of entire systems of production, management, and governance. 7 According to Schwab , since the turn of the century with its much more ubiquitous and mobile internet, the digital acceleration is driven by smaller and more powerful sensors that have become cheaper combined with artificial intelligence and machine learning. And the big questio ns associated with that transformation turn arou nd empowerment: how governments will relate to their citizens; how enterprises will relate to their employees, shareholders and customers; or how superpowers will relate to smaller countries. The fourth Industrial Revolution would have four main effects on business across industries: - customer expectations are shifting - products are being enhanced by data, which improves asset productivity - new partnerships are being formed as companies learn the importance of new forms of collaborative innovation, - and opera ting models and organizational forms are being transformed into new digital models. Schwab also considers the two competing effects that technology exercises on employment: The fourth Industrial Revolution seems to be creating fewer new jobs in new industr ies than previous revolutions. 8 9 In his book , he summarizes 23 deep shifts in technology that fuel the current transformation: 1. Implantable Technologies 2. Our Digital Presence 3. Vision as the New Interface 4. Wearable Internet 5. Ubiquitous Computing 6 The Fourth Industrial Revolution: what it means, how to respond https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-what-it-means-and- how-to-respond 7 http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/28570175-the-fourth-industrial-revolution 8 http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/28570175-the-fourth-industrial-revolution 9 See also: Deep Shift - Technology Tipping Points and Societal Impacthttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GAC15_Technological_Tipping_Points_report_2015.pd f 9

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