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Descriptor Revision: Belief Change through Direct Choice PDF

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Trends in Logic 46 Sven Ove Hansson Descriptor Revision Belief Change Through Direct Choice Trends in Logic Volume 46 TRENDS IN LOGIC Studia Logica Library VOLUME 46 Editor-in-chief HeinrichWansing, Ruhr-University Bochum, Bochum,Germany Editorial Assistant Andrea Robitzsch, University ofOsnabrück, Osnabrück,Germany EditorialBoard Wesley Holliday, University of California, Berkeley, USA Arnon Avron,University of TelAviv, TelAviv, Israel Katalin Bimbó,University of Alberta,Edmonton, Canada Giovanna Corsi, University of Bologna,Bologna,Italy JanuszCzelakowski, University of Opole, Opole, Poland Roberto Giuntini,University of Cagliari,Cagliari, Italy RajeevGoré,Australian National University, Canberra, Australia Andreas Herzig, University ofToulouse, Toulouse, France Andrzej Indrzejczak, University of Łodz, Łodz,Poland Daniele Mundici,University ofFlorence,Florence, Italy SergeiOdintsov, SobolevInstitute of Mathematics, Novosibirsk, Russia EwaOrłowska, Institute ofTelecommunications, Warsaw,Poland PeterSchroeder-Heister, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany Yde Venema,University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, TheNetherlands Andreas Weiermann, University of Ghent, Ghent, Belgium Frank Wolter,University of Liverpool, Liverpool,UK Ming Xu,WuhanUniversity, Wuhan, People’s Republic ofChina Foundingeditor Ryszard Wójcicki, Polish Academy ofSciences, Warsaw, Poland SCOPE OFTHESERIES ThebookseriesTrendsinLogiccoversessentiallythesameareasasthejournalStudiaLogica, thatis,contemporaryformallogicanditsapplicationsandrelationstootherdisciplines.The series aims at publishing monographs and thematically coherent volumes dealing with importantdevelopmentsinlogicandpresentingsignificantcontributionstologicalresearch. Theseriesisopentocontributionsdevotedtotopicsrangingfromalgebraiclogic,model theory,prooftheory,philosophicallogic,non-classicallogic,andlogicincomputerscience to mathematical linguistics and formal epistemology. However, this list is not exhaustive, moreover, the range of applications, comparisons and sources of inspiration is open and evolves overtime. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/6645 Sven Ove Hansson Descriptor Revision Belief Change Through Direct Choice 123 SvenOve Hansson Division of Philosophy RoyalInstitute ofTechnology Stockholm Sweden ISSN 1572-6126 ISSN 2212-7313 (electronic) Trends inLogic ISBN978-3-319-53060-4 ISBN978-3-319-53061-1 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-53061-1 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2017933665 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingAG2017 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authorsortheeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinor for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. Printedonacid-freepaper ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Preface The use of logical modelling to study belief change is a well-established research area since more than three decades. The focus is mostly on operations that take us fromabeliefstateinwhichaparticularsentenceisbelievedtooneinwhichitisnot believed,ortheotherway around. Inthemajormodels,theseoperationsarebased on a mechanism that can be constructed as a choice among maximally consistent sets of sentences, “possible worlds.” The development of these models has been accompanied by a critical discussion in which the resulting operations of change have been shown to have implausible properties. Thisbookproposes aretake for thelogicof belief change. From a formal point ofview,twoinnovationsarecombinedtoarriveatanewtypeofmodel,descriptor revision,inwhichtheimplausiblepropertiesareavoided.Oneoftheseinnovations consistsinbasingtheoperationonadirectchoiceamongpotentialoutcomes(belief states)ratherthanindirectlyonachoiceamongpossibleworldsortheirequivalents. The other innovation is a new formal device, belief descriptors, that is used for describing the goals of a belief change. They allow us to represent a much wider array of belief changes than the incorporation or rejection of a single sentence. In combination with the new choice mechanism, they also allow us to perform all these changes in a unified way. All formal proofs are deferred to an appendix. A list of symbols and a general index are included in order to facilitate the reader’s orientation in the book. This book has grown out of several years of research. References are given throughoutthetexttopreviouspublicationswherethisworkwasreportedatearlier stages.Readerswishingtocomparethebooktoitsprecursorsmayhaveuseforthe following references to the Bibliography: Sections 4.1–4.2 [135], Sections 4.3–4.5 and 5.1–5.2 [124], Section 5.4 [130], Section 5.5 [126], Sections 6.1–6.3 and 7.2–7.3 [132], Section 7.4 [129], Section 7.5 [131], Section 8.1 [124], Section 8.2 [124, 128], Section 8.3 [132], Section 8.4 [126], Section 9.1 [124], Section 9.3 [126], Section 10.3 [134], Section 10.5 [120], and Section 10.6 [117]. I have benefitted greatly in this work from critical discussions on seminars and workshops in Stockholm, Lund, Copenhagen, Amsterdam, Schloss Dagstuhl, Munich,Nancy,ACaruña,Madeira,Pittsburgh,SãoPaulo,Campinas,Beijing,and v vi Preface several other places. I am grateful to everyone who took part in these discussions. Special thanks go to Johan van Benthem, Gregor Betz, John Cantwell, Hans van Ditmarsch,EduardoFermé,Valentin Goranko,DavidMakinson,andZhangLifor their comments on an earlier version of the manuscript. Stockholm, Sweden Sven Ove Hansson December 2016 Contents Symbols.. .... .... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... xi Preview .. .... .... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... xv Part I Why a New Approach? 1 The State of the Art .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 3 1.1 A Sentential, Input-Assimilating Approach.... .... ..... .... 3 1.2 The AGM Construction .. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 6 1.3 The AGM Postulates .... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 7 1.4 Possible World Models... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 9 1.5 Epistemic Entrenchment.. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 15 1.6 Conclusion ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 16 2 Inside the Black Box.... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 17 2.1 Epistemic Choice .. ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 18 2.2 The Select-and-Intersect Method.... .... .... .... ..... .... 19 2.3 Is the Intersection as Good as Its Origins?.... .... ..... .... 21 2.4 Do All Success Conditions Withstand Intersection?. ..... .... 22 2.5 Do We Select Among the Right Objects?. .... .... ..... .... 23 3 Questionable Patterns of Change... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 27 3.1 The Postulates of Finite-Based Outcome . .... .... ..... .... 27 3.2 The Success Postulates... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 29 3.3 The Recovery Postulate .. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 30 3.4 Pure Contraction and the Inclusion Postulate .. .... ..... .... 31 3.5 The Expansion Property.. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 33 3.6 Extending the Language.. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 34 3.7 Iterated Change.... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 37 3.8 Ten Desiderata for an Alternative Framework . .... ..... .... 42 vii viii Contents Part II Descriptor Revision 4 Putting the Building-Blocks Together ... .... .... .... ..... .... 45 4.1 Beginning Without Sentences.. .... .... .... .... ..... .... 45 4.2 Support Functions.. ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 49 4.3 Belief Descriptors.. ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 53 4.4 Properties of Descriptors.. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 55 4.5 Descriptor Revision Introduced. .... .... .... .... ..... .... 58 4.6 Conclusion ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 60 5 Local Descriptor Revision..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 63 5.1 Monoselective Descriptor Revision.. .... .... .... ..... .... 64 5.2 Linear and Centrolinear Revision... .... .... .... ..... .... 67 5.3 Indeterministic Descriptor Revision . .... .... .... ..... .... 70 5.4 Blockage Revision . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 73 5.5 Relations of Epistemic Proximity... .... .... .... ..... .... 78 6 Global Descriptor Revision.... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 85 6.1 Global Monoselective and Centrolinear Revision... ..... .... 86 6.2 Distance-Based Global Revision.... .... .... .... ..... .... 87 6.3 Global Blockage Revision .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 91 7 Dynamic Descriptors.... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 95 7.1 Representing Autoepistemic Beliefs . .... .... .... ..... .... 96 7.2 Ramsey Descriptors ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 98 7.3 The Logic of Ramsey Descriptors .. .... .... .... ..... .... 100 7.4 Alternative Approaches to Conditionals .. .... .... ..... .... 105 7.5 Non-Monotonic Inference. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 107 7.6 Modalities of Belief ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 111 Part III Sentential Change Revisited 8 Sentential Revision . .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 117 8.1 Sentential Monoselective Revision.. .... .... .... ..... .... 118 8.2 Sentential Centrolinear Revision.... .... .... .... ..... .... 120 8.3 Global Sentential Revision.... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 126 8.4 Believability Relations ... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 127 8.5 Multiple Revision and Making up One’s Mind. .... ..... .... 130 9 Revocation.... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 133 9.1 Monoselective Revocation .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 134 9.2 Centrolinear Revocation.. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 135 9.3 Entrenchment . .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 139 9.4 Multiple Revocation and Entrenchment .. .... .... ..... .... 143 9.5 A Revisionary Account of Giving up Beliefs.. .... ..... .... 146 Contents ix 10 Contraction ... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 151 10.1 How to Construct Contraction . .... .... .... .... ..... .... 151 10.2 Centrolinear and Maximal Contraction... .... .... ..... .... 152 10.3 Two Impossibility Theorems .. .... .... .... .... ..... .... 154 10.4 Monomaximal Contraction.... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 155 10.5 Perimaximal Contraction.. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 156 10.6 Bootstrap Contraction.... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 159 Part IV Epilogue 11 Looking Back – and Ahead ... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 165 11.1 Looking Back. .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 165 11.2 Looking Ahead.... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 166 Appendices Proofs.... .... .... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 171 Bibliography .. .... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 219 Index .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 231

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