EXPORT POTENTIALITY OF MAJOR FRUITS OF INDIA - AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS UNIM MATHIAS USHUNDE „ DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS COLLEGE OF AGRICULTURE, RAICHUR UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, RAICHUR – 584 104 MAY, 2015 EXPORT POTENTIALITY OF MAJOR FRUITS OF INDIA- AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Thesis submitted to the University of Agricultural Sciences, Raichur In partial fulfilment of the requirement for the Degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY IN AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS BY UNIM MATHIAS USHUNDE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS COLLEGE OF AGRICULTURE, RAICHUR UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, RAICHUR – 584 104 MAY, 2015 DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS COLLEGE OF AGRICULTURE, RAICHUR UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, RAICHUR – 584 104 CERTIFICATE This is to certify that the THESIS “EXPORT POTENTIALITY OF MAJOR FRUITS OF INDIA – AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS” submitted by Mr. UNIM MATHIAS USHUNDE, for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in Agricultural Economics to the University of Agricultural Sciences, Raichur, is a record of research work carried out by him during the period of his study in this University, under my guidance and supervision and the thesis has not previously formed the basis for the award of any degree, diploma, associateship, fellowship or other similar titles. Raichur SURESH S. PATIL APRIL, 2015 (Major Advisor) Approved by: Chairman: _______________________ (SURESH S. PATIL) Members: 1. _______________________ (AMRUTHA T. JOSHI) 2. _______________________ (G. M. HIREMATH) 3. _______________________ (A. R. KURUBAR) 4. _______________________ (D. S. K. DEVADATTAMM) AFFECTIONATELY DEDICATED TO THE “ALMIGHTY GOD”, MY GREAT LATE FATHER AND MY BELOVED FAMILY ACKNOWLEDGEMENT It is the lavish love and blessings of the almighty God that I have been able to complete my studies successfully and present this piece of research for which I am interiorly grateful to Him. I sincerely thank all who directly or indirectly made this onerous work possible. I wish to express my profound gratitude to Dr. Suresh S. Patil, Professor and Head, Department of Agricultural Economics and chairman of my advisory committee for his unwavering support, valuable guidance, counselling, timely correction, noble advice and encouragement throughout the course of this research and the entire academic programme in the University I am indeed privileged to be associated with him and I lack words to express my heartfelt respect for him; bravo to you sir. It also gives me an immense pleasure to express my heartfelt gratitude to late Dr. L. B. Hugar who nurtured and tutelage the research topic for this PhD Thesis. I remain grateful, sleep peacefully in the lord. May I express my immense pleasure to all the members of my advisory committee, Dr. D. S. K. Devadattan, Reverend Professor, Department of Processing and Food Engineering, college of Agricultural engineering, University of Agricultural Sciences, Raichur. Dr. Kurubar, Professor, Horticulture, Department UAS, Raichur. Dr. Amrutha T. Joshi, Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural economics UAS, Raichur and Dr. G. M. Hiremath, Assistant Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, UAS, Raichur for their invaluable guidance and useful suggestion during this research work. I doff my hat for all my advisory committee members. From the bottom of my heart and with deep sense of gratitude I sincerely express my heartfelt thanks to Dr. Jagruthi B. D., Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Dr. Lokesha H. Associate Professor Department of Agricultural Economics, Dr. G. B. Lokesh, Assistant Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Dr. V. B. Wali, Assistant Professor, Department of Statistics, and Dr. Devendra Beeraladinni, Assistant Professor, UAS, Raichur for their support and valuable suggestions and encouragement given to me both in personal and professional. I am indeed very glad to the sincere love, mental support, words of encouragement, unflagging inspiration interest and selfless sacrifices of my dearly beloved first lady RT, my parents Unim Uzik Ubanlitiam Alelele (RIP) and Mama Angelina Unim. Thanks for the encouragement, inspiration and moral support of my elder brother Dr. Peter Unim. Special thanks to all the members of my family and the charismatic brethren for their prayers. I am deeply grateful to the provost of Federal College of Education, Obudu Chief Dr. Eugene Igbili, the Registrar of the college Mrs Mary Adie, the Director of Academic Programme Dr. Anthony Agbi, the Dean, School of Vocational Education. Dr. Boniface Ellah, the Chairman Colleges of Education Academic Staff Union F.C.E Obudu chapter Dr. Pierre Betiang and all my colleges and friends at F.C.E, Obudu. I say a big thank you. My sincere thanks to the Government of Nigeria for the ‘TETFUND’ programme which has done so much over the years to encourage and sponsor candidates up to PhD level. Thank you so very much. I am deeply grateful to the Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) and African Union (AU) for their support and commitment to this programme. I am very Thankful to Dr. K.N. Selvaraj, Professor and Head, Department of Agricultural Business TNAU, Coimbatore for his insight, guidance and counselling towards this research work. I am Grateful to the Honourable Vice-chancellor of the UAS, Raichur, Dr. P. M. Salimath, the Director of Education, Dr. B. V. Patil, The Registrar, Dr. Chandaragi, the Dean, Post graduate studies, Dr. M. K. Naik and all the principal staff of the University for the wonderful support accorded me during the course of my studies in the University. Special thanks to my spiritual director and parish priest of St. Francis Xavier Catholic church Raichur, Rev Fr Leo Michael and all the Rev. Sisters of the parish for their kind support, prayers and encouragement throughout my staying in Raichur. My indebtedness will never be complete without acknowledging the wonderful work done and generosity shown to me by all the staff of Library Department, UAS, Raichur, I am very grateful to you all especially Dr. Machendranath S., Deputy Librarian, Mr. Santosh, my friend, Mr. Satesh Kumar, Mr. Shivanna Galaganavar, and most importantly my dear friend Mr. Manjunath, for his painstaking artistic work, commitment, dedication, timeless sacrifice towards this research work. Thank you so very much. My sincere thanks to Avinash, Naveen, Prashanth, Parshunath, Bhawar, Thasnimol, Somanath, Mohammed Yunus, Manjunath, Vijaykumar and all other my junior friends at the Department of Agricultural Economics, UAS, Raichur. A very special thanks to my African Brothers in Raichur, Brian, Tegnegnework, Aliyu, Bennecdicto, Motlhanka and Francis. Above all, I kneel and bow my head before the altar of the ALMIGHTY GOD for protecting me, guiding and seeing me through all circumstances while in Raichur. Omission of any name does not mean lack of gratitude. Raichur UNIM MATHIAS USHUNDE May 26 2015 LIST OF ABBREVIATION Abbreviation Expansion APEDA Agricultural Processed Foods and Export Development Authority BIS Bureau of Indian Standards DRC Domestic Resource Cost EEC European Economic Community EU European Union NAFTA North America Free Trade Agreement EPC Effective Protection Coefficient C and F Clearing and Forwarding NPC Nominal Protection Coefficient DGCIS Directorate General for Commerce intelligence and Statistics CA Correspondence Analysis NHB National Horticulture Board KAPPEC Karnataka State Agricultural Produce Processing and Export Corporation Limited MAD Minimum Absolute Deviation CGR Compound Growth Rate LP Linear Programming WTO World Trade Organisation MINITAB Minimal Table WANA West Asia Nations Association TFFPS Top Five Fruits Producing States Pre-NHM Pre National Horticulture mission Post-NHM Post National Horticulture mission SH State Highways NH National Highways PAM Policy Analysis Matrix OER Official Exchange Rate NDZ Northern Dry Zone IPM Integrated Pest Management SMMS Scottish Milk Marketing Board UNESCO United Nations Education, Scientific and Cultural Organization TETFUND Tertiary Education Trust Fund FOB Free On Board CONTENTS Chapter Title Page No. No. CERTIFICATE iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT iv-v LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS vi-vii LIST OF TABLES viii-ix LIST OF FIGURES x LIST OF APPENDICES xi I INTRODUCTION 1-9 II REVIEW OF LITERATURE 10-25 III METHODOLOGY 26-42 IV RESULTS 43-97 V DISCUSSION 98-111 VI SUMMARY AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS 112-116 VII REFERENCES 117-122 APPENDICES 123-131 LIST OF TABLES Table No. Title Page No. Export of Agricultural Commodities vis-a-vis total National 4.1 45 exports from India during the period 1998-99 to 2012-13 Compound growth rates for different export indicators of 4.2 48 fresh banana Compound growth rates for different export indicators of 4.3 50 fresh mango Instability in export of fresh banana from India during pre 4.4 52 and post NHM periods Instability in export of fresh mango from India during pre and 4.5 53 post NHM periods Transitional probability matrix of banana during pre NHM 4.6 55 period (1993-2005) Transitional probability matrix of banana during post NHM 4.7 55 period (2006-2013) Transitional probability matrix of fresh mango during pre 4.8 57 NHM period Transitional probability matrix of fresh mango export during 4.9 57 post NHM period (2006-2013) 4.10 Region-wise export of banana from India 59 4.11 Region-wise export of mango from India 60 Actual and estimated shares of fresh banana to selected 4.12 62 countries Actual and estimated shares of fresh mango to selected 4.13 63 countries Projected export shares of Indian fresh banana to major 4.14 75 importing countries Projected export shares of Indian fresh mango to major 4.15 75 importing countries NPC, EPC and DRC for banana during pre and post NHM 4.16 77 periods Cont...
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