DENIAL OF SANCTUARY PraegerSecurityInternationalAdvisoryBoard BoardCochairs LochK.Johnson,RegentsProfessorofPublicandInternationalAffairs,SchoolofPublic andInternationalAffairs,UniversityofGeorgia(U.S.A.) PaulWilkinson,ProfessorofInternationalRelationsandChairmanoftheAdvisory Board,CentrefortheStudyofTerrorismandPoliticalViolence,Universityof St.Andrews(U.K.) Members EliotA.Cohen,RobertE.OsgoodProfessorofStrategicStudiesandDirector,Philip MerrillCenterforStrategicStudies,PaulH.NitzeSchoolofAdvancedInternational Studies,TheJohnsHopkinsUniversity(U.S.A.) AnthonyH.Cordesman,ArleighA.BurkeChairinStrategy,CenterforStrategicand InternationalStudies(U.S.A.) The´re`seDelpech,DirectorofStrategicAffairs,AtomicEnergyCommission,andSenior ResearchFellow,CERI(FondationNationaledesSciencesPolitiques),Paris(France) SirMichaelHoward,formerChicheleProfessoroftheHistoryofWarandRegisProfessor ofModernHistory,OxfordUniversity,andRobertA.Lovett,ProfessorofMilitaryand NavalHistory,YaleUniversity(U.K.) LieutenantGeneralClaudiaJ.Kennedy,USA(Ret.),formerDeputyChiefofStafffor Intelligence,DepartmentoftheArmy(U.S.A.) PaulM.Kennedy,J.RichardsonDilworthProfessorofHistoryandDirector,International SecurityStudies,YaleUniversity(U.S.A.) RobertJ.O’Neill,formerChicheleProfessoroftheHistoryofWar,AllSoulsCollege, OxfordUniversity(Australia) ShibleyTelhami,AnwarSadatChairforPeaceandDevelopment,Departmentof GovernmentandPolitics,UniversityofMaryland(U.S.A.) JusufWanandi,co-founderandmember,BoardofTrustees,CentreforStrategicand InternationalStudies(Indonesia) FareedZakaria,Editor,NewsweekInternational(U.S.A.) DENIAL OF SANCTUARY UnderstandingTerroristSafeHavens EDITED BY MICHAEL A. INNES Foreword by Michael F. Scheuer PRAEGERSECURITYINTERNATIONAL (cid:1) Westport,Connecticut London LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Denialofsanctuary:understandingterroristsafehavens/editedbyMichaelA.Innes;forewordby MichaelF.Scheuer. p. cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN-13:978-0-275-99212-5(alk.paper) 1.WaronTerrorism,2001- 2.Terrorism–Governmentpolicy–UnitedStates. 3.UnitedStates–Foreignrelations–2001- 4.Bush,GeorgeW.(GeorgeWalker),1946- 5.UnitedStates–Politicsandgovernment–2001- 6.Internationalrelations. I.Innes,MichaelA.,1969- HV6432.D45 2007 363.325(cid:1)16–dc22 2007014270 BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationDataisavailable. Copyright(cid:2)c 2007byMichaelA.Innes Allrightsreserved.Noportionofthisbookmaybe reproduced,byanyprocessortechnique,withoutthe expresswrittenconsentofthepublisher. LibraryofCongressCatalogCardNumber:2007014270 ISBN-13:978–0–275–99212–5 ISBN-10:0–275–99212–8 Firstpublishedin2007 PraegerSecurityInternational,88PostRoadWest,Westport,CT06881 AnimprintofGreenwoodPublishingGroup,Inc. www.praeger.com PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica Thepaperusedinthisbookcomplieswiththe PermanentPaperStandardissuedbytheNational InformationStandardsOrganization(Z39.48–1984). 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Contents ForewordbyMichaelF.Scheuer vii Preface xi 1. CracksintheSystem:SanctuaryandTerrorismAfter9/11 1 MichaelA.Innes 2. CriticalReflectionsonCounter-SanctuaryDiscourse 21 RichardJackson 3. Netwar,theModernGeopoliticalImagination,andtheDeath oftheCivilian 34 ColinFlint 4. TheFailureofalQaedaBasingProjectsfromAfghanistantoIraq 49 BrianGlynWilliams 5. ConstraintsandOpportunitiesinUngovernedSpaces:TheHorn ofAfrica 67 KennethJ.Menkhaus 6. IraqandtheEdgesofTerroristSpace 83 AliceHills 7. TerroristFinanceandtheCriminalUnderground 97 RohanKumarGunaratnaandArabindaAcharya 8. LegalSanctuariesandPredatorStrikesintheWaronTerror 112 WilliamC.Banks vi contents 9. ExploringtheRoleofVirtualCamps 124 JarretBrachmanandJamesJ.F.Forest 10. HidinginPlainSightinLondonistan 139 JeffreyM.Bale 11. FromSanctuariestoProtostates 152 VandaFelbab-Brown Notes 167 SelectBibliography 201 Index 211 AbouttheEditorandContributors 225 Foreword Readers of these essays ought to come away shaken by the expanded definition of terrorist “sanctuary” and “safe haven” that the authors present and quite ably defend.WeintheWestareconditionedbypoliticalleadersandthemediatothink ofsanctuariesasspecificgeographiclocationswhereterroristscanassemble,train, andplaninarelativelyunthreateningenvironment.Suchplacesareassumedtobe mostlyinso-calledfailed-statesorinstatesthatareineffectivelygoverned.And in many cases, this is exactly where they are located: Somalia, Afghanistan, the North Caucasus, Iraq, Yemen, Bangladesh, and a startlingly numerous group of otherstates.Theessaysinthisvolumeaddressthesephysicallocationsandreveal the benefits that terrorists derive from them, including the lack of governmental interference,inaccessibilitytothosehuntingthem,andanenvironmentthatallows systematicandpatienttraining. Totheircredit,however,theauthorslikewisepointoutthattheseremotesafe havensalsopresentproblemsfortheterroristgroupsinsomeofthesameways, suchasdifficultiesofingressandegress,primitivelivingconditions,andthelackof moderncommunications.Inaddition,wefindthatthelackofaneffectivecentral government does not mean an absence of local authorities that hinder terrorist activities.TribalandclanruleinAfricancountries,totakejustoneexample,can limittheterrorists’abilitytofullyexploittheirsafehaven. The authors generally see these geographic sanctuaries as almost a lure to imperialisminthesensethattotheextentthattheUnitedStatesandotherWestern governments focus on bringing these “ungoverned regions” under control, they mustusemilitaryoperationsthatunavoidablyleadtoprolongedoccupationsand the emergence of new Western dependencies. With this argument I certainly concur, but I believe it results less from an imperialist urge in the West than viii foreword fromtheendemicmoralcowardiceamongWesternleadersthatkeepsthemfrom effectivelyusingtheiroverwhelmingmilitarysuperioritytodestroytheenemyat hand and then leave. Many of the terrorist problems that crop up in ungoverned regions can be solved militarily, but not if force is applied with a dainty or incremental hand. As always, the only mercy in war—as Machiavelli suggested fivecenturiesago—istheuseofannihilatingforceatthestartinordertoendthe conflictasquicklyaspossible.And,yes,byconsistentlyrememberingthatonce themilitaryjobiscomplete,thetimehasarrivedtowithdrawandgohome. Beyond geographic sanctuary, the authors closely examine the safe havens and sanctuaries that terrorists have developed in urban areas, via the Internet, and through cooperation with well-organized criminal groups with international reach. The authors also make clear that the terrorists have built a comfortable, proficient,andthoroughlymodernrelationshipwithglobalization’simpacts,and are exploiting the increasing unwillingness of Western governments to enforce theirownlaws. The vital importance of urban sanctuary to the terrorists discussed in these essays is on mark for two reasons. First, because it is indisputably true. For the United States, for example, the attacks of 9/11 became realities because the attackers were able to lose themselves in the crowd and function effectively in Karachi, Hamburg, Jakarta, New York, and other mega-cities, just as much as because they were able to train at camps in Taleban-ruled Afghanistan. Second, thevolume’semphasisonurbanandelectronicsanctuarydriveshomeanessential pointthatisstilltoomuchignoredbyWesterngoverningelites:Islamistterrorists more often than not come from among the best-and-brightest of the Muslim world’s population. These are not poor, hopeless, illiterate economic migrants; theyareeducated,talented,pious,modern,andcomputersavvymenandwomen drawnfromthemiddleandupper-middleclasses,individualswhonotonlyfitinto urbanenvironmentsbutthrivethere.Theirmotivationisbasedonreligion-based hatredfortheimpactofU.S.andWesternactionsonIslamanditsfollowers,and thiskeepsthemtightlyfocusedontheirbasicallydefensivegoal—protectingtheir faith by waging war to remove the Western, and especially the U.S., presence from the Muslim world. This focus enables them to work effectively, as Osama binLadenhaslongadvised,withsuchlesser,un-Islamicevilsasorganizedcrime, interest-basedfinancialinstitutionsandnetworks,andnarcoticstraffickers. In fact, so comfortable and efficient are terrorists in using these lesser evils to further their goals that they have created lose-lose situations for the United States and the West in several areas of the world. This is demonstrated in the volume’s essays analyzing the West’s losing and Taleban-benefiting efforts at heroineradicationinAfghanistan;thepainfulrealitythattheUKgovernmentmay wellalienateitslargeMuslimpopulationbytakingthelaw-enforcementmeasures needed to reduce the chances of domestic terrorism; and the emerging fact that unbridledglobalization—especiallyinfinance,commerce,andcommunications— has created sanctuaries for terrorists that can only be destroyed by blows that foreword ix wouldstrikejustashardagainsttheWest’sbasiceconomicandideological,i.e., freespeech,interests. Ialsowantbrieflytonoteafurther,fairlydurableterroristsanctuary—orat lastaprotectedniche—thattheessaysstronglysuggest,eventhoughthereisno paper that deals with it specifically. That sanctuary lies, I think, in the deep and stubbornleft-rightdivisionofWesternpolitics.Theessayscapturetheabilityof terroriststooperateintheWest’smodernandurbanenvironment,andsuggest—at least to me—that this favorable environment is likely to remain open to them because as the West fights the terrorists, we are also fighting each other. From the right, we find the oddity of an overemphasis on military operations that are simultaneouslytoomildtobeeffective,anelementthatfavorsChristiancrusad- ing,andanunfettereddesiretopromoteglobalizationandillegalimmigrationto satetheneedforcontinuingeconomicgrowthandthealwaysvoraciousgreedof humanbeings.Fromtheleft,weseeanalmostdoctrinaireandsurelyahistorical religious faith in the viability of multiculturalism, the benign benefits of global- ization, and the ebbing belief in the efficacy of the nation-state and its military capabilities.Andbothsidesshareastudied,fearfulreluctancetopubliclydebate politically hard and nasty domestic issues, such as enforcing immigration laws andbordercontrols,tougheningantidruglaws,and—mostdifficultofall—giving carefulconsiderationtowhatextent,orevenwhether,Islamismiscompatiblewith contemporaryWesternsociety.Aslongasrightandleftremainatdaggersdrawn, it seems to me that effective self-defense in the West is a very distant goal, and thatthisrealityofferstheterroristsanothervaluablesanctuary. Overall, the essays presented in this well-edited volume are a welcome ad- dition to the literature on terrorists and the bases and sanctuaries—physical and virtual—from which they operate. Readers will, of course, agree, disagree, or simplyrejectcertainoftheessays’specificsandconclusions.Theywouldbedaft, however,tocomeawayfromtheseessayswithoutagreaterrespectforthemod- ern,resourceful,andadaptableenemytheWestfaces;indeed,theterm“terrorist” seemstominimizeandevenbelittlethefoe’ssize,power,geographicalreach,and potentialimpact.Theauthorshavedoneasplendidjobinlayingbarethisreality, andhaveprovidedagreatlyexpandedfoundationfromwhichamoremultifaceted andsophisticatedconsiderationoftheproblemoftheterrorists’sanctuariescanbe constructed.Forthisservice,weowethemthanksandahearty,ifold-fashioned, “Welldone.” MichaelF.Scheuer
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