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DEMOGRAPHYAND REPRODUCTIVE ECOLOGY OF GREAT FRIGATEBIRDS BY DONALD C. DEARBORN' ANDANGELAD. ANDERS- ABSTRACT Frigatebirds {Fregata spp.) differfrom most Pacific seabirds in fundamental ways, making it difficultto include themin generalizations aboutseabirdmanagement. We present demographic data on great frigatebirds {F. minor) on Tern Island, French Frigate Shoals, in 1998-2000. In terms ofmating attempts, males were more likely than females to tryto obtain a mate butwere much less likely to succeed atpairing, andthe variation in pairing success was greaterformales than females. Althoughfledging success was high (63.5%), hatching success was below 30% in all three years ofthis study. Males endtheirparental care offledglings soonerthan do females, butparental care by both sexes extends into the pair-formation portion ofthe nextbreeding season. Plumage data indicate that females do notbreed in years following a successfial breeding attempt. Formales, the findings are less clear; some males may simultaneously feed 1- year-old offspring andtendnew nests. In colony-wide counts offrigatebirds, we detected as many as 1,171 males, 1,053 females, and 691 juveniles on the Island at atime. We estimatedthat in 1999 there were 2,099 males and 1,615 females thatnested, out ofa pool ofapproximately 11,195 males thattriedto attract a mate and 1,809 females that evaluatedpotential mates. Because additional birds did nottry to breed atall, the total numberofadults in the population is largerthanthis. Using amplified fragment length polymorphism (AFLP) genetic markers, we found no evidence ofspatial genetic structure withintheTern Island colony, confirmingprevious work showing genetic variation between, butnotwithin, breeding colonies. INTRODUCTION Biological conservation requires abasic understanding ofthe life history and demography offocal species (Meffe and Carroll, 1994), and sound managementmay be — — especially important andproblematic for species such as seabirds that are clustered into areas ofhigh density duringbreeding. Frigatebirds {Fregata spp.) are colonially breeding seabirds forwhich detailedreproductive and demographic data are generally lacking formostparts oftheirrange (Metz and Schreiber, 2002), andgeneralizing 'DepartmentofBiologyandPrograminAnimalBehavior,BucknellUniversity,MooreAve., Lewisburg,PA 17837USA,E-mail: [email protected] -DepartmentofBiologyandPrograminEcology,PennsylvaniaStateUniversity,321 MuellerLab, UniversityPark,PA 16802USA 160 from other seabird species maybe unwise, given that frigatebirds are extreme among seabirds in their sexual dimorphism (Dearborn et al. 2001a), low wing loading (Metz and Schreiber, 2002), thermal-dependentflight (Weimerskirch et al., 2003), shortpairbonds (Nelson, 1975), and long parental effort (Nelson, 1975). Ourprevious work with great frigatebirds {F. minor) breeding onTern Island (23° 45'N latitude, 166° 17'Wlongitude), Hawaii, has shown thatthesebirds arevery long-lived (individuals over40 years ofage; Juola etal., in press). They regularly move thousands ofkilometers between islands, yet they retain broad-scale genetic differentiation (Dearborn et al., 2003). Theytypically exhibit a very male-biased sex ratio atthe breeding colony (Dearborn et al., 2001a), inbreed slightlywhen choosing mates (Cohen and Dearborn, 2004), and onlyrarely exhibit extra-pairpaternity (Dearborn et al., 2001a). Finally, reproductive success offrigatebirds onTern Island is tiedto the body condition ofthe breeding adults (Dearborn, 2001). Here, we presentnew data from 1998, 1999, and 2000 to address fourbasic aspects ofreproductive ecology in this Tern Islandpopulation ofgreat frigatebirds. First, we compare the pairing success ofmales and females. Second, we quantify reproductive success at monitorednests. Third, we compare the duration and frequency ofbreeding ofmales andfemales. Andfinally, we explorethe size and structure ofthe breeding population, basedon direct counts, mark-resightdata, and spatial analysis ofAFLP genetic profiles ofbreeders. METHODS Pairing Success ofMales andFemales To assess breeding attempts and pairing success ofmales and females, we banded and wing-taggedunpairedbirds atthe startofthe 2000breeding season bycapturing them in the breeding colonywhile theywere perched in shrubs atnight. Between 23 January2000 and 30 January2000, we tagged 79 males, 76 ofwhich were inbreeding plumage, and 54 females, 51 ofwhich were in breedingplumage. Subsequently, we surveyed the breeding colony three times per day (at 0900, 1330, and 1700) from 23 January through 15 May 2000 to record the reproductivebehaviorofthese marked individuals. An individual was categorized as attempting to mate ifamale's gular pouchwas inflated orifa female was performing an inspection ofa displaying male, eitherwhile making stereotypical low-altitude inspectionflights orwhileperched in contactwith a displayingmale. Fortaggedbirds that eventually builtnests, contents of nests were monitored daily. Based directly on these observations oftaggedbirds, we calculated the proportion ofdisplaying males that obtained a mate andthe proportion of mate-evaluating females that obtaineda mate. 161 Reproductive Success We measuredhatching success in 1998, 1999, and 2000 by making daily or twice- dailychecks ofindividually marked nests from the start ofegg laying (typically early February) through early summer(July in 1998 and 1999, May in 2000). In 1999, nests were then followedbi-weekly through Decemberto measure fledging success. Duration ofBreeding Cycle and Breeding FrequencyAcrossYears by Males and Females Duringthe egg-layingperiod, fromthe end ofJanuarythrough May orJune, many adults are still feeding 1-year-old offspring from the previous breeding season. Although these 1-year-olds can fly, they still rely on colony visits by theirparents for most oftheir food. We recorded all opportunistic observations ofadults feeding 1-year-olds fromthe first ofJanuaryto early July in 1998 and late January to early May in 1999 and inferred differences inthe duration ofparental care from temporal patterns in the proportion of feedings madebymales versus females. During these feeding observations, we also recorded plumage coloration ofthe provisioning adult. Comparing theirplumage to that ofbirds currently incubating eggs orbrooding new chicks allows an assessment ofwhetherthepool ofadults caring for 1-year-olds is different fromthe pool ofadults with new nesting attempts. We assessed the plumage ofall males that were incubating eggs orbrooding young chicks onTern Island on 30 March 1999, and we did the same forfemales on 2April 1999; we then compared the distribution ofplumage coloration in these groups withthat ofbirds thatwere feeding 1-year-old offspring in 1999. BreedingPopulation Size and Spatial Genetic Structure In 1998 and 1999, we conducted daily counts ofthe frigatebird colony by m following aregular survey route that took us within 50 ofall individuals on the Island (see Dearborn et al., 2001a). Duringthese surveys, we counted individuals in three age classes (1-2 yearoldjuveniles, 3-6 year old subadults, and adults), two sex classes (foradults only), andthree location classes (perched, on nest, andflying). The number ofbirds onnests atany giventime is only aminimum countofthe numberofnesting attempts andnumberofbirds attempting to nestthatyear, because the majority of nests fail. Tobetterestimate the numberofnesting attempts and the number ofadults participating inthese attempts, we combinedestimates offledging success atthose nests thatwere monitored during the 1999 season, the numberofchicks fledged across the entire colonythat season (as revealed in acensus made inAugust), and the frequency ofnesting attempts by markedmales andfemales. We calculatedthe total numberof nesting adults inthe colony as (#fledged)/(estimate ofreproductive success)x(mean # nest attempts formarkedmales and females). Last, we combined this calculation with ourmeasurement ofpairing success formales and females, to yield an estimate ofthe total numberofindividuals that attempted to attract a mate (inthe case ofmales) or choose amate (inthe case offemales) in thatbreeding season. 162 Ourprevious research on this population had suggested an absence ofstrong spatial genetic structure to the breeding colony, as assessedwith multilocus minisatellite fingerprinting (Cohen and Dearborn, 2004). Here, weuse a separate data set to assess the robustness ofthis finding. In an analysis ofpopulation genetic structure amongTern Island, JohnstonAtoll, and Christmas Island (Kiribati), we analyzedAFLPdata from 117 polymorphic loci (Dearborn et al., 2003), finding significant differentiation among the three islands. Here, we use Spatial Genetic Software v. 1.0c (SGS; Degen et al., 2001) to test for spatial autocon'elation amongthe Tern Island samples. Foreach bird thatwas sampled, we mapped its breeding location on a coordinate grid ofthe Island and then used SGS to generate eight sets ofpairwise combinations ofbirds whose nests fell into a particularcategory based on physical distance between the two nests. In this manner, we made sets ofall pairs ofbirds whose nests were within 50 m ofeach other, within 50-100 m m ofeachother, within 100-150 ofeach other, and so forthup to a 350-400m category. Within each distance category, SGS computes the mean ofthe genetic dissimilarity between each possible pairofsampledbirds, using Tanimoto distance for dominant markers such asAFLPs. Plotting the mean genetic dissimilarity ordered across the eight distance categories tests whetherthere is spatial genetic structure to the population. A 1000-run Monte Carlo pemiutationtestwas usedto generate confidence intervals forthis relationship. RESULTS Pairing Success ofMales andFemales Ofthe 76 tagged males thatwere in breedingplumage, 64 (84.2%) attempted to attractamate at some point during the 2000 breeding season, but only 12(18.75%) succeededin pairing. Fourofthe 12 had a nestwith a female but no egg, and an egg was laid atthe remaining eight nests. None ofthe markedmales nestedtwice withinthat breeding season. Ofthe 51 tagged females thatwere inbreeding plumage, 28 (54.9%) evaluatedthe pool ofdisplaying males at some point during the breeding season, and 25 (89.3%)) nested (5 ofthe 25 had a nest with a male butno egg, and 20 laid an egg). Ofthe 25 females thatnested, 8 nested more than once in the season (followingnest failure), including 1 that laid an egg on three differentbreeding attempts within one season. Individual males were thus much more likely to try to mate than were females (84.2% vs. 54.9%o; X- = 13.132, df= 1, p = 0.0003), but the males that triedto attract amate were only one-fourth as likelyto succeed as females (18.75% vs. 89.3%); X- = 40.307, df= 1, p < 0.000001). Among those birds that didnest, females were more likely to nest again afternest failure than were males (Fisherexactp = 0.036). Forthose birds that triedto acquire amate, there was more within-sex variation in pairing success for males than forfemales (fornumberofnesting attempts: male CV= 2.098, female CV= 0.601, and95% confidence intervals do not overlap). 163 Reproductive Success Hatching success was 24.7% (45 of 182 nests) in 1998, 28.4% (74 of261 nests) in 1999, and 23.5% (4 of 17 nests) in 2000. Using those nests with definitively known lay dates, there was no seasonal change in hatching success in 1998 (logistic regression, n = 118 nests from 25 February to 4 June 1998: Wald X- = 0.889, df= 1, p = 0.346). In 1999, therewas also no significant seasonal change in hatching success (logistic regression, n = 231 nests from 7 February to 30 May 1999: Wald X- = 2.672, df= 1, p = 0.102). Fledging success was 63.5% (47 of74 nestlings that hatched) in 1999; thus, overall reproductive success was 18.0% (47 fledglings from 261 nests). Duration ofBreeding Cycle and Breeding FrequencyAcrossYears by Males and Females We recorded 373 feeding events to 1-year-olds in 1998 and 374 feedings to 1- year-olds in 1999. In January and February, during the early part ofthe breeding season, roughly one-third to one-halfoffeedings to 1-year-olds was madeby males (Fig. 1). As the new breeding season progressed, however, male efforttapered off, such that nearly all feedings observed inApril, May, and June were made by females. This clearly indicates a difference in the duration ofparental effort by males andfemales, though it does not address whethertheircare fora 1-year-old nestling prohibits them from attempting to startanew nestthat same season. Figure 1. Feedingsto 1-year-oldgreatfrigatebirdfledglingsmadebymalesandfemalesonTernIslandin 1998and 1999. Totalsamplesizewas373 and374feedingobservationsin 1998and 1999.respectively. Male plumage varied primarily in breast coloration, ranging from blackto gray to brown. Based onfive categories ofbreast coloration, we foundthatthe males feeding 1-year-old offspring in 1999 were more likely to be brown than were males on new nests ormales trying to attract amate in thatyear, and males trying to attract a mate were more likelyto have substantial amounts ofwhite in thebreastplumage than males who 164 100 1 90 60- „ 80 ^50- I 70 ^40- 72 1 60 o i 50 |30- o 1 40 S so- |iP 1 % 30 ^ 20 lo- r 10 I _ 1 nU 71 n ' 1 i ack rayislack rayis rown rown lack hite Figure2. Plumageofgreatfrigatebirdsfeeding 1-year-oldfledglingsandbirdsengagedinnewbreeding attemptsonTernIslandin 1999. a)Breastplumagecategoriesofmalesthatwerefeeding 1-year-olds(open bars)ordisplayingtoattractamate(hatchedbars)ortendinganeweggorchick(solidbars), b)Head plumagecategoriesoffemalesthatwerefeeding 1-year-olds(openbars)ortendinganeweggorchick (solidbars). « hadalreadybeen chosen as mates that season (X- = 222.837, df= 8, p 0.00001; Fig. 2). This whiterbreast plumage is likely indicative ofmales that arejustreaching sexual maturity (Metz and Schreiber, 2002). Female plumage varied primarily in head coloration, ranging from blackto light brown. Based on categories ofhead coloration, we foundthat females feeding 1-year- old offspring in 1999 were almost exclusively black-headed,«whereas no females on new nests that yearwereblack-headed (X- =488.343, df=4, p 0.00001; Fig. 2). Breeding Population Size and Spatial Genetic Structure Daily counts in 1998 and 1999 revealed as many as 1,171 males, 1,053 females, and 691 juveniles and subadults on the Island at a single time (Fig. 3). In bothyears, the numberofjuveniles and subadults was fairly constant overtime. In contrast, the total numberofadults on the Islandfluctuated greatly and generally increased all the way through the pair-formation and egg-laying portion ofthe breeding season, even though the rate ofpairing declineddramatically in May andJune. By July, mostnests had failed orhad reached ages when chicks are unattended exceptwhen being fed, and most ofthe adults on the Island were not engaged in reproductive activity. We previously (Dearborn et al., 2001a) described a seasonal shift in the ratio ofmales to females thatare unpaired andpotentially available formating. This ratiobecomes less biasedbecause of a gradual increase in the numberoffemales on the Island (Fig. 3). Here, we apply the plumage criteria described in the previous section to assess whetherthese females are likelybreeders. Plumage-specific daily counts offemales were conducted in 1999 only. From January through March of1999, most ofthe females on the Islandhadblack head plumage, indicative ofcurrent breeders; females with brown ormottled heads were rare, perhaps because they were on the Island only while feeding 1-year-olds. As the number 165 2000- a A A^^^ 1500- A - l*l 1000- ^ 500^ % ^^ 0- r 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I I r3e > C 0) E <Q. Sro —T3 n CNj CN CM CN ^ CO CD 400 : e Figure 3. Daily population counts of great ^ frigatebirds on Tern Island in 1998 and 1999. (a) T 300- Total adults (open triangles), immatures (open circles), and active nests (solid dots) in 1998. (b) Males (open diamonds) and females (filled circles) 200- that were not on nests in 1998. (c) Total adults (open triangles), immatures (open circles), and active nests (solid dots) in 1999. (d) Males (open 100 diamonds) and females (filled circles) thatwerenot on nests in 1999. (e) Females in black-headed breedingplumage(filledsquares)orvariousbrown- headed non-breeding plumages (open circles) in Qo(1) 4—c(30 uS_I ^irI_a <iQ1_- ^1>(0, n—c313 1 1999. CCDM CM rsi r^ 00 CD 166 offemales on the Island increased inApril, a decreasing proportion offemales were black-headed, meaning that most ofthe "new" females on the Island were non-breeders (Fig. 3e). In an Island-wide census in lateAugust 1999 (USFWS, unpublished data), we found 378 nestlings. Because there was no mortality at individually marked nests between late July and the fledging ofthe last chick in December, andbecause no nestlings at markednests fledgedbefore late September, it can be assumed that 378 is a good estimate ofthe number offrigatebirdnestlings thatfledgedonTern Island in 1999. Applying our estimate ofreproductive success at markednests during thatyear (18.0%), there were approximately 2,099 nests initiated during the 1999 breeding season. Among those birds thatwere marked at the start ofthe 2000 season (the only yearfor which we have such data from early-marked females) andthen initiatednests (i.e., laid an egg) that year, the mean numberofnests initiatedper female was 1.30; formales, the mean numberofnest attempts was 1.00. Ifthese numbers are relatively constant across years, the population offrigatebirds actually nesting onTern Island in 1999 likely consisted ofapproximately 1,615 females (2,099 nests with eggs / 1.30 eggs per female) and2,099 males. This estimate can be combinedwith ourmeasure ofpairing success forfemales (89.3%) andmales (18.75%)) to estimate the numberofadults thatattempted to breed (i.e., including those that did and did not reachthe stage ofnest building). By this approach, the pool ofbirds attempting to breed in 1999 consisted ofapproximately 1,809 females (1,615 /0.893) and 11,195 males (2,099 / 0.1875). Including those adults notbreeding in 1999 (whetherat sea, on other islands, oron Tern Islandbut notcurrently breeding), the total number ofsexually mature adults in the Tern Island population is likely even larger, given thatplumage evidence (see above) suggests that individuals whose nests succeed are likely to skipbreeding forat least the following year. Spatial analysis ofAFLP datarevealed no significant change inpairwise genetic dissimilarity between breeders across the categories ofdistance between nest sites, as the confidence interval forthe Tanimoto dissimilarity index within each distance category spannedthe overall mean of0.3447. Thus,AFLPdata suggestno spatial genetic structure within theTern Islandbreeding colony, consistent with the finding ofvery little structure based on the multilocus minisatellite fingerprinting data (Cohen and Dearborn, 2004). DISCUSSION This study sheds light onbasic demographic processes in this population. We foundthat in agiven yearmales were much more likely than females to try to obtain a matebut were much less likelyto succeed at pairing. This difference inpairing success between the two sexes is consistentwithbehavioral descriptions ofmate acquisition (which seems to consistentirely offemale choice; Nelson, 1975) and with amale-biased operational sex ratio (Dearborn et al., 2001a). Females, butnotmales, occasionallynest multiple times in a season ifthe firstnest fails; this difference between sexes is due to the difficultythatmales have in attracting amate, ratherthan to lack ofinterest in re-nesting by males. Overall, the coefficient ofvariation inpairing success was much greater for 167 males than females; this provides evidence that sexual selection is strongeron males in this population and supports the notion that the male-biased operational sex ratio is linked to sexual selection via variation in pairing success. Following pairformation and egg laying, nesting attempts had a very low probability ofsuccess. Although fledging success was high, hatching success was below 30% in all three years ofthis study. Frigatebird reproductive output is affected by El Nifio conditions at colonies further south in the Pacific (Schreiber and Schrciber, 1989), but ourthree years with low success included an El Niiio year(1998), a La Niiia year(1999), and ayearofmoderate Southern Oscillation Index. Overall reproductive success was towards the low end ofthe range reported from otherpopulations (Metz and Schreiber, 2002), though hatching success on Tern Island was somewhat higher in 2003 than in previous years (Juolaand Dearborn, in press). Nests failed during incubation foravariety ofreasons, but three main causes seem to be aggressive interactions with otherfrigatebirds, severe weatherevents, and prolonged foraging trips by the mate that is currently offthe nest (Dearborn, 2001). Aggressive interactions could reduce nest success offrigatebirds in a density-dependent manner(Reville, 1988; 1991), though we do notyet have such data forTern Island. Prolonged foraging trips by a breeding bird are importantbecause thebody condition ofthe frigatebird currently incubating becomes a limiting factor in its ability to stay on the nest and continue fasting (Dearborn, 2001). This, coupled with analyses ofother seabird populations on Tern Island (Dearborn et al., 2001b), suggests that resource availability is a key component ofindividual- and population-level reproductive success forthese birds. Plumage data indicate that females do notbreed in years following a successful breeding attempt; the plumage ofthose females feeding 1-year-old offspring was categorically different from that offemales incubating eggs ornew nestlings. Formales, the findings are more complex. Males feeding I-year-olds were much more likely to have brownbreastplumage than males with eggs ornew nestlings, butthere was substantial overlap between the two groups ofmales. Eitherplumage is a less discriminatory indicatorofbreeding status in males than in females or some males are simultaneously feeding 1-year-olds and tending new nests. Forboth sexes, featherwear in the absence ofmolt is the likely mechanism by which birds feeding 1-year-olds are brownerthan birds involved in new breeding attempts, as brown is the basal coloration ofblack-tipped head andbreast feathers in great frigatebirds (Metz and Schreiber, 2002). Overall, these observations are consistent with the long-standing hypothesis that male frigatebirds try to breed annually and females biennially (Stonehouse and Stonehouse, 1963; Diamond, 1973; Nelson, 1975; Trivelpiece and Fen-aris, 1987; Carmona et al., 1995), butthe evidencepresentedhere is indirect. Note also thatthis hypothesis ofunequal breeding frequencies ofmales and females was drivenby observations ofmagnificent frigatebirds [Fregatamagnificens), in which males abandon the care ofnestlings afterjust a few months (Osomo, 1999). We have shown in this study thatmales in ourpopulation do taperofftheirparental care offledglings soonerthan do females, but male care extends well into the pair-formation part ofthe next breeding season. Colony-wide counts detected as many as 1,171 males, 1,053 females, and 691 juveniles on the Island at a single time. However, the frequent turnoverofbirds. 168 revealed by mark-resight data, indicates thatthe true numberofadults using the Island is many times largerthan this. Individuals vary extensively in theirpattern ofIsland use (unpublished data), such that some individuals visit onlybriefly, others stay for weeks, and yet others come and go regularly overthe course ofmany months. Similar complexities were seen in patterns ofvisits to otherislands (e.g. JohnstonAtoll) by frigatebirdsthatwere wing-tagged on Tern Island (Dearborn et al., 2003). In lightof these complexities in space use, thebestway to define apopulation may be based on breeding individuals. Using a combination ofnest counts and reproductive metrics, we estimatedthat 1,615 females and2,099 males nested onTernIsland in 1999; this relatively small difference in numberofbreeders ofthe two sexes reduces the effective population size only slightly (from 3,714 to 3,651 in a given year; Kimura and Crow, 1963). Manyadditional birds attempted tobreedbutdid notprogress beyondthepair- formation stage. Based on the pairing success ofmarked individuals, we estimatedthat the pool ofbirds attempting to breed onTern Island in 1999 was larger, particularly for males: 1,809 females and 11,195 males. Because plumage evidence suggests thatbirds are unlikely to breed in successiveyears, at least in years following thefledging ofa chick, the actual size ofthe breeding population maybe even larger. Our estimate ofthe numberofbirds breeding on Tern Island is substantially higherthan the previous estimate forthis population (300- 375 pairs; Metz and Schreiber, 2002), andmayreflectmore exact information oran increasing population, orboth; population increase in French Frigate Shoals is suggested by nest counts overthe past40 years (summarized in Cohen and Dearborn, 2004). Given that the global population ofgreat frigatebirds has been estimated as only 54,000-68,000 breedingpairs (Metz and Schreiber, 2002), theTern Islandpopulation maybe a demographically significant one. UsingAFLP genetic markers, we foundno evidence ofspatial genetic structure within the Tern Island colony. This is consistent with ourunderstanding ofthe historyof thispopulation and with ourprevious findings with multilocus minisatellite fingerprinting (Cohen and Dearborn, 2004). The lack ofsmall-scale spatial structure alleviates the needto account forthis in localizedmanagement decisions, although ourearlierfinding ofsubstantial genetic differentiation amongTern Island, JohnstonAtoll, and Christmas Island (Dearborn et al., 2003) is important. Acrucial gap in ourknowledge offrigatebird ecology in theNorthwestern Hawaiian Islands is foraging movements and destinations, particularlygiven the connection between reproductive success and adultbodycondition (Dearborn, 2001). Diet samples offrigatebirds in Hawaii show apreponderance offlyingfish (Exocoetidae) and squid (Ommastrephidae; Hamson et al., 1983), butnot knowingwhere the birds are foraging makes it difficultto assesspotential threats to food availability. Oneplausible threat is the commercial fisheiy for large predatoryfish, because a reduction in the numberofsuchfishcould reduce the frequency withwhich frigatebirds'prey are driven tothe surface (Safina and Burger, 1985). Stocks oflargepiscivorous fishhave declined markedly, both globally (Myers andWorm, 2003) and inthe central Pacific (Cox et al, 2002). The ecological interactionbetweenpredatoiy fish and frigatebirds is a critical one because frigatebirds neitherdive norswim aftertheirownprey. Furthermore, because frigatebirds soar inthemials extensively when traveling (Weimerskirch etal., 2003), they

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