DEMOCRATIC CONSOLIDATION IN EAST-CENTRAL EUROPE Democratic Consolidation in East-Central Europe Fritz Plasser Professor of Political Science University of lnnsbruck Peter A. Ulram Head, Social Research Department Fessel-GfK Austria and Harald Waldrauch Research Assistant Department of Political Science Institute for Advanced Studies Vienna First published in Great Britain 1998 by MACMILLAN PRESS LTD Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and London Companies and representatives throughout the world A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. ISBN 978-1-349-26818-4 ISBN 978-1-349-26816-0 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-26816-0 First published in the United States of America 1998 by ST. MARTIN'S PRESS, INC., Scholarly and Reference Division, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 ISBN 978-0-312-21495-2 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Plasser, Fritz, 1948- [Politischer Kulturwandel in Ost-Mitteleuropa. English] Democratic consolidation in East-Central Europe I Fritz Plasser, Peter A. Ulram and Harald Waldrauch. p. em. This book is a revised, updated and substantially expanded version of our study 'Politischer Kulturwandel in Ost-Mitteleuropa' published in German in 1997. Includes bibliographical references (p. ) and index. ISBN 978-0-312-21495-2 (cloth) 1. Political culture-Europe, Eastern. 2. Political culture -Europe, Central. 3. Europe, Eastern-Politics and government-1989- 4. Europe, Central-Politics and government-1989- I. Ulram, Peter A. (Peter Adolf), 1951- 11. Waldrauch, Harald. III. Title. JN96.A91P5813 1998 306.2'094'091717-{!c21 98-13607 CIP © Fritz Plasser, Peter A. Ulram and Harald Waldrauch 1998 The work is a revised, updated and substantially expanded translation of Politischer Kulturwandel in Ost-Mitteleuropa, published in German by Leske+Budrich-Verlag, 1997. All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London W1P 9HE. Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The authors have asserted their rights to be identified as the authors of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. 10987654321 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 Contents Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ix List of Tables and Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi 1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 2. The Concept of Consolidation in Regime Change Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 2.1. The Concept of Regime . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 2.2. Democratic Regime Change: Transition and Consolidation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 2.3. The Concept of Democratic Consolidation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2.3.1. Evolution or Direction in Consolidation . . . . . . . 11 2.3.1.1. Institutionalization and the Intersubjective Core of Consolidation ........ . 12 2.3.1.2. Consolidation as a Goal-oriented Political Action 15 2.3.2. Behavioral and Attitudinal Dimensions of Consolidation ....................... . 20 2.3.2.1. The Behavioral Dimension ................ . 21 2.3.2.2. The Attitudinal Dimension: Legitimacy and Political Culture ........... . 24 2.3.3. Elite and Mass Levels of Consolidation ...... . 34 2.3.4. Consolidation of Democracy or its "Partial Regimes" ....................... . 37 2.4. Summary and Conclusion: Mimimalist Versus Maximalist Conceptions of Consolidation ..... . 44 3. Consolidation and Comparative Political Culture Research: Some Methodological Considerations . . . . . . 57 3.1. Concepts and Research Designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 3.2. Research Experience: The Project 'Politischer Kulturwandel in Ost-Mitteleuropa' (1990-1997) . . 66 4. Attitudes towards the Political System: Conceptions of Democracy and Images of Politics 73 vi 5. Attitudes towards the Political Regime: Satisfaction with Democracy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 6. Diffuse Support for Democracy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 6.1. Support for Democracy as a Form of Government . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 6.2. Support for Pluralist Party Competition . . . . . . . 98 6.3. Support for the Parliamentary System . . . . . . . 100 6.4. Spread of Antidemocratic and/ or Antipluralist Orientations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 6.5. Concepts and Extent of Legitimacy in Comparison . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 6.6. Typology of Democratic Orientations in International Comparison . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 6.7. Trust in Institutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110 7. Evaluation of the Communist Regime . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 8. Political Participation and Integration . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 8.1. Patterns of Political Communication . . . . . . . . . 127 8.2. Getting Involved in the Political Process: Interest and Participation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 8.3. Political Efficacy and Civic Orientations . . . . . . 134 8.4. Party Identification and Networks of Political Integration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140 9. Societal and Political Cleavages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 9.1. The Heritage of the Communist Past . . . . . . . . 148 9.2. Patterns of Ideological and Social-Political Cleavages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 9.3. Sociodemographic Characteristics of Parties and Party Families . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 9.4. Value Orientations and Political Priorities . . . . 157 10. Attitudes towards ~conomic Transformation . . . . . . . . 165 10.1. Point of Departure and Overall Economic Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 10.2. Subjective Evaluations of Personal Economic Situations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 10.3. Attitudes towards the Economic Order and the Process of Economic Reform . . . . . . . . . . . 176 vii 11. Social Consequences and Evaluations of Regime Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183 11.1. Winners and Losers of Transition . . . . . . . . . . . 183 11.2. Regime Change: Expectations and Reality 185 12. Consolidation and Differentiation: a Survey of Trend Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189 13. Empirical Sources (1990-1997) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199 Appendix of data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221 Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 247 Preface This book is a revised, updated and substantially expanded version of our study Politischer Kulturwandel in Ost-Mitteleuropa, published in German by Leske & Budrich (Opladen, 1997). It condenses the data and results of a comparative research project initiated in 1990 and carried out over several years. Against the backdrop of the col lapse of communism, the opening of the 'Iron Curtain', and both the liberalization and democratization of East-Central European coun tries, issues of transition and consolidation suddenly attracted the attention of political scientists everywhere, especially those working in the field of comparative politics. Two factors were decisive in the launching of the 'Politischer Kulturwandel in Ost-Mitteleuropa' pro ject: first, the decision of public institutions to provide funding for a comparative research project of this scope; and secondly, the pro fessional, international opinion research infrastructure provided by Fessel+GfK in Vienna, Prague, Bratislava, Budapest and Warsaw. A number of institutions and individuals active in the fields of acade mia or politics have lent inestimable and indispensable support, both financial and logistic, to 'Politischer Kulturwandel in Ost-Mit teleuropa' over the years. In particular, we are grateful to Professor Rudolf Bretschneider of Fessel+GfK, who has taken a keen personal interest in the project and generously supported it from its earliest stages. Thanks to the cooperation, logistic support and professional competence of GfK's management in Austria and its research directors in the four East Central European capitals, it has been possible to conduct regular annual representative opinion surveys with comparable variables and questions since 1990. This volume would not have been possible without the support of colleagues and partners of many years' standing. We wish to thank Marianne Zawilensky (Center for Applied Political Research), who has been in charge of the organizational and secretarial aspects of the project since fund raising began in 1990. Wolfgang Meixner (Center for Applied Political Research) proofread and copy-edited the German manuscript with particular care. Arike Handsur of Fes sel+GfK assisted with parts of the manuscript. Ellen Palli (Depart ment of Political Science, University of Innsbruck) and Wolfgang Palli (Innsbruck) typeset both the German and English manuscripts. We are grateful to Herwig Engelmann (Berlin) for his competent X English translation of our text and to Lee Anne Oberhofer (Social Sciences Language Center, University of Innsbruck), who copy edited the present version of our study. Last but not least, we thank Macmillan Publishers and commissioning editor Sunder Katwala for their obliging cooperation. The publishing of this book was made possible through the financial support of the Austrian Federal Ministries for Foreign Affairs, Economic Affairs, and Science and Transport. Vienna, March 1998 List of Tables and Figures Tables Table 1: Central cognitive meanings of democracy (1995) . . 75 Table 2: Conceptions of democracy in Hungary (1989-1995) 76 Table 3: Images of politics in comparison . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 Table 4: Satisfaction with democracy and the political system (1990-1997) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 Table 5: Satisfaction with the development or the functioning of democracy (1990-1997): 'Central and Eastern Eurobarometer' and 'Eurobarometer' . . . . . 87 Table 6: Satisfaction with the functioning or development of democracy in international comparison (1995-1997): 'Eurobarometer' and 'Central and Eastern Eurobarometer'. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 Table 7: Dissatisfaction with democracy by subgroups in five countries compared . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 Table 8: Correlations between dissatisfaction with life and dissatisfaction with democracy and/ or political practices (1995) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 Table 9: Diffuse support for democracy as a form of government (1990-1997). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Table 10: Diffuse Legitimacy in international comparison . . 98 Table 11: Preference for single-party or multi-party system (1991-1997) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 Table 12: Support for the parliamentary system (1991-1995) 101 Table 13: Antidemocratic orientations (1993-1995) . . . . . . . 103 Table 14: Rejection of antidemocratic and/ or antipluralist forms of government (1995) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 Table 15: Diffuse legitimacy of democratic systems compared (1997) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 Table 16: Authoritarian trends in East-Central Europe (1991-1995) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109