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208 Pages·2023·1.265 MB·English
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DEMOCRACY IN THE POST-TRUTH ERA 7816_Grygienc.indd 1 25/11/22 11:56 AM 7816_Grygienc.indd 2 25/11/22 11:56 AM DEMOCRACY IN THE POST-TRUTH ERA Restoring Faith in Expertise Janusz Grygien´c´ Translated by Dominika Gajewska 7816_Grygienc.indd 3 25/11/22 11:56 AM Edinburgh University Press is one of the leading university presses in the UK. We publish academic books and journals in our selected subject areas across the humanities and social sciences, combining cutting-edge scholarship with high editorial and production values to produce academic works of lasting importance. For more information visit our website: edinburghuniversitypress.com © Janusz Grygieńć, 2023 Cover image: The Parable of the Blind: The blind leading the blind, Sebastiaen Vrancx (1573–1647). Image courtesy of Wikimedia Commons Cover design: www.richardbudddesign.co.uk Edinburgh University Press Ltd The Tun – Holyrood Road 12(2f) Jackson’s Entry Edinburgh EH8 8PJ Typeset in 11/13 Adobe Sabon by IDSUK (DataConnection) Ltd, and printed and bound in Great Britain A CIP record for this book is available from the British Library ISBN 978-1-4744-9730-5 (hardback) ISBN 978-1-4744-9732-9 (webready PDF) ISBN 978-1-4744-9733-6 (epub) The right of Janusz Grygieńć to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, and the Copyright and Related Rights Regulations 2003 (SI No. 2498). 7816_Grygienc.indd 4 08/12/22 10:55 AM CONTENTS List of Tables vi Acknowledgements vii Introduction: Post-Truth and the Dawn of Illiberal Democracy 1 1 Expertise in Liberal Political Theory: Problems and Discrepancies 21 2 Expertise: Promises, Perils and Limitations 47 3 Laymen, Experts and Epistemic Dependence 74 4 Epistemic Dependence and Political Theory: Dependence Changes Everything 105 5 Inclusive Epistocracy, Competence and Popular Rule 129 Epilogue: Living in a World of Too High Expectations 156 Bibliography 167 Index 191 7816_Grygienc.indd 5 25/11/22 11:56 AM TABLES 3.1 Cognitive islands: hard, medium and soft version 95 3.2 Epistemic communities and novice/2-experts problem 98 7816_Grygienc.indd 6 25/11/22 11:56 AM ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This book is the outcome of many years of research. Therefore, it is impossible to mention all the people who have had an impact on its creation. I will therefore focus on the most important individuals. First of all, I am very grateful to the authorities of the Institute of Philosophy and the Faculty of Philosophy and Social Sciences of the Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń for giving me six months sabbatical leave to complete work on this book. I am incred- ibly grateful to Zbyszek Nerczuk whose support and patience were invaluable. Over the years I presented parts of this book at many conferences, including in Krakow, Poznan, Paris, Nancy, Cardiff, and during the face- to-face ECPR in 2019 and the online ECPR in 2020. I want to thank all the contributors to the discussions on my papers (and there were many). Their comments repeatedly forced me to rethink critical parts of my nar- rative. I especially thank Rikki Dean, who shared insightful comments on the outline of this book with me. I am incredibly grateful to the anonymous reviewers from Edinburgh University Press. They have done a fantastic job. They accurately tracked down and pointed out the weak links in my narrative. They encouraged me to take a precise stand, especially in Chapters 3 and 5. This book would have been much worse without their comments. I also want to thank everyone at Edinburgh University Press for the smooth running of the publishing process, their professionalism and the friendly atmosphere of cooperation. In particular, I would like to thank Ersev Ersoy for her constant help. Finally, special thanks are due to my wife, Ewa. She was the first to read the manuscript and to point out its weaknesses and strengths. Writ- ing this book did not come easily to me. I have never been so immersed in academic work. Without Ewa’s help, I would not have been able to complete the task. In fact, I could not have done much else. vii 7816_Grygienc.indd 7 25/11/22 11:56 AM viii DEMOCRACY IN THE POST-TRUTH ERA The contribution of all the above people to all that is inspiring and interesting in this book was decisive. I take sole responsibility for the average, weak and mediocre aspects of my work. 7816_Grygienc.indd 8 25/11/22 11:56 AM INTRODUCTION: POST-TRUTH AND THE DAWN OF ILLIBERAL DEMOCRACY EXPERTISE IN CRISIS Scientists and journalists have increasingly been calling our attention to an alarming drop in our faith in the authority of expertise.1 Although doubt in the good intentions and competence of experts has been on the rise since the 1970s, it seems to have reached unprecedented proportions lately. A whole host of factors are to blame for this, including spec- tacular expert gaffes, as seen in the failure to predict political and eco- nomic crises, to understand their nature and repercussions, and to come to agreement on most of the problems discussed in the public realm. On the other hand, the increasing privatisation of scientific research has bolstered the view that experts who are financially dependent on private sponsorship are simply biased. The social dynamics of this crisis have been brought into stark relief by the COVID-19 pandemic. The world- wide health crisis has shown just how much both citizens and politi- cians are dependent on expertise. Expert opinions on how the pandemic would develop and how to combat it were suddenly in huge demand. It is true that on many occasions politicians made instrumental use of expert authority to justify the measures they were taking in order to avoid polit- ical responsibility for the consequences of their actions.2 However, it is now the norm for politicians to comply with the recommendations of scientific advisory bodies. The pandemic has also mercilessly laid bare the flaws of scientific communication. The lability and multiplicity of expert opinions; the evolution of hypotheses and forecasts; contradic- tory positions with regard to the existence, thresholds and possibility of achieving herd immunity; changing recommendations regarding the effectiveness of protective measures, including masks and face shields – all of these combined to create a chaotic communication environment 1 7816_Grygienc.indd 1 25/11/22 11:56 AM 2 DEMOCRACY IN THE POST-TRUTH ERA that citizens found hard to navigate.3 New reports on the side- effects of the AstraZeneca vaccine generated alternating waves of readiness and unwillingness to get vaccinated. The pandemic also revealed how popu- list politicians were ready to flout expertise and the sorry consequences that this eventually produced. The COVID-19 crisis exposed an entire macrocosm of inflammatory points at the intersection of expertise, political power and public opin- ion. It highlighted the fact that expert institutions and pharmaceutical companies may pressure political authorities by dictating vaccine prices and delivery dates. It witnessed the debacle of state-funded research institutions in competition with private companies that were able to pat- ent successive vaccines. It unmasked the role of expert-staffed regulatory agencies such as the European Medicines Agency (EMA) which authori- tatively decided if vaccines were safe or whether the risks associated with the occurrence of vaccine adverse reactions were admissible. The pandemic also exposed public fears, concerns and disbelief regarding the scope and consequences of the crisis. In just one year we saw ample evidence of the huge role experts play in our lives and of the public’s alarmingly low trust in their competence and good intentions. On the one hand, studies such as 3M 2020 Pandemic Pulse have shown that the pandemic increased people’s trust in science.4 Some scholars claim that trust in science was in much better shape than generally assumed prior to the pandemic. Aside from a few exceptions, such as climate change or vaccines, trust in science had been steadily growing.5 However, some sources point to the opposite phenomenon.6 A survey commissioned by the European Council on Foreign Relations (EFCR) in nine European Union countries with two-thirds of the EU’s popula- tion shows that despite the pandemic 65 per cent of respondents do not trust the experts, blaming them for deliberate concealment of important information. Of my own compatriots, 20 per cent trust experts, while only 15 per cent of French people trust them.7 This decline in confidence seems to be deepening. It is uncertain if the COVID-19 pandemic will alter this picture in any way. At least not for the better. POST-TRUTH AND ILLIBERAL DEMOCRACY The crisis of confidence in expertise coincides and resonates with the phenomenon of post-truth. When writing about this phenomenon in 2004, Ralph Keyes used the term ‘post-truth’ to refer to an increasing acceptance of and acquiescence to lies in the public sphere. According to Keyes, we lie more often and with less compunction.8 We also increas- ingly get away with it. The years 2015–16 and the victories of illiberal 7816_Grygienc.indd 2 25/11/22 11:56 AM

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