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Decision Making and Knowledge Decision Support Systems: VIII International Conference of RACEF, Barcelona, Spain, November 2013 and International Conference MS 2013, Chania Crete, Greece, November 2013 PDF

225 Pages·2015·3.766 MB·English
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Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 675 Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente Constantin Zopounidis Editors Decision Making and Knowledge Decision Support Systems VIII International Conference of RACEF, Barcelona, Spain, November 2013 and International Conference MS 2013, Chania Crete, Greece, November 2013 Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 675 FoundingEditors: M.Beckmann H.P.Künzi ManagingEditors: Prof. Dr.G.Fandel Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften Fernuniversität Hagen Hagen,Germany Prof. Dr.W.Trockel Murat Sertel Institute for AdvancedEconomic Research Istanbul BilgiUniversity Istanbul,Turkey and Institut für Mathematische Wirtschaftsforschung (IMW) Universität Bielefeld Bielefeld, Germany Editorial Board: H.Dawid, D.Dimitrov,A.Gerber,C-J. Haake,C. Hofmann,T. Pfeiffer, R. Slowiński,W.H.M.Zijm For furthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/300 ThiSisaFMBlankPage Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente (cid:129) Constantin Zopounidis Editors Decision Making and Knowledge Decision Support Systems VIII International Conference of RACEF, Barcelona, Spain, November 2013 and International Conference MS 2013, Chania Crete, Greece, November 2013 Editors AnnaMariaGil-Lafuente ConstantinZopounidis FacultyofEconomicsandBusiness SchoolofProductionEngineeringand UniversityofBarcelona Management Barcelona TechnicalUniversityofCrete Spain Chania Greece and AudenciaNantesSchoolofManagement Nantes France ISSN0075-8442 ISSN2196-9957(electronic) ISBN978-3-319-03906-0 ISBN978-3-319-03907-7(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-319-03907-7 SpringerChamHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2014956930 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2015 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionor informationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerpts inconnectionwithreviewsorscholarlyanalysisormaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurposeofbeing enteredandexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework.Duplication ofthispublicationorpartsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheCopyrightLawofthe Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer.PermissionsforusemaybeobtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter. ViolationsareliabletoprosecutionundertherespectiveCopyrightLaw. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexempt fromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityfor anyerrorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty,expressorimplied,with respecttothematerialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preface TheAssociationfortheAdvancementofModellingandSimulationTechniquesin Enterprises(AMSE)andtheRoyalAcademyofEconomicandFinancialSciences of Spain (RACEF) are pleased to present the main results of the International ConferenceofRACEF,heldinBarcelona(Spain),andtheInternationalConference ofModellingandSimulationinEngineering,EconomicsandManagement,heldin Chania, Crete (Greece), 7–8 November 2013, through this Book of Proceedings. WewouldalsoliketothankConstantinZopounidisfromtheAMSEfororganizing the conference and Prof. Jaime Gil-Aluja, President of the Royal Academy of EconomicandFinancialSciencesofSpain,fromRACEF. MS’13 Chania is co-organized by the AMSE Association and the Technical University of Crete, Greece. It is co-supported by the Spanish Royal Academy of Financial and Economic Sciences andthe Spanish Ministry ofEducation, Culture and Sports. It offers a unique opportunity for researchers and professionals to present and exchange ideas concerning modelling, simulation and related topics and shows how they can be implemented in the real world. In this edition of the InternationalConference,wewanttogivespecialattentiontotheemergingareaof ComputationalIntelligence.Inparticular,wewanttofocusontheimplementation ofthesetechniquesintheEconomicSciences,CultureandSports.Thus,thetitleof this book is “Decision Making and Knowledge Decision Support Systems”. It is a verybroadresearchareathatincludesfuzzysettheory,neuralnetworks,evolution- ary computation, probabilistic reasoning and chaotic computing as particular research topics of this discipline. The growing importance of Decision Making in theEconomicSciencesisobviouswhenlookingatthecomplexworldweareliving in. Every year new ideas and products appear in the markets, making them very flexible and with strong unpredicted fluctuations. Therefore, in order to deal with ourworldinaproperway,weneedtousemodelsthatareabletoassessimprecision anduncertainty. Barcelona,Spain AnnaM.Gil-Lafuente Chania,Greece ConstantinZopounidis v ThiSisaFMBlankPage Acknowledgement to Reviewers Special thanks to Anna Klimova and V´ıctor Alfaro and all the referees for their adviceintherevisionprocessofthepaperssubmittedtotheMS’13Chaniaandthe International Conference of the Spanish Royal Academy of Financial and EconomicSciences: YuriyP.Kondratenko EmilioVizuete SefaBoria vii ThiSisaFMBlankPage Contents GlobalisationandCrisisofValues. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 LorenzoGascon ModelsEstimationofNationalSocialandHumanCapitalQualities. . . 11 GorkhmazImanovandRovshanAkbarov RiskManagementinSportsSponsorship. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Ramo´nPochTorres TheCulturalHeritageBetweenProtectionandEnhance. . . . . . . . . . . . 25 AlessandroBianchi UncertainOptimalInventoryasaStrategyforEnterprise GlobalPositioning. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Gonza´lezS.Federico,FloresR.Beatriz,AnnaMariaGil-Lafuente, andFloresJuan Robotics,AutomationandInformationSystems:FuturePerspectives andCorrelationwithCulture,SportandLifeScience. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 YuriyP.Kondratenko CultureandSportsasCatalystsfortheTwenty-First CenturySociety. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 MarioAguerHortal TheForgottenEffectsModelonSelectionPoliciestoClimate ChangeAdaptation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 AnnaMariaGil-LafuenteandJaimeAlexanderLo´pez-Guauque TheChallengeofIntegrationAgainsttheBigInternational Reconstitutions:RoleofScience,CultureandSport. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 MohammedLaichoubi ComplexityasInterplayBetweenScienceandSport. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 FrancescoCarloMorabito ix

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