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Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market: Technical and Fundamental Strategies to Profit from Market Moves PDF

291 Pages·2015·4.7 MB·English
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Preview Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market: Technical and Fundamental Strategies to Profit from Market Moves

D T AY RADING S T AND WING RADING C M THE URRENCY ARKET The Wiley Trading series features books by traders who have survived the market’s ever changing temperament and have prospered—some by reinventing systems, others by getting back to basics. Whether a novice trader, professional, or somewhere in-between, these books will provide the advice and strategies neededtoprospertodayandwellintothefuture.Formoreonthisseries,visitour Websiteatwww.WileyTrading.com. Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publishing companyintheUnitedStates.WithofficesinNorthAmerica,Europe,Australia,and Asia,Wileyisgloballycommittedtodevelopingandmarketingprintandelectronic productsandservicesforourcustomers’professionalandpersonalknowledgeand understanding. D T AY RADING S T AND WING RADING C THE URRENCY M ARKET Technical and Fundamental Strategies to Profit from Market Moves Third Edition Kathy Lien CopyrightC2016byKathyLien.Allrightsreserved. PublishedbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,Hoboken,NewJersey. ThefirsteditionwaspublishedasDayTradingtheCurrencyMarketbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.in2005.The secondeditionwaspublishedasDayTradingandSwingTradingtheCurrencyMarketbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.in 2008. PublishedsimultaneouslyinCanada. Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedinanyformorby anymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recording,scanning,orotherwise,exceptaspermitted underSection107or108ofthe1976UnitedStatesCopyrightAct,withouteitherthepriorwrittenpermission ofthePublisher,orauthorizationthroughpaymentoftheappropriateper-copyfeetotheCopyrightClearance Center,Inc.,222RosewoodDrive,Danvers,MA01923,(978)750-8400,fax(978)646-8600,orontheWeb atwww.copyright.com.RequeststothePublisherforpermissionshouldbeaddressedtothePermissions Department,JohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,111RiverStreet,Hoboken,NJ07030,(201)748-6011,fax(201) 748-6008,oronlineathttp://www.wiley.com/go/permissions. LimitofLiability/DisclaimerofWarranty:Whilethepublisherandauthorhaveusedtheirbesteffortsin preparingthisbook,theymakenorepresentationsorwarrantieswithrespecttotheaccuracyorcompleteness ofthecontentsofthisbookandspecificallydisclaimanyimpliedwarrantiesofmerchantabilityorfitnessfora particularpurpose.Nowarrantymaybecreatedorextendedbysalesrepresentativesorwrittensalesmaterials. Theadviceandstrategiescontainedhereinmaynotbesuitableforyoursituation.Youshouldconsultwitha professionalwhereappropriate.Neitherthepublishernorauthorshallbeliableforanylossofprofitorany othercommercialdamages,includingbutnotlimitedtospecial,incidental,consequential,orotherdamages. Forgeneralinformationonourotherproductsandservicesorfortechnicalsupport,pleasecontactour CustomerCareDepartmentwithintheUnitedStatesat(800)762-2974,outsidetheUnitedStatesat(317) 572-3993,orfax(317)572-4002. Wileypublishesinavarietyofprintandelectronicformatsandbyprint-on-demand.Somematerialincluded withstandardprintversionsofthisbookmaynotbeincludedine-booksorinprint-on-demand.Ifthisbook referstomediasuchasaCDorDVDthatisnotincludedintheversionyoupurchased,youmaydownload thismaterialathttp://booksupport.wiley.com.FormoreinformationaboutWileyproducts,visit www.wiley.com. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData: Names:Lien,Kathy,1980-|Lien,Kathy,1980-.Daytradingthecurrencymarket. Title:Daytradingandswingtradingthecurrencymarket:technicalandfundamentalstrategiestoprofitfrom marketmoves/KathyLien. Description:Thirdedition.|Hoboken:Wiley,2015.|Series:Wileytrading|Revisededitionoftheauthor’s Daytradingandswingtradingthecurrencymarket,2009.|Includesindex. Identifiers:LCCN2015031925|ISBN9781119108412(paperback)|ISBN9781119220107(ePDF)| ISBN9781119220091(ePub) Subjects:LCSH:Foreignexchangefutures.|Foreignexchangemarket.|Speculation.|BISAC:BUSINESS& ECONOMICS/Investments&Securities. Classification:LCCHG3853.L542015|DDC332.4/5—dc23LCrecordavailableat http://lccn.loc.gov/2015031925 CoverDesign:Wiley CoverImage:CJohnLund/GettyImages PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Dedicated to My Son Jackson, Who I Hope Will Share His Momma’s Love for the Markets And to My Husband and Wonderful Family, for Their Love and Support CONTENTS Preface ix AbouttheAuthor xi CHAPTER1 ForeignExchange—TheFastestGrowing MarketofOurTime 1 CHAPTER2 HistoricalEventsintheFXMarkets 17 CHAPTER3 WhatMovestheCurrencyMarket? 31 CHAPTER4 ADeeperLookattheFXMarket 53 vii CHAPTER5 WhatAretheMostMarketMovingEconomic Data? 61 CHAPTER6 WhatAreCurrencyCorrelations,andHowCan WeUseThem? 67 CHAPTER7 TradeParametersforVariousMarket Conditions 73 CHAPTER8 TechnicalTradingStrategy:MultipleTime FrameAnalysis 91 CHAPTER9 TechnicalStrategy:TradingwithDouble BollingerBands 101 CHAPTER10 TechnicalTradingStrategy:FadingtheDouble Zeros 111 CHAPTER11 TechnicalTradingStrategy:Waitingforthe Deal 117 CHAPTER12 TechnicalTradingStrategy:InsideDays BreakoutPlay 123 CHAPTER13 TechnicalTradingStrategy:Fader 129 CHAPTER14 TechnicalTradingStrategy:20-DayBreakout Trade 135 CHAPTER15 TechnicalTradingStrategy:Channels 139 CHAPTER16 TechnicalTradingStrategy:PerfectOrder 143 CHAPTER17 FundamentalTradingStrategy:PairingStrong withWeak 149 CHAPTER18 FundamentalTradingStrategy:TheLeveraged CarryTrade 153 CHAPTER19 FundamentalTradingStrategy:MacroEvent DrivenTrade 161 CHAPTER20 QuantitativeEasingandItsImpactonForex 169 CHAPTER21 FundamentalTradingStrategy:Commodity PricesasaLeadingIndicator 177 CHAPTER22 FundamentalStrategy:UsingBondSpreadsasa viii LeadingIndicatorforFX 181 S CHAPTER23 FundamentalTradingStrategy:RiskReversals 187 T N E T CHAPTER24 FundamentalTradingStrategy:UsingOption N O C VolatilitiestoTimeMarketMovements 191 CHAPTER25 FundamentalTradingStrategy:Intervention 195 CHAPTER26 CurrencyProfilesandOutlook 203 CHAPTER27 CurrencyProfile:Euro(EUR) 213 CHAPTER28 CurrencyProfile:BritishPound(GBP) 223 CHAPTER29 CurrencyProfile:SwissFranc(CHF) 231 CHAPTER30 CurrencyProfile:JapaneseYen(JPY) 239 CHAPTER31 CurrencyProfile:AustralianDollar(AUD) 247 CHAPTER32 CurrencyProfile:NewZealandDollar(NZD) 255 CHAPTER33 CurrencyProfile:CanadianDollar(CAD) 263 Index 269

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