Mohamed Osman Akasha Darfur A tragedy of climate change Anchor Academic Publishing disseminate knowledge Akasha, Mohamed Osman: Darfur: A tragedy of climate change. Hamburg, Anchor Academic Publishing 2014 Buch-ISBN: 978-3-95489-095-8 PDF-eBook-ISBN: 978-3-95489-595-3 Druck/Herstellung: Anchor Academic Publishing, Hamburg, 2014 Bibliografische Information der Deutschen Nationalbibliothek: Die Deutsche Nationalbibliothek verzeichnet diese Publikation in der Deutschen Nationalbibliografie; detaillierte bibliografische Daten sind im Internet über http://dnb.d-nb.de abrufbar. Bibliographical Information of the German National Library: The German National Library lists this publication in the German National Bibliography. Detailed bibliographic data can be found at: http://dnb.d-nb.de Cover picture: United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) http://www.opensocietyfoundations.org/sites/default/files/styles/mw_collection_910/p ublic/photos/20051201-addario-mw11-001-910.jpg?itok=62Xo0D3n All rights reserved. This publication may not be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publishers. Das Werk einschließlich aller seiner Teile ist urheberrechtlich geschützt. Jede Verwertung außerhalb der Grenzen des Urheberrechtsgesetzes ist ohne Zustimmung des Verlages unzulässig und strafbar. Dies gilt insbesondere für Vervielfältigungen, Übersetzungen, Mikroverfilmungen und die Einspeicherung und Bearbeitung in elektronischen Systemen. 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Alle Rechte vorbehalten © Anchor Academic Publishing, Imprint der Diplomica Verlag GmbH Hermannstal 119k, 22119 Hamburg http://www.diplomica-verlag.de, Hamburg 2014 Printed in Germany Table of contents Acknowledgment ........................................................................................................................ 7 Summary… . ……………………………………………………………………………………8 Introduction… . …………………………………………………………………………………9 The origins of the conflict in Darfur……………………… …………………………………..13 The scientific debate on climate change as a cause of conflicts…… …………………………16 Background on Sudan…………………………………… ……………………………………22 Background on Darfur…………………………………………………………………………29 Daju Period…………………………………… ………………………………………………29 The Tunjur………………………………… .. ………………………………………………...30 Darfur Sultanate…………………………… ...... ……………………………………………..30 Egyptian rule ............................................................................................................................. 30 British rule ................................................................................................................................. 31 National independence .............................................................................................................. 31 Increasing instability ................................................................................................................. 32 Beginning of scarcity resources and conflict in Darfur ............................................................. 35 Rainfall and drought in Darfur .................................................................................................. 35 Land degradation in Darfur ....................................................................................................... 40 Land tenure system in Darfur .................................................................................................... 45 Climate change casual relation with land tenure ....................................................................... 47 What danger does climate change pose to societies? ................................................................ 51 History of tribal conflicts over resources in Darfur .................................................................. 55 The nexus between climate change and the conflict in Darfur ................................................. 60 The role of multilateralism in solving the crises in Darfur ....................................................... 64 United Nations response ........................................................................................................... 65 African Union response ............................................................................................................. 67 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................ 70 Recommendations ..................................................................................................................... 72 Glossary .................................................................................................................................... 75 List of figures ............................................................................................................................ 77 Bibliography .............................................................................................................................. 78 Acknowledgment This book was possible because of the extensive support of my beloved wife who devoted herself for our family. I would also like to thank my lovely daughters for tolerating my absence patiently while I am writing this book. My sincere thanks go to my Parents. I do extend special gratitude to many individuals in all parts of Sudan and United Kingdom who helped me writing this book. 7 Summary Climate change presents a serious threat to the security and prosperity of all countries. The effects of climate change and its security implications have now been at the forefront of international attention. Academic researches on environmental change and security gained popularity in political science and security studies in the 1990s. With Cold War-related security issues on the decline, policymakers began looking more closely at non-traditional security concerns such as environmental change, poverty and diseases. In so doing, the idea of what constitutes state security expanded beyond the risk of direct military aggression from hostile states to concerns about the regional instability that could affect economic security and draw governments into regional conflicts. Few quantitative and qualitative studies conclude that, climate change in itself is unlikely to produce violent conflict, but rather, it could serve as a “threat multiplier” whereby environmen- tal degradation caused by climate change may exacerbate many of the underlining causes linked to violent conflict. However this conclusion is widely generalized, since it has put all countries in one basket despite the numerous differences and variation between countries as far as adaptive mechanism and mitigation technologies are concerned. Using Darfur as a case study, this book examines the effects of climate change in poor or less developed countries, and critically analyzing the concept of climate change as a security threat that has ignited the conflict in Darfur, critically analyzing the role of drought, desertification, decreased rainfall, land degradation and migration in the conflict in Darfur. While acknowledging the prominent role of the International community in solving this crisis, this work intends to illustrate that, the absence of a common view on the nature and root causes of the conflict has hampered international convergence about how to act on Darfur crisis. This has delayed a coherent response and has contributed to the escalation of the conflict. Also the mischaracterization of the causes and nature of the conflict in Darfur has 8 contributed to oversimplified views, which allowed the conflict to be politicized in a way that has complicated the search for solutions. This has hampered progress toward defining a political settlement, and toward finding a formula for allowing the various population groups to pursue compatible and sustainable livelihoods and as a result of the wrong diagnosis of the problem people of Darfur are still suffering. This books aims to draw the attention of international community, non-governmental organization and public to the reality of the root causes of the crisis in Darfur Introduction This book seeks to critically analyze the role of climate change in intrastate conflicts in less developed countries, and links between climate change and the untraditional concept of security threats. The book will also narrow in to analysis and takes the crisis in Darfur as a case study. It will cover the period when the climate change started to hit Darfur in 1970s passing through the period of 1980s when Darfur was devastated by the major famine. Then it will focus on the era when the conflict escalated in 2003 and the role of the international community till 2008. Darfur started to attract the attention of the international community following the outbreak of the conflict in 2003 owing to the escalation of the violent conflict that led to massive displacements, killing and deaths. Since 2003, much is being written on what is happening on the ground, much less about the root causes of the conflict and that is because it has been looked at from a political perspective rather than scientific one, and therefore it has been described by many activist groups, countries and humanitarian organization as a genocide resembling the tragedy of the 21st century. However, the root causes of the conflict have not been addressed 9 properly. Few scholars and scientists shed lights on these root causes, but the important stakeholders ignored the fact that climate change with increasing desertification and decreased rainfall is a major factor behind the crises which had started since 1970s. The symptoms of climate change in Darfur intensified in 1980s when the region witnessed a severe drought and famine, as a result, more people are competing for access to land, water, and other natural resources in Darfur. In 2003 the conflict turned to be an armed conflict between the various tribes over natural resources, especially water and land. These impacts include expanding desertification, decreased rainfall and land degradation left dire consequences, as pastoralists (Abbala) have migrated south for improved grazing for their herds, yet farmers have denied them access due to their marginal lands. As a result, more Darfurians are competing for access to land, water, and other natural resources than at any other time. The increased competition only further aggravates the already uneasy political, social, and ethnic relationships in the Darfur region. 10 11 12 The origins of the conflict in Darfur People of Darfur have been devastated by war, and its aftermath has been sorrowful story of suffering, displacement and death. The war has become one of the most misrepresented and misunderstood conflicts in recent history. Analysts and activists have oversimplified the causes of the war, slighting its historical and systemic causes. For years, public commentators ignored the nature and the real cause of the violence in Darfur, causing important misperceptions among the public and in the policy community1. The region of Darfur had witnessed a severe drought since 1970s caused by decreased rainfall which led to land degradation; in addition to that, the population has significantly increased. The inhabitants of Darfur depend heavily on the natural resource base for their socio-economic activities. Land and water access are crucial for sustainable livelihoods. The majority of people earn their livelihoods through subsistence agriculture, either farming or pastoralist2. With the increasing competition for land and water resources and the lack of local conflict resolution mechanisms, the relations between the competing tribes have intensified and developed to an armed conflict with traditional weapons. The conflict's origin goes back to land disputes between semi-nomadic livestock herders and those who practice sedentary agriculture3, as nomadic tribes facing drought are going after the territory of sedentary farmers4. In 1980s Darfur was badly hit by unprecedented drought that caused the well-known famine in Darfur and the conflict between tribes continued to evolve as pastoralists have migrated south for improved grazing for their herds, yet farmers have denied them access ___________________ 1. Foreign policy briefing, volume No, 89 June 1, 2010. 2. Fadul, A. A. Natural Resources Management for Sustainable Peace in Darfur. Sudan, University for Peace, (2004), p. 34. 3. Scott Straus, Darfur and the Genocide Debate, Foreign Affairs magazine, Vol. 84, No. 1 (Jan. – Feb 2005), pp. 123/133. 4. Bechtold, P. K. A History of Modern Sudan. Middle East Journal 2009, 63(1), 149 – 150. 13