Cross-Roads in Studies of Galaxy Evolution RICHARD S. ELLIS1 Astronomy Department, MS 105-24, Caltech, Pasadena CA 91125; [email protected] 1 0 0 ABSTRACT 2 Studies of galaxy evolution at optical and near-infrared wavelengths have reached an in- n teresting point in their historical development and the arrival of a new millenium provides an a appropriate occasion to review the overalldirection in which this subject is moving. The aim of J this short essay is to emphasize the qualitatively different datasets now arriving and the more 9 1 detailed and challenging scientific analyses needed for future progress. 1 v 1 5 1. Introduction integral field unit spectrographs on ground-based 3 telescopes with adaptive optic feeds, or using the 1 Progress made in studying faint galaxies is no Next Generation Space Telescope. 0 longer measured solely in terms of the depth at How is the community responding to the chal- 1 which samples are located but also in terms of 0 lenge of interpreting these increasingly-detailed the ever-increasing detail provided for objects at / datasets and to what extent does the emerging h fixed redshifts and flux limits. Consider a typi- picture of how galaxies evolve indicate new di- p cal 23rd magnitude galaxy at a redshift z ≃0.7. - rections which define future instrumental require- o In the 1970’s our knowledge about such an ob- ments? The question is not merely of sociologi- r ject would be very limited; it would have a pho- t cal interest. Strategic changes in direction, when s tographic apparentmagnitude and possibly a sin- necessary, represent a natural outcome of the sci- a gle broad-bandcolor. By the mid-1980’s,it might : entific process and thus it is important to try and v have some CCD photometry and a low dispersion anticipate them. This is particularly so for faint Xi spectrum from a 4-meter telescope yielding a red- galaxystudieswhichcontinuetomotivatethecon- shift,k-correctedluminosityandsomeemissionor r struction of future large telescopes. a absorptionline characteristics. By the mid-1990’s Until recently, observers of faint galaxies were a WFPC-2 image from Hubble Space Telescope largely preoccupied with conducting ‘census sur- (HST) would provide morphological and struc- veys’, whose aim is to define the epochs within tural information, and ground-based photometry which galaxies of various photometric selections overarangeofwavelengthsfromtheUVtotheIR lie, as a precursor to evolutionary tests. We may mightcharacteriseits spectralenergydistribution be approaching the time when such studies will (SED) fairly well. Late in the 1990’s, intermedi- be complete and thus face something of a “cross- ate dispersion spectroscopy with the new genera- roads” in the subject. In this essay I discuss tion of 8-10 meter telescopes has provided some whether both observersandtheorists arereadyto dynamicaldata, in terms of line widths or, excep- interpretthemuchmoredetaileddatasetsthatwe tionally, rotation curves. This trend of increasing can expect fairly soon. detail on high redshift galaxies is sure to continue as we anticipate obtaining resolved spectra from 2. Earlier Cross-Roads 1This Essay is one of a series of invited contributions which will appear in the PASP throughout 2000-2001 to We have encountered cross-roads before in our marktheupcomingmillenium(Eds.) studies of galaxy evolution. A major one oc- 1 curred when it was realised that main sequence dependentevolutionarytrendswithsomeevidence brightening arising from stellar evolution in first- for an increase in number density with look-back ranked cluster galaxies could significantly com- time. plicate their use in tracing the history of the A less obvious cross-roads appeared after the cosmic expansion. That distant galaxies might completion of the 10-meter Keck telescopes. It be useful as probes of galactic history did not, mightseemobviousthatmorepowerfultelescopes of course, escape the attention of early pioneers should be used to extend the earlier magnitude- (Sandage 1961). However, the (still-familiar) ea- limited redshift surveys faintward. However, the gerness to constrain the cosmological parameters mean redshift depth is only marginally increased clearly took priority. Tinsley was perhaps the with a larger telescope in this way. Most fainter most ardent advocate in recognizing this cross- galaxies are simply less luminous sources occu- roads (Tinsley 1976) convincingly inspiring ob- pying the same redshift space as those which serverstoreturntostudiesofthecountsandcolors dominate the 4-meter surveys. Photometric se- of faint field galaxies with the new generation of lection techniques, the most successful of which wide-field4-metertelescopes(Peterson et al 1979; are based on Lyman and Balmer discontinuities, Tyson & Jarvis 1979;Kron 1980;Koo 1985). The more efficiently yield high redshift samples with emerging data were comparedwith her evolution- surface densities well-matched to Keck’s LRIS arysynthesismodels (Tinsley 1977;Tinsley 1980) (Steidel et al 1996; Steidel 2000). Such tech- and laid the foundation for an entire industry of niques provided the first glimpse at the abun- surveying the faint skies which has grown apace dance of early galaxies as well as their likely con- since 1980. tribution to the star formationandmetal produc- In present-day parlance, Tinsley assumed tion history of the Universe (Steidel et al 1999; galaxies underwent “pure luminosity evolution”. Madau & Pozzetti 1999). Theyevolvedinisolationandthuswereconserved innumber. Differentstarformationhistorieswere 3. NewDirectionsforHighRedshiftStud- chosen to reproduce the colors of the present-day ies Hubble sequence in an admirably simple scheme So what can we learn from this brief his- (Struck-Marcell & Tinsley 1978). As noted by tory in terms of how observational strategies earlierworkers,thepresentcolorsofspheroidscan might change in the future? Whilst determin- be fit with model galaxies with a high formation ing the redshift distribution of flux-limited sam- redshift and a rapidly declining star formation ples, N(m,color,z), with survey spectrographs rate; such objects would be spectacularly lumi- was successful in the past, it is less likely to be nousandblueclosetotheirformationepoch. The a productive technique in the future. Just as mi- faint blue excess seen in the counts (Ellis 1997) crowavebackgroundenthusiastsarguethat“soon” could originate from such a primordial popula- we will know the gamut of cosmological param- tion. Finding primeval galaxies and discovering the epoch of galaxy formation spectroscopically eters (and so can concentrate on understanding structure formationand the nature of Λ and dark thus became a new ‘Holy Grail’ for observers. matter) so, many argue, we may soon have the For many reasons, these searches were largely in- statistical redshift distribution N(z) for any pop- conclusive (Pritchet 1994) but they did serve to ulation we desire from photometric redshift tech- emphasize the importance of faint object spec- niques (Connolly et al 1996) renderingtraditional troscopy. redshift surveys unnecessary, at least for the pur- Efficient spectrographs equipped with multi- pose discussed above. objectfeedsenabledsystematicsurveysofmagnitude- Thisisnottounderestimatethechallengesthat limited samples heralding importance advances. remain in convincing skeptics of this optimistic Evolution of galaxy populations could be ad- viewpoint. Photometric redshift techniques suf- dressedby comparingwell-defined samples within ferfromanumberofpotentiallydangerouspitfalls differentredshiftintervals(Lilly et al 1995;Ellis et al 1996; not least the reliance on template SEDs based ei- Cowie et al 1996; Cohen et al 2000). These sur- ther on (i) local galaxydata (which surely cannot veyshaverevealedacomplexpictureofluminosity- 2 be representativeofthe bewildering variety of ob- 4. The Challenges of Interpreting Re- jectsweseeatallepochs)or(ii)evolutionarysyn- solved Galaxy Data thesismodels whicharelargelyuntestedexceptin Ibelievewefaceanothersignificantcross-roads the brightregimewherenormalHubble types still in the subject of galaxy evolution. Resolved data dominate. Onemust alsorememberthatthe pho- on distant galaxies may soon be arriving from a tometric precision appropriate in the oft-quoted varietyoffacilities,ground-basedandspace-based, HubbleDeepFieldcomparisons(Hogg et al 1998) but are we ready to deal with it? is considerably better than that available in typi- cal ground-based imaging surveys. Wemightbeginaddressingthisproblembycon- sidering what has been learnt already from the Two important new scientific directions have community’s experience so far with HST images emerged in the past few years. First, photomet- of distant galaxies. The most significant conclu- ric redshift selection can already isolate samples sions here havecome fromthe verylimited subset sufficient to permit their angular clustering to in- of HST imaging for which ground-based redshift dicate the spatial correlation function at early data is available. The mismatch in the field of times (Adelberger et al 1998; Daddi et al 2000; view between ground-based survey spectrographs Brunner et al 2000; McCarthy et al 2000). This andWFPC-2hasseriouslylimitedprogressinthis provides a valuable measure of large scale struc- regard and the arrival of the Advanced Camera tureintermediateinepochbetweenthemicrowave for Surveys will not make a big impact unless background and the present, crucial for a direct thereisaconcertedcampaignforpanoramicimag- test of gravitational instability. Spectroscopic ingwithHST.Disregardingrichclusters,onlythe data is still highly desirable in these imaging sur- Groth strip, the CFRS/LDSS/Hawaii survey and veys because if, ultimately, galaxy clustering can HDFfieldshavebeenmosaicedwithHSTtomatch becharacterisedadditionallybydynamicalorstel- ground-based data. Collectively these represent a larmass,ratherthanviamerepopulationcolorsor pitifully small coverage considering the potential star formationrates, the connectionwith contem- impact of HST imaging in this subject area. porary model predictions will be much sounder. These deep surveys differ significantly from their The primary scientific results on galaxy evolu- local magnitude-limited equivalents (2dF, SDSS) tionfromthe limitedHSTdatasetsinclude claims inthatredshift-dependentselectioneffectscompli- for (i) physically smaller sources at high red- cate the analysis necessitating forward modelling shift (Pascarelle et al 1995; Bouwens et al 1998), of the various biases (Kauffmann et al 1999). (ii) an increasing abundance of peculiar, pos- sibly merging, blue star-forming systems by The other direction of importance is one that z≃1 (Glazebrook et al 1995; Driver et al 1995; was established via the arrival of WFPC-2. The Brinchmann & Ellis 2000),and(iii)aslowgrowth first resolved images of distant galaxies caused in spiral disks (Lilly et al 1998) and field ellipti- much optimism in the subject because of the po- cals (Menanteau et al 2000; Im et al 2000) over tential for examining evolution of galaxy mor- 0<z <1. Each is a purely empirical result whose phologies(Griffiths et al 1994). Mostwouldagree placeinaquantativeunderstandingofgalaxyevo- thatthe recognitionoffamiliar-lookingspheroidal and spiral galaxies at redshifts z ≃1 was an im- lution is hindered by, at best, a loose interface with contemporary theories of structure forma- portant development. However, as we anticipate tion. Whereas uncertain assumptions concern- building ground-based instruments that will de- liver resolved spectroscopy of faint galaxies, it is ing gas cooling, feedback and related star for- mation physics are necessary to use structure relevant to ask what, in terms of quantitative as- formation models to predict cosmic star forma- trophysics, we can learn about galaxy evolution tion histories, luminosities and color distributions from resolved data. (Baugh et al 1998; Cole et al 2000), a more pro- found challenge is now faced in extending theo- retical models to predict detailed morphological and structural information. In this respect, rely- ing solely ona foundation ofgravitationalphysics 3 may be quite inadequate. One suspects the sub- 2<z <5 likewise forms a major driver for multi- ject would benefit considerably from the expe- conjugate adaptive optics on current and future rience of those studying the detailed dynamics large telescopes as well as for NGST instruments. and interstellar media of nearby systems. Some Resolved data for samples of high redshift progress is possible with dynamical data such as galaxies is not only an inevitable next step in rotation curves and internal velocity dispersions the developmentofastronomicalinstrumentation, (Vogt et al 1997; Mo et al 1998; Treu et al 2000) but also a logical scientific direction if we wish to but only a small subset of the faint galaxy pop- truly understand the variety of galaxy types we ulation can currently be studied in this way. In- see today. 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