P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FM BLBS082-Yadav July13,2011 8:53 Trim:246mmX189mm Crop Adaptation to Climate Change i P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FM BLBS082-Yadav July13,2011 8:53 Trim:246mmX189mm Crop Adaptation to Climate Change Edited by Shyam S. Yadav Robert J. Redden Jerry L. Hatfield Hermann Lotze-Campen Anthony E. Hall with Manav Yadav ProjectManager/CommunicationsCoordinator A John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Publication iii P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FM BLBS082-Yadav July13,2011 8:53 Trim:246mmX189mm Thiseditionfirstpublished2011,©2011byJohnWiley&Sons,Inc. Wiley-BlackwellisanimprintofJohnWiley&Sons,formedbythemergerofWiley’sglobalScientific,Technicaland MedicalbusinesswithBlackwellPublishing. 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Thisbookispublishedinthefollowingelectronicformats:ePDF9780470960899;WileyOnlineLibrary9780470960929; ePub9780470960905;Mobi9780470960912 (cid:3) Setin10/12.5ptTimesbyAptaraR Inc.,NewDelhi,India Disclaimer Thepublisherandtheauthormakenorepresentationsorwarrantieswithrespecttotheaccuracyorcompletenessofthe contentsofthisworkandspecificallydisclaimallwarranties,includingwithoutlimitationwarrantiesoffitnessforaparticular purpose.Nowarrantymaybecreatedorextendedbysalesorpromotionalmaterials.Theadviceandstrategiescontained hereinmaynotbesuitableforeverysituation.Thisworkissoldwiththeunderstandingthatthepublisherisnotengagedin renderinglegal,accounting,orotherprofessionalservices.Ifprofessionalassistanceisrequired,theservicesofacompetent professionalpersonshouldbesought.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorshallbeliablefordamagesarisingherefrom.The factthatanorganizationorWebsiteisreferredtointhisworkasacitationand/orapotentialsourceoffurtherinformation doesnotmeanthattheauthororthepublisherendorsestheinformationtheorganizationorWebsitemayprovideor recommendationsitmaymake.Further,readersshouldbeawarethatInternetWebsiteslistedinthisworkmayhavechanged ordisappearedbetweenwhenthisworkwaswrittenandwhenitisread. ToprightcoverphototakenbySuvidyaYadav.Inphoto:Dr.JensBerger(left),EcophysiologistCSIRO,WA,Australiaand Dr.ShyamS.Yadav(right)examiningtheChickpealinesplantedundertheACIAR-ICARfundedchickpeaadaptationfield trialattheMerredinDrylandResearchInstituteinWesternAustralia,Australia2002. 1 2011 iv P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FM BLBS082-Yadav July13,2011 8:53 Trim:246mmX189mm Table of Contents ListofContributors ix ListofEditors xvi AbouttheEditors xvii ForewordbyDanielHillelandCynthiaRosenzweig xx ForewordbyM.S.Swaminathan xxii ForewordbyMartinParry xxiv ForewordbyAhmedDjoghlaf xxv ForewordbyCaryFowler xxvii ForewordbyDavidK.Skelly xxix ForewordbyWalterP.Falcon xxx Preface xxxii Acknowledgments xxxiii Chapter1.1: ClimateChange,PopulationGrowth,andCropProduction:AnOverview 1 HermannLotze-Campen Chapter1.2: DownscalingGlobalClimaticPredictionstotheRegionalLevel:ACaseStudy ofRegionalEffectsofClimateChangeonWheatCropProductioninVictoria, Australia 12 GarryO’Leary,BrendanChristy,AnnaWeeks,JamesNuttall,PennyRiffkin, CraigBeverly,andGlennFitzgerald Chapter2: Agroecology:ImplicationsforPlantResponsetoClimateChange 27 JerryL.HatfieldandJohnH.Prueger Chapter3.1: ImpactsofClimateChangeonCropProductioninLatinAmerica 44 AndyJarvis,JulianRamirez,OsanaBonilla-Findji,andEmmanuelZapata Chapter3.2: ChangingClimateinNorthAmerica:ImplicationsforCrops 57 JerryL.Hatfield Chapter3.3: RegionalImpactsofClimateChange:Africa 66 RanjanaBhattacharjee,BonnyR.Ntare,EmmanuelOtoo,andPiusZ.Yanda Chapter3.4: RegionalClimateImpactsonAgricultureinEurope 78 HermannLotze-Campen v P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FM BLBS082-Yadav July13,2011 8:53 Trim:246mmX189mm vi TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter3.5: ClimateChangeImpactsandAdaptationsintheCountriesoftheFormerSoviet Union 84 AndreiKirilenkoandNikolayDronin Chapter3.6: ClimateChangeImpactinAgriculture:VulnerabilityandAdaptation ConcernsofSemiaridTropicsinAsia 107 NaveenP.Singh,MaCynthiaS.Bantilan,A.AshokKumar,PasupuletiJanila,and AbuWaliR.Hassan Chapter3.7: ClimateChangeImpactsinJapanandSoutheastAsia:Implicationsfor CropAdaptation 131 SivapuramV.R.K.Prabhakar Chapter3.8: RegionalImpacts:Australia 143 MarkS.HowdenandStevenJ.Crimp Chapter4: SynthesisofRegionalImpactsandGlobalAgriculturalAdjustments 156 NeilC.TurnerandRolfMeyer Chapter5.1: ImpactsofHigh-TemperatureStressandPotentialOpportunitiesforBreeding 166 RishiP.Singh,P.V.VaraPrasad,AmbrishK.Sharma,andK.RajaReddy Chapter5.2: ResponsestoIncreasedMoistureStressandExtremes:WholePlantResponse toDroughtunderClimateChange 186 VincentVadez,JanaKholova,SunitaChoudhary,PaulZindy, Me´dullineTerrier,LakshmanKrishnamurthy,PasalaRatnaKumar,and NeilC.Turner Chapter6: PlantResponsestoIncreasedCarbonDioxide 198 S.SeneweeraandR.M.Norton Chapter7: GeneticsOptionsforImprovingtheProductivityofWheatinWater-Limited andTemperature-StressedEnvironments 218 R.M.TrethowanandT.Mahmood Chapter8: GeneticAdjustmenttoChangingClimates:Pea 238 ClariceJ.Coyne,RebeccaJ.McGee,RobertJ.Redden,MikeJ.Ambrose, BonnieJ.Furman,andCarolA.Miles Chapter9: GeneticAdjustmenttoChangingClimates:Chickpea 251 MuhammadImtiaz,RajinderS.Malhotra,andShyamS.Yadav Chapter10: GeneticAdjustmenttoChangingClimates:fababean 269 Ge´rardDuc,WolfgangLink,PascalMarget,RobertJ.Redden, FrederickL.Stoddard,AnaMariaTorres,andJoseI.Cubero Chapter11: AdaptationofthePotatoCroptoChangingClimates 287 RolandSchafleitner,JulianRamirez,AndyJarvis,DanieleEvers, RaymundoGutierrez,andMariahScurrah P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FM BLBS082-Yadav July13,2011 8:53 Trim:246mmX189mm TABLE OF CONTENTS vii Chapter12: GeneticAdjustmenttoChangingClimates:Rice 298 TanguyLafarge,ShaobingPeng,ToshihiroHasegawa,WilliamP.Quick,S.V. KrishnaJagadish,andReinerWassmann Chapter13: GeneticAdjustmenttoChangingClimates:Maize 314 MarkE.WestgateandJerryL.Hatfield Chapter14: SorghumGeneticEnhancementforClimateChangeAdaptation 326 BelumV.S.Reddy,A.AshokKumar,SampangiramireddyRamesh,and PulluruS.Reddy Chapter15: BreedingCowpeaforFutureClimates 340 AnthonyE.Hall Chapter16: GeneticImprovementofCommonBeansandtheChallenges ofClimateChange 356 StephenBeebe,JulianRamirez,AndyJarvis,IdupulapatiM.Rao, GloriaMosquera,JuanM.Bueno,andMatthewW.Blair Chapter17: ImprovingSoybeanCultivarsforAdaptationtoClimateChangeand ClimateVariability 370 KennethJ.Boote Chapter18: GeneticAdjustmenttoChangingClimates:Vegetables 396 RobertC.delaPen˜a,AndreasW.Ebert,PaulA.Gniffke,PeterHanson,and RachaelC.Symonds Chapter19: AdaptationofCassavatoChangingClimates 411 Herna´nCeballos,JulianRamirez,AnthonyC.Bellotti,AndyJarvis,and ElizabethAlvarez Chapter20: ChangingClimates:EffectsonGrowingConditionsforBananaandPlantain (Musaspp.)andPossibleResponses 426 JulianRamirez,AndyJarvis,IngeVandenBergh,CharlesStaver,and DavidTurner Chapter21: GeneticAdjustmenttoChangingClimates:Sugarcane 439 GeoffInman-Bamber,PhillipJackson,andMaryseBourgault Chapter22: BreedingOilseedBrassicaforClimateChange 448 PhillipA.SalisburyandMartinJ.Barbetti Chapter23: TheGeneticEnvelopeofWinegrapeVines:PotentialforAdaptationtoFuture ClimateChallenges 464 LeanneB.Webb,PeterR.Clingeleffer,andStephenD.Tyerman Chapter24: ThePotentialofClimateChangeAdjustmentinCrops:ASynthesis 482 RobertJ.Redden,ShyamS.Yadav,JerryL.Hatfield,BoddupalliM.Prasanna, SurinderK.Vasal,andTanguyLafarge P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FM BLBS082-Yadav July13,2011 8:53 Trim:246mmX189mm viii TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter25: CropGermplasmDiversity:TheRoleofGeneBankCollectionsinFacilitating AdaptationtoClimateChange 495 LauraK.Snook,M.EhsanDulloo,AndyJarvis,XavierScheldeman,and MargaretKneller Chapter26: UnderutilizedSpeciesandClimateChange:CurrentStatusandOutlook 507 StefanoPadulosi,VernonHeywood,DannyHunter,andAndyJarvis Chapter27: WildRelativeandTransgenicInnovationforEnhancingCropAdaptation toWarmerandDrierClimate 522 Gang-PingXueandC.LynneMcIntyre Chapter28: EnergyCropstoCombatClimateChange 546 AbdullahA.Jaradat Chapter29: ResearchfromthePasttotheFuture 556 EC(Ted)Wolfe Index 571 P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FMBM BLBS082-Yadav July15,2011 19:51 Trim:246mmX189mm List of Contributors ElizabethAlvarez CraigBeverly InternationalCenterforTropicalAgriculture DepartmentofPrimaryIndustries (CIAT) Rutherglen,Victoria3685,Australia AA6713,Km17rectaCali-Palmira,Cali, Colombia RanjanaBhattacharjee InternationalInstituteofTropicalAgriculture MikeJ.Ambrose Ibadan,PMB5320,Nigeria JohnInnesCentre Colney,Norwich,NR47UH,UK MatthewW.Blair InternationalCenterforTropicalAgriculture MaCynthiaS.Bantilan (CIAT) InternationalCropsResearchInstituteforthe AA6713,Km17rectaCali-Palmira,Cali, Semi-AridTropics(ICRISAT) Colombia Patancheru502324,AndhraPradesh,India OsanaBonilla-Findji MartinJ.Barbetti InternationalCenterforTropicalAgriculture SchoolofPlantBiologyandUWAInstituteof (CIAT) Agriculture AA6713,Km17rectaCali-Palmira,Cali, TheUniversityofWesternAustralia Colombia 35StirlingHwy Crawley,W.A.6009,Australia CGIARResearchProgramonClimateChange AgricultureandFoodSecurity(CCAFS) StephenBeebe InternationalCenterforTropicalAgriculture KennethJ.Boote (CIAT) UniversityofFlorida AA6713,Km17rectaCali-Palmira,Cali, AgronomyDepartment Colombia Gainesville,FL32611 UnitedStatesofAmerica AnthonyC.Bellotti InternationalCenterforTropicalAgriculture MaryseBourgault (CIAT) CSIROPlantIndustry AA6713,Km17rectaCali-Palmira,Cali, QBP,UniversityofQueensland Colombia Brisbane,Queensland,Australia ix P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FMBM BLBS082-Yadav July15,2011 19:51 Trim:246mmX189mm x LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS JuanM.Bueno NikolayDronin InternationalCenterforTropicalAgriculture SchoolofGeography (CIAT) MoscowStateUniversity AA6713,Km17rectaCali-Palmira,Cali, Moscow,Russia Colombia Ge´rardDuc Herna´nCeballos INRAInstitutNationaldelaRecherche InternationalCenterforTropicalAgriculture Agronomique,UMR102, (CIAT) Ge´ne´tiqueetEcophysiologiedesLe´gumineuses AA6713,Km17rectaCali-Palmira,Cali, a` Graines,BP86510, Colombia 21065DIJONce´dex,France SunitaChoudhary M.EhsanDulloo InternationalCropsResearchInstituteforthe BioversityInternational Semi-AridTropics(ICRISAT) Maccarese(Rome),Italy Patancheru502324,AndhraPradesh,India AndreasW.Ebert BrendanChristy AVRDC—TheWorldVegetableCenter DepartmentofPrimaryIndustries P.O.Box42,Shanhua,Tainan74199,Taiwan Rutherglen,Victoria3685,Australia DanieleEvers PeterR.Clingeleffer CRP—GabrielLippmann CSIROPlantIndustry 41,RueduBrill,L-4422Belvaux,Luxembourg Waitecampus,P.O.Box350 GlenOsmond,SouthAustralia,5064,Australia GlennFitzgerald DepartmentofPrimaryIndustries ClariceJ.Coyne Horsham,Victoria3400,Australia USDAAgriculturalResearchService PlantIntroductionUnit,59JohnsonHall BonnieJ.Furman WashingtonStateUniversity,Pullman,WA USDAAgriculturalResearchService 99164-6402 ArcticandSubarcticPlantGeneticResources UnitedStatesofAmerica 533E.FireweedAvenue,Palmer,AK99645 UnitedStatesofAmerica StevenJ.Crimp CSIROClimateAdaptationFlagship AsofJuly1,2010: GPOBox284,Canberra,ACT2601,Australia InternationalMaizeandWheatImprovement Center(CIMMYT)Apdo.Postal6-641,06600 JoseI.Cubero Mexico,DFMEXICO DepartamentodeGene´tica,Universidadde Co´rdoba,CampusdeRabanales, PaulA.Gniffke edificioC5,14071Co´rdoba,Spain AVRDC—TheWorldVegetableCenter P.O.Box42,Shanhua,Tainan74199,Taiwan RobertC.delaPen˜a MonsantoCompany,VegetableSeedsDivision RaymundoGutierrez 06-08NewTechPark,151LorongChuan, InternationalPotatoCenter(CIP) Singapore556741 Apartado1558,LaMolina,Lima12,Peru P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC Color:1C BLBS082-FMBM BLBS082-Yadav July15,2011 19:51 Trim:246mmX189mm LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS xi AnthonyE.Hall MuhammadImtiaz DepartmentofBotanyandPlantSciences InternationalCenterforAgriculturalResearch UniversityofCalifornia intheDryAreas(ICARDA) Riverside,CA92521-0124 P.O.Box5466,Aleppo,Syria UnitedStatesofAmerica GeoffInman-Bamber PeterHanson CSIROPlantIndustry,ATSIP AVRDC—TheWorldVegetableCenter JamesCookUniversity P.O.Box42,Shanhua,Tainan74199,Taiwan Townsville,Queensland,Australia JerryL.Hatfield CSIRO,ClimateAdaptationFlagship USDA-ARS GPOBox284,Canberra,ACT2601,Australia NationalLaboratoryforAgricultureandthe Environment PhillipJackson 2110UniversityBlvd. CSIROPlantIndustry Ames,IA50011 ATSIP,JamesCookUniversity UnitedStatesofAmerica Townsville,Queensland,Australia ToshihiroHasegawa S.V.KrishnaJagadish NationalInstituteforAgro-environmental InternationalRiceResearchInstitute Sciences,Tsukuba,Japan Manila,Philippines AbuWaliR.Hassan PasupuletiJanila DepartmentofAgriculturalExtension InternationalCropsResearchInstituteforthe Khamarbari,Farmgate,Dhaka-1215, Semi-AridTropics(ICRISAT) Bangladesh Patancheru502324,AndhraPradesh,India VernonHeywood AbdullahA.Jaradat UniversityofReading USDA-AgriculturalResearchService,and Reading,UK DepartmentofAgronomyandPlantGenetics UniversityofMinnesota,803IowaAvenue, MarkS.Howden Morris,MN56267 ChiefResearchScientist UnitedStatesofAmerica ThemeLeader,AdaptivePrimaryIndustriesand Enterprises AndyJarvis CSIROClimateAdaptationFlagship InternationalCenterforTropicalAgriculture GPOBox284,Canberra,ACT2601,Australia (CIAT) AA6713,Km17rectaCali-Palmira,Cali, HonoraryProfessor: Colombia SchoolofLandandEnvironment CGIARResearchProgramonClimateChange TheUniversityofMelbourne AgricultureandFoodSecurity(CCAFS) Victoria3010,Australia JanaKholova DannyHunter InternationalCropsResearchInstituteforthe BioversityInternational Semi-AridTropics(ICRISAT) ViadeiTreDenari Patancheru502324,AndhraPradesh,India 472/a,00057Maccarese,Rome,Italy
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