Evidence-Based Medicine: Reading and Writing Medical Papers Intentionally left as blank CRASH COURSE SERIES EDITOR: Dan Horton-Szar BSc(Hons) MBBS(Hons) MRCGP NorthgateMedicalPractice Canterbury Kent, UK FACULTY ADVISOR: Andrew Polmear MA MSc FRCP FRCGP FormerSenior Research Fellow AcademicUnit of PrimaryCare The Trafford Centre for MedicalEducation and Research University of Sussex; FormerGeneral Practitioner Brighton and Hove, UK Evidence-Based Medicine: Reading and Writing Medical Papers Amit Kaura BSc(Hons) MB ChB Academic Foundation Doctor, North Bristol NHS Trust; Honorary Research Fellow, Department of Physiology, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK Edinburgh London New York Oxford Philadelphia St Louis Sydney Toronto 2013 CommissioningEditor:JeremyBowes DevelopmentEditor:SheilaBlack ProjectManager:AndrewRiley Designer:ChristianBilbow IllustrationManager:JenniferRose ©2013ElsevierLtd.Allrightsreserved. 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ISBN:978-0-7234-3735-2 BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary LibraryofCongressCataloginginPublicationData AcatalogrecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress Notices Knowledgeandbestpracticeinthisfieldareconstantlychanging.Asnewresearchandexperiencebroadenour understanding,changesinresearchmethods,professionalpractices,ormedicaltreatmentmaybecomenecessary. Practitionersandresearchersmustalwaysrelyontheirownexperienceandknowledgeinevaluatingandusingany information,methods,compounds,orexperimentsdescribedherein.Inusingsuchinformationormethodsthey shouldbemindfuloftheirownsafetyandthesafetyofothers,includingpartiesforwhomtheyhaveaprofessional responsibility. Withrespecttoanydrugorpharmaceuticalproductsidentified,readersareadvisedtocheckthemostcurrent informationprovided(i)onproceduresfeaturedor(ii)bythemanufacturerofeachproducttobeadministered,to verifytherecommendeddoseorformula,themethodanddurationofadministration,andcontraindications.Itis theresponsibilityofpractitioners,relyingontheirownexperienceandknowledgeoftheirpatients,tomake diagnoses,todeterminedosagesandthebesttreatmentforeachindividualpatient,andtotakeallappropriate safetyprecautions. Tothefullestextentofthelaw,neitherthePublishernortheauthors,contributors,oreditors,assumeanyliability foranyinjuryand/ordamagetopersonsorpropertyasamatterofproductsliability,negligenceorotherwise,or fromanyuseoroperationofanymethods,products,instructions,orideascontainedinthematerialherein. The Publisher's policy is to use paper manufactured from sustainable forests PrintedinChina Series editor foreword TheCrashCourseseriesfirstpublishedin1997andnow,16yearson,wearestill goingstrong.Medicineneverstandsstill,andtheworkofkeepingthisseriesrele- vantfortoday’sstudentsisanongoingprocess.Alongwithrevisingexistingtitles, nowintheirfourtheditions,wearedelightedtoaddthisnewtitletotheseries. Amongthechangestoourprofessionoverthe years,theriseofevidence-based medicine has dramatically improved the quality and consistency of medical care forpatientsandbringsnewchallengestodoctorsandstudentsalike.Itisincreas- inglyimportantforstudentstobeskilledinthecriticalappraisalofpublishedmed- icalresearchandtheapplicationofevidencetotheirclinicalpractice,andtohave theabilitytouseaudittomonitorandimprovethatpracticeovertheyears.These skills are now an important and explicit part of the medical curriculum and the examinationsyouneedtopass.Thisexcellentnewtitlepresentsthefoundations oftheseskillswithaclearandpracticalapproachperfectlysuitedtothoseembark- ingontheirmedicalcareers. Withthisnewbook,weholdfasttotheprinciplesonwhichwefirstdevelopedthe series.CrashCoursewillalwaysbringyoualltheinformationyouneedtorevisein compact, manageable volumes that integrate basic medical science and clinical practice. The books still maintain the balance between clarity and conciseness, andprovidesufficientdepthforthoseaimingatdistinction.Theauthorsaremedical studentsandjuniordoctorswhohaverecentexperienceoftheexamsyouarenow facing,andtheaccuracyofthematerialischeckedbyateamoffacultyadvisors fromacrosstheUK. Iwishyouallthebestforyourfuturecareers! DrDanHorton-Szar v Intentionally left as blank Prefaces Author CrashCourseEvidence-BasedMedicine:ReadingandWritingMedicalPapersis directedatmedicalstudentsandhealthcareprofessionalsatallstagesoftheirtrain- ing.Duetotheever-increasingrateatwhichmedicalknowledgeisadvancing,itis crucialthat all professionalsare ableto practice evidence-based medicine,which includes being able to critically appraise the medical literature. Over the course ofthisbook,allstudytypeswillbediscussedusingasystematicapproach,therefore allowing for easy comparison. In addition to equipping readers with the skills required to critically appraise research evidence, this book covers the key points onhowtoconductresearchandreportthefindings.Thisrequiresanunderstanding ofstatistics,whichareusedthroughoutallstagesoftheresearchprocess–from designing a study to data collection and analysis. All commonly used statistical methodsareexploredinaconcisemanner,usingexamplesfromreal-lifesituations toaidunderstanding.AswiththeotherbooksintheCrashCourseseries,themate- rialisdesignedtoarmthereaderwiththeessentialfactsonthesesubjects,while maintaining a balance between conciseness and clarity. References for further readingareprovidedwherereaderswishtoexploreatopicingreaterdetail. TheGeneralMedicalCouncil’sTomorrow’sDoctors–guidanceforundergraduate medicalstudentsstatesthatstudent-selectedcomponents(SSCs)shouldaccount for10-30%ofthestandardcurriculum.SSCscommonlyincludeclinicalaudit,lit- eraturereview,andquantitativeorqualitativeresearch.Notonlywillthisbookbe aninvaluableassetforpassingtheSSCassessments,itwillenablestudentstopre- parehigh-qualityreportsandthereforeimprovetheirchancesofpublishingpapers inpeer-reviewedjournals.Theimportanceofthisextendsbeyondundergraduate study,assucheducationalachievementscarryweightwhenapplyingforFounda- tionProgrammepositionsandspecialisttraining. Evidence-basedmedicineisaverticalthemethatrunsthroughallyearsofundergrad- uateandpostgraduatestudyandcommonlyappearsinexams.Theself-assessment questions, which follow the modern exam format, will help the reader pass that dreadedevidence-basedmedicineandstatisticsexamwithflyingcolours! Amit Kaura Faculty advisor Fordecadesthreedisciplineshavebeenconvergingslowlytocreateanewwayof practising medicine. Statisticians provide the expertise to ensure that research resultsarevalid;clinicianshavedevelopedthescienceofevidence-basedmedicine tobringtheresultsofthatresearchintopractice;andeducatorsandmanagershave developedclinicalaudittocheckthatpractitionersaredoingwhattheythinkthey aredoing.Yetthe seams still show.Fewarticles present thestatistics in theway most useful to clinicians. If this surprises you, look to see how few articles on vii therapygivetheNumberNeededtoTreat.Haveyoueverseenanarticleondiag- nosisgivetheNumberNeededtoTest?Itisevenmorerareforanarticlethatpro- posesanewtreatmenttosuggestatopicforaudit. Thisbookis,tomyknowledge,thefirstthatseesthesethreestrandsasasingleway ofpractisingmedicine.Itisnocoincidencethatittookadoctorwhoqualifiedinthe seconddecadeofthe21stcenturytobringthesestrandstogether.Manydoctors who teach have still not mastered the evidence-based approach and some still see audit as something you do to satisfy your managers. Armed with this book, thestudentcanlayafoundationforhisorherclinicalpracticethatwillinformevery consultationoveralifetimeinmedicine. Andrew Polmear viii Acknowledgements Iwouldliketoexpressmydeepgratitudeto: (cid:129) Dan Horton-Szar, Jeremy Bowes, Sheila Black and the rest of the team at Elsevier,whograntedmethisamazingopportunitytoteachandinspirethenext generationofclinicalacademics; (cid:129) Andrew Polmear, the Faculty Advisor for this project, for his valuable and constructivesuggestionsduringthedevelopmentofthisbook; (cid:129) AndySalmon,SeniorLecturerandHonoraryConsultantinRenalMedicineand Physiology,arolemodelprovidinginspirationthathasbeenashininglight; (cid:129) Tanya Smith for interviewing me for Chapter 21 on ‘Careers in academic medicine’. (cid:129) allthosewhohavesupportedmeinmyacademiccareertodate,includingJamie Jeremy,EmeritusProfessorattheBristolHeartInstituteandMarkCheesman, CareoftheElderlyConsultantatSouthmeadHospital; (cid:129) myclosefriends,SimranSinhaandHajebKamali,foralltheirencouragement duringthepreparationofthisbook. AmitKaura ix
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