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Control Mechanisms for Ecological-Economic Systems PDF

188 Pages·2015·3.248 MB·English
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Studies in Systems, Decision and Control 10 Vladimir N. Burkov Dmitry A. Novikov Alexander V. Shchepkin Control Mechanisms for Ecological-Economic Systems Studies in Systems, Decision and Control Volume 10 Serieseditor JanuszKacprzyk,PolishAcademyofSciences,Warsaw,Poland e-mail:[email protected] AboutthisSeries The series "Studies in Systems, Decision and Control" (SSDC) covers both new developmentsand advances, as well as the state of the art, in the variousareas of broadly perceived systems, decision making and control- quickly, up to date and with a high quality. The intent is to cover the theory, applications, and perspec- tives on the state of the art and future developmentsrelevant to systems, decision making,control,complexprocessesandrelatedareas,asembeddedinthefieldsof engineering,computerscience,physics,economics,socialandlifesciences,aswell astheparadigmsandmethodologiesbehindthem.Theseriescontainsmonographs, textbooks,lecturenotesandeditedvolumesinsystems, decisionmakingandcon- trol spanning the areas of Cyber-PhysicalSystems, AutonomousSystems, Sensor Networks,ControlSystems,EnergySystems,AutomotiveSystems,BiologicalSys- tems,VehicularNetworkingandConnectedVehicles,AerospaceSystems,Automa- tion, Manufacturing, Smart Grids, Nonlinear Systems, Power Systems, Robotics, SocialSystems,EconomicSystemsandother.Ofparticularvaluetoboththecon- tributorsandthereadershiparetheshortpublicationtimeframeandtheworld-wide distribution and exposure which enable both a wide and rapid dissemination of researchoutput. Moreinformationaboutthisseriesathttp://www.springer.com/series/13304 · Vladimir N. Burkov Dmitry A. Novikov Alexander V. Shchepkin Control Mechanisms for Ecological-Economic Systems ABC VladimirN.Burkov AlexanderV.Shchepkin TrapeznikovInstituteofControlSciences TrapeznikovInstituteofControlSciences RussianAcademyofSciences RussianAcademyofSciences Moscow Moscow Russia Russia DmitryA.Novikov TrapeznikovInstituteofControlSciences RussianAcademyofSciences Moscow Russia ISSN2198-4182 ISSN2198-4190 (electronic) StudiesinSystems,DecisionandControl ISBN978-3-319-10914-5 ISBN978-3-319-10915-2 (eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-319-10915-2 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2014949166 SpringerChamHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon (cid:2)c SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2015 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof thematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Thepublisher,theauthorsandtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinformationinthisbook arebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsor theeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforany errorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerInternationalPublishingAGSwitzerlandispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia (www.springer.com) Contents Introduction .................................................................................................. VII 1 Risk Level Control in Ecological-Economic Systems .......................... 1 1.1 Environmental and Anthropogenic Risks ........................................ 1 1.2 Risk Level Assessment Methods ..................................................... 6 1.3 Optimization Mechanisms for Risk Level Reduction Programs ..... 7 2 Control Mechanisms at the Level of Industrial Enterprises ............... 25 2.1 Penalty Mechanisms ........................................................................ 27 2.2 Risk Payment Mechanisms ............................................................. 37 2.3 Financing Mechanisms for Risk Level Reduction .......................... 43 2.4 Costs Compensation Mechanisms for Risk Level Reduction.......... 44 2.5 Insurance Mechanisms .................................................................... 53 2.6 Audit Mechanisms .......................................................................... 60 2.7 Mechanisms for Expected Losses Reduction .................................. 63 3 Control Mechanisms at the Level of Regional Authorities ................. 71 3.1 Control Model for Regional Environmental Safety Level .............. 71 3.2 Risk Payment Mechanisms ............................................................. 79 3.3 Financing Mechanisms for Risk Level Reduction .......................... 83 3.4 Costs Compensation Mechanisms for Risk Level Reduction.......... 85 3.5 Sales Mechanisms for Risk Level Quotas ....................................... 87 3.6 Insurance Mechanisms .................................................................... 94 3.7 Economic Motivation Mechanisms ................................................. 105 3.8 Mechanisms for Authorities’ Interests Coordination ...................... 111 4 Simulation Models for Control Mechanisms in Ecological- Economic Systems .................................................................................. 117 4.1 Gaming Simulation of Control Mechanisms ................................... 117 4.2 Risk Payment Mechanisms: A Simulation Game............................ 120 VI Contents 4.3 Incentive Mechanisms for Risk Level Reduction: A Simulation Game ..................................................................................................... 128 4.4 Financing Mechanisms for Risk Level Reduction: A Simulation Game ............................................................................................... 132 4.5 Costs Compensation Mechanisms for Risk Level Reduction: A Simulation Game ......................................................................... 145 4.6 Sales Mechanisms for Risk Level Quotas: A Simulation Game ..... 148 Conclusion ..................................................................................................... 155 Appendix. Basic Symbols and Abbreviations ............................................. 157 References ..................................................................................................... 161 About the Authors ........................................................................................ 165 Introduction Each inhabitant of the Earth has the right for a healthy environment, the obligation for preserving nature and the environment, taking good care of mineral wealth. As a matter of fact, natural resources make the foundation of the sustainable development, life and activity of all nations. Sustainable Development. The term of sustainable development appeared in the 1980s. Sustainable development strategy was adopted at the first UN Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) held in Rio de Janeiro in 1992. It was defined as “development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.” In other words, sustainable development ensures stable economic growth on a long-term basis without environmental degradation. Sustainable development strategy proceeds from the idea of a balance between the environmental, economic and social aspects of development, with attention also paid to the cultural dimension. Sustainable development strategy aims at elaborating basic ways and methods of lifestyle adaptation to global changes. According to this idea, each person possesses the right for a healthy environment and fruitful existence in harmony with nature (for a detailed treatment of sustainable development problems, we refer to [10, 13, 41, 57] and other publications). Risks Control. Sustainable development problems are closely connected with safety control and risks control. A key role in the solution of safety problems belongs to the economic component. No doubt, it is important to evaluate or forecast correctly possible losses from environmental disasters and anthropogenic accidents. However, a lot more attention should be focused on the following challenge: design and implement efficient organizational and economic stimulation mechanisms for practical activity on prevention of emergency situations (ESs) and attraction of necessary investments. The efficiency of economic mechanisms directly depends on the price the mankind is willing to pay for its safety. For instance, the higher are all possible losses due to an ES, the greater is the economic effect from its prevention. Decision support systems at different levels (federal, regional or municipal authorities, industrial enterprises) include economic models, methods and software tools for the survivability and safe operability of complex technical systems and VIII Introduction extremely dangerous production processes, stable functioning of industries and administration systems. In practice, the matter concerns elaboration of strategic development plans of industrial enterprises with proper consideration of environmental safety requirements. This work includes economic justification of technical reequipment and perfection of industrial processes, as well as possible compensating measures in the case of emergency situations. We emphasize the following economic mechanisms in the field of environmental safety of industrial enterprises: risk payment mechanisms, sales mechanisms for risk level quotas, risk redistribution mechanisms, and incentive mechanisms for risk level reduction. Economic mechanisms adopted by federal or regional authorities to protect resident population and territories against emergency situations presuppose planning, normalizing and financing of different safety measures. In particular, such measures define compensatory payments for placing potentially dangerous objects (in the sense of health and property of resident population) on certain territories and for possible environmental damage. A common practice in some countries is to provide tax and credit privileges, etc., to industrial enterprises, organizations and individuals for their measures on reduction of emergency situation risks and the effect of possible consequences. An efficient form of governmental regulation of environmental safety consists in various agreements (leasing or license contracts, and so on) on utilization, construction and reequipment of potentially dangerous objects. Such agreements are concluded between the investor or user of an object and appropriate-level authorities. Limits make a system of socioeconomic restrictions for a potentially dangerous activity. They represent maximum permissible amounts (costs estimates) of possible socioeconomic losses from an emergency situation on a given territory, which are established to industrial enterprises for certain periods. Generally, limits are defined depending on the necessity of stage-by-stage risk level reduction to maximum admissible levels, on environmental conditions in a given territory and the level of its economic development. Payments for possible socioeconomic consequences of emergency situations comprise the cost of possible damages to an economy, the environment, life support systems and resident population health, as well as payments for the right of conducting potentially dangerous, inadmissible and unreasonable dangerous activities. An appreciable role in solution of safety regulation problems belongs to insurance funds accumulating the financial resources of industrial enterprises and organizations, domestic and foreign legal and natural entities, namely, payments for the consequences of emergency situations; compensations according to claims for recovery and penalties for law-breaking; revenues from seized goods produced on potentially dangerous objects; allocations in the form of dividends, interests on deposits, appropriations from joint funding of the activity of industrial enterprises and other legal entities. Introduction IX The financial resources of governmental insurance funds serve for elaboration and implementation of risk level reduction measures for environmental disasters and environmental damage, compensation of material losses in an economy, social guarantee payments to aggrieved persons (loss of property, undermining of health), stimulation of scientific research, education and other activities connected with safety problems. Economic and Financial Mechanisms. An important task is economic regulation of market relations for rational nondepleting nature management, reduction of environmental load, environmental control, attraction of budgetary and extra- budgetary funds for nature-conservative activities. This calls for the following initiatives [9]: ♦ performing transition to renting schemes in the field of nature management; applying economic indicators with the overall cost of natural objects (including their environment-forming function and the cost of ecological services); ♦ creating a full-fledged payment mechanism for economic agents exploiting natural resources, and allocating these financial resources to environment conservation and restoration including biodiversity; implementing the “polluter pays” principle; ♦ making payments for emissions dependent on the volumes of such emissions and the level of danger to the environment and health; ♦ designing a science-based procedure to evaluate compensations for environmental damage and health hazard during economic activity, in the case of anthropogenic accidents and environmental disasters, as well as the result of ecologically dangerous activities (including military activity), guaranteeing the obligatory compensation for environmental damage and health hazard; ♦ stipulating for adequate budgetary financing of environmental protection and control as priority directions in governmental policy; ♦ creating a funding system for environmental measures on a competitive basis using all-level budgets and extrabudgetary sources; ♦ elaborating and applying a tax-tariff policy which stimulates export reorientation from raw materials to deep processing products; creating and applying a taxation system which stimulates adoption of ecologically pure technologies, products and services regardless of a source country; ♦ improving modification mechanisms for patterns of ownership and purchase mechanisms for natural resources and economic agents with proper focus on environment conservation and restoration (including assessment of past environmental damage, obligations for rehabilitation measures, etc.); ♦ establishing a mechanism of financial guarantees (including ecological insurance) for possible negative impact on the environment; ♦ facilitating further development of ecological audit of industrial enterprises, cooperation in the field of nature protection and facultative certification;

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