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Contemporary Latin America: Development and Democracy beyond the Washington Consensus PDF

313 Pages·2009·1.51 MB·English
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About the author Francisco Panizza is Senior Lecturer in Latin American Politics at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He was born in Montevideo, Uruguay, and studied politics in Brazil and England. He has taught in universities in Uruguay, Brazil, Mexico and England, where he has lived since 1979. His research interests are populism, democracy and the politics of economic reform. He combines his academic career with consultancy and journalism. He is a frequent contributor to the BBC, Bloomberg TV and several Latin American newspaper and radio networks. Contemporary Latin America development and democracy beyond the Washington Consensus Francisco Panizza Zed Books london | new york Contemporary Latin America: development and democracy beyond the Washington Consensus was first published in 2009 by Zed Books Ltd, 7 Cynthia Street, London n1 9jf, uk and Room 400, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, ny 10010, usa www.zedbooks.co.uk Copyright © Francisco Panizza, 2009 The right of Francisco Panizza to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act, 1988 Set in OurType Arnhem and Futura Bold by Ewan Smith, London Index: [email protected] Cover designed by Rogue Four Design Printed and bound in the UK by the MPG Books Group Distributed in the usa exclusively by Palgrave Macmillan, a division of St Martin’s Press, llc, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, ny 10010, usa All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise, without the prior permission of Zed Books Ltd. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data available isbn 978 1 84277 853 1 hb isbn 978 1 84277 854 8 pb Contents Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1 Paradigm found: in search of the Washington Consensus . . . . 9 2 The organic intellectuals of the Washington Consensus . . . . 31 3 The ascent of free market economics: an economic reformation with popular support? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 4 Democracy and its promises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 5 Democracy and markets: contestation and consent . . . . . . 98 6 Paradigm lost: the unravelling of the Washington Consensus . 121 7 The opening of a paradigm: growth, equity and democracy . . 142 8 The rise of the left. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 9 Left governments and the deepening of democracy . . . . . . 197 10 Left governments, economic constraints and policy choices . .225 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250 Notes | 256 Bibliography | 267 Index | 295 Introduction This book is about political change under democracy. The first decade of the twenty-first century has been a time of great political transformation in Latin America. After a long period of hegemony of forces of the right and centre-right, political forces of the left and centre-left (henceforth left-of-centre, LOC) have made strong advances in the region. The trend began in 1998 with the triumph in Venezuela of Hugo Chávez – then perceived more as an anti-establishment candidate rather than a radical left-winger. It was followed by the victory of Socialist Party candidate Ricardo Lagos in Chile in 2000 and by the emblematic triumph of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Brazil in 2002. By the second half of the decade it looked as though, if not a red tide, at least a pink one was sweeping throughout the region, as different shades of LOC governments held office in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Paraguay and Uruguay. The so-called turn to the left has not been uniform across the region, while electoral results have revealed deeply divided societies. But altogether Latin America’s political map looks very different from that of the 1990s, when centre-right governments dominated the political landscape of the region. The LOC political forces that have become ruling parties throughout the region are highly heterogeneous entities whose political differences raise difficult questions concerning their categorization, however loosely we define the left. The answer to these questions depends in turn on more fundamental theoretical questions: How do we define the left? Where do we trace the dividing line between the centre-left and the centre-right? Does it make sense to group together such moderate politi- cal forces as Chile’s Socialist Party (PSCh) with more radical forces such as Bolivia’s Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS)? Are not Venezula’s Hugo Chávez, Bolivia’s Evo Morales and Ecuador’s Rafael Correa populists rather than leftists? And, what is meant by populist? I deal with the definitions of the left and populism and other re- lated questions in the body of this book. But while there are significant questions concerning the scope and nature of LOC governments in the region, there appears to be a strong consensus on what is behind their n political ascendancy, namely a backlash against the economic policies o cti that were implemented throughout the region in the late 1980s and 1990s. u d Attacks against ‘neoliberalism’, ‘the Washington Consensus (WC)’ or o r nt simply ‘the model’, as the free market economic reforms of the 1990s are I often indistinctively referred to in political discourse, has been a central element of the political appeal of LOC candidates, whether radicals or moderates. And yet, a decade earlier the political mood in the region was strikingly different. As noted in Chapter 3, by the early 1990s Latin America ap- peared to be on the verge of leaving behind its history of political and economic turbulence as a mix of liberal democracy, economic liberaliza- tion and regional integration achieved significant consensus throughout the region. The formula had considerable support both at elite and at popular level, as shown by the electoral victories of economic reformers such as Carlos Menem in Argentina in 1995, Ernesto Zedillo in Mexico in 1994, Fernando Henrique Cardoso in Brazil in 1994 and 1998, and Alberto Fujimori in Peru in 1995. There were few significant challenges to liberal democracy in a region in which elections were becoming the only game in town, where a centrist consensus prevailed over political polarization, and ‘human rights’ was part of the new common language if not yet the common practice. The turnaround in economic performance appeared to vindicate the free trade economic reforms that were being implemented throughout the region. From Despair to Hope, the subtitle of a book on crisis and reform in Latin America by the Chilean economist Sebastian Edwards, reflects the belief that free market economic policies were working. Published in 1995, the book hailed the new vision of economic policy based on market forces, international competition and a limited role for the state in economic affairs, and mapped its implementation throughout the region (Edwards 1995). Optimism about the impact of the free market reforms proved pre- mature and short lived. The so-called Tequila crisis of 1994 in Mexico was the first in a series of financial crises that affected the main economies of the region in the second half of the 1990s and the first years of the new century (Brazil 1999, Argentina 1999 and 2001/02, Uruguay 2002). Economic volatility made 1997–02 a new lost half-decade for develop- ment after the so-called ‘lost decade’ of the 1980s. During that period, GDP per capita fell throughout the region and poverty that had fallen in the first half of the 1990s again increased in both relative and absolute 2 terms. Equally important to the social and economic consequences of the financial crises were their intellectual and political repercussions. Economic stagnation and its social impact in terms of poverty and un- employment provided the common ground for the emergence of new development discourses that challenged the Washington Consensus. As will be seen in Chapter 7, these discourses, which are part of what is here referred to as the post-Washington Consensus (PWC), differed significantly among themselves in the ways in which they related to the WC and in the extent to which they advanced new alternatives. But even for the more staunch supporters of the free market reforms, the perceived failures of the reforms opened a period of debate and introspection in which different explanations were offered about how and why things went wrong, and what to do to put them right. Edwards’s From Despair to Hope was followed by his ‘Latin America at the end of the century: more of the same?’ (Edwards 1999), which perhaps should have been subtitled ‘From despair to [crushed] hopes’. In this process of reflection and self-criticism, the international financial institutions (IFIs) that, as argued in Chapter 2, were the intellectual and financial driving force behind the WC sought to take on board some of their critics’ objections and, as shown in Chapter 7, elaborated a more comprehensive develop- ment framework that acknowledged the importance of institutions for economic development, promoted a more active role for the state, and highlighted the importance of reducing poverty and inequality as part of the development process. Arguably, the agenda, if not necessarily the IFIs’ proposed means to achieve its goals, shifted the development debate to a terrain more favourable to the traditional concerns of the left. The period between 2003 and 2008 saw new economic and political developments in the region. As noted in Chapter 10, the commodity boom allowed the region to grow at its highest rate for the preceding forty years. Partly as a result of high economic growth, but owing also to the implementation of new social programmes, poverty fell to its lowest level since 1980 in relative terms, and there was also a fall in inequality. LOC governments took advantage of the new economic conditions in order to adopt an increasing distance from the International Monetary Fund, which had seen its influence in the region decline. But, as argued In tr in the same chapter, the increased margins of policy autonomy allowed od u by a favourable international context between 2003 and 2008 also high- c tio lighted significant differences between LOC governments’ approach to n 3

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Latin America has changed dramatically over the past few years. While the 1990s were dominated by the political orthodoxy of the Washington Consensus and the political uniformity of centre right governments the first decade of the new century has seen the emergence of a plurality of economic and pol
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