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Contemporary engineering economics PDF

947 Pages·2006·7.102 MB·English
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ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page i C o n t e m p o r a r y Engineering Economics ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page ii ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page iii C o n t e m p o r a r y Engineering Economics F o u r t h E d i t i o n Chan S. Park Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering Auburn University Upper Saddle River,NJ 07458 ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page iv Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data on File Vice President and Editorial Director,ECS:Marcia J. Horton Senior Editor:Holly Stark Editorial Assistant:Nicole Kunzmann Executive Managing Editor:Vince O’Brien Managing Editor:David A. George Production Editor:Scott Disanno Director of Creative Services:Paul Belfanti Creative Director:Juan López Art Director:Heather Scott Interior and Cover Designer:Tamara Newnam Art Editor:Xiaohong Zhu Manufacturing Manager:Alexis Heydt-Long Manufacturing Buyer:Lisa McDowell Marketing Manager:Tim Galligan ©2007 by Pearson Education,Inc. Pearson Prentice Hall Upper Saddle River,New Jersey 07458 All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced,in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the publisher. The author and publisher of this book have used their best efforts in preparing this book. These efforts include the development,research,and testing of the theories and programs to determine their effectiveness. The author and publisher make no warranty of any kind,expressed or implied,with regard to these programs or the documentation contained in this book. The author and publisher shall not be liable in any event for incidental or consequential damages in connec- tion with,or arising out of,the furnishing,performance,or use of these programs. Printed in the United States of America 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 ISBN 0-13-187628-7 Pearson Education Ltd.,London Pearson Education Australia Pte. Ltd.,Sydney Pearson Education Singapore,Pte. Ltd. Pearson Education North Asia Ltd.,Hong Kong Pearson Education Canada,Inc.,Toronto Pearson Educación de Mexico,S.A. de C.V. Pearson Education–Japan,Tokyo Pearson Education Malaysia,Ptd. Ltd. Pearson Education,Inc.,Upper Saddle River,New Jersey ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page v To my wife,Kim (Inkyung);and my children,Michael and Edward ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page vi ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page vii CONTENTS Preface xix PPAARRTT 1 BBAASSIICCSS OOFF FFIINNAANNCCIIAALL DDEECCIISSIIOONNSS 1 Chapter 1 Engineering Economic Decisions 2 1.1 Role of Engineers in Business 4 1.1.1 Types of Business Organization 5 1.1.2 Engineering Economic Decisions 6 1.1.3 Personal Economic Decisions 6 1.2 What Makes the Engineering Economic Decision Difficult? 7 1.3 Economic Decisions versus Design Decisions 8 1.4 Large-Scale Engineering Projects 9 1.4.1 How a Typical Project Idea Evolves 9 1.4.2 Impact of Engineering Projects on Financial Statements 12 1.4.3 A Look Back in 2005:Did Toyota Make the Right Decision? 13 1.5 Common Types of Strategic Engineering Economic Decisions 13 1.6 Fundamental Principles of Engineering Economics 15 Summary 17 Chapter 2 Understanding Financial Statements 18 2.1 Accounting: The Basis of Decision Making 21 2.2 Financial Status for Businesses 22 2.2.1 The Balance Sheet 24 2.2.2 The Income Statement 27 2.2.3 The Cash Flow Statement 30 2.3 Using Ratios to Make Business Decisions 33 2.3.1 Debt Management Analysis 34 2.3.2 Liquidity Analysis 37 2.3.3 Asset Management Analysis 38 2.3.4 Profitability Analysis 39 2.3.5 Market Value Analysis 41 2.3.6 Limitations of Financial Ratios in Business Decisions 42 Summary 43 Problems 44 Short Case Studies 50 vii ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page viii viii CONTENTS Chapter 3 Interest Rate and Economic Equivalence 52 3.1 Interest: The Cost of Money 54 3.1.1 The Time Value of Money 55 3.1.2 Elements of Transactions Involving Interest 56 3.1.3 Methods of Calculating Interest 59 3.1.4 Simple Interest versus Compound Interest 62 3.2 Economic Equivalence 63 3.2.1 Definition and Simple Calculations 63 3.2.2 Equivalence Calculations:General Principles 66 3.2.3 Looking Ahead 71 3.3 Development of Interest Formulas 71 3.3.1 The Five Types of Cash Flows 72 3.3.2 Single-Cash-Flow Formulas 73 3.3.3 Uneven Payment Series 80 3.3.4 Equal Payment Series 84 3.3.5 Linear Gradient Series 96 3.3.6 Geometric Gradient Series 102 3.4 Unconventional Equivalence Calculations 107 3.4.1 Composite Cash Flows 107 3.4.2 Determining an Interest Rate to Establish Economic Equivalence 114 Summary 119 Problems 119 Short Case Studies 129 Chapter 4 Understanding Money and Its Management 134 4.1 Nominal and Effective Interest Rates 136 4.1.1 Nominal Interest Rates 136 4.1.2 Effective Annual Interest Rates 137 4.1.3 Effective Interest Rates per Payment Period 140 4.1.4 Continuous Compounding 141 4.2 Equivalence Calculations with Effective Interest Rates 143 4.2.1 When Payment Period Is Equal to Compounding Period 144 4.2.2 Compounding Occurs at a Different Rate than that at Which Payments Are Made 145 4.3 Equivalence Calculations with Continuous Payments 152 4.3.1 Single-Payment Transactions 152 4.3.2 Continuous-Funds Flow 152 ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page ix Contents ix 4.4 Changing Interest Rates 156 4.4.1 Single Sums of Money 156 4.4.2 Series of Cash Flows 158 4.5 Debt Management 159 4.5.1 Commercial Loans 159 4.5.2 Loan versus Lease Financing 167 4.5.3 Home Mortgage 171 4.6 Investing in Financial Assets 175 4.6.1 Investment Basics 175 4.6.2 How to Determine Your Expected Return 176 4.6.3 Investing in Bonds 179 Summary 187 Problems 188 Short Case Studies 199 PPAARRTT 2 EEVVAALLUUAATTIIOONN OOFF BBUUSSIINNEESSSS AANNDD EENNGGIINNEEEERRIINNGG AASSSSEETTSS 203 Chapter 5 Present-Worth Analysis 204 5.1 Describing Project Cash Flows 207 5.1.1 Loan versus Project Cash Flows 207 5.1.2 Independent versus Mutually Exclusive Investment Projects 209 5.2 Initial Project Screening Method 210 5.2.1 Payback Period:The Time It Takes to Pay Back 210 5.2.2 Benefits and Flaws of Payback Screening 213 5.2.3 Discounted Payback Period 214 5.2.4 Where Do We Go from Here? 215 5.3 Discounted Cash Flow Analysis 215 5.3.1 Net-Present-Worth Criterion 216 5.3.2 Meaning of Net Present Worth 220 5.3.3 Basis for Selecting the MARR 222 5.4 Variations of Present-Worth Analysis 223 5.4.1 Future-Worth Analysis 223 5.4.2 Capitalized Equivalent Method 227 5.5 Comparing Mutually Exclusive Alternatives 232 5.5.1 Meaning of Mutually Exclusive and “Do Nothing” 232 5.5.2 Analysis Period 235 ParkFMff.qxd 6/2/06 2:01 PM Page x x CONTENTS 5.5.3 Analysis Period Equals Project Lives 236 5.5.4 Analysis Period Differs from Project Lives 238 5.5.5 Analysis Period Is Not Specified 246 Summary 249 Problems 249 Short Case Studies 265 Chapter 6 Annual Equivalent-Worth Analysis 268 6.1 Annual Equivalent-Worth Criterion 270 6.1.1 Fundamental Decision Rule 270 6.1.2 Annual-Worth Calculation with Repeating Cash Flow Cycles 273 6.1.3 Comparing Mutually Exclusive Alternatives 275 6.2 Capital Costs versus Operating Costs 277 6.3 Applying Annual-Worth Analysis 280 6.3.1 Benefits of AE Analysis 281 6.3.2 Unit Profit or Cost Calculation 281 6.3.3 Make-or-Buy Decision 283 6.3.4 Pricing the Use of an Asset 286 6.4 Life-Cycle Cost Analysis 287 6.5 Design Economics 294 Summary 303 Problems 304 Short Case Studies 318 Chapter 7 Rate-of-Return Analysis 322 7.1 Rate of Return 324 7.1.1 Return on Investment 324 7.1.2 Return on Invested Capital 326 7.2 Methods for Finding the Rate of Return 327 7.2.1 Simple versus Nonsimple Investments 327 7.2.2 Predicting Multiple i*’s 329 7.2.3 Computational Methods 331 7.3 Internal-Rate-of-Return Criterion 338 7.3.1 Relationship to PW Analysis 338 7.3.2 Net-Investment Test:Pure versus Mixed Investments 339 7.3.3 Decision Rule for Pure Investments 341 7.3.4 Decision Rule for Mixed Investments 344

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