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P C i lla o Conflict Management n r s f l o i f a ct and Peacebuilding: N M e a w n Pillars of a New American A a m g Grand Strategy e m r ic e a n n t G a r n a n d d P S U.S. ARMY WAR COLLEGE t e r a a t c e e g b y u i l d i n g : Editors: RVE ood Volker C. Franke bli kt erered Robert H. Dorff t H C b . D. Fy r oa rn fk f e This Publication SSI Website USAWC Website Visit our website for other free publication downloads http://www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil/ To rate this publication click here. The United States Army War College The United States Army War College educates and develops leaders for service at the strategic level while advancing knowledge in the global application of Landpower. The purpose of the United States Army War College is to produce graduates who are skilled critical thinkers and complex problem solvers. Concurrently, it is our duty to the U.S. Army to also act as a “think factory” for commanders and civilian leaders at the strategic level worldwide and routinely engage in discourse and debate concerning the role of ground forces in achieving national security objectives. The Strategic Studies Institute publishes national security and strategic research and analysis to influence policy debate and bridge the gap between military and academia. The Center for Strategic Leadership and Development contributes to the education of world class senior CSTERNATTEERG fIoCr LDEEAVDELEORSPHMIPEN anTd leaders, develops expert knowledge, and provides U.S. ARMY WAR COLLEGE solutions to strategic Army issues affecting the national security community. The Peacekeeping and Stability Operations Institute provides subject matter expertise, technical review, and writing expertise to agencies that develop stability operations concepts and doctrines. U.S. Army War College The Senior Leader Development and Resiliency program SLDR supports the United States Army War College’s lines of effort to educate strategic leaders and provide well-being education and support by developing self-awareness Senior Leader Development and Resiliency through leader feedback and leader resiliency. The School of Strategic Landpower develops strategic leaders by providing a strong foundation of wisdom grounded in mastery of the profession of arms, and by serving as a crucible for educating future leaders in the analysis, evaluation, and refinement of professional expertise in war, strategy, operations, national security, resource management, and responsible command. The U.S. Army Heritage and Education Center acquires, conserves, and exhibits historical materials for use to support the U.S. Army, educate an international audience, and honor soldiers—past and present. Strategic Studies Institute and U.S. Army War College Press CONFLICT MANAGEMENT AND PEACEBUILDING: PILLARS OF A NEW AMERICAN GRAND STRATEGY Volker C. Franke Robert H. Dorff Editors October 2013 The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of their respective institutions, the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. Authors of Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) and U.S. Army War College (USAWC) Press publications enjoy full academic freedom, provided they do not disclose classified information, jeopardize operations security, or misrepresent official U.S. policy. Such academic freedom empowers them to offer new and sometimes controversial perspectives in the inter- est of furthering debate on key issues. This report is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited. ***** This publication is subject to Title 17, United States Code, Sections 101 and 105. It is in the public domain and may not be copyrighted. ***** Comments pertaining to this report are invited and should be forwarded to: Director, Strategic Studies Institute and the U.S. Army War College Press, U.S. Army War College, 47 Ashburn Drive, Carlisle, PA 17013-5010. ***** All Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) and U.S. Army War College (USAWC) Press publications may be downloaded free of charge from the SSI website. Hard copies of this report may also be obtained free of charge while supplies last by placing an order on the SSI website. SSI publications may be quoted or reprinted in part or in full with permission and appropriate credit given to the U.S. Army Strategic Studies Institute and U.S. Army War College Press, U.S. Army War College, Carlisle, PA. Contact SSI by visiting our website at the following address: www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil. ***** The Strategic Studies Institute and USAWC Press publishes a monthly e-mail newsletter to update the national security community on the research of our analysts, recent and forthcoming publications, and upcoming conferences sponsored by the Institute. Each newsletter also provides a strategic com- mentary by one of our research analysts. If you are interested in receiving this newsletter, please subscribe on the SSI website at www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil/newsletter. ***** The Strategic Studies Institute and the co-editors of this vol- ume join in thanking the faculty, students, and staff of Kennesaw State University (KSU) for their extraordinary efforts in orga- nizing and implementing the symposium, and in the prepara- tion of this book. We also extend a very special thanks to KSU President Dr. Daniel S. Papp and Dr. Richard A. Vengroff, Dean Emeritus of the College of Humanities and Social Sciences for their energetic support of and commitment to the event and the publication of this book. In addition, we would like to thank Dr. ii Jeffrey D. McCausland, Distinguished Visiting Professor of Re- search and Minerva Chair at SSI; Mr. Doug Brooks, President Emeritus of the International Stability Operations Association; and Dr. Akanmu Adebayo, Professor of History and Director of KSU’s Center for Conflict Management, for their skillf ul modera- tion of the panels. We appreciate the assistance of Mr. Edward L. Mienie, INCM Ph.D. Candidate who, as graduate assistant for the symposium, helped coordinate the conference logistics and co-authored the conference brief; and INCM staff, including Pro- gram Administrator Rose Procter, Program Coordinator Chelsea van Bergen, and Student Assistant Audrey Adams, whose tire- less efforts and great dedication ensured the succ essful organiza- tion and effective implementation of the symposium. Finally, our thanks go to the INCM Ph.D. students, all of whom volunt eered to serve as program liaisons and campus guides to the panelists. ISBN 1-58487-583-6 iii CONTENTS Foreword ..................................................................... vii 1. Conflict Management and Peacebuilding: Pillars of a New American Grand Strategy ......... 1 Volker C. Franke and Robert H. Dorff 2. New Threats; New Thinking ............................... 15 Frederick W. Smullen 3. The Transatlantic Relationship: A Breaking or Restorable Pillar of a New American Grand Strategy? .....................................................29 Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg 4. The Nature and Demands of Smart Power ........41 Robert Kennedy 5. A Future U.S. Grand Strategy: Conflict Management Forever with Us, Peacebuilding Not So Much................................. 99 Michael Lekson and Nathaniel L. Wilson 6. The Role of Peacebuilding and Conflict Management in a Future American Grand Strategy: Time for an “Off Shore” Approach? ............................................................133 Charles J. Dunlap, Jr. 7. Always an Outsider: U.S. Military Role in International Peacebuilding ...............................159 William Flavin v 8. Thinking Globally, Acting Locally: A Grand Strategic Approach to Civil-Military Coordination in the 21st Century ..................... 193 Christopher Holshek 9. Peacebuilding and Development: Challenges for Strategic Thinking .....................241 Fouzieh Melanie Alamir 10. Forces of Order and Disorder: Security Providers and Conflict Management ................271 Michael Ashkenazi 11. Mass Atrocity Prevention and Response Options: Addressing the Policy Challenges..... 295 Dwight Raymond 12. The United States, China, and India in the New World Order: Consequences for Europe ............................................................ 317 Liselotte Odgaard 13. Negotiating the Pitfalls of Peace and Security in Africa and a New American Grand Strategy: African Union Peace and Security Architecture and the U.S. Africa Command .................................................339 Kwesi Aning and Festus Aubyn 14. U.S. Grand Strategy and the Search for Partners: South Africa as a Key Partner in Africa ................................................. 369 Abel Esterhuyse About the Contributors ............................................ 399 vi FOREWORD On February 24, 2012, Kennesaw State University (KSU) and the Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) of the U.S. Army War College (USAWC), conducted a sym- posium ent itled “Peacebuilding and Conflict Manage- ment: Pillars of a New American Grand Strategy.” The symposium built on the results of the 2011 KSU- SSI symposium that examined the utility of the U.S. Government’s whole-of-government (WoG) approach for responding to the challenging security demands of operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. Based on this earlier evaluation of the benefits and shortcomings of the WoG approach in the field and the integration of operational and tactical demands generated by new security challenges, the 2012 symposium examined more closely the strategic objectives of interagency cooperation specifically in the areas of peacebuilding and conflict management. In addition to the dual focus on peacebuilding and conflict management, the symposium was designed to examine one of the ongoi ng research interests in the SSI academic engagement series: the role of WoG ef- forts in addressing contemporary national and inter- national security challenges and opportunities. In addition, the topics covered by the panelists created important synergies with SSI’s 2012 Annual Strategy Conference, which examined challenges and oppor- tunities for the future of U.S. grand strategy in an age of austerity. Four symposium panels addressed the following topics: “The Role of Peacebuilding and Conflict Management in a Future American Grand Strategy,” “More than a Military Tool: Strengthen- ing Civil-Military Cooperation in Peacebuilding,” “Peace and Development: Key Elements of a New vii Grand Strategy,” and “Conflict Management, Peace- building, and a New American Grand Strategy: Views from Abroad.” The symposium discussions ranged from the conceptual to the practical, with a focus on the chal- lenges and des irability of interagency cooperation in international interventions. Invited panelists shared their experie nces and expertise on the need for and future of an American grand strategy in an era char- acterized by increasingly complex security challenges and shrinking budgets. Panelists agreed that tak- ing the status quo for granted was a major obstacle to developing a successful grand strategy and that government, the military, international and nongov- ernmental organizations, and the private sector are all called on to contribute their best talents and efforts to joint global peace and security efforts. The panelists engaged the audience in a discussion that included viewpoints from academia, the military, government agencies, nongovernmental organizations, and indus- try. Despite the broad range of viewpoints, a num- ber of overarching themes and tentative agreements emerged. The reader will find them in the chapters of this edited volume. KSU and SSI are pleased to present this book, and we hope that readers will engage us further in the kinds of issues and debates that surfaced during the symposium and that are captured and extended in the pages that follow. In the interest of both national and international security, we must continue to debate is- sues pertinent to strategy and strategic decisionmak- viii

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