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D E V E L O P M E N T C E N T R E S T U D I E S CONFLICT AND GROWTH IN AFRICA Vol. 1: The Sahel BY JEAN-PAUL AZAM AND CHRISTIAN MORRISSON WITH SOPHIE CHAUVIN ANDSANDRINE ROSPABÉ (cid:211) OECD, 1999. (cid:211) Software: 1987-1996, Acrobat is a trademark of ADOBE. All rights reserved. OECD grants you the right to use one copy of this Program for your personal use only. Unauthorised reproduction, lending, hiring, transmission or distribution of any data or software is prohibited. You must treat the Program and associated materials and any elements thereof like any other copyrighted material. All requests should be made to: Head of Publications Service, OECD Publications Service, 2, rue Andre´-Pascal, 75775 Paris Cedex 16, France. DEVELOPMENT CENTRE STUDIES CONFLICT AND GROWTH IN AFRICA Vol. 1: The Sahel By Jean-Paul Azam and Christian Morrisson with Sophie Chauvin and Sandrine Rospabe´ DEVELOPMENT CENTRE OF THE ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT Pursuant to Article 1 of the Convention signed in Paris on 14th December 1960, and which came into force on 30th September 1961, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) shall promote policies designed: – to achieve the highest sustainable economic growth and employment and a rising standard of living in Member countries, while maintaining financial stability, and thus to contribute to the development of the world economy; – to contribute to sound economic expansion in Member as well as non-member countries in the process of economic development; and – to contribute to the expansion of world trade on a multilateral, non-discriminatory basis in accordance with international obligations. The original Member countries of the OECD are Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The following countries became Members subsequently through accession at the dates indicated hereafter: Japan (28th April 1964), Finland (28th January 1969), Australia (7th June 1971), New Zealand (29th May 1973), Mexico (18th May 1994), the Czech Republic (21st December 1995), Hungary (7th May 1996), Poland (22nd November 1996) and Korea (12th December 1996). The Commission of the European Communities takes part in the work of the OECD (Article 13 of the OECD Convention). The Development Centre of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development was established by decision of the OECD Council on 23rd October 1962 and comprises twenty-three Member countries of the OECD: Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland, as well as Argentina and Brazil from March 1994, and Chile since November 1998. The Commission of the European Commu- nities also takes part in the Centre’s Advisory Board. The purpose of the Centre is to bring together the knowledge and experience available in Member countries of both economic development and the formulation and execution of general economic policies; to adapt such knowledge and experience to the actual needs of countries or regions in the process of development and to put the results at the disposal of the countries by appropriate means. The Centre has a special and autonomous position within the OECD which enables it to enjoy scientific independence in the execution of its task. Nevertheless, the Centre can draw upon the experience and knowledge available in the OECD in the development field. Publie´ en franc¸ais sous le titre : CONFLITS ET CROISSANCE EN AFRIQUE Vol. 1 : Le Sahel THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED AND ARGUMENTS EMPLOYED IN THIS PUBLICATION ARE THE SOLE RESPONSIBILITY OF THE AUTHORS AND DO NOT NECESSARILY REFLECT THOSE OF THE OECD OR OF THE GOVERNMENTS OF ITS MEMBER COUNTRIES. * * * (cid:211) OECD 1999 Permission to reproduce a portion of this work for non-commercial purposes or classroom use should be obtained through the Centre franc¸ais d’exploitation du droit de copie (CFC), 20, rue des Grands-Augustins, 75006 Paris, France, Tel. (33-1) 44 07 47 70, Fax (33-1) 46 34 67 19, for every country except the United States. In the United States permission should be obtained through the Copyright Clearance Center, Customer Service, (508)750-8400, 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923 USA, or CCC Online: http://www.copyright.com/. All other applications for permission to reproduce or translate all or part of this book should be made to OECD Publications, 2, rue Andre´-Pascal, 75775 Paris Cedex 16, France. Foreword This publication is produced in the context of the Development Centre’s work on seeking ways to integrate poorer countries into the world economy. It results specifically from the project entitled Political Economy and Development in Africa, two other volumes complete the series. 3 4 Table of Contents Preface .................................................................................................................. 7 Acknowledgements......................................................................................................... 8 Executive Summary......................................................................................................... 9 Chapter 1 Introduction ............................................................................................ 17 Chapter 2 Mali: Political Stability at High Risk .................................................. 31 Chapter 3 Uncontrolled Public Finances and Political Instability in Burkina Faso ...................................................................................... 59 Chapter 4 Niger: Political Instability and Economic Stagnation ....................... 85 Chapter 5 Chad: Conflict and Impoverishment ...................................................127 Chapter 6 The Sahara and Sub-Saharan Africa .....................................................163 Chapter 7 Conclusion..............................................................................................173 5 TheSahelianCountries(cid:150)Niger,Mali,BurkinaFasoandChad Mediterranean Sea TUNISIA MOROCCO Canary Islands ALGERIA LIBYA EGYPT WESTERN SAHARA Taoudenni Aozou MAURITANIA Tessalit 6 Araouane NIGER Bilma Faya-Largeau Tombouctou Agades CHAD SUDAN MALI Gao SENEGAL Kayes Nioro du Sahel Mapti Tillaberi Tahoua Maradi Nguigai Biltine Kita BURKINA Niamey Zinder Lake GAMBIA Bamako FASO Desse Chad Ati Ouagadougou N’Djamena GUINEA BISSAU BougouniBobo Dioulasso GUINEA BENIN SLIEEORNREA Moundou Atlantic GHANA TOGO NIGERIA CENTRAL Ocean LIBERIA CÔTE D’IVOIRE CAMEROON AFRICAN REPUBLIC Scale 0Km.150 EQUATORIAL GUINEA 0 Miles150 SAOTOME & PRINCIPE CONGO The boundaries and names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the OECD. K. Smith Preface During a September 1994 seminar organised by the Development Centre on growth prospects in sub–Saharan Africa and the causes of past stagnation, a consensus was reached on the disastrous effect of the conflicts that had occurred in the region since the 1960s. It appeared unquestionable that many economic failures in the region were due to unrest and civil war. This conclusion led the Centre to undertake the present project on conflicts and growth, but not without some misgivings: this type of analysis requires a mastery of disciplines far removed from economics, and the ethnic, religious, linguistic, social and economic factors of conflict are so entangled that it is difficult to obtain a clear idea of the role of economic factors in order to suggest new economic policies for preventing conflicts. The authors of this study have nevertheless managed, through meticulous examination of the facts and the history of these four Sahel countries (Mali, BurkinaFaso, Niger and Chad), to identify several economic factors of conflict. Some of these factors, such as regional or urban–rural inequalities in the provision of education and health services, are also found in other African countries studied under this project, while others are specific to the Sahel countries. An example of the latter is a system which appropriates public resources for the benefit of a small, privileged minority of civil servants, who are much less numerous and receive much higher wages than in other countries that are equally poor. The tax burden is thus the same as in other countries, but the state does not provide the same services, particularly in education and health. Another factor which is specific to these countries, except for Burkina Faso, is the centuries–old conflict of interests between northern peoples, such as Tuaregs and Arabs, and southern peoples. This factor explains a long civil war in Chad which left the country in ruins. Non–economic factors have also played a role, of course, as is best exemplified by the ethnic conflicts in Chad. The value of the present study, however, lies in having shown the importance of economic factors of conflict which compound pre–existing factors. This enables the authors to conclude with proposals for economic policy changes which would considerably diminish the risk of unrest or civil war. Everyone who is aware of the human and material costs of such conflicts will be interested in these proposals to promote growth and civil peace. Jean Bonvin President OECD Development Centre March 1999 7 Acknowledgements The Development Centre would like to express its gratitude to the Government of Switzerland for the financial support given to the project on “Emerging Africa” in the context of which this study was carried out. 8

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